68 CITE SAIGON 0357

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Tet Declassified
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06787100
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: April 27, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 30, 2019
• Publication Date: March 24, 1968

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S-4-6--lt�E�T- 240503Z MAR 68 CITE SAIGON 0357
21 4ii S 4 �;',
...901.13�������������
THE 'OTHER SIDE OF THE COIN
WITH THE REVERSAL OF THE FORWARD MOMENTUM WHICH SEEMED TO
DEVELOP IN THE LAST HALF OF 1967 AND OF THE HOPES ENGENDERED BY
IT, THERE. HAS BEEN A NATURAL TENDENCY IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE TET
ATTACK TO VIEW PESSIMISTICALLY THE "NEW BALANCE OF FORCES" WHICH
SEEMS TO HAVE DEVELOPED AS THE GOVERNMENT OF VIETNAM (GVN) :
� 1'1/
STRUGGLES TO REGAIN THE INITIATIVE AND THE VIET CO,G (VC) REGROUP
AND RESUPPLY IN PREPARATION FOR THE NEXT ATTACK. THE VC RE IN
THE COUNTRYSIDE, THE GVN IS TROUBLED, THE PEOPLE ARE AFRAID, AND
THE OPERATIONS MOUNTED BY THE ALLIES HAVE NOT EARSED THE MEMORY OF
THE VC DARING. BUT THE TENDENCY OF THE FREE WORLD PRESS TO L006
ONLY ON THE DARK SIDE AND THE CAUTION ENGENDERED BY RECENT SURPkiSk::
SHOULD NOT ECLIPS`E THE POSITIVE FACTORS IN THE VIETNAMESCINUATION.
THE GVN, THE ARMY OF THE REPUBLIC OF VIETNAM (ARVN), THE VIETNAMESE
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PAGE 2 SAIGON 0357 4-6--0-fi�el`
PEOPLE, AND THE COMMON CAUSE 1iAVE PASSED A GREAT TRIAL BY FIRE AND
MAY WELL EMERGE WITH A STRONGER_ TEMPER. THIS SUMMARY IS A DELIBERATE
ATTEMPT, NOT TO OFFER A BALANCED PICTURE, BUT TO EXAMINE SONE OF
THESE POSITIVE FACTORS.
IN THE MILITARY FIELD, MUCH HAS BEEN SAID OVER THE YEARS
ABOUT "THEq LIONS, OUR RABBITS" BUT IT IS HOPED THAT THE PER-
FORMANCg OF THE VIETNAMESE ARMED FORCES AT ALL LEVELS DURING THE
TEl OFFENSIVE WILL PUT SUCH STATEMENTS TO REST. ,FORTUNATELY FOR
ALL, IN DEFENDING AGAINST THE VC ATTACKS, ARVN PERFORMED COMMEND-
ABLY.IN.MOST CASES, AND WITH SOME EXCEPTIONS SUCCEEDED IN
DEFEATING THE VC IN THE CITIES WITHIN A NATTER OF FOURS. THE
PERFORMANCEOF THE REGIONAL FORCE/POPULAR FORCE UNITS-FREQUENTLY �
EXCEEDED AMERICAN EXPECTATIONS. MANY UNITS WERE WELL BELOW
STRENGTH DUE TO ftT LEAVES, BUT WHEN ATTACKED IN STRENGTH, MOST
srou AND FOUGHT, OFTEN IN THE FACE OF SUPERIOR EdEMY FIREPOWER.
IN OUANG NGAI ON 31 JANUARY THE 4TH ARVN REGIMENT FOUGHT
'OFF AT LEAST EIGHT ENEMY BATTALIONS SUPPORTED BY TEN LOCAL FORCE
COMPANIES;- TOTALING 3,500. KILLED IN ACTION: 682VC. THE SAME
NIGHT IN TM KY, THE 6TH ARVN REGIMENT FOUGHT OFF THREE BATTALIONS,
EIGHT LOCAL FORCE COMPANIES AND TWO LOCAL FORCE PLATOONS. OF
--S-E-emtrn�
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PA GE 3 SAIGON 0357S -&-e--177--"f
THEU 10500 VC, 820 WERE KIA. MEANWHILE IN (-WANG TRI THE 1ST
4RVN REGIMENT TOOK ON TWO ENEMY REGIMENTS OF .5,500 MEN SUPPORTElqi.
BY A 122MM ROCKET BATTALION NUMBERING O. RESULTS: 868 ENEMY
KIA. ANOTHER EXAMPLE WAS THE SUCCESSFUL DEFENSE OF RADIO SAIGON
By A SMALL GROUP OF 25-30 MILITARY SECURITY SERVICE (MSS) PERSONNEL
ARMED WITH HAND WEAPONS ONLY. ALTHOUGH THEY WERE ASSISTED BY
ABOUT 50 AON PARATROOPERS WHO WERE, OF COURSE, BETTER ARMED,
THE TOTAL FORCE WAS, NEVERTHELESS, OUTNUMBERED BY THE VC BY ABOUT
TWO TO ONE. THE DEFENDING FORCES WERE COMMANDED' BY AN MSS
OFFICER WHO, LIKE THE' OTHER KSS MEN, HAD ONLY A PISTOL AT HIS
DISPOSAL. THERE WERE ALSO A NUMBER OF. CASES OF ARVN COMBAT
OFFICERS MAROONED IN SAIGON AND UNABLE TO RETURN TO THEIR UNITS
WHO VOLUNTEERED THEIR SERVICES TO COMMANDERS OF UNITS LOCATED IN
SAIGON. OUITE� A NUMBER OF YOUNG COMBAT OFFICERS WHO FOUND THEM-
SELVES IN THIS SITUAION REPORTED TO POLICE DIRECTOR GENERAL
NGUYEN NGOC�LoAN AND DID DUTY. WITH TACTICAL FORCES OPERATING
UNDER LOAN'S COMMAND IN DEFENSEOF THE CITY'. .
ALSO ON THE CREDIT SIDE OF THE LEDGER,: WHILE THERE IS .
EVIDENCE OF A NUMBER OF INDIVIDUAL DESERTIONS, THERE WERE NO
J
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PAGE 4 SAIGON 0357.-S--E-erirrr
SIGNIFICANT DEFECTIONS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY IN SPITE OF THE
ENEMY'S INCREASED PROSELYTING CAMPAIGN DIRECTED.AT THE MILITARY:L
AS A MATTER OF FACT, IN ONE INSTANCE, AN ARYW COLONEL ASSIGNED
TO THE JOINT GENERAL STAFF, SAIGON WAS APPROACHED BY HIS BROTHER
ABOUT ONE MONTH BEFORE TEl AND ASKED TO COOPERATE WITH THE VC IN
THEIR FUTURE ACTIVITIES. THE BROTHER WHO HAD BEEN SENT FROM
NORTH V/ETNAN ON THIS EXPRESS MISSION WAS NOT ONLY TURNED DOWN
BY THE ARVN COLONEL BUT TURNED INTO THE GVN AUTHORITIES TO BOOT.
INCREASED COOPERATION AND COORDINATION BETWEEN ARVN AND
Iz
ALLIED FOCES, BORN OF NECESSITY DURING. THE TEl OFFENSIVE, HAS
A
CONTINUED. IT HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE PAST THAT SEPARATE WARS WERE
EEIN6$OUGriT IN SVN; THE ARVN WAR AND THE FREE WORLD FORCES WAR.
ARVN COMMANDERS' DESIRE TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTEGRITY OF COMMAND
AND EXERT THEIR INDEPENDENCE FREQUENTLY LED TO POORLY PLANNED,
COORDINATED, AND EXECUTED OPERATIONS WHILE ALLIED COMMANDERS, �
OFTEN IW EXASPERATION, LAUNCHED,. OPERATIONS WITH ONLY THE. MOST
CURSORY OF COORDINATION WITH THE ARVN. DURING THE-WIDESPREAD
ATTACKS OF THE TET OFFENSIVE IT BECAME IIMMEDIATELY CLEAR THAT
ONLY THROUGH CONCERTED EFFORT WOULD IT BE POSSIBLE TO SAVE THE
NATION. THIS SPIRIT OF MUTUALITY OF INTEREST HAS CONTNUED
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PAGE 5 SAIGON 0357
AND IS REFLECTED IN SUCH OPERATIONS AS QUYET THANG (RESOLVED TO
WIN).
IN THE COUNTRYSIDE, THERE ARE SOME. ENCOURAGING SIGNS.
MAJOR GENERAL NGUYEN DUC THANG APPEARS TO BE INSTLLING CONSIDER'. �
A
ABLE ELAN IN IV CORPS. THE REVOLUTIONARY DEVELOPMENT (RD) CADRES
ARE ONCE AG(4IN BEGINNING TO MOVE BACK INTO THE COUNTRYSIDE, AND
THEY AR t DOING SO WITH HIGH MORALE. THEIR WORK IN THE CITIES
MADE AN EXCELLENT IMPRESSION AND PERMITTED THE URBAN DWELLERS
TO' SEE WHAT RD WAS ALL ABOUT �� HELPING PEOPLE. THE 1968 GOALS
HAVE 'BEEN MODIFIED, BUT THE PACIFICATION STRUCTURE AND ORGANIZA-
TION ARE INTACT AND .THERE IS INCREASED AWARENESS OF THE NEED FOR,
AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF, ORGANIZING SELF DEFENSE IN THE HAMLETS.
THE PEOPLE IN � THE CITIES GENERALLY DID NOT VOLUNTEER .AID TO
[HE VC OR RALLY TO THEM DURING THE ATTACKS. INDEED, THE GENERAL
PATTERN WAS THAT THE .POPULACE AIDED ARVPMANY TIMES WHEN THE VC .
CHREAT WAS GREATEST. SINCE THE .ATTACKS, THE POEPLE HAVE GIVEN
INCREASED COOPERATION TO GVN POLICE AND INTtLLIGENCE-- OPnAT I ON S.
[HE GVN INTELLIGENCE 'APPARATUS IS INTACT FROM DISTRICT TO NATIONAL
LEVELS, AND THE SURFACING OF NUMEROUS VC DURING THf.TET OFFENSIVE
HAS GIVEN A NEW IMPETUS TO THE INTELLIGENCE EFFORT. POLICE
�
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PAGE 6 SAIGON 0357 _s-g--e---ft-E-r
MORALE IS HIGH, ESPECIALLY IN SAIGON, AND AMONG HIGHER OFFICIALS.
THE TET OFFENSIVE,. ALTHOUGH SEVERELY DAMAGING TO THE GOVERN-
MENT'S PRESIT GE, SPURRED ANTICOMMUNIST AND NON-COMMUNIST ELEMENTS
TO COMMON DEFENSE AND COOPERATION. THE GVN. REMAINED VIABLE AND,
AT LEAST INITIALLY, WAS STRENGTHENED BY THE READY SUPPORT OF
POLITICAL AND RELIGIOUS GROUPS. IN THE ORGANIZATION AND DIRECTION
OF THE. RECOVERY PROGRAM THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH EXHIBITED AN HERE,-
T OF ORE UNREVEALED CAPACITY TO LEAD AND ORGANIZE, AND THE LEG ISLA-
UPE D�L7J,2ONSTRATED AN ATYPICAL DEGREE OF COOPERATION WITH THE
E>CECUTIVE. THE PUBLIC CRY. FOLLOWING THE TEl ATTACKS HAS BE.1;:i'� FOR
�'.1*.), ON G LEADERSHIP .BY THE GVN, NOT FOR A DIFFERENT REGIME. FOP
EXAMPLE, THE NO-CONFIDEN�CE PET IT ION' INTRODUCED' IN THE LOWER HOUSE
WAS REPORTEDLY A �WARNING TO THE GVN TO. PROVIDE. BETTER LEADERSHIP
NOT AN EARNEST EFFORT � TO TOPPLE THE GOVERNMENT-
ADDITIONAL IMPETUS HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY THE CONSIDERABLY
INCREASED CONCERN IN THE UNITED_ ST AIES ayt.7.13 AMERICAN I NVOEVI;.X1..NT
IN VIETNAM FOLLOWING THE EVENTS OF THE TET OFFENSIVE. �
i'.1i1UL US HAS BEEN QUITE- EFFECT DIE.. (:),�,, I Hr.� LEAL,
WHICH HAS, WIT HI.N T HE PAST THREE WEEKS T AKE- N--.A
SECISIVE STEPS TO IMPROVE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF: THE' GOVERNMF:N1�0
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PAGE 7 SAIGON 0357
IT APPEARS THAT THE PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED PLANS TO REORGANIZE THE
GVN ADMINISTRATIVE APPARATUS AND TO STEP UP THE ANTI-CORRUPTION
CAMPAIGN RECEIVED NEW AND NEEDED MOMENTUM FOLLOWING THE TET
ATTACKS. THE REPLACEMENT OF EIGHT PROVINCE, CHIEFS AND TWO CORPS
COMMANDERS AND THE REINSTATING OF THE SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT DELE-
GATES MAY WELL BE THE REACTIONS BY THE GVN TO_ THE DEMANDS FOR
BETTER LEADERSHIP, ALTHOUGH BOTH ACTIONS HAD BEEN UNDER CONSIDER-
ATION BEFORE TET. (AND PRESIDENT THIEU STATED ON 22 MARCH THAT
HE PLANNED TO REPLACE SIX MORE PROVINCE CHIEFS "WITHIN THE--NEXT
DAY OR TWO"). A STEPPED-UP MOBILIZATION PLAN IS BEING IMP-L11\*-1EMED
INCLUDING THE DRAFTING OF 18-YEAR OLDS. �
IT WOULD APPEAR THERE IS-EVEN SONE PGSSIBILITY OF _PROGRESS
IN DECREASING THE TENSION BETWEEN PRESIDENT THIEU AND VICE I
PRESIDENT KY SINCE THIEU ALSO SAID ON 22 MARCH THAT HE HAS OFFERED
KY THE ROLE OF SUPERVISING CIVIL DEFENSE THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY.
THE PRESIDENT ADDED THAT HE PLANS TO SEND TO THE ASSEMPLY WITHIN
THE NEXT FEW DAYS THE DRAFT CHARTER FOR THE THREE COUNCILS THE
CONSTITUTION AUTHORIZES TO OPERATE UNDER THE VICE PRESIDENT'S
CONTROL.
AT THE PRESENT TIME, IT SEEMS THAT THE TRAUMA FROM TET
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PAGE 6 SAIGON 035 7
ATTACKS FORCED THE GVN TO A REALIZATION OF ITS RESPONSIBILITIES
AND CAPACITIES.
ATTEMPTS TO FORM ANTI-COMMUNIST FRONTS AND EVEN THE CRITICISM
DIRECTED AT GVN HESITANCY IN THE. CRISIS ARE INDICATIVE . OF A
POPULAR ACCEPTANCE OF THE GVN. AS. A PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE TO �
ORGANIZATION OF-LIFE BY THE VC'. TOP GVN LEADERS: HAVE MET AND ARE
CONTINUING TO MEET WITH MANY RESPONSIBLE MEMBERS-OF:-.THE OPPOSI-
TION AND TO SOME EXTENT HAVE ACCEPTED AND ACTED ON THEIR ADVICE.
EVEN THOUGH THIS MAY�FALL SHORT OF A LYAL-OPPOSITIONi-IT.IS WORTH
NOTING THAT THERE" IS A FRAMEWORK. WHICH:PERMITS THE VOICING OF
CONSTRUCTIVE CRITICISM - AND THAT IT WAS USED. THIS � IS AT LEAST
A STEP FORWARD:IN NATION 'BUILDING.
THE �TET ATTACKS CAUSED SERIOUS ECONOMIC DISRUPTION AND A HALT
TO LONG-RANGE GROWTH-PROGRAMS; NONETHELESS THE ECONOMY IS
FUNCTIONING ADEQUATELY ALTHOUGH INDUSTRIAL REBUILDING REMAINS TO
TACKLED. .THE PEOPLE SEEM TO BE SATISFIED WITH THE STOPGAP
MEASURES ALREADY INSTITUTED. SHORT RUN INFLATION, WHICH COULD
HAVE BEEN A MAJOR PROBLEM, DID NOT DEVELOP TO ANY GREAI
BECAUSE OF GOVERNMENT ACTION TO RELEASE �ADEQUATE FOOD' SUPPL 1E3
AND FACILITATE IMPORT OF NECESSARY GOODS, AND DUE...TO -SUCH NON-
SEE
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PAGE 9 SAIGON 0357 s---e-R-ET
GOVERNMENTAL FACTORS AS REDUCTION IN DISPOSABLE INCOME AND
INCREASED SAVINGS. THE WILLINGNESS OF THE PEOPLE TO SAVE AND
THE RELATIVELY CONSTANT DOLLAR RATE INDICATE THAT THE PIASTRE IS
MORE STABLE THAN EXPECTED.
THE GVN HAS ALSO SATISFACTORILY HANDLED THE CARE AND FEEDING
OF REFUGEES AND THE DISTRIBTUION OF FOOD TO THE URBAN POPULATION.
IN ADDITION, THERE ARE CONCRETPLANS FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND
RESETTLEMENT OF THE REFUGEES. THE REPONSE OF THE REFUGEES TO
THESE PROGRAMS INDICATES THEIR PREFERENCE FOR THE GVN DESPITE
INTENSIVE VC PROPAGANDIZING.
ALTHOUGH THE GUN WAS RETICENT IN ACCEPTING NON-GOVERNMENTAL �
ORGANIZATIONAL PART ICPAT ION IN RECOVERY PROJECTS, SUCH �OFFERS
ARE ST ILL FORTHCOMING AND THE TRADE UNION MOVEMENT IS FULLY
ENGAGED IN THIS EFFORT. WHERE DESTRUCTION AND THE DISRUPTION
OF THE GVN APPARATUS WERE GREATEST, AS IN HUE, RELIGIOUS (BOTH
BUDDHIST AND CATHOLIC) AND CIVIC GROUPS, SUCH AS THE BOY SCOUTS,
LED THE PEOPLE IN EFFORTS TO ASSUAGE THE SUFFERING. THE SYMBOLIC
SIGNFICANCE .OF THIS WORK, SUCH AS THE WELL PUBLICIZED BLOOD
DiVAT ION MOVEMENT, IS CREATING A SENSE OF �NATIONAL IDENTITY WHICH
HAS BEEN SO DEPLORABLY ABSENT IN 'VIETNAM OVER THE CENTURIES.
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PAGE 10 SAIGON 0357-
AT TET PLUS 52, THESE POSITIVE ASPECTS, ARE NOT ONLY �A
SOLACE IN THE CONTINUING� CRISIS , 'BUT MORE �IMPORTANT, TO SOME
EXTENT THEY��ARE A PRODUCT OF AMERICAN EFFORTS IN THE PAST .AND
THEY PROVIDE A....FOUNDATION ON WHICH WE CAN CONTINUE TO. BUILD'.
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