CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973637
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 9, 1952

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INFORMATION
9 October 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: 24?
AUTH: MR 70-2
Office of Current IntelligenceDATE:mui*
EVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECU INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Control of Japanese Liberal Party still in doubt (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2.
3.
4.
5.
Tudeh-inspired agrarian unrest increases in northern Iran (page 3).
Mossadeq presents "new" oil proposal (page 4).
Tension increases onSandi
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WESTERN EUROPE
6. Swiss traders offer strategic metals to East Germany (page 5).
7. New Italian left-wing party may soon be organized (page 6).
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FAR EAST
1. Control of Japanese Liberal Party still in doubt:
Prime Minister Yoshida's personal
secretary informed American Embassy
officials on 8 October that the Yoshida and
Hatoyama factions of the Liberal Party
were about equal in size, with neutrals in the majority. He was
confident that a party split would be avoided, but admitted the
difficulty of finding a face-saving compromise in a situation where
"one of the two men must be defeated."
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The Embassy believes that the secretary's
failure to predict an eventual Yoshida victory, his intimation that a
compromise was almost impossible, and his acknowledgment that
the Hatoyama faction had approached the Progressive Party in regard
to a coalition, are ali indications of pessimism and frustration among
the Yoshida supporters.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Tudeh-inspired agrarian unrest increases in northern Iran:
Tudeh-inspired peasant demands for more
drastic agrarian reform have resulted in
increased unrest in the Iranian provinces,
according to the American Embassy.
Landlords have reportedly been assaulted by tenants. The peasants
are also being incited by the mullahs, who have become increasingly
important politically.
the
gendarmerie, without the assistance of the army, can no longer be
relied on to maintain order.
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the countryside is becoming
increasingly restive. The slowly deteriorating economy is another
factor in promoting disorders.
3. Mossadeq presents "new" oil proposal:
Prime Minister Mossadeq informed Ambass-
ador Henderson on 7 October that his "new"
offer to Great Britain was being made out of
respect for Secretary Acheson's request that
Iran not break off relations with Great Britain.
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Mossadeq added that he would ask the AIOC
to pay Iran 20,000, 000 pounds by 14 October and prior to sending
representatives to Tehran to negotiate within the limits of his prev-
ious proposal. The company would also be required to pay the remain-
ing 29,000,000 pounds previously demanded within three weeks of the
arrival of the negotiators. Iran would be willing to consider any
counterproposal which was advantageous both to the AIOC and to Iran.
Comment: While Mossadeq's new suggestions
clearly indicate a willingness to bargain, they are no advance toward
settling the problem. Despite his obvious need for financial aid,
Mossadeq appears still to be a prisoner of the nationalism he has
aroused.
4. Tension increases on Saudi Arabian border:
The British Foreign Office is concerned over
a report that the Sultan of Muscat, who is
under British protection, is assembling a
considerable force to oust the Saudi Arabians
from the disputed Buraimi area on the Persian Gulf, The Saudi
Arabians in turn have reportedly sent in armed reinforcements.
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diplomatic reports indicate growing tension in Jidda over developments
in the disputed area. The United States has encouraged the disputants
to resume direct negotiations as a counter to Saudi Arabia's request
for American intervention.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Swiss traders offer strategic metals to East Germany:
two Swiss traders has
offered East Germany 18,000 tons of
electrolytic copper, 10,000 tons of nickel,
1,000 tons each of aluminum and lead, and
82,500 tons of iron and steel scrap. Certificates of western destina-
tion were promised in most cases, and prices substantially above
world market levels were quoted for delivery at west European ports,
except for 17,000 tons of the copper which was designated f. o. b.
San Antonio, Chile.
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Comment: Western export controls call
for embargo of the above metals except for lead and aluminum, which
are quantitatively controlled. These traders are not known to have
supplied strategic items to the Soviet-dominated countries previously,
but transshipments of metals have been arranged by other Swiss firms.
Although deliveries in the near future on
such a scale appear unlikely, access to smaller quantities would
be important to East German industrial expansion.
The amount of Chilean copper offered
approaches the estimate of 20,000 tons believed to have reached all
Orbit countries in the twelve-month period ending in May 1952.
7. New Italian left-wing party may soon be organizedL
A national congress will be held in Naples
on 11 and 12 October under the auspices of
the Nenni Socialists for the purpose of
organizing a new political party to be called
the Radical Democratic Party,
Former Premier Nitti and Senator Labriola, prominent member of
the Peace Partisans, are mentioned as supporters of the move.
Nitti reportedly has asked Communist chief Togliatti for "full guar-
antees of autonomy" for the new party in the event of a leftist front
victory in the 1953 elections.
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This is the development on a national level
of the "citizen front" idea tested by the Communists in Rome and
Naples during the local elections last May.
Comment; This maneuver would be in
line with the Stalin-Malenkov strategy of sponsoring front groups
to attract elements dissatisfied with government policies in Western
countries.
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