REVISION OF SNIE 11-6-57, 'SOVIET GROSS CAPABILITIES...'

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP61-00549R000200010032-8
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 22, 2013
• Sequence Number: 32
• Publication Date: July 12, 1957
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/08/01 : CIA-RDP61-00549R000200010032-8
*me *if
0
SECRET
NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL
NET EVALUATION SUBCOMMITTEE
Office of the Director
Room 2E915, The Pentagon
Washington 25, D. C.
12 July 1957
MEMORANDUM FOR The Director of Central Intelligence
Subject
? ? Revision of SNIE 11-6-57, "Soviet Gross
Capabilities...."
I. Dr. Montague has informed me that the Intelligence Advisory
Committee, on 9 July, considered whether to undertake a revision of
SNIE 11-6-57 and tentatively decided not to do so, subject to my con-
firmation of the members/ understanding "that the NESC, as a practical
matter, would probably not be in a position effectively to use such
revisions in its forthcoming report."
2. Manifestly, I am not in a position to determine whether the
evidence now available requires a revision of SNIE 11-6-57. I am
not advised whether, in the judgment of the IAC, a review of SME 11-6-57
would now result in a substantially different estimate.
3. The military operations analysis for the 1957 Net Evalua-
tion, based on SME 11-6-57 has already been completed. It is too
late now for us to go back to the beginning and start all over again.
It is not feasible to adjust the complex computations involved to conform
to a revised estimative basis. Consequently, the existing military
operations analysis will have to be used as it stands, regardless of
whether or not SNIE 11-6-57 is revised. However, if the IAC does now
in fact have a substantially different appreciation of Soviet gross capa-
bilities, we could and should note that fact in our report and comment
on its implications with respect to our calculations. Only the IAC can
determine whether this is necessary.
/5-
G. C. THOMAS
General, USMC
Director
SECRET
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/08/01: CIA-RDP61-00549R000200010032-8