CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973611
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: September 9, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
9 September 1952
Copy No.57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current IntelligenTE 3.5(c)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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RITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
.1. Stalin allegedly calls meeting of secretaries of all Communist
Parties (page 4).
FAR EAST
2. Far East Command comments on heavy enemy ground action (page 4).
3. Portuguese resent British attitude in Macao-China dispute (page 5).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Chinese Communist incursion into Burma reported (page 5).
5. Philippine Foreign Minister reportedly pledges recognition of
Vietnam (page_ 6).
SOUTH ASIA
6. Afghan Ambassador in London recommends countercomplaint to
Soviet note (page 7).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Moslem-inspired coup reported imminent in Lebanon (page 7).
8. Israel offers Egypt opportunity to negotiate peace settlement (page 8).
9. Nationalist group reportedly plans disorders throughout North Africa.
(page 9).
EASTERN EUROPE
10. Yugoslavia will reportedly seek closer relations with Western,
European Socialists (page 10).
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WESTERN EUROPE
11. Austria offers to negotiate trade pact with USSR (page 10).
LATIN AMERICA
12. Colombian police apparently condone anti-Liberal rioting in Bogota
(page'l 1).
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SOVIET UNION
I. Stalin allegedly calls meeting of secretaries of all Communist Parties:
The general secretaries of all Communist
Parties have allegedly been summoned by
Stalin to a meeting in Moscow on 15 October.
Comment: A meeting of non-Soviet Commu-
nist Party secretaries might logically follow the All-Union Congress of
the Soviet Communist Party. It could serve the purpose of promoting
a feeling of cooperation among all Communist Parties and, if publicized,
would be presented as "proof" of democratic cooperation in the Commu-
nist world.
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FAR EAST
2. Far East Command comments on heavy enemy ground action:
The Far East Command believes that the
powerful limited-objective attacks launched
against three points in the UN line on 6 and
7 September are not the forerunner of a
Communist Offensive. These attacks appear to have as their objective
the capture of key terrain features, or to be "spoiling" attacks in an-
ticipation of a UN offensive.
The unprecedented amount of artillery fire
used by the Chinese against South Korean troops in east central Korea
On 7 September reflects the enemy's generally improved forward supply
situation.
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The enemy has made increasing use of artil-
lery in the past few months, and the
arrival of some additional artillery units in Korea.
3. Portuguese resent British attitude in Macao-China dispute:
Comment: The Portuguese have resented
what they consider to be the lack of sympathy among the major Western
countries for Macao's vulnerable position. They have also been irri-
tated by the continuing pressure from the United States to strengthen
export controls on strategic shipments from Macao to China.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Chinese Communist incursion into Burma reported:
established several
The Chinese Communist 13th and 14th Regi-
ments entered Burma from Yunnan on 5
September in the vicinity of Bhamo in com-
pany with Kachin rebels led by Naw Seng,
that the Burmese Army has
roadblocks in the threatened area.
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Comment: Naw Seng and his estimated 1,500
to 2,000 followers have been training in China for more than two years,
and their intention of eventually returning to Burma has been reported on
numerous previous occasions.
The two regiments mentioned are attached to
the 2nd Chinese Army and were reported in April to be located in North-
west China. If there has been a Chinese incursion, the units described
were probably drawn from the 13th and 14th Armies, both of which are
stationed in Yunnan.
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5. Philippine Foreign Minister reportedly pledges recognition of Vietnam:
Comment: Thailand is the only Asian nation
which has established diplomatic relations with Vietnam.
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Ceylon also
is considering recognition in return for a three-year agreement involv-
ing receipt of 300,000 tons of rice from Indochina.
Despite American and French pressure over
the past several years, the Philippines has refused to recognize the
Vietnam Government because of the belief that it is not sufficiently
independent.
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SOUTH ASIA
6. Afghan Ambassador in London recommends countercomplaint to Soviet
note:
The Afghan Ambassador in London, Shah Walt
Khan, recommended on 21 August that his
government reject the Soviet note of 11 August
which protested any participation by nationals
of NATO countries in Afghan oil drilling, He
suggested that the reply should have the tone of a countercomplaint.
Comment: The decision of the Afghan Govern-
ment in this case is still not known.
The Afghan Ambassadors in London and New
Delhi, two of the country's trusted elder statesmen, both recommended
rejection of the Soviet note, while the less-experienced Ambassador in
Washington suggested that his government should avoid alienating the
Soviet Union.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Moslem-inspired coup reported imminent in Lebanon:
The Egyptian Minister to Beirut believes that 3.3(h)(2)
a Moslem-inspired military coup is imminent
in Lebanon, 3.3(h)(2)
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The Minister feels that the strength of the
Moslem Brotherhood in Syria has encouraged the latent hostility of
Lebanese Moslems against Christian elements. He notes that the
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Lebanese Army is predominantly Moslem and that it has been stim-
ulated by the successful coup in Egypt.
Comment: Political stability in Lebanon
depends on a delicate balance between Moslem and Christian factions.
The injection of a religious problem into the already disturbed situation
may enlarge the widespread discontent against the corrupt administra-
tion of President Khouri, who himself is a Christian. General Chehab,
Commander in Chief of the Lebanese Army, previously considered
loyal to the regime, is reportedly threatening to resign unless reforms
are instituted immediately.
8. Israel offers Egypt opportunity to negotiate peace settlement:
Israel was prepared to
negotiate immediately and that Israeli officials would meet Egyptian
representatives anywhere in Europe. ,
Comment: Ambassador Caffery has pointed
out that the military regime in Egypt is too concerned with internal
developments at the present time to consider foreign issues like the
Israeli question.
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Israeli officials have long maintained that
the conclusion of a peace agreement with Egypt, the most influential
Arab state, would probably induce other Arab countries to follow suit.
At the last UN session in Paris, Divon had several private meetings
with various Arab delegations.
9. Nationalist group reportedly plans disorders throughout North Africa:
North African nationalists will incite con-
certed disorders throughout French North
Africa if the United Nations does not pro-
claim the right of Tunisia and Morocco to
independence, \
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EASTERN EUROPE
10. Yugoslavia will reportedly seek closer relations with Western European
Socialists:
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Yugoslavia is making renewed efforts to pro.. 3.3(h)(2)
mote closer relations with the Socialist nartie&
urope, 3.3(h)(2)
Yugoslav officials believe that
with the death of Kurt Schumacher, who rejected Yugoslav approaches,
the time is now ripe for a new overture to the German Socialists. Through
the good offices of Morgan Phillips, the secretary of the British Labor
Party, who recently visited Yugoslavia, Belgrade reportedly hopes to
gain membership in the "international free labor union movement."
Certain unidentified Yugoslav leaders are also
allegedly seeking means to counter the undesirable effect of the word
"communist" in the West, and are considering changing the name of their
party to "Yugoslav Socialist Party" during its congress this October.
Comment: Previous Yugoslav attempts to
attract sympathy and-support among Western Socialists have produced
no favorable responses of any significance. Although Yugoslav leaders
have admitted that the word "communist" has unpleasant connotations
in the West, it is doubtful that they would prejudice the present ideo-
logical basis of the regime by substituting the word "socialist,"
WESTERN EUROPE
11. Austria offers to negotiate trade pact with USSR:
American officials who called at the Austrian
Foreign Ministry on 5 September to renew
American objections to Austro-Soviet trade
negotiations were informed that Foreign Min-
ister Gruber had already dtrected delivery of a note proposing such
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negotiations. In Gruber's absence, his subordinates reiterated that
Austria's "precarious economic position" and strong Soviet propaganda
had made the move necessary.
The American Embassy states that Austrian
industrialists were "apparently responsible" for the overtures.
Comment: There is little evidence to support
Gruber's previous contentions that Soviet trade propaganda has had any
great effect in Austria. Although what the Austrians expect to gain from
these talks is uncertain, Soviet standing in Austria would be improved
by the regularization of exports of the Soviet Enterprises in Austria.
Since industrial leaders are contributors
both to the People's Party to which Gruber belongs and to the Union of
Independents with which he has "connections," their influence in the
Foreign Ministry is correspondingly strong.
LATIN AMERICA
12. Colombian police apparently condone anti-Liberal rioting in Bogota:
Colombian police on 6 September stood by 3.3(h)(2)
and watched a small mob of Conservatives
gut the Liberal Party's National Headquarters
and the offices of the leading Liberal news-
paper. The mob also attacked the offices of
the second-ranking Liberal newspaper and
set fire to the residences of two national Lib-
eral leaders.
The American Embassy in Bogota comments
that the mob was determined but not unruly, and that the police could
have stopped the incidents at any time.
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Comment: The 6 September rioting in Bogota
brings the explosive Liberal-Conservative antagonism one step closer
to open civil war. An army coup with either tacit or open support from
the dissident wing of the Conservative Party is becoming more likely
as the civil disorders become more pronounced.
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