O/NE SUGGESTIONS FOR PROJECTS TO BE UNDERTAKEN (SANITIZED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP61S00750A000300070025-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 14, 2013
• Sequence Number: 25
• Publication Date: May 8, 1952
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/03/14: CIA-RDP61500750A000300070025-3
SECRET
SEC RITY INFORMATION
MEMORANDUM TO MR. MICHAEL CORSON
8 Play 1952
SUBJECT: 0 NE Su gestions for Projects to be Undertaken
1. Pursuant to your conversation of this morning with
myself and with Messrs. and Bundy of
this office, here is a Is not in any eriorit order) of
the projects 0/NE would like to propose during the
next fiscal year:
a. Soviet Estimate of Probable US Intentions.: A
study on this subject would cover what the Kremlin would
think, in the light of Communist preconceptions, the US
and the West were likely to do over the next two-four years,
with particular reference to whether the Kremlin would think
the US and the West were likely to initiate a war against
the USSR. It would be substantially a "think-piece",
although supporting research into current Soviet statements
and Soviet history might be useful.)
b. Analysis of Long-range Indicators of Soviet
Courses of Action. This study would take basic Soviet
policies and actions in selected fields and attempt to relate
them to Soviet foreign courses of action. The study would
begin by analysing the shifts in Soviet capital investment,
educational, and other programs produced by the deepening
fear of war in the yearspreceeding June 1941. It would
then analyse similar Soviet actions in the yes since 1945
in an effort to see whether similar shifts are taking place.
Even if the second part of the study yielded no significant
results, the first part would assist prediction over longer
periods than the usual intelligence "indicators".
SECRET
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/03/14: CIA-RDP61500750A000300070025-3
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e. Soviet Courses of Action through Mid-1957. This
studypfitke a.1 would be primarily a"tbink,piece", and should
be undertaken only if a high-level person is available to head
it. The purpose should be to assess general Soviet strategy,
rather than attempting to specify actions in all areas.
d. Indicators of Sino-Soviet Relations. It is believed
that important clues to the state of Sino-Soviet relations may
be found through detailed study of relative Chinese and Russian
influence in Communist parties in India. Japan, and perhaps
Indo-China.
SEM,
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/03/14: CIA-RDP61500750A000300070025-3
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