MONTHLY REPORT, FEBRUARY 1959

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP62S00231A000100210072-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 18, 1998
• Sequence Number: 72
• Publication Date: March 2, 1959
• Content Type: MEMO

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dice Memorandum ? UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT
. Chief, Industrial Division,
FROM Acting Chief, Guided Missile Branch, D/I
SUBJECT: % Monthly Report, February 1959
Support to Other Agencies and Components:
DATE: 2 March 1959
a. At the request of the DCI, a memorandum was prepared
jointly with GMD/OSI for transmittal by AD/RR and AD/SI
recommending that the DCI'sAd Hoc Panel of Consultants
(the Hyland Panel) should not be reconvened at present
'*tb re-examine the Soviet ICBM program. This memorandum
reviewed briefly the intelligence evidence on the ICBM
which had become available since the Hyland Panel's
report and concluded that it was not significant enough
to warrant consideration by the Panel $t this time.
25X1 A2g b.
25X1C1Ob
25X1A2g
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program will require a substantial amount of guidance
and direct support from the branch, along the lines now
being given to DD/P. is be 25X1A9a
transferred to the branch from St/I to: handle the4n 25X1A2a
This recommendation was subsequently accepted, in effect,
by USIB, although the Board decided to';,consider the
question of a new missile estimate again during March.
i
During February, Mset in motion atI/ I/GM's request
a greatly expanded collection program directed princi-
pally toward observational information on Soviet guided
missile production and deployment. Thp program foresees
program for ORR. A special one-week orientation and
briefing course hac, bee a at or the 25X1 A2g
week of 9 March for t4e Officers who hav been
25X1A2
andle this program at the principal=
The course will consist of a series of
substantive presentations by the ORR and OSI members of
the DD/P Guided Missile Task Force, followed by several
days of briefings by DD/P on "operational realities" and
g
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SUBJECT: Monthly Report, February 1959
c. The branch has been requested by the Chairman, GMAIC to
brief the committee on behalf of CIA on!the most likely
areas of deployment for certain Soviet tuissile systems.
The Army and Air Force will make similar presentations,
in an effort to arrive at an agreed community position
prior to an Army briefing of the CCPC on. the same subject
on 5 March. The I/GM presentation willbe focused
primarily on ICBM deployment.
d. Chief, D/I and Acting Chief, I/GM prepared an overnight
comment on the statement regarding ICBM production by
25X1X6
25X1 D1 a
f. briefed the CIA Guided Missile
Forum conducted by OSI on the estimated Soviet ICBM pro-
duction and deployment program prepared. by I/GM for the
DD/I on the assumption that Khrushchev's recent ICBM
statements were substantially correct. Undaunted by
having been introduced as "Captain Smith",
made a very effective presentation which was highly
commended by Acting Chief, GMD/OSI.
substance of this comment, heavily edited, was published
in the Current Intelligence Digest. The original ORR
draft was received with appreciation by. the DD/I, who
is reported to have observed that future items of this
nature should be prepared in memorandum form for trans-
mittal to the DCI.
The
25X1A9a
25X1A9a g. A Current Support Memorandum was prepared by
on the apparent Soviet pattern of air-to-surface
25X1 DOa
25X1 DOa
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SUBJECT: Monthly Report, February 1959
25X1A9a
s now completing a CSM summarizing
new evidence on the
ities of the former
and is preparing a C M analyzing a
variety of indications of a possible ICBM launch site in
the Urals.
provided support t GMAIC in its
h.
reconsideration, at 'IB t s request, of t e Soviet 700
&WkE
n.m. and 1,100 n.m. misoile programs. T.is reconsidera-
tion resulted in some slight revisions in previous
estimates (see Item 3, below).
i. During February, there were several developments regarding
collection of information on missile deployment in the
European Satellites. These included the preparation of
a statement of general collection objectives by the DD/P
Guided Missile 'Task Force; conversationq with a repre-
sentative of EE/Plans, DD/P, concerning relative prior-
ities by geographic area and type of information; and
a request to USI and DU/P for a feasibility study regarding
25X1 DOa
25X1 D2a
2. Status of Projects:
a. Changes in the status of three currently scheduled pro-
jects (37 6, 37_,,23$. ,_ and 37.2390) have been recom-
mended by separate memorandum submitted with the proposed
FY 1960 research program at the end of February.
b. Project No. 37.23,, Collection of Planning Data on
Soviet Guided Missile Pro ram. Analyst: 25X1A9a
25X1A9a A revised draft of this paper h4s just been sub-
mitted to the branch incorporating a s4ries of detailed 25X1A9a
25X1A9a comments and suggestions made by
Assuming no difficulties arise in connection
with final review of this paper, it should be submitted
during March as scheduled, for publication as a Research
Aid. rr
c. Projects No. 37.2122; Status Re ort on Soviet Guided
Missile Launching Sites and 37.2 52, Evidence of Ballistic
Missile Production at Sverdloyvs .-""Tho status of these
projects was discussed with you on 27 February.
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SUBJECT: Monthly Report, February 1959
3. Changes in Estimates:
GMAIC's reconsideration of the Soviet 700 and 1,100 n.m.
missile programs (see Item lh, above) res.lted in the follow-
ing revisions in current estimates:
a. The 1,100 n.m. missile is now estimated to be a new
weapon system, rather than a modification of the 700 n.m.
missile, as previously estimated; and'
b. The operational availability date for the 1,100 n.m.
missile is now estimated to be "in the latter part of
1958" (Air Force footnote : probably 1959), rather than
"in 1958", as previously estimated.
Administration:
D/Ch/E has completed his review of tl e functions, per-
sonnel resources and problems of the branch. To date, he
has agreed to: (a) assist the branch in achieving approxi-
mately the professional personnel strength authorized at
the beginning of 1958; (b) consider further additional pro-
fessional personnel requirements of the branch; (c) provide
additional clerical assistance; and (d) take action to
determine whether and to what extent certain current branch
analytical problems can be alleviated by machine data pro-
cessing methods.
5. Logistic Problems (III):
During a particularly critical period of omphaloskepsis
last month, the 'branch learned that it was in danger of
being consumed by a new and unprecedentedly voracious "con-
sumer". When a delegation first started to materialize out
of the woodwork in Room 1218 Que, we natur&lly assumed that
25X1A9a the DD/P representatives were arriving for' a special meeting
of task force (possibly even the "Inner Group").
Investigation revealed, however, that the visitors were
actually members of the order of Isoptera (pseudonym: termites).
The following quotation from an authoritative source
clearly indicates why termites should have a natural affinity
for this branch:
"In termite society, the individual worker
is an utterly selfless automaton. It never loafs,
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SUBJECT: Monthly Report, February 1959
never sleeps. Ceaselessly it toils for the welfare
of the community. Individually termites may be
weak and stupid creatures, but collectively their
society is strong and, in a sense, intelligent."
25X1A9a
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