CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/08/01

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973576
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: August 1, 1952

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Office of Current Intelligence
SECURIT NFORMATION
1 August 1952
Copy No.
5
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ce
C 1 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS 44
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: iR 70-2
DATE] DECI REVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC NFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. USSR apparently transfers submarines from Baltic to Pacific
(page 3).
2. Pushkin reportedly made Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister for
German affairs (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Chinese MIGis unusually aggressive over Korea (page 4).
4. Thai Premier threatens to resign (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. National Front attempts to reduce power of Iranian Army (page 5).
6. Egyptian coup generates new tension in Lebanon (page 5).
7. New army leadership in Egypt reportedly plans military dictatorship
(page 6).
a. Tunisian nationalists reportedly strengthened by international labor
support (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
9. Yugoslavia "accepts with objections" the Western economic aid note
(page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
10. East German security measures provoke local resistance (page 7).
NOTE: Comments in this publication are based on all sources, 3.3(h)(2)
and represent the immediate views of the Office of Current
Intelligence.
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SOVIET UNION
1. USSR apparently transfers submarines from. Ba Mc to Pacific:
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Comment: If this transfer is confirmed, the
estimated strength of the Soviet coastal submarine force in the Far
East will be approximately 25. Communications intelligence shows
that 16 of these were apparently shipped to the Far East from Leningrad
during 1951.
2. Pushkin reportedly made Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister for German
affairs:`
East German Foreign Minister Dertinger 3.3(h)(2)
attaches great importance to the appointment
of former Soviet Ambassador to East Germany
Pushkin as Deputy Foreign Minister in charge
s previously the concern of only a minor desk.
Dertinger also sees Pushkin's transfer to
Moscow as eliminating the risk of friction between him and Soviet
Political Adviser Semenov.
Comment � It is not confirmed that the German
desk in the Soviet Foreign Office has been given increased importance.
While there was no concrete evidence of friction
between Pushkin and Semenov, it was generally acknowledged that Semenov,
as political adviser, carried more weight than the chief of the diplomatic
mission.
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FAR EAST
3. Chinese MIG's unusually aggressive over Korea:.
Chinese-piloted IVIIG-15's in over 60 sorties
on 27 iuly displayed "exceptional aggressive-
ness,"
day.
/ No Russian missions were flown that
A sustained level of operations was maintained
throughout the day, with Chinese aircraft patrolling and, for the first
time, being ordered to seek out UN aircraft.
Comment: This high Chinese sortie rate,
coupled with the aggressiveness displayed, represents a considerable
departure from enemy air operations of the past months. Previously
Soviet jets accounted for about 75 percent of combat contacts with the
UN, while Chinese jets were generally ordered to avoid combat.
4. Thai Premier threatens to resign;
Premier Phibun of Thailand has informed the
ruling military clique that he is preparing to
resign and has requested that his successor be
chosen,
It is believed that Phibun may be attempting to promote a conflict over
succession between Police Director General Phao and General Sarit,
Deputy Commander of the Army.
Comment:
s The threat of resignation has been used by
Phibun before to force the ruling clique to accept certain of his policies.
There is no apparent issue at this time, however, which would call for
this technique.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. National Front attempts to reduce power of Iranian Army:,
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The National Front reportedly plans to purge
the Iranian civil service and the armed forces,
and already nationalists in the Majlis are calling
for a reorganization of the security forces. The
American Emriassy reports that both the National Front and the Tudeh
are trying to destroy the solidarity of the armed forces by creating jealousy
and suspicion between junior and senior officers, as well as between junior
officers and American advisers.
Although army morale in the provinces is still
high, the Embassy believes that demoralization created by National Front
tactics will spread to the provinces.
6.
Egyptian coup generates new tension in Lebanon:
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Events in Egypt have stimulated political ten-
ions in Lebanon,
Opposition elements
give American financial
have asked to
support to a coup to overthrow President Khouri's
regime. The British
and French legations have
been similarly approached.
despite widespread dis-
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satisfaction, a coup at the
present time would
have only a limited chance
of success because of the lack of political ties among the opposition
leaders.
Comment: Previous reports have indicated
considerable discontent with the corruption and nepotism of the Khouri
regime.
A political crisis precipitated in June by anti-
Khouri forces was defeated by failure of the opposition to unite.
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7. New army leadership in Egypt reportedly plans military dictatorship;
The inner circle of 18 officers around GeneraL
Nagib hopes to establish a military dictator-
ship,,,
/Nagib's confidants are planning to
set up committees of civil experts to advise military headquarters on3.3(h)(2)
politics, press relations, and economic matters. 3.3(h)(2)
Nagib defers
to decisions of the inner circle,, there will
be a minimum of interference in civil affairs for sow davn whilp
the army is preoccupied with internal reorganization.
trouble may occur among Nagib's advisers over the distribu-
tion of the military posts. 3.3(h)(2)
Comment: There have been previous reports
that Nagib is merely the spokesman for an army clique. He has publicly
stated his intent to support civilian government.
8. Tunisian nationalists reportedly strengthened by international labor
support: 3.3(h)(2)
The resistance of the Bey of Tunis to French
demands reportedly has been stiffened by in-
formation that an "important American labor"
group has assured Farhat Hached, Secretary
enera e nationalist trade union, of its solid backing. Hached is
considered by French residency officials to be the "strongest man in
Tunisia" and the key figure behind the Bey's current maneuverings.
Comment: Because of Hached' s. connections
with international trade union organizations,, the French Foreign Of-
ficP has not-authorized the Residency to take the ."'administrative. re-
moral measure" requested on 13 June.
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9.
EASTERN EUROPE
Yugoslavia "accepts with objections" the Western economic aid note:
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Yugoslavia has accepted, "with objections,"
the joint note announcing the continuation of
the British-French-American economic
assistance program for 1952-53. Acting
Foreign Minister Mates states that his government believes it possible
to work out a satisfactory basis for continuing aid.
Belgrade would probably reject further
economic aid rather than accent conditions which i fe
Yugoslav sovereignty.
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Comment: Yugoslav officials object parti-
cularly to outside supervision of Yugoslav financial policy and to
criticism of the long-term capital investment program. 3.3(h)(2)
WESTERN EUROPE
10. East German security measures provoke local resistance;
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of the more than 10, 000 persons scheduled
for resettlement from border areas, 8, 000
had been evicted by 20 June, Over 4,000,
including many not actually slated for resettlement, had fled the
country.
American officials in Germany believe that
these figures probably do not cover developments along the Baltic coast.
They interpret the high percentage of refugees from Thuringia as in-
dicative of the extent of the discontent there. 3.3(h)(2)
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Evangelical Bishop of Thuringia has violently protested
the eviction measures and has called upon the church organization
to help the victims of the "emergency. "
� oce_mnent: A strong undercurrent of pre-
dominantly passive resistance is suggested by the number of refugees
and the elaborate Communist propaganda treatment given East Ger-
many's "democratization." Such resistance could compel the East
German Government to modify, although not abandon, its timetable.
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