TRENDS IN NICARAGUAN SUPPORT FOR SUBVERSION

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8
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RIPPUB
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S
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7
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 21, 2011
Sequence Number: 
1
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Publication Date: 
September 19, 1984
Content Type: 
REPORT
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Central Intelligence Agency Washington. D. C. 20505 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 1.9 September 1984 TRENDS IN NICARAGUAN SUPPORT FOR SUBVERSION I 25X1 Summary Nicaragua continues to. support insurgency and other forms of subversion against non-Marxist governments in the region through arms flows, training, communications support and advice. Salvadoran guerrillas remain the primary recipient. Other groups, especially Costa Rican and Honduran, have also benefitted. point to a continuinq flow of munitions and manpower from Nicaragua to the Salvadoran guerrillas. At times the quantity is considerable: 25X1 25X1 This memorandum was requested by the Honorable Robert C. McFarlane, Asssistant to the prP~siAnt for National Security Affairs. It was prepared by Middle America-Caribbean Division, Office of Atrican and Latin American Analysis. It was coordinated with the Directorate of Operations. Information available as of 19 September 1984. Comments and questions are welcome and should be addressed to Chief, Middle America-Caribbean Division, Copy C of 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 25X1 -- In April [Cuba was stepoing up deliveries of weapons and other military supplies through Nicaragua to El Salvador in preparation for the insurgents' fall offensive. -- In June I I the guerrillas had received a new otter from Nicaragua to supply munitions and personnel needs when required. We currently estimate that roughly three quarters of the Salvadoran guerrilas' needs are met by external resupply, and perhaps one third'or more of their small arms requirements are infiltrated--in the latter case a substantial reduction from the levels of earlier years due to large arms flows during that period and guerrilla success in capturing arms in El Salvador. Virtually the entire flow originates in or passes through Nicaragua. groups were still headauartered in Nicaraqua--includinq the two largest, the ERP and the FPL. Support for subversion in Central America continues t receive high-level direction -- Sandinista Directorate member Bavardo Arce has ultimate authority for arranging arms shipments. Salvadoran guerrilla 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 -- A political section, coordinating aid requests from foreiqn insurgent croups, consists of separate branches for El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and even Costa Rica. -- A special operations section, which carries out the deliveries, has separate branches for land, air, and sea transport. A major new training facility for Salvadoran guerrillas has been identified this summer on the Cosiauina Peninsula, across the Gulf of Fonseca from Pl Salvador. Santa Julia was intended for that purpose. since April 1984 construction of 19 buildings has been completed or is underway, as well as a small arms range, air obstacle course, and a possible training site for the SA-7, the shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missile of Soviet bloc manufacture. This camp's use of natural concealment and the nonmilitary layout of the buildings indicate the installation is for unconventional warfare training. -- Just southeast of the camp is a staging area (Potosi), a known transshipment point for infiltrating men, arms, and munitions into El Salvador. the number of Salvadoran guerrillas assembled in Nicaragua for trainina or stagina purposes in 1984 may have increased over what we believe has been the case since 1979. ,Fv1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 as of July 1.984 the FMLN had about 4000 Salvadorans traininq in various Nicaraguan camps. Though the numbers far exceed our earlier estimates of several hundred Salvadoran insurgent personnel in Nicaraqua- Imay reflect some accumulation Salvadoran manpower tor the reported planned fall. offensive by the FMLN. It may also indicate that the FMLN is usina Nicaragua. to conduct training no longer possible to carry out in El. Salvador due to Salvadoran army pressures. So extensive has been the Nicaraguan support effort for Salvadoran insurgents that in private conversations Nicaraguan officials no longer conceal Managua's direct involvement, though they do try to minimize the extent. For example: -- In May 1984, during farewell conversations with the US Ambassador to Managua, Interior Minister Borge said that Salvadoran communications facilities in Nicaragua were no longer essential to the FMLN, but it was impossible to close them down unilaterally. Bayardo Arce said that just as the US denied mining the ports, so Nicaragua denied aiding the Salvadorans; both knew the truth. Nicaraguan insurgent operations have occasionally impeded Managua's support to the FMLN. -- Facilities in Nicaragua were attacked last fall and early this year. At least one transshipment point was badly damaged. The Nicaraguans are continuing to support other-Marxist insurgencies, although at levels below the major Salvadoran effort. 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 25X1 -- In mid-1983 and mid-1.984 the Sandinistas infiltrated into Honduras a total of 1.1.0-1.20 Honduran insurgents trained in Nicaragua and Cuba. A combination of desertions and effective counterinsuraencv action by Honduran security forces thwarted both attempts with apparent ease. insurgents have provided abundant detail on eir training. One of the 25X1 Hondurans stated that Dart of his training 25X1 included serving with an international unit fighting anti-Sandinistra forces in Nicaragua. -- We believe that the Sandinistas, despite their recent overtures for improved bilateral relations with Honduras, continue to view their meddling operations as a possible way to force short-term concessions from Tegucigalpa while establishing a base for longer term subversion of the government. Sandinista sponsorship of destabilization in Costa Rica has continued. -- The Sandinistas have maintained close ties to Costa Rican communists, several hundred of whom entered Nicaragua late last year, were trained and equipped by the Nicaraguans and as the Mora Canas Brigade fought anti- Sandinista insurgents in southern Nicaragua until July 1.984. -- The recall of these field experienced combatants to Costa. Rica has added to the potential for political instability in that country. Elsewhere in the region there have been fraamentarv reports of Nicaraguan mischief-making since the beginning of the year. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 SUBJECT: Trends in Nicaraguan Support for Subversion Copy # 1 - Robert C. McFarlane 2 - DCI 3 - DDCI 4 - Executive Director 5 - SA/DCI 6 - DDI 7 - ADDI 8 - NIO/LA 9 - D/ALA 10 - NIC/AG 11 - 12 - C/DDI/PES 13, 14 - ALA/PS 15 - ALA/RD 16 - DDI/CPAS/ISS 17, 18, 19, 20 - CPAS/IMC/CB 21 - C/MCD 22 - DC/MCD 23 - C/CAS 24, 25, 26 - NU Desk Analysts 27 - MCD Files 28, 29 - CA Files DDI/ALA/MCD/CAN (19 September 1984) Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8 Iq Next 5 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/21: CIA-RDP04T00367R000100400001-8