CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/08/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973582
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: August 6, 1952

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SECURITY INFORMATION
6 August 1952
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
3.5(c)
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: 7 ere,
ALITH: HR 70-2
DATE: /e1)14../EVIEVVER: _
3.5(c)
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
I. Brazil considering submission of Austrian treaty question to UN
(page 3).
SOVIET UNION
2. Evidence of a decline in Soviet production of munitions packing
(page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Thai military leaders reported planning to replace Premier
Phibun (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Comment on changes in the Iranian Army command (page 5).
5. Comment on proposed appointment of Allayar Saleh as Iranian
Ambassador to US (page 5).
6.
7.
8.
Egyptian Ambassadors in London and Rome to be recalled (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
Invasion of Albania by Yugoslav-supported Albanian refugees
reportedly planned (page 7).
NOTE:
* * *
Comments in this publication
and represent the immediate views of the
Office of Current Intelligence.
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GENERAL
I. Brazil considering submission of Austrian treaty question to UN:
Comment: The main purpose of Austrian
Foreign Minister Gruber's visit to Rio de Janeiro last month was
to request Brazil to present the Austrian treaty question to the UN
General Assembly.
Brazil's Washington representative re-
ported on 25 July that the US State Department approved of Brazil
or any other neutral country taking action along the proposed lines.
SOVIET UNION
2. Evidence of a decline in Soviet production of munitions packing:
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Far East and East Siberian Woodworking
Trusts of the Chief Directorate of Wood-
working in Moscow show a sharp decrease
in the rate of production of munitions packing.
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Comment: The East Siberian Trust is one
of the major producers of munitions packing in the USSR and its
rising production figures in recent years have been used as a mea-
sure of Soviet armaments efforts. Since the packing is designed to
be reused, the current decrease may mean that packing production
has now drawn abreast of requirements, and is consequently levelling
off.
FAR EAST
3. That military leaders reported planning to replace Premier Phibun:
Police Director General Phao and Army
Commander General Phin are planning to
remove Premier Phibun from office by
engineering the resignation of the cabinet
and forming a new one under a figurehead, according to reports re-
ceived by the American Embassy in Bangkok. Phao would then
succeed to the premiership within a few months.
3.3(h)(2)'
The Embassy comments that recent reports
of Phibunts intention to resign may reflect his desire to foil Phao's
plan by precipitating a conflict over the succession between Phao and
General Sarit, the Bangkok garrison commander. The Embassy
believes a crisis may be reached this month.
Comment:_l
Phao s 3.3(h)(2)
accession to the premiership would endanger the present stability.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Comment on changes in the Iranian Army command:
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Six major changes in the Iranian Army com-
mand were announced on 4 August. According to the
a shift of two other generals may be imminent.
The appointment of Lientenant General Aghevli as Chief of Staff ap-
parently assures National Front control of that position. Aghevli, a
former Chief of Staff, has also served as Chief of the Gendarmerie
and Minister of the Interior. He is reportedly opposed to the Ameri-
can Gendarmerie Mission in Iran and has been linked politically with
Mullah Kashani.
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Most of the officers relieved of duty have not
been reassigned. Several of them are known to be anti-Communist
or to have pro-Western sympathies. Their removal from office will
lessen the possibility of an army attempt to seize power and further
weaken the Shah's position.
5. Comment on proposed appointment of Allayar Saleh as Iranian
Ambassador to US:
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The Embassy in Tehran reports that Allayar
Saleh, a National Front leader, has been proposed as the next Iranian
Ambassador to the United States.
Saleh is emotionally unstable and an opportun-
ist who has often displayed appeasement tendencies toward the Soviet
Union. He has had a long association with Americans, but recently
he publicly stated his opposition to the Point IV Program and to US
military aid to Iran.
The Shah reportedly favored Saleh as Mossa-
deg' s successor prior to the latter's resignation on 16 Iuly. The proposal
to send Saleh to Washington may be due to Mossadeq's desire to remove
a possible rival from the Tehran political scene.
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7. Egyptian Ambassadors in London andRome to be recalled:
Prime Minister Maher has informed the 3.3(h)(2)
British Ambassador in Cairo that he has
been unable to resist an army demand that
the Egyptian Ambassadors in London and
Rome be recalled.
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Abdul Amr, Egyptian Ambassa-
dor in London, is considered able and friendly to the British. Both
he and Badr, Ambassador in Rome, have been closely associated with
the Palace. Their removal may be due to this connection rather than
to their pro-Western predilections.
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EASTERN EUROPE
8. Invasion of Albania by Yugoslav-supported Albanian refugees reportedly
planned:
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Details of a Yugoslav plan for an early in- 3.3(h)(2)
vasion of Albania by some 6,000 Yugoslav-
controlled Albanian refugees have been
received in Albanian emigree circles in
Rome, The plan, which has 3.3(h)(2)
been passed on to refugee commanders, calls for the "liberation"
of the entire country, with the exiles organized into six groups,
each with an assigned sector of operation.
Comment: Although the Yugoslays have
organized and trained numerous Albanians for subversive work in
Albania and have sought the support of an Albanian exile group in
Rome, there is no firm evidence of the increased Yugoslav activity
which would precede a campaign of this type.
the estimated 4,000 Albanian refugees in
Yugoslavia have not been organized into tactical units or given mili-
tary training.
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Without an internal coup or rebellion, which
- is always possible, the refugees would require direct Yugoslav mili-
tary support if a successful operation is to be launched against lioxha's
45,000 troops.
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