THE BURMESE COMMUNIST PARTY: A POWER IN THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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12
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 2, 2007
Sequence Number: 
1
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Publication Date: 
June 1, 1982
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MEMO
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Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 Directorate of Secret '`~, Intelligence -. I Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9 Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9 Directorate of Intelligence The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle lido motion asuiluhle us of I .loin, /Q,5' has het , n us e51 in the preparation of tl]is reh5Nt This paper has been prepared b. Office of fast :Asian :Anal}sis. Con1111Cnts and queries are v%elcome and may be addressed to the Chief. Southeast :Asia I)ivision, O[A, hhis paper has been coordinated with the Directorate of Operations and the National Intelligence Council Secret Jim, 14s Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 A Power in the Golden Triangle The Burmese Communist Party: Today's Burmese Communist Party is unique among Southeast :Asian Communist insurgencies.' It was formed entirely by the Chinese after then President Ne Win began to destroy the original Communist Party in central Burma. A large part of its early membership was Chinese either army troops or ethnic groups living inside China. Since [tic reduction of Chinese support in the mid-I970s, it has depended almost entirely on illicit drug trade to finance its operations 25 supported antinarcotics programs in the region Despite likely challenges from rival "liberation" groups and potential strains from within over the huge amounts of revenue generated by the sale of opium. we believe the party will continue its steady c~~pansion. More- over, the party's size, strength, and the remote location ~.)f' its base of operations will present nearly insurmountable problems for the . S- Secret FA X_'-loo's June' 14X_' Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9 Figure I Golden Triangle: Opium Producing Areas and Burmese Communist Parts (B('P) I)eploN meat Intense poppy cultivation Less intense poppy cultivation i % Area of BCP bases Area of heavy BCP activity ? - Recent penetrations a RAN(SOON Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 The Burmese Communist Party: A Power in the Golden Triangle (u) Rebirth of the Party While the bulk of the original Burmese Communist Party was being destroyed by the Burmese Army in the early 1970s, a newly formed party command was beginning to expand along the Chinese border. Established by the Chinese after the break in Burmese-Chinese relations in 1907, the new command consisted primarily of minority groups living in the border area and several hundred Chinese troops. allow the Chinese troops to withdraw ( hinese assistance, the party leadership orgaiii/ed the command into a six-brigade conventional military force and established administrative control over much of the remote territory in northeastern Burma. It also established a presence in central Shan State, and small groups set up :hop in haehin State and in western Burma. By 1975 the party had grow n large enough to We believe the party's military arm now consists of 1 2,000 to 14,000 troops- still drawn largely from minority groups and has the potenti,rl for substantial further growth. Party leaders acknowledge that they lave been unable to attract support from the ethnic Burmans, who make up about three-fourths of the country's population. Nevertheless, the h million minority inhabitants of Burma. who resent ethnic Burman control of the overnmcnt, constitute a sizable recruiting base for the Conununists. arms, food, and other goods the Communists xyillingly provide. Ionic \~ ho support the Communists are seeking autonomy: others situp y ~varnt the The Move Into As the Chinese began to cut back their aid to Southeast -\sian insurgencies Narcotics in the mid- I970s, the Burmese Communist Party was forced to look for ad- ditional means of support jade smuggli..g and increased tax collections from hill tribes are two examples but the most important source of funds has been opium. By the mid-to-late 1970s, the party had started o encourage and in some cases demand - poppy cultivation in areas under its domination. 25 25 25~ 25 Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 The party also established links to other Burmese liberation and trafficking organizations lit has provided arms to ethnic groups such as the Pa-o Shan State Nationalities Liberation Group and the Kachin Independence Army in exchange for agreements to conduct joint operations- -operations that have helped the party expand control over its opium-producing regions. The Shan United Army (SUA), the Golden Triangle's largest drug trafficking organization, purchases the bulk of the party's opium, processes it in refineries along the Thai-Burmese border, and sells it on the international market border is heavy. he party is conscripting villagers to construct a new cross-border road to case the revenues by taxing the shipment and sale of opium, and it controls the trade by establishing and managing cooperative stores. In an attempt both to increase the poppyfields under its control and to curry favor among opium farmers, the party also provides protection for a price- against Rangoon's attempts at opium eradication. The Burmese Communists still receive most of their arms and ammunition from the Chinese, and trade in foodstuffs and consumer goods across the Today, through production in its own base area, purchases from allied groups, and regulation of opium caravans, the party exercises control over more than two-thirds of the o ium flowing 'olden Triangle. the party collects delivery of military supplies the Chinese prove e sanctuary and training for the party's Chinese for arms and ammunition. Ithe operations help pay for Chinese aid. he Burmese Communists purchase consum- er goods and industrial diamonds in Thailand and trade them to the several hundred Burmese Commu- nists operate in Laos in support of Chinese-backed resistance groups; The Chinese also benefit from the relationship Burma," is located on Chinese territory. troops in China, and the party's radio station, the "Voice of the People of Increased Military The party has been slowly expanding its territorial control through Activity guerrilla operations and occasional large, set-piece battles a ainst the Burmese Army. the oca press indicates that the 1981-82 dry season brought Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9 Secret Figure 2 Figure 3 Burmese Communist Parts Control Southeast Asia's Role in N1 orld Opium (her Opium I loww Production and Uislrihulion Directs carav Iii to Thai border Pr r;des ccd_ ~~tcctii)il II, piuIII Ii tic 1, opium to It Ml,king group1 .1) 1 hrn.uc merchants S lfIICS 0th Um ,It warehouses. marketing point, \1 urld Ilrruin Kcaching I nilcd Mole. in I9511 4 Metric Ion." I.uldcu I rianrrly It:,'h I lpium I'nulurliun I'I\I h;ll \I ctrir loos rm;i R to Itu ILLEGIB Purchases crop tram farmers some major successes for the Burmese Communist Parts. Late List vc:u- the party set up a regional command in Kasah State with an e'c tovv:ud establishing a new smuggling route to the Thai border. More inlport:rnt, it has moved troops into the Pegu mountain range in central Burma. This lat- est move is a double threat to the government it Communist presence there threatens communication between Rangoon and northern Burnra and. because it is the first Communist movement into the Pegu; since the elimination of the White Flags in 1975, it will be a major propaganda victory for the party. Communists, and logistics in the border area are poor. 25X I Ithe use over the past few sears of plas.ic antipersonnel 25X lan mines by insurgent groups has greatly increased government casualtics Major government counterinsurgency campaigns in the past have checked Communist advances, but operations this Nair have been ineffective. the insurgents have ample 2E warning of government operations because of the Army's poor conlnlunica- tions security: the Army frequently is unable to engage the Communists at all. Moreover, the governments weapons are inferior to those of the and dampened Army morale. 2 ivcs farm~~,. Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 Potential Challenges The move into the narcotics business has not been without problems, some to the Party of which may affect party discipline.1 long-term goal of overthrowing the government in Rangoon. enormous personal gain may eventually undermine the party's unity and its party officials are allowed to sell narcotics for personal profit as long as they pay the required taxes. But the potential for Rivalry among insurgent groups will grow as the party ex ands. the party wants to increase its involvement in trafficking-now handled primarily by the SUA. Attempts to take over some of the SUA's operations will not only result in military clashes but may lead to the defect; n of party such as the deputy commander with SUA ties. differences exist We expect to see strains within the organization when the party's aging po- litical leadership is replaced. Although we believe the bulk of the party and its leadership remain firmly pro-Chinese, the defection in 1980 of a Central Committee member over the party's China policy indicates that some Implications of In our view, the party should be able to contend with defections from its Continued Growth ranks and clashes with rival groups because of its strong military organiza- of the Party tion, its control over Burma's most productive poppyfields, and the weaknesses of the Burmese Army. As the party continues to grow, it will be a serious problem for the government. Rangoon will be forced to commit even greater resources to combat the insurgency resources that arc badly needed for economic development. Moreover, economic projects designed to wean the hill tribes away from opium production offer substantially lower profits for farmers and thus are unlikely to produce results. I Ithe government has allocated funds for the purchase of new weapons, but this will have little impact on the counterinsurgency campaign as long as there are no fundamental improve- ments in the Burmese Army's intelligence, communications security, and logistic systems. Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03T02547R000100840001-9 Secret Even though we believe the party cannot now overthrow the government, growing casualties and a seemingly endless campaign are already causing strains within the Army and the leadership.1 I I some officers are complaining that their troops are reluctant to fight and that there is growing sentiment for a negotiated solution. But, as during the last two attempts at negotiations, we believe Burmese Party Chairman Ne Win, who despite his retirement from the presidency, still makes all major policy decisions, is unlikely to make the compromises necessary to achieve a truce. Thai officials also express concern about the party's growth. Although the Thai have mounted a successful campaign against Thailand's Com mmunist Party, these officials are worried that the two parties might cooperate in funneling Chinese aid to That insurgents. The movement of the Burmese Communists toward the Thai border and the occasional contacts betvk cen the two parties will heighten Bangkok's concern. We believe that coopera- tion between the two parties is a real possibility, but its impact over the short term will be negligible because of the weakened Thai Communist Party's inability to absorb increased aid even if China provided it. The US-supported antinarcotics programs in the region will be hindered as the party increases its control over opium production and attempts to develop its own trafficking apparatus. Over time, Washington probably will be asked by the Burmese for additional support in the form of aircraft, communication equipment, and perhaps weapons, as well as increased funds for poppy eradication and substitution programs. But the party's remote location, its powerful military arm, and its continuing close ties to China will make it virtually impossible to eliminate it from the narcotics trade Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9 Secret Appendix Chronology of the Burmese Communist Party 1939 Foundedin Rangoon. Joins the Anti-Fascist People's Freedom League, a naticnalist coalition first resisting Japanese occupation, then seeking independence from Great Britain. 1946 Splits into two factions, the Red Flags and the White Flags. Both groups are expelled from the AFPFL. Burma achieves independence from Great Britain. The overseas branch of the party is formed in Beijing. Burmese President Ne Win calls for negotiations with all insurgent groups, including the party, but talks break down after four months. Burma and China withdraw their ambassadors following anti-Chinese riots in Rangoon. The Burmese Army overruns the headquarters of the White Flags in central Burma. China forms the party's Northeast Command along its border with Burma. 1970 The Red Flags, located in western Burma, are eliminated by the Burmese Army. 1970-73 The Northeast Command expands its area of control to encompass much ol' the northeastern portion of Shan State east of the Salwecn River. Burma and China renew full diplomatic relations. The "Voice of the People of Burma," the party's radio station, is established in China. 1975 The remnants of the White Flags are destroyed by the Burmese Army. 1980 Ne Win travels to China to discuss Chinese support to the party. lie agrees to negotiate with the insurgents. 1981 Negotiations between the government and the party break down after four months. Secret Approved For Release 2007/05/02 : CIA-RDP03TO2547R000100840001-9