CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/07/23

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
05973570
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date: 
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 23, 1952
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15652997].pdf232.57 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 b05973570 TOP RET. SEC INFORMATION 23 July 1952 COPY NO. 00 3.5(c) 3.5(c) CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMeitl10 tstostem cuts's. ´┐Żotztimmo CLAW CHANGED TO: IS S C NEXTREVIEWOAlt: 21 00 AVM: 14R 702 TEtUtgat. REVIEWER: 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 3.5(c) TOPS SECURI FORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 TOP SECRET 3.5(c) SUMMARY SOVIET UNION 1. Evidence of 1952 production of modified or new type MIG (page 3). FAR EAST 2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion (page 3). SOUTH ASIA 3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics (page 4). 4. India may recognize Farouk's title as "King of the Sudan" (page 4). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 5. Comment on Mossadeq's eturn to power (page 5). 6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises (page 6). EASTERN EUROPE 7. Serious bearing shortage in Bulgaria (page 6). WESTERN EUROPE 8. West German officials suggest active defense preparations be started now (page 7). 2 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 ,Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570:\ TOPSERET 3.5(c) SOVIET UNION 1. Evidence of 1952 production of modified or new type MIG: Comment: The fact that the designation "SI" has been observed sug- 3.3(h)(2) gests that a new version of the MIG-15 or a new type of MIG fighter is now in production. 3.3(h)(2) FAR EAST 2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion: The Vietnamese Cabinet is torn by feuds 3.3(h)(2) between key ministers and by resentment at Prime Minister Tam's reluctance to delegate responsibility to subordinates, Tam allegedly 3.3(h)(2) Intends to rely on French advisers assigned to the various ministries. Comment: Since Tam has the strong back- ing of French officials in Saigon, he should be able during the im- mediate future to continue in office despite his widespread unpopular- ity and the maneuvers of his political enemies. It is clear, however, that with a disorganized cabinet he will not be able to conduct a vigor- ous campaign against the Viet Minh. -3 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973570 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 TOP ET 3.5(c) SOUTH ASIA 3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics: Two Communist-front organizations, the Pakistan Trade Union Federation and the Pakistan Progressive Writers' Association, have issued statements admitting past errors in policy and stating that hence- forth they would confine themselves solely to trade union activities and literary pursuits. Comment: The above statements appeared shortly after the release from jail of all but two of the top Commu- nist leaders in Pakistan and less than a month after the Indian Com- munist Party allegedly received new policy instructions fromabroad. The statements suggest that the Communist Party of Pakistan is being reorganized and revitalized following the return of its leaders. The withdrawal of front-organizations from political activity presumably indicates recognition of an immediate need to increase popular support, which is more easily obtained when there is no police repression. India may recognize Farouk's title as "King of the Sudan": The Turkish Ambassador in NeW Delhi re- ported to his government on 9 July that local political circles considered it probable that India would recognize the title of Egypt's ruler as "King of Egypt and the Sudan." Ac- cording to the Ambassador, the main reason for recognition would be an Indian desire to strengthen the Asian-African bloc in the United Nations. -4 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) 7.12#13.ET Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 3.5(c) 'Ow ( Approved for Release:-2019/05/28 C05973570 CRET Comment: The Indian Government has delayed recognition of Farouk's title since mid-April, at which time the Egyptian Ambassador in New Delhi was officially informed that India would soon do so. Recognition by India would add another im- portant, non-Moslem nation and a member of the British Common- wealth to the growing list of countries ranged against Britain on this question. NEAR EAST AFRICA 5. Comment on Mossadeq's return to power: The reappointment of Mossadeq as Iran's Prime Minister destroys any hope for an early solution of the oil problem. Prior to his resignation on 16 July, Mossadeq requested that he be given extraordinary powers to cope with the deteriorating economic situation. He also asked the Shah to appoint him Minister of War as well as Prime Minister. Mossadeq's known desire to limit the in- fluence of the Shah and the army suggests that he will now attempt to strengthen his position further. In addition, the International Courts decision on 22 July that it is not competent to rule in the Anglo-Iranian oil dispute will heighten Mossadeq's intransigence and his popularity In Iran4, Mossadeq is a self-proclaimed constitutional- ist. His unwillingness to compromise on the oil issue, however, as well as his desire to restrict the army and the court and his increasing Inclination toward dictatorial action, offers little hope for an improve- ment in the country's affairs. 3.5(c) TOP S ET Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973570 3.5(c) -'Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973570 TOE -SECRET 3.5(c) 6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises: 3.3(h)(2) Greek Defense Minister Mavros has informed Ambassador Peurifoy that the Greek Navy has been invited to join Yugoslav naval forces in maneuvers scheduled for late August. The Greek Government is withholding its reply until it can obtain an official American reaction. According to Ambassador Peurifoy, the Greeks are "highly elated" over this Yugoslav overture. Comment: Greek officials have in the past exhibited unwarranted optimism over Yugoslav readiness to enter into mutual defense talks, and Marshal Tito has made it abundantly clear that he will sign no formal defense pacts. If Mavros' statement is true, however, this request for joint naval exercises would be concrete evidence of Yugoslavia's willingness to assume an active role in region- al defense planning. EASTERN EUROPE 7. Serious bearing shortage in Bulgaria: being stopped. 3.3(h)(2) since the first of the year Bulgaria has suffered an increasingly serious shortage of bearings. Identified types in short supply are bearings for electric dredges, vacuum pumps, and threshing machines, tilt of the bearing shortage proauction was Comment: It appears likely that planned shipments of bearings to Bulgaria have been interrupted either by the granting of priority to other consumers or as a result of the failure of the USSR and Czechoslovakia to meet production goals. During 1952, Western quotas for the delivery of bearings which would serve to supplement domestic production in the Soviet Orbit have been reduced by approximately 30 percent as compared with the previous year. - 6 - 3 3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973570 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973570 ET 3.5(c) WESTERN EUROPE West German officials suggest active defense preparations be started now: West German Finance Minister Schaeffer an3 3(h)(2) "Defense Minister" Blank have suggested that barracks be built now for the use of the Ger- man troop contingents in the European army. They propose that the barracks be constructed ostensibly for American use, but paid for by the Germans. Both officials expressed concern that formation of German units might later be delayed by´┐Ż the lack of quarters. Comment: Although the West German Govern- ment must facilitate its troop build-up by planning its defense production schedules, any such action as they suggested would probably bring sharp French criticism Until the European Defense Treaty is finally ratified, the West German Government will not have the legal right to proceed with overt defense preparations. -7 TO CRET Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973570 3.5(c)