CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/08/14

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973590
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: August 14, 1952

04E:Toyed for Release: 2.019/05/28 925973590,
1UP RE1 L.)
SECURIT NFORMATION
14 August 1952
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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OCICIJMENTNO Viir
2.
NO CHANGE N CLASS, V
1:1 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED To: TS 3 C
NEXT REVIEW DATE. 140
HR 10-2
DATE:M4?9 REVIEWER: _ 3:5(c)
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURITY INF MATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. B-29 pursued by jets to within 200 miles of Tokyo (page 3).
2. Soviet pilots show reluctance to engage UN aircraft (page 3).
3. Chinese Communist build-up on Indochina border suggested
(page 5).
SOUTH ASIA
4. Tibetan contact with Nepalese Communists confirmed (page 6).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Rift between Mossadeq and Sashani widening (page 6).
6. Egyptian Embassy suggests press campaign to obtain American
aid (page 7).
7. France sets conditions for American troop increase in Morocco
(page 7).
8. Greek Government coalition faces collapse (page 8).
WESTERN EUROPE
9. Trieste leader to confer secretly with Yugoslays (page 9).
10. Allied request for additional trains to Berlin refused (page 9).
LATIN AMERICA
11. Argentina suspends distribution of printed propaganda abroad
(page 10).
* * * *
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FAR EAST
1. B-29 pursued by jets to within 200 miles of Tokyo:
An American B-29 on a reconnaissance
mission over the Sea of Japan on the night
of 12 August was pursued over a five-hour
period by "from two to 20" unidentified
jet aircraft. Contact was terminated just north of Sado Island,
some 20 miles off the northwestern coast of central Honshu, Japan's
main island. (see map).
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3.3(h)(2)
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Comment: This represents the farthest that
United States reconnaissance aircraft have been followed over the Sea
of Japan. The break-off area is abOut 200 miles Vest of Tokyo and
400 miles southeast of Vladivostok.
On 6 August Soviet jets overflew the north-
western portion of the island of Hokkaido near Wakkanai in pursuit of
a B-29. On August a B-29 was turned back by Soviet jet interceptors
in the Hokkaido area.
2. Soviet pilots show reluctance to engage UN aircraft:
many Soviet
pilots were again reluctant to engage UN fighter
aircraft. While the enemy air defense net-
work shows a consistent determination to
IntercEpt UN planes, the pilots have not always been equally aggressive.
This contrasts with the first week of August,
when there was daily combat which ranged from the Yalu River to south
of Pyongyang.
3
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40
36
SECU
ET
INFORMATION
132 136 140 144
PURSUIT OF
U. S. AIRCRAFT BY
SOVIET RAS
+ Break-off area
o so loo 150 Miles
O 50 100 150 Kilometers
e-
CHINA 11
. Voroshilov
ladivostok
A,
Sovetskaya &wan'
.Khabarovsk
U. S. S. R.
Dolinsk
Yuzhno-Sakalinsk.
3 AUGUST+
6 AUGUST
'Jo
SEA
OF JA
G, OKI RETTO
Hiroshima
AA-,
132 136 140 144
14079 CIA, 8-52
00
Osaka
PAN
12 AUGUST 4,
SADO3
Kanazawa
HONSHU
� Nagoya
4
Niigata
\ TOKYO
Yokohama
Otaru
Wakkanai
0
SAKHALIN
(KARAFUTO)
(U.S.S.R. admin.)
SEA
OF
Kil-orsK
HOKKAIDO
Hakodate
Aomori
Morioka.
Sendai
.7v
PACIFIC
OC
EAN
SE
48
40
36
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3.3(h)(2)
Comment: United Nations fighter pilots
probably destroyed 26 enemy aircraft and damaged 30 daring the first
two weeks of August.
3. Chinese Communist build-up on Indochina border suggested:
three
new Chinese Communist regiments attached
to the 38th Division, 13th Army, in the area
of China opposite northwestern Tonkin.
One has been positively identified
other tWo were revealed
these units may
have been created from former security divisions in this general area
and placed under the 13th Army's control. He considers it possible,
however, that their regimental designations are a "cover" for recently
arrived units. 3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Three differently numbered regi-
ments known to be subordinate to the 38th Division have previously
been identified; elements of these reportedly crossed the Indochina
border several weeks ago in the vicinity of Laokay. It is an additional
possibility that the designations of these regiments have been changed
for the purpose of deception.
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SOUTH ASIA
3.3(h)(2)
4. Tibetan contact with Nepalese Communists confirmed:
confirm reports of the arrest of 14 Nepalese
Communists on 301y at Jumla in north-
western Ne 1
\ the 14 men
were returning from Tibet, where they had been for consultation, pre-
sumably with Chinese Communists.
the Commu-
nists intend to develop operational bases in isolated areas of western
Nepal.
Comment: This is the first reliable report
that Nepalese Communists have been in touch with Communists in Tibet.
The terrain of Nepal is such that movements of this type are almost
impossible to prevent.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Rift between Mossadeq and Kashani widening:
Ambassador Henderson reports increased 3.3(h)(2)
disagreement between Prime Minister Mossadeq
and Mullah Kashani, adding that in a bid to gain
power, Kashani is trying to show that Mossadeq
is helpless without him.
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The Ambassador believes that Mossadeq may
be forced to ally himself with the Shah and perhaps the army in order to
offset Kashani, who is supported by extreme nationalists and has oc-
casionally accepted Tudeh assistance. Minister of Court Ala says that
Mossadeq and the Shah are already cooperating.
6
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In a showdown, the Ambassador reports,
Mossadeq would find himself in a difficult position, since the Tudeh
and the Kashani faction control the street mobs.
Comment: The long-standing differences
between Mossadeq and Kashani had been largely submerged since the
beginning of the oil crisis in the common struggle against the British.
The election of Kashanitothe Majlis Presidency was undoubtedly a
blow to Mossadeq, in that it increased the ambitious religious leader's
political power.
6. Egyptian Embassy suggests press campaign to obtain American aid:
The Egyptian Embassy in Washington sug-
gested on 4 August that Egypt without delay
undertake a press campaign in the United
States urging American economic and mili-
tary aid to the Nagib-Maher regime.
The Charge notes that current American
press comment on developments in Cairo has been favorable; he
suggests that the Egyptian Government encourage American corre-
spondents in Cairo to send "appropriate" material to their papers.
Comment: Prime Minister Maher and
members of the army group have previously intimated to American
diplomats in Cairo that Egypt is interested in receiving aid.
7. France sets conditions for American troop increase in Morocco:
3.3(h)(2)
France will not consider raising the ceiling 3.3(h)(2)
on American troops in Morocco until "some
sort of statement" on the Moroccan political
situation has been negotiated and an agree-
ment reached on the status of American troops in the area.
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The Foreign Ministry official who presented
this position explained that the government needs a political statement
to satisfy Parliament and public opinion.
Comment: Broader American support of
French policies in return for base rights has long been a government
objective and is a major Gaullist demand. Premier Pinay's concern
for ratification of the EDC treaty has led him to court the Gaullist
dissidents, who recently vowed to abide by General de Gaulle's foreign
policy demands. The government can therefore be expected to in-
crease its pressure on the United States for political commitments.
8. Greek Government coalition faces collapse:
3.3(h)(2)
Two more Greek Liberal Party deputies have
announced that they will no longer support the
EPEK-Liberal coalition government, although
they have not yet resigned from the party.
The government's parliamentary support is now reduced to 127, plus
three independent leftists.
Papandreou, a Papagos supporter, told the
US Embassy that he intended to call for the government to resign. A
caretaker government is reportedly being considered.
Comment: The present coalition government
is actually no longer in control because 130 votes constitute a majority.
The future existence of the government now rests with a few leftists and
the eight Communist EDA party deputies. The formation of a caretaker
government under a neutral prime minister has been considered on
occasion during the past several months.
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WESTERN EUROPE
3.3(h)(2)
9. Trieste leader to confer secretly with Yugoslays:
Mario 3.3(h)(2)
Stocca Trieste independentist leader,
soon will
confer
3.3(h)(2)
possibly with Tito, at their
in-
vitation.
Stocca
is to
meet them following a visit to Chancellor
Figl
and Cardinal Innitzer of Austria to discuss Austrian support for an
independent Free Territory of Trieste.
Comment: Stocca is influential among Trieste
independentist groups and is anon-Communist. In February 1952,
Stocca and other Trieste independentists were received by Tito, who
apparently discussed with them the proposal for a joint Yugoslav-Italian
administration of the Free Territory which he later announced.
If the Yugoslav Government did, in fact, invite
Stocca to meet with Kardelj, it is likely that Stocca is to be sounded out
on a new Yugoslav move concerning Trieste.
3.3(h)(2)
10. Allied request for additional trains to Berlin refused:
East German railroad authorities have informed
West German transport officials that heavy crop
traffic on the Berlin-Marienborn train route
precludes any increase in the number of trains
to Berlin.
The US High Commissioner's office in Bonn
states that this excuse is "unconvincing," and asserts that other routes
are available for traffic between West Germany and Berlin.
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Comment: The Allies had asked the Soviet
authorities for five additional daily trains to Berlin to compensate for
the 1 August closing of the Rothensee canal lock. The request was
referred to the East German authorities.
The canal normally carried 50,000 tons of
coal monthly, and the trains are needed to assist in the stockpiling of
coal in Berlin.
LATIN AMERICA
11. Argentina suspends distribution of printed propaganda abroad:
Comment: This
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is the first indicatio-
3.3(h)(2)
of a possible change in government policy following the death of
Senora de Peron. Foreign Minister Remorino, the most pro-American
cabinet member, may have taken the opportunity to re-examine Argen-
tina's propaganda policy with the intention of modifying its anti-
American line.
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