CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/26

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
05973626
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date: 
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 26, 1952
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15653006].pdf171.55 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973626 TOP ET .\--/ SEC INFORMATION 26 September 1952 Copy No. 57 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) DOCUMENT NO. a NO CHANGE IN CLASS. A O DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S 2 NEXT REVIEW DATE' aceor AUTH: HR 70-2 Office of Current Intelligence DA1E/9k-7ff REVIEWER 3.5(c) CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 3.5(c) TOP SECRET SEC3Y INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973626 � Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 RET SUMMARY FAR EAST 1. Soviet aircraft active off Hokkaido coast (page 3). 2. Pacific "peace conference postponed to 10 October (page 3). 3. CommuniSt8 reportedly plan roads and airfields in Tibet (page 4). SOUTHEAST ASIA 4. Serious guerrilla opposition in Celebes in July indicated (page 4). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 5. Greek-Yugoslav military talks considered satisfactory (page 5). WESTERN EUROPE 6. Adenauer foresees opportunity to press France on EDC ratification (page 6). 7. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 � Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 ET 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) TOP,FiECIET Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 RET FAR EAST 1. Soviet aircraft active off Hokkaido coast: fr 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Soviet air flights crossed the demarca- tion line between the Kuril Islands and Hokkaido, with depths of penetration ranging up to 15 miles. On 24 September a single aircraft flew beyond the line for 56 minutes. American F-84's which intercepted two flights were unable to overtake the intruders. 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) the objective of this activity may be either reconnaissance or the testing of US air defenses and radar. Comment: Since the strait is less than 20 miles wide at its narrowest point, some of these flights must have extended over Japanese territory. During August there was one Soviet over- flight of northeastern Hokkaido, and one close approach to the coast of central Japan. Both involved pursuit of US reconnaissance air- craft and may have been inadvertent. The concentration of planes in this latest operation and the duration of one of the flights suggest that it was planned. Exceptfor the instances cited,SOviet aircraft have observed the Hokkaido-Kuril demarcation line. 2. Pacific "peace" conference postponed to 10 October: A Chinese Communist broadcast to the Viet 3.3(h)(2) Minh on 25 September stated that the open- ing of the Asian and Pacific Regions Peace Conference has been postponed to 10 October owing to_the_inability of many delegates to arrive by the planned open- ing date, 26 September. . Comment: Many of the 300 to 500 delegates to the "peace" conference have been unable to obtain visas or have encountered other obstacles. Similar Communist-sponsored conferences have often been postponed as a result of organizational problems. - 3 - 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626 Approved for Release: 201-9/05/28 C05973626 RET By postponement, the Communists will avoid a conflict with Peiping's third anniversary ceremonies on 1 October and will have time to adjust to any new line developing from the Soviet Communist Party's 19th Congress on 5 October. 3. Communists reportedly plan roads and airfields in Tibet: 3.5(c) Chinese officials arriving in India from 3.3(h)(2) Tibet reportedly stated that construction work on the road to Lhasa from the Indian border was progressing "very quickly," and the construction of a highway from China proper into Tibet was also planned. Airfields, they declared, were being constructed "in more than one place in Tibet." 3.3(h)(2) SOUTHEAST ASIA 4. Serious guerrilla opposition in Celebes in July indicated: 3.3(h)(2) Comment: Indonesian officials have tended to dismiss guerrilla opposition in the Celebes as inconsequen- tial. In May the government claimed that the guerrilla force there - 4 - 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973626 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973626 RET had been reduced to 300 armed men, and in mid-September the Indonesian defense minister asserted that the Celebes rebel movement was not large and was losing ground. 3.3(h)(2) NEAR EAST - AFRICA 5. Greek-Yugoslav military talks considered satisfactory: The Greek Minister of Defense has told Ambassador Peurifoy that the recent military conversations between Greece and Yugoslavia were quite satisfactory. Yugoslavia has assured Greece that at least one third of the Yugoslav forces will be available to protect an area of common interest in northern Greece and southern Yugoslavia. Although no detailed defense planning has begun, a Greek delegation which will visit Belgrade shortly may consider more definite plans. Comment: Nearly one third of Yugoslavia's forces are already garrisoned in this area. Progress has been made in the Greek-Yugoslav planning, but Greek reports on this subject have been over-optimistic in the past. -5 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 C05973626 � Approved for Release 2019/05/28 005973626 TQPSECET 3.5(c) WESTERN EUROPE 6. Adenauer foresees opportunity to press France on EDC ratification: 3.3(h)(2) Chancellor Adenauer has confided to American officials in Bonn that Premier de Gasperi told him ratification of the EDC treaty would have "clear sailing" in the Italian Parliament, possibly in November, provided the new election law was passed without trouble. Such prompt Italian action, on top of American and British ratification of the contractual agreement and German acceptance of both treaties, would provide an opportunity for successful exertion of pressure on the French, the ChancellOr emphasized. In a conversation with American officials in Paris, West German "Defense Minister" Blank stated, however, that he was very pessimistic about French ratification. Comment: Despite Foreign Minister Schuman's 24 September announcement that he would request the Assembly to act promptly on the EDC treaty when it reconvened on 7 October, there is still no evidence that the Pinay government as such is willing to give the treaty priority over domestic issues. The American Embassy in Rome has reported that early italian ratification of EDC would be difficult, especially in view of an expected Communist filibuster against the government's legislative program. -6 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 005973626