CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/07/25

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973572
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: July 25, 1952

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25 July 1952
Copy No. 53
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE0-040/REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECU INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. TASS correspondent again comments on US-Soviet relations
(page 3).
2. Soviet poster boasts of downing three US planes (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Chinese reaffirm demand for return of all POW's in Korea (page 4).
4. Chinese Communists still fighting in Indochina (page 4).
5. Thai leaders reluctant to participate in Southeast Asia defense
(page 5).
SOUTH ASIA
6. India and Pakistan agree to further talks on Kashmir (page 6)._
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Iranian Communists prominent in Tehran riots (page 6).
8. Mossadeq may request withdrawal of US military and gendarmerie
missions (page 7).
9. Turkish Ambassador sees Middle East Defense Organization as
vital (page 7).
10, King Farouk emphasizes seriousness of Egyptian situation (page 8). '
11. Netherlands may recognize Farouk's title to Sudan (page 8).
12.
13.
14.
EASTERN EUROPE
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First mass deportations from Czechoslovak city reported (page 9).
WESTERN EUROPE
Italy objects to announcement of projected aid to Yugoslavia (page 10).
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SOVIET UNION
1. TASS correspondent again comments on US-Soviet relations:
In a mid-June conversation which he initiated �
with a reliable American newspaperman, Yuri
Zhukov, TASS correspondent in Paris, said
that the Americans are rebuffing Russian ef-
forts to promote peaceful discussions at every point. As an example,
he cited the American attitude toward a four-power conference on
Germany. When queried as to whether he believed that the Americans
wanted war, Zhukov replied that there was no other conclusion the
Russians could draw, but that "we shall continue to make every effort
for peaceful discussion and peaceful solutions even until the guns go off."
23(h)(2)
- The American newspaperman commented that
this was the first time Zhukov had ever implied so openly that he believed
a war would eventually come.
Comment: This conversation differs some-
what from several others last year when Zhukov appeared to be seeking
information on such matters as American rearmament, policies in the
Far East, and military activity in the Near East. In this case, Zhukov
was apparently trying to bring about a more receptive attitude toward
negotiations with the USSR, which the West had not then proposed, by
emphasizing the dangers of US intransigence.
2. Soviet poster boasts of downing three US planes:
Ambassador Kennan reports the appearance
in Moscow of a new poster picturing three
American planes being shot down by Soviet
fighters. Excerpts from Pravda printed on
the poster identify one as the B-29 lost over the Baltic on 5 April 1950,
the second as the patrol bomber lost in the Far East in November 1951,
and the third as the C-47 which landed in Hungary late last fall.
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Comment: The Soviet notes after the first
two incidents did not admit that these planes had been shot down.
However, the decoration of Soviet pilots subsequent to each of these
incidents was the Kremlin's indirect way of both warning the West and
reassuring the Soviet people as to the inviolability of Soviet borders.
The fact that the Soviet Government now publicizes these actions
represents, in the opinion of Ambassador Kennan, a studied insult.
FAR EAST
3. Chinese reaffirm demand for return of all POW's in Korea:
A Chinese Communist foreign affairs official 3.3(h)(2)
'recently told the Indian Charge in Peiping that
his government would insist on repatriation
of all Chinese POW's held by the United Nations
and that any screening was unacceptable. The Chinese official violent-
ly abused the UN Command for the Yalu River bombing, characterizing
it as "19th century gunboat tactics."
Comment: Despite a more agressive tone at
the talks and in their propaganda, there is no indication that the Com-
munists are contemplating terminating the negotiations.
4. Chinese Communists still fighting in Indochina:
The campaign by Chinese Communist forces
in support of a Viet Minh regiment against
tribal guerrillas in northwestern Tonkin is
still continuing,
Despite supply problems, combined
Communist troops have forced the French-supported Meo guerrillas
to retreat and now have them encircled.
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Comment: This Chinese Communist o eration,
involving an estimated 5,000 to 6,000 men, has been minimized
as purely local military aid to hard-pressed 3.3(h)(2)
Viet Minh units. A Chinese invasion in force is still not indicated.
This incursion, however, like previous ones,
is indicative of China's apparent willingness to disregard the integrity
of the Indochina border, at least in areas where regular French-
Vietnamese troops are not present.
5. Thai leaders reluctant to participate in Southeast Asia defense:
3.3(h)(2)
despite their gratification that France, Britain
and the United States are giving serious con-
y of Southeast Asia, they were concerned that
these efforts might "at some stage" provoke the Chinese Communists.
They said that Thailand would be willing to cooperate only at "a low
and inconspictious level."
tr,Thai leaders hope for prompt United Nations action in the event of
munist aggression, but are trying not to commit themselves irrev-
ocably to the West.
Comment: The views expressed by Phibun
and his Foreign Minister represent a considerable modification of the
policy of a year ago. At that time Thailand was a leading advocate of
a Pacific pact, to include the United States, for collective security in
Southeast Asia.
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SOUTH ASIA
6. India and Pakistan agree to further talks on Kashmir:
-Both India and Pakistan have agreed to UN 3.3(h)(2)
Representative Graham's latest suggestion
for a meeting at ministerial level on Kashialir.
India, however, has requested that the talks
be delayed until early August.
Comment: By accepting Graham's suggestion,
India and Pakistan avoid the onus of breaking off negotiations. India's
request that a meeting be delayed until August, however, suggests that
it is no more eager to reach a settlement now than it has been in the past.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Iranian Communists prominent in Tehran riots:
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The American Embassy in Tehran reports that
in the recent rioting the Tudeh supplied the
most aggressive elements in the mobs, planned
the most successful street tactics, and was
responsible for the anti-Shah and anti-American slogans.
The Communists have attempted to take full
credit for leading the fight against "imperialism" and reportedly are
trying to secure a formal alliance with the National Front. Ambassador
Henderson states that National Front leaders realize their debt to the
Tudeh, but that Majlis deputies are reasserting their loyalty to the Shah
and discouraging further anti-Shah agitation.
Comment: Previous temporary Tudeh co-
operation with the National Front has not promoted the Communist cause
to any extent. It is unlikely that Mossadeq, who is now in a stronger
position than ever before, would permit collaboration which might
threaten his control of the government.
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8. Mossadeq may request withdrawal of US military and gendarmerie
missions:
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Ambassador Henderson warns that the United3.3(h)(2)
States should be prepared to withdraw its mili-
tary and its gendarmerie missions from Iran.
He recalls that in early Iuly Mossadeq told the
Shah that the US military mission was straining the Iranian budget and
that American military aid was increasing the cost of maintaining the
army.
The Ambassador is inclined to believe that
because of Mossadeq's long-standing opposition to foreign military as-
sistance, he is not likely to favor retention of the Military Aid Advisory
Group even though it costs Iran nothing.
Comment: Minister of Court Ala believes that
Mossadeq can now obtain whatever he desires from parliament. He also
considers that the Shah cannot refuse Mossadeq's requests. 3.3(h)(2)
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9. Turkish Ambassador sees Middle East Defense Organization as vital:
a Soviet invasion of the Arab States
through Iran would permit Turkey to be sur-
rounded ore the Atlantic Pact could be put into action. Hence the
formation of MEDO is "a matter of life or death for Turkey."
-r-n-rnme-n+-'=The Turkish Chief of Staff previ-
ously expressed anxiety over the danger of
Soviet encirclement. The Turks realize their dependence on United
" States assistance and have continuously urged complete American par-
ticipation in Middle East defense.
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10. King Farouk emphasizes seriousness of Egyptian situation:
ing Farouk has repeatedly advised Am-
aSsador Caffery not to underestimate the
seriousness of the situation in Egypt. He
stated that Cairo was "gone" and that he did
not know what would happen in Alexandria.
"If anything is to be done," the King warned,
"it must be done at once."
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eanwhile the British Foreign Office has in-
structed its Charge in Cairo to inform Farouk that Britain can "not
intervene with force in what appears to be an internal Egyptian problem."
Comment: While the situation still remains
confused, it appears that at least temporarily a working arrangement
has been achieved among the King, General Nagib, leader of the coup,
and Prime Minister Ali Maher.
11. Netherlands may recognize Farouk's title to Sudan:
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\the Secretary General of
the Dutch Foreign Office will recommend to
rthe next Cabinet that it recognize Farouk as
"King of Egypt and the Sudan." The Dutch
official is quoted as having stated, with some irritation, that since
Britain opposes European federation, it must expect other countries to
act "quite independently."
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EASTERN EUROPE
13. First mass deportations from Czechoslovak city reported:
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Reports of mass deportations from Bratislava
on the Slovakian-Austrian frontier have been
circulating in Prague for the past wee
American Embassy has been informed
hat thus far about 400 families have been given
ours o prepare or movement to unspecified destinations.
The Embassy believes that the deportations
are designed to make living quarters now occupied by "capitalists and
non-productive elements" available to workers, and Communists.
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Comment: This is the first report of mass
deportations from a Czech city. During the past year evacuations are
known to have been ordered from restricted border zones in western and
southern Bohemia.
In addition to the economic and political reasons
given by the Embassy, it is probable that Bratislava, located at the
southeastern end of the Czech border fortification line, is considered
a strategic center,. Two weeks ago, border guards ended free move-
ment of Czechs between Bratislava and the Petrzalka area of Czecho-
slovakia across the Danube.
WESTERN EUROPE
14. Italy objects to announcement of projected aid to Yugoslavia:
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Premier de Gasperi has complained to the 3.3(h)(2)
American and British Ambassadors that the
announcement that additional economic and
military aid is planned for Yugoslavia,
following so closely Tito's statement that the time was not opportune
for resuming negotiations on Trieste, has created an "unfortunate"
impression in Italy.
When the American Ambassador pointed out
that the contemplated aid to Yugoslavia was relatively small in com-
parison with what had already been given to Italy, the Prime Minister
rejoined that he thought it essential to keep the "proper balance be-
tween Italy's role and that of Yugoslavia."
De Gasperi "presumed" that there were plans
for the defense of the Balkans which would involve Yugoslavia) Greece,
and Turkey, and said that he would like to be informed of their nature,
because of Italy's "important and key role!' there.
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