PRESS CLIPPINGS JANUARY 1979
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP05S00620R000501340001-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
K
Document Page Count:
114
Document Creation Date:
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date:
April 27, 2009
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
January 15, 1979
Content Type:
OPEN SOURCE
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cia
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Material has been relocated to
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by CIA~CIO/IMS~CDC
28 February 2002
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CIA PUBLICATIONS AND STUDIES
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UVV51Uj) avr UWQLUaa&VW a.7 a auQi UK LUZ aY-
ditive or as feedstock for artificial protein
petrochemicals."
The chemical industry in the U.S.S.R.
has mainly civilian, as opposed to mili-
tary, applications. And this always means
problems in the Soviet Union because of
the favoritism military technology enjoys.
Commercial technology is beset with
problems, as the CIA notes in all its re-
ports on Soviet science and technology,
and chemicals are the quintessential ex-
ample.
The Soviets invariably have startup
problems with plants, whether built by
westerners or by themselves. Shortages of
equipment are chronic. Labor is ineffi-
cient, unhappy, and in short supply.
Management is uncoordinated within it-
self and especially so in its relationships
with the various ministries that set goals
and oversee production quotas.
"Poor workmanship and careleeeness,"
the report reveals, "frequently cause de-
lays during the pree ommimWOning stage of
chemical projects. Shortcomings include
poor-quality welding by Soviet workers,
errors in the installation of equipment
and insulation, and improper operation
and servicing of machines and instru-
ments. The persistence of such construc-
tion and preoperational problems indi-
cates that the Soviets could have trouble
meeting at least initial chemical export
commitments. under compensation
agreements."
But for all that-and the report lists
much more in the way of deficiencies-
Soviet chemical research and technology
is moving ahead. In the 1980's and 90's
things likely will change drastically since
Soviet scientists are as bright as their
colleagues anywhere. In.a footnote, the
report notes technologically important
research on protein derived from hydro-
carbons, high-temperature plastics,
high-performance composite materials,
and "plasmochemical processes that may
offer more economical routes to produc-
tion of acetylene, nitrogen fertilizers, and
other products."
And it mentions recent Soviet tech-
nology licensed in the West as an indica-
tor of Soviet technological potential Such
licenses have included processes for
manufacture or use of polyethylene,
polycarbonate resins, polyisoprene, rub-
ber, butylated hydroxytoluene, an anti-
cancer preparation it labels FTOROFUR,
and methods for the disposal of industrial
wastes.
Thus, despite all the problems inherent
in centralized industrial planning, the
U.S.S.R.'s chemical industry is moving
ahead on the back of Western develop-
ments. In the 1980's a vastly different
pattern in the global flow of chemicals
likely will emerge because of this growing
Soviet maturity.
Copies of the report, ER 78-10554, are
available from the Office of Public Affairs, 1
Central Intelligence Agency, Washington,
D.C. 20505. Its title is "Soviet Chemical
Equipment Purchases from the West:
Impact on Production and Foreign
Trade." E3
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THE WASHINGTON STAR (GREEN LINE)
Article appeared 26 January 1979
on page A-3
r 0
hina Curbs Arms While Facia
Spending ~ Soviet Buildup, ..:.CIA- Says'1
By Henrys Bradsher
W-wDo nswsmawrisw
On the eve of Chinese Vice Premier
Teng Hsiao.ping's visit, two estimates
from the CIA say China is restricting
its military spending to only the most
essential modernization while: facing.
a significant Soviet military buildup
on its border.
A CIA study dated last month and
just made public says China's drive to
modernize its economy- has caused
some military. resources to be trans-
ferred to building a strong industrial
base. Defense spending was cut in the
early 1970s' and has not been in
creased substantially since then, -
But in recent years the: Soviet
Union has continued to strengthen its
armed forces on its long border with
China and in Mongolia; which lies be.
tween the two big Communist powers,
The CIA reported to a subcommittee
of Congress's Joint Economic Commit
tee that "the number of Soviet mill
tart' personnel assigned to forces with
emissions against China grew from
about 400,000 in 1.969 to between 500,.
000 and 600,000 in 1973 and about 650,
000 in 1978."
THE INFORMATION; provided in
connection with an appearance-be.
fore the subcommittee last Juneof the
director of central intelligence; Adm.
Stanfield Turner, was made!-public
today. It was In a version of hearings
last summer.on Soviet military-prior,
ities from which. secret informatio
had been censored. j.. ..' -- ',. .
China's efforts" to build tip' i
economy and Chinese concern about
the Soviet military- posture- will
among the main topics to be discussed
during Tong's visifhere;. aooording
administration officials
Teng. the effective head of CIIina's
government,. arrives Sunday for
extensive talks with President Carter
and other senior officials He also will
visit some of the industrial plants that
are selling modern technology to pe.
king.
Under the pragmatic policies toted- in Peking since Teng moved
into control after the defeatof.the
ideologically oriented "Gang ?' of
Four," China is turning to the West j
em world for help in modernizing itaf
economy. Carter has been receptive.'
A science and"technology agreement
will be signed during Tong's visit..--:
CHINA'S MIZ.ITARY leaders and its
economic planners have been compel
ing in recent years for limited re
sources. The debate was resolved by
Teng and his nominal boas, Premier
Hua Kuo-feng, in favor of giving first i
priority to building up the eeoaoaitc;
base. They used the justification tha
long-term military'strength depends
upon economic strength,
The new CIA study says. ''The d&
bete apparently ended with a consen
sus (1) to hold military spending at a{
level which allows for the most essen
tial aspects of defense modernization.
and (2) to make underutilized re-i
sources controlled by the militaryi
partially available for civilian indus-
try."
This background to Teng's eco-
nomic discussions in. the United
States is not likely to be discussed
openly, officials here say. And the ad-
ministration is wary of antagonizing
Mew Peking~gloudly to be too voiced ssuusp~i
thetic to cions about Soviet aggressive inten.
tion&
THE UNITED STATES has?taken the
public position thatIr will not sell to
China the specialized weapons that
Peking wants to fill gaps in its de-.
fenses, Btit the administration has
given a green light for its West Euro-
peanallies to sell them..; ~ -. _ . -v
The CIA study of China's "pursuit of
economic modernization" says that..,
despite the flexibility of Tong's prag-
matic leadership; "economic realities
still pose formidable obstacles to mod.
ernization" of agriculture, industry,
science and technology, and defense.
"China's nearly one billion people,
an agricultural sector technologically
so backward that it employs 70 per;
cent of the labor force, a 'modern'
industry using-19chniquas that are 10
to 30 years out of date and with opera.
tions presently most. inefficient."
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CHICAGO DEFENDER
30 December 1978
China booming: CIA
China's international. not constitute a heavy bur-l,'
trade is rising dramatically den for the Chinese econo-1'
as its government puts into ~. mY?
,practice the new pragmatic
ideas of the post-Mao lead-
iership,.a-CIA study shows.
Thejunclassificed report by
the :CIA National Foreign
Assessmebt Center went
.'beyond the usual scholarly
Language contained in such
studies, reporting, "imports.
are. taking off" and "ex--
ports are up across the
board." The study said Chi-
na's financial situation. re-
mains healthy with an out-
standing debt of $1.3 billion
lIwhich, the CIA said. "does
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THE WASHINGTON POST
Article appeared 23 January 1979
on page A-7
Soviets' Defense
Outlay Estimated
_ ociM ed Prew
The Central Intelligence Agency es-
timates the Soviet Union spent the
equivalent of $146 billion for defense
last year, 45 percent more than the
United States' $102 billion.
-A CIA analysis released yesterday.
estimates the Soviets spent twice: as
much 'for strategic nuclear forces and
twice as. much- for,-nonnuclear war
forces. ,
-f The Soviets spent more for nuclear
land,: _ missiles, short-range' nuclear
bombers, land forces, naval forces, andLI
for`-tanks and other mobility forces,
chartq?in the, analysis indicate..
The' United States spent more for
long-range,, nuclear bombers and tac-
tical}.jetfighters, the charts indicate.-
However,Ythe analysis 'said that
while; the. higher--. Soviet military
spending is."obviously related to capa-
bility," the spending -alone does, not
mean the Soviets are superior.,
-It said that assessment; would have
to compare defense strategy, battle-
: scenarios, tactical readiness, weapons
effectiveness, supply, morale: and--w-
number of other considerations. .
The CIA also said - U.S. spending=
was'. higher for support forces: pri-
marily for the U.S. Coast Guard, head=
quarters personnel, supply- units and .
foreign military aid.
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VV 1~~/1 !\`T l.l!' '.J V V' LS"1 1 1vL rY~J J V V 1\l.aaL i~.s?
Article appeared
on page C-9
01
21 January 1979
Bp JANE MORSE
. Like a mushrooming number of
curious travelers, she was gearing
up for a trip to the People's Repub-
lic of China. But where do you go
for background information on
"unknown" areas? How do : you _l
get briefed on-communist coun- I
tries so long out in the cold? - '
Being a reasoner, she reasoned.
And came to a perfectly obvious
? conclusion::'Ask the people most
likely to be keeping track of "mys-
teryspots,. the. Central Intelli-=
gence Agency.':-
So she-- did: ? -And ~ it.'. worked.
Among the many things you may.
never have guessed about Ameri-
ca's superspies is that they're into
producing-"traveler's aids" - so
far, some 50 maps, six atlases,
and, for who knows what reasons, a
street guide to Leningrad.
Now, thanks to China's latest
leap forward in the tourist busi-
ness, the CIA may even have a
semi-best seller on its hands. The
"Atlas of the People's Republic of
China" ($6.50) is an uncommon
atlas and a fascinating work. It
offers 82 pithy pages of smoothly
and clearly presented. material
that - graphically. . summarizes
China's geography, -economy,
history and culture.
You like pictures - it's got pic-
Lures. Lots of maps, of course, one
marking premier. -sightseeing
spots in Peking. Interspersed are
to-the-point analogies that put the
information into terms immedi-
ately comprehensible to Western-.;
What else the intelligence- com-
munity has done for you lately in-.I
cludes producing -. _ another!
intriguing work, the "Indian;
Ocean Atlas'' ($5.75). This one is
for far-out adventurers, of course,
since Zanzibar, the Laccadive Is
lands, Mauritius and the rest are
not yet places that rival Las Vegas
and New Orleans as tourist draws.'
Stay-at-homes who are also die-
hard romantics ought to eat it up
anyhow. Few if any guide books or
other atlases so explicitly answer
unspoken questions and explain,
for instance, that "Under these
conditions (temperatures in ex-
cooling mechanism is disrupted:
the body sweats, but the sweat
does not evaporate, and thus cool;
any strenuous activity increases
the danger of heatstroke." -
Of course, the CIA is not alone
-among U.S. government agencies
in publishing what every_ tourist
might conceivably want to know.
'The Defense Department, in' fact,
does some of the most in-depth
"guide books" around, an "area
handbook" series,' 105 volumes
covering Afghanistan to Zambia. .
These are really for serious '
travelers as opposed to fun-in-the-
sun seekers, since they deal with
each nation's history, politics and
culture, not "Where the Discos
Are" or' "How to Live in Style on 4
Cents a Day." They,are nonethe-
less a good read'and don't require
true grit to get through.
If you secretly like short cuts,
though, yoU can still consult the
Defense Department. It's also!
done a group of pocket guides that
do get to tourist tips but summar-
ize the rest of what you need to
know in order not to appear too
stupid. They ? were written for
service people, of course, so they
cover mainly areas where we
have. troops stationed, include
some useful phrases, a reading list
in case you're up to more, and (the']
best part) lots of basic material j
that sophisticated guide-book
writers forget that first-timers
would like - and need - to know.
And whereas they areas hand-
books have real book prices (aver-;1
aging $6-$8), the pocket guides,
which really are pocket. size and -I
no thicker'?.th an 'a checkbook, cost 1
55 cents to $1.80.
There's also a- series of inexpen-'
sive phrase books. from the same
'folks. Again, they're conveniently;
pocket-sized, range in cost from 75
cents to $1.90, and easily cover the
most vital areas of tourist-to-local
conversation in a 'dozen.' lan-
b.. a.bCJ, r" r ench to
The quasi publisher-,distributor
of all these works is the U.S. Gov-
ernment Printing Office, and it"'
aims to please travelers who stay
closer to home, too. Noteworthy is ;
its hard-cover book "Presidents',-!
48), which should be a boon to
history-minded tourists. It's just
what they need to plan a Lincoln
Trip or a Truman Trip or even a
Presidents' Boyhood Homes Trip,
. "Soldiers and Braves" (S7.10) is
a similar work in that it narrates
the sad yet stirring story of the ln-
than Wars, with detailed attention
paid to pointing out the now-histor-
ical places associated with it-
Of course, if -you're planning the
See the Indians Trip, the Govern-
ment Printing Office is a prime
source of help. from three publica- 1-
tions in particular: "The Ameri-.!
can Indians",. (subtitled "Answers.l
to 101 Questions"), "The Calendar.
of Indian Events," and the map of
Indian lands. - -
Unfortunately, lots of what 'the
government prints is neither as
good nor as useful as the works 4
mentioned. That's' why' your best
bet is to look first, buy later. You
can do it two ways..If you're on the
road somewhere and suddenly get
an itch to see if the GPO can con-
tribute to your knowledge, there
are bookstores in 20 cities that you
can drop in on. One is in Philadel-
phia.
Alternatively,- you can check
your local libraries. A growing
number are novel "federal deposi-
tory libraries," meaning they
should have lots of GPO's publica-
tions or can arrange to borrow
what you want from the regional
library...
Actually, your first move might
best be to write for the free "Con-
sumers Guide to Federal Publica-
tions" (from the GPO,* Washing-
ton, D.C. 20402), which gives titles
of subject lists, explains all about
ordering and tells about federal
publications (mainly maps) that
are available from other govern-
ment sources. .
- Someday maybe the. GI.A will
even publish "Untold Spy Stories"
and provide the government with
a real best ' seller. Meanwhile,
though, keep an eye out for more
good atlases.
since it's full of "this is where it
"
"
and
this is how it is
cess of 100 degrees), the body's happened
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PAISLEY
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1111) 1J VVI VLN Vim.-v+'L
Article appeared 25 January 1979
on page 9
Panel asks.
FBI probe
in death'
United Press International
WASHINGTON - Citing "troubling questions"
about the case, the Senate Intelligence Committee yes-
terday asked the FBI to look into the material it has com-
piled on John Paisley, a CIA.consultant who disappeared
-last fall.
Sen. Birch Bayh (D-Ind.) the committee chairman,
sent the material to Attorney General Griffin Bell, tell-
ing him "a number of troubling questions remain" and to
keep the committee informed of developments.
Bayh released no other information, saying the FBI
should have a chance to investigate first.
Paisley disappeared last September after sailing out
on Maryland's Chesapeake Bay in his 31-foot sloop,
"Brillig." The boat ran aground with no one aboard. A
week later, a body - shot behind the ear and weighted
down with diving belts - was found.
The body was officially identified. as Paisley's, but
his estranged wife and others have expressed doubts, be-
cause none of the family saw the corpse before crema
tion.
A source close to the intelligence committee investi-
gation said the panel is satisfied that the body was Pais-
ley's but has not drawn a conclusion on how he died.
Although Paisley, 55, had retired as a CIA agent in
1974, he was still working as a consultant on the impor-
tant job of analyzing Soviet? military capabilities -
meaning he had access to top secret information.
A number of theories have been advanced in the case
that Paisley was- a troubled middle-aged man who
committed suicide;- that he was. a Soviet spy for the
Kremlin and was knocked off by the CIA or spirited
away by..Kretlin agents after his real role was discov-
ered; that he was caught` in the war between the old
guard and new, guard at the CIA.
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ART-ICLE APPEARED Lnm "LLX1La%xLVa
uN PAGE r - (w 24 January 1979
SALT, agreement with the Soviet,,
cessful enforcement of upcoming;
raised questions about the sue-;
Paisley's total access to the CIA,%
'=computer system-and the most`
important agency secrets also has,
or double agent.
penetrated the CIA_ as V 'mole,"
Paisley. was a KGB double agent
who left the CIA=. with valuable
secrets or that he was murdered
because he discovered. who had
to - join in: its- investigation . into.
"troubling questions" : about' the
disappearance and possible death
''of CIA official John A. Paisley-
They case goes- to the Justice
-i-tgnches on the existence
of a Soviet "mole"-a,deep-covet Soviet agent planted in-
side the agency-and the dead officer's knowledge there-
of. The theory bas been the subject of specnlation;4or
years inside and outside the intelligence community. ;
At first, the CIA claimed the documents.in -Mr. Pais
ley's possession:were relatively' unimportant,papers clas-
sified "forinternal use only." :