COMMENTS ON ESTIMATED PRODUCTION AND UTILIZATION OF GRAIN IN THE USSR, 1955/56-1963/64

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP66B00403R000400080003-5
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 19, 2004
• Sequence Number: 3
• Content Type: MISC

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Approved For Release 2004/11/29 : CIA-IRDP66B004031k000400080003-5
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--;,aoments on F.,',.;tisiat?ed,,Pr uetin atd TJi 3*txo Grain j'the
7 l',...ZIaal.Ja,222-YD,V?,4 777
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, Estimate:2'ot'. grain production are cnIccu1at4a. indepanl.en
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qt as Sov-iet aonerPts
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;falai begtaraine; -with 193 off Ida) Soviet' ste.tiF_Itlie.a,kria.v.
l'or-r/56 id' -L951/584
? ?Ize of the hat-crest. 7.xcept for
o,rste....t,ed.;the ? , 4 , r
the figureh for production in the attst...hed tatilaz are estivirttcs. ,
71.1e trade 4a in the (1.'6'tache1 table,q are ba.sed op
r t a dti c r.e3eased by the ?vietthon ar,O'. other t'ol.latries. The
offIcip.1 stetiLities on trade are considere-1 to be generally. rele.
744
...1r.r7?14
Because-of' the lacic of officiai claria it was nce ;er to eqtasfp...4,t. ?
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???? the' trade for -1962/63 an;..1 1963/6.4. ? ? ? ?, , ,
;Very little, info:ciliation is re...Lease:1 by, the Soarleta on theit: ? ?
meetic -utilization, of grain. -The estimates :of deme$4-....1c
in the- a.ttac..bed -tables $1-tou1d be consi,dered only'qprxim-atlns: ? , ?
Ar.
ither then. precise yoes,sure.s.
'The -final. calur.1,n "13,:eSidua1 f''or Peed aaA, rieserves`4) iflblie
-
stt*,r.!`ned tles is the tot*1 a-r.railtal)7111...ty Trdnu.s 'v-'ariotts a.othestic T
use.o. Thus the "Rezidnais for Feed and Reser e' are probably ,the.
et accurate of the estimates
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the
tables.
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Approved For Release 2004/11/29 : CIA-ROP66B00403ROJ0040110,999R3f$
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Approved For Release 2004/11/2.0'; CIA-1rip66b0040iaR0o04o0o80 03-
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;%!?=t,t:" 7s1t,
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'able la-bed-production aria litlization ofaini ti JSSR, 15/54
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,-',. istri. .,j.,,
. - Tot ?
-.- 30 -,-TuT2-) Production _12 -, T.:rad , L?" , Availability . 1,,Taste .3/ ? ; Seed ).?./.. - 1.Tse'. _V
i,-,,T (1 liu
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-....,,.: 7,..._..---?. ?...
955 ? .. .? ,. , , . , ,
? ,,,,, .., , . .,.. - , -.:. 4.6
1/56 106 8 ,2 4
. . -: -. - ,,-.,-1.024 0 ....1.47., -. ' .-_, . '6.4 ..': -1, _,,,?18. , -.-.
' .---
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. ..... .
, .
a ? ' . . . .. , , .: .... .
.. ? 1958/.59 -1:25.?.0. . . 75 4 119,6 .-.-. 7.5'..., : . , 16.8 ',- . . . 1,...'5,:-
. .
1959/60 .100,0. . _ -6.1 ? 93.9-. -- . - 6.0- . r-: , - - arr.() ._. : ' 4.5 - .
. 1960/61' ..100..0- ? . ., -o.0
4.0
-,
1961/62 .115,0 -7''' ,.. 107.8 6.9 19.0 - 5,0
1962/63 115.0 -6.5108. 6.9 19.6 -. - 5.0 ,,-.
5
, , A
Z 1963/64 94.0 to 100.0 ? +6.0 to +8-.0 100.0 to 108.0 _ ? 6.0 19.6 : 5.0 _ '45.2.'-
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- P .1. hstimated except for 1955; 5 8,11A. 1957 5 ? The produetion estimates refer to , the first -year.,_n -the split years indicated: The estimate
p w ,,. mr 2,-,,,,61,../6,4 Is p3,.-e_Laminary. ,*?. ,- , , , . . . ..
2. Net trade _for the split years used in this :-_??ale 148,S ' calculated froM Soviet foreign trade data -which are reported ---z.11 a 'cale...ndar year
by assumin that two-thirds of the total p;rain .tra:le takes place during the ,first half of the -calendar year (last half of the C:.onSumPtion year), ::--
m
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- justification for this assumption is the fact tW a good grain crop in theUSSR is most clearly reflected in .increased grain .exports during-
. - . .
4--1 ,- -- ,,, :
,--1 the. following calend y
ar -ear. Trade figures for I9o2/o3 and 196-R/64 are estima-bes. since Soviet trade data are not V or ailable -as -yet f thPee -.,_, - - --
. . -
, -
years., . :-... , _ ? - .
'--. WaSte of w,rain after havinF, been put :TA:Ito ,st?or.a...c,re fa,cUities ,is estimated to be about :_6 percent of prodUctiorit., This avaste'factor: is -130,34d- : .:,' :' ,:'?_'..,, : ..- -: :'
uTon US -eperience, and thuis:.164/: -t,tricl.. to bild_rretate, itt5,ii-lefht -the wastage 'of grain, in the USSR. Abnormal losses of 'grain between harvesting -11nd,
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sTorage Which- oCcur-OcCasionally ;in ten : the USSR are t into account LI :the grain li-(3.1faictiOn-?est-imates,-; -,:. .: -:..- . . t. ? --.--, --. , - '' ..',--- --- '-, - - ,:- --,- ,-... ;.--..- -....,
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.4. beading rate o? 1i centnerp per nectare-appl,i: ,.. to the reported grain acreage. o..r., ,,he fo..Llovang; year. This. ak,,e,rage --seedin4 er
..-rate,ya .d:
s. a, r - -- '-- % -1
. bv elulatino- the seeding.- rates -f,o the different ,rdakl.S in the 1..1*R 'by ?tne,acreage seeded to each grgin. ..rrit'i acre-f .1.1:1 .190a 3: s eapected to .
, ?,_ , ?:: be- about 'the same as in 1963? _although some redUction- :would occur if a,,' continuation of dry Weather-. caused :an.' increase, in falloWing in -the:1\l'eAT .:
Approved For Rpleas4,20.04/111/k0-!:,C!A-141-2466"E4)?03140:0040-0086,00aL
Estimated PrOduction and. UtiUzation o
. in January 1954 Khrushchev indicated that industrial us,e of grain amo-alted to about, 4 million t.ons-. ,Effor.tS on the part' -of the-
Soviet leaders t curtail the use f grain for these purposes are believed?. to have had 'little success.
6. Assumes the -following consumption rates' applied to population as of 1 January _(K.gs. per 'capita.);
_
1955/56 - 240
/7 - 240
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Approved Fpr Release 2004/11/29 : CIA-13DP661300403R000400080003-51r
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trifFileRthdaseztratt
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. Tab/e 2 ,
Est.imsted Production and Utilization of Wheat in the USSR
1955/56-1963/64 ?
-
Yoar
/
du.c. ti
1955/56
47.o
1956/57
,-,
1957/5
58.o
1.053/59
(43.o
1959/60
55-0
)96a/61
46.0
1961/r",
55-0
1962/63
57-0
: 1(463/64
4o.o
Net , Total
?r-,de 2/
-1,
?
r 7
53-9
57-9
49.4
41.3
5o.4
? 52.9
Oto 48.o
/
t e
2.3
3.4
3-5
3.8
3-3
2.8
3.3
3.4
6.9
9-5
? indastri,c1
Tice.
? 2.0
2.0
- 2.0
2.5
2.5
2.5
9.4 2.5
9.4
Million
? Residual for
P e ea ?en,1 R,.,..erces,
0-5
5.7
4