VALIDITY STUDY OF NIE 11-7-55: SOVIET GROSS CAPABILITIES FOR ATTACK ON THE US AND KEY OVERSEAS INSTALLATIONS AND FORCES THROUGH 1 JULY 1958, PUBLISHED 23 JUNE 1955

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
2
Document Creation Date: 
November 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 5, 2000
Sequence Number: 
15
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 20, 1956
Content Type: 
STUDY
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PDF icon CIA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6.pdf57.77 KB
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Approved For Release 2000 11RgA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6 IAC-D- 100/7 20 March 1956 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Validity Study of NIE 11-7-55: Soviet Gross Capabilities for Attack on the US and Key Overseas Installations and Forces Through 1 July 1958, published 23 June 1955 The attached validity study of NIE 11-7-55, "Soviet Gross Capabilties, for Attack on the US and Key Overseas Installations and Forces Through 1 July 1958, tt published 23 June 1955, was noted by the IAC on 2:0 March 1956 (IAC-M-234, 20 March 1956, item 5 a). 25X1A Approved For Release 20 E l lA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6 Approved For Release 200 kk4ij ~I IA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6 IAC-D- 100/7 20 March 1956 Validity Study of NIE 11-7-55: Soviet Gross Capabilities for Attack on the US and Key Overseas Installations and Forces Through 1 July 1958, published 23 June 1955 From a strictly intelligence standpoint, we are unable to test the validity of most of the specific estimates made in. NIE 11-7-55. On the other hand, such evidence as we have concerning the Soviet long-range bomber and air base development programs tends to confirm the general trends indicated in that estimate, and no im- portant evidence has appeared to invalidate any of its major conclu- sions. However, new intelligence on such Soviet weapons programs as guided missiles and submarines suggests that the USSR might give greater emphasis to those weapons systems in initial attacks on US and key US overseas installations and forces, even though it would still rely primarily on manned bombers through mid-1958. This new evidence has been taken into account in the preparation of NIE 11-56, and is especially reflected in our estimate of Soviet capabilities for the latter part of the period covered by the new estimate. Approved For Release 2Q#I?IE7CIA-RDP61-00549R000300010015-6