STATUS OF ORE ACTIVITIES THROUGH 31 DECEMBER 1946

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP67-00059A000300150001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 22, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 31, 1946
• Content Type: MF

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MEMORANDUM FOt THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLI TCE F
SUBJECT: Sta~us of ORE Activities Through 31 cember 1946
1. The intelligence effort of this Office is represented by the
following types of activity: (a) the preparation of written reports
and estimates constituting strategic and national policy intelligence;
(b) the visual and oral presentation of salient features of the world
situation based on (a) above; (c) the representation of CIG interests
in proposals for the establishment of interdepartmental programs invol-
ving intelligence research and evaluation; (d) the recommendation of
the establishment of intelligence programs Which., in the interests of
the national security should be conducted on an interdepartmental basis;
(e) the implementation of, and participation in approved interdepart-
mental programs involving intelligence research and evaluation; and (f)
the determination of requirements for,, and evaluation of the adequacy
of intelligence information, to be collected, or available, in support
of the national intelligence mission.
2. Detailed statements of specific ORE projects, completed, in
process or projected, are included in the order named above under the
Tabs attached hereto.
3. Organizational planning activities of this Office have resulted
in: (a) completion of an interim table of organization which, whin
approved, will form the basis for planned recruitment and placement of
personnel required to bring ORE to temporarily adequate producing strength;
(b) activation of the Economic Group,, Functional Branch, which has
accelerated the planning for intelligence coverage in this field; and
(c) activation of the Projects Division, Intelligence Staff, which has
permitted attention to be focused upon the systematic programming of ORE
strategic intelligence estimates.
L. In support of its intelligence effort, this Office has negotiated
and implemented mutually satisfactory liaison agreements with the intelli-
gence producing, and certain policy making agencies of the State, War
and Navy Departments. In certain instances liaison arrangements have
been entered into with agencies of other governmental departments. A
survey of such arrangements was recently compiled and submitted to the
Chief, Interdepartmental Coordinating and Planning Staff.
5. As of this date, this Office is operating at 20 per cent of its
projected strength based upon the table of organization referred to in
paragraph 3 above. T ollowin-a units of this Of fi ea have not as ypt,
been activated;
!Efforts to establish these units are in progress.
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lOP SEC
7 00(~69AA B .' .~NTELLIG NCETOR
Assistant Director
Reports and Estimates
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ORE progress reports through April 1948
directly hereunder.
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E
PREPARATION OF WRITTEN REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
1. In this context "intelligence" is taken to mean "evaluated
and interpreted information". The constant effort of ORL to produce
intelligence in increasing volume, coverage, and quality has been
handicapped by a dearth of personnel qualified by perception and
experience for penetrating analysis and sound interpretation of
information of high political. import. Nevertheless ORE has, I
believe, produced intelligence of respectable quality in greater
volume than is generally appreciated.
2.
The output of ORE is published in four series, as follows:
a.
'6.
The Daily Summary., initiated 15 February 19h6.
The Weekly Summary, initiated 7 June 1946.
c.
U.,
The Special Evaluation Series, initiated 1 August 1946.
The ORE Series, initiated 23 July 19116.
3.
The content of the Daily Summary has hitherto been limited
to a factual briefing of significant cables. Evaluation enters into
the selection of cables from the mass available and into the choice
of points to stress in briefing them, but evaluative and :interpretive
comment have been excluded. Such comment was made for the first time
in the Daily for 16 December (item 7). The introduction of factual
background material, and of evaluative or interpretive comment in
appropriate cases, has long been recognized as desirable. However,
quite apart from the restriction in NIA Directive No. 2, paragraph
ha, severe limitations of time and space will prevent the Daily from
developing far beyond the "flash" presentation of selected items.
4. From the first it has been recognized that, on this account,
a Weekly would be necessary as a more suitable medium for presenting
items of current intelligence in perspective and for interpretation
in terms of emergent trends, The Weekly was launched by direction
before a suitable staff had been assembled, but, by dint of extraordi-
nary effort it has been kept to a standard of analysis and interpre-
tation which compares favorably with any other intelligence publication.
The constant tendency in such periodicals is to slip from analysis and
interpretation into a narrative review of current events. On this
account there is a common tendency to regard them as falling short of
the accepted definition of Latelligence, and this habit of thought
may have been carried over in application to our Weekly simply because
it is a periodical. In view, however, of the standards of analysis
and interpretation which we have, in general, succeeded in maintaining,
the content of our Weekly should be recognized as intelligence.
Consideration of the analytical index contained in Inclosure No. 1
will show that it constitutes a respectable volume of intelligence
production.
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5. The Special Evaluation Series was established to provide
a means for evaluative and interpretive comment on current reports
such as could not be given in the Daily and should not be heldfor
the forthcoming Weekly. Items in it are essentially extra editions
of the Weekly devoted to a single report or several reports bearing
on a single subject. Their content should manifestly be regarded as
intelligence, although of a current "flash" character. Eight numbers
have been issued thus far, as listed in Inclosure No. 2. The rate
at which they are issued should tend to increase but, since it also
depends on events requiring such special treatment, it cannot be
projected.
6. The ORE Series consists of deliberate and coordinated
estimates which obviously should be classified as intelligence. As
set forth in detail in Inclosure No. 3, five such estimates have been
published to date, six are in various stages of preparation, and
five more are planned for the immediate future.
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11M EX OF ARTICLES IN THE 1ELKLY SUlt &RY
ALBANIA
xha Questions Status of U.S. Mission 25 Oct.
Future of the Albanian Government 22 Nov.
Communists Approach North African Nationalists 23 Aug.
ARGENTINA
(see Latin America)
AUSTRIA
Soviet Attempts to Control the Austrian Economy 9 Aug.
Stability of the Austrian Government 30 Aug.
Soviet policy in Austria 29 Nov.
Soviets Reverse Their Tactics in Austria 20 Dec.
Belgian and Dutch Attitudes on Western Germany
BIKINI
World Reaction to the Bikini Operation 12 July
BOLIVIA
(see Latin America)
BRAZIL
(see Latin America)
BULGARIA
itical Tension in Bulgaria 5 July
The Bulgarian Government Prepares for Elections 16 Aug.
Prospects for Communist Victory in the 27 Sept.
Bulgarian Elections
Soviet Forces in Bulgaria 4 Oct.
Post-Election Prospects in Bulgaria 1 Nov.
BURY
Increased Autonomy for Burma 4 Oct.
Burmese Coalition Breaks With the Communists 18 Oct.
Critical Anglo-Burmese Negotiations 20 Dec.
CRILB
(see Latin America)
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Chinese Truce Proves Ineffective 14 June
Chinese Communist Attacks on the U.S. 28 June
Anti-U.S. Propaganda in China 5 July
Inflation in Shanghai 12 July
Extension of Civil War in China 19 July
Madam Sun Joins the Propaganda War 26 July
Objectives of the Current Kuomintang Offensives 2 Aug.
Implications of State Economic Control 2 Aug.
China Crisis Grows More Acute 16 Aug.
Peace through Negotiation Doubtful 6 Sept.
Current Economic Prospects 13 Sept.
Communist Armies Lose Ground 20 Sept.
Soviet and Chinese Interests in Sinkiang 11 Oct.
Resumption of Peace Negotiations 25 Oct.
Minor Parties and the Chinese National 22 Nov.
Assembly
Chinese Government Seeks Munitions 29 Nov.
Economic Chaos Breeds Civil Unrest 6 Dec.
Britaints Concern Over Its Influence in China 20 Dec.
COLOMBIA
see Latin America)
CZECHOSLOVAKIA
Czechoslovakians Economic Orientation 29 Nov.
Czech-Hungarian Minority Dispute 6 Dec.
ECUADOR
(see Latin America)
EGYPT
Sidkyts Resignation and the Anglo-Egyptian Treaty 13 Dec.
The New French Government 28 June
Political Prospects in France 5 July
Decline of French Communist Prestige 26 July
Compromise Wage-Price Settlement 9 Aug.
Communist Domination of the CGT May Weaken 16 Aug.
Anti VIestern Campaign of the French Communist 30 Aug.
Press
Differences Within the French Communist Party 30 Aug.
Leftist Gains in the French Socialist Congress 6 Sept.
DeGaulle and the French Political Situation 11 Oct.
Economic Crisis Endangers Political Stability 1 Nov,
The French General Elections 8 Nov.
The French and Italien Elections 15 Nov.
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GERI I NY
e Implications of Soviet Policy toward Germany 19 July
Soviet Aims in Supporting German Unity 2 Aug.
De-Nazification in the U.S. Zone 23 Aug.
Interzonal Exchange of German Newspapers 13 Sept.
Inspection of German War Potential 11 Oct.
Soviet Pressure on the German Christian and 18 Oct.
Liberal Parties
Significance of the German Elections 25 Oct.
Implications of the German Reparations Impasse 1 Nov.
GREECE
-'Political Tension in Greece 28 June
Issues in the Greek Plebescite 16 Aug.
Greek Prospects Following the Plebescite 6 Sept.
HUNGARY
Soviet Demands on Hungary 19 July
Hungary's Coalition under Increasing Tension 2 Aug.
Hungary's Attempts to Stabilize Her Economy 2 Aug.
Political and Economic Tension in Hungary 20 Sept.
Communist Setback in Hungary 25 Oct.
The Czech-Hungarian Minority Dispute 6 Dec.
Communist Maneuvers in Hungary 13 Dec.
ICELi' ND
.The U.S. Base Question in the Icelandic Election 28 June
Campaign
The Iceland Base Issue and the UN 26 July
Icelandic Opposition to U.S. Bases 9 Aug.
Iceland's Dilemma in the Base Issue 16 Aug.
Icelandic Premier's Optimism on the Base 30 Aug.
Negotiations
Icelandic Parliament Considers Base Agreement 20 Sept.
Impact of U.S. - Icelandic Agreement on the 18 Oct.
Communist Position
I INDIA
Calcutta Riots May Weaken Moslem League 23 Aug.
The Current Political Crisis in India 6 Dec.
London Talks Fail to Break Indian Impasse 13 Dec.
INDOCHINA
French Negotiations with the Indochinese States 21 June
French Policy in Indochina 9 Aug.
The Dalat and Malino Conferences 23 Aug.
Outbreaks in Indochina 29 Nov.
INDONESIA
Extremist Tendencies'in Java and Sumatra 14 June
The Dutch Call a Conference at Malino 12 July
Prospects in Dutch-Indonesian Negotiations 13 Sept,
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INDONESIA (Cont'd)
British Attempt to Effect Truce 20 Sept.
The Netherlands-Indonesian Union 29 Nov.
IBA9
The Azerbaijan Settlement 14 June
Political Alignment in Iran 12 July
Progress of Qavam's New Party 19 July
British Difficulties in Southern Iran 26 July
Pressures Increase in Iran 9 Aug.
Qavam's Strong Position in Negotiations 30 Aug.
Qavam Checks Anti-Tudeh Move in Southern Iran 20 Sept.
Cabinet Changes in Iran 25 Oct.
The Azerbaijan Capitulation 13 Dec.
The Soviet Outlook in Iran 20 Dec.
Pro-US Iraqi Cabinet 6 Dec.
The Monarchist Issue in Italy 14 June
-Increased Tension in Venezia Giulia 5 July
Italian Reactions to the CFM Decisions 12 July
Continuing Disorders in Venezia Giulia 19 July
The Italian Colonial Issue 26 July
Italian Communists Attack Anti-Inflation Policy 13 Sept.
Significance of the :Italian Communist-Socialist 1 Nov.
Pact
French and Italian Elections 15 Nov.
Communist Move to Control Trieste 22 Nov.
Dangerous Attitudes of Italian Extremists 29 Nov.
Issue Drawn on Japanese Constitution 19 July
US Presses for Japanese Reparations Settlement 9 Aug.
US Presses USSR for Action on Japanese Reparations 27 Sept.
The Far Eastern Commission and the Japanese 27 Sept.
Constitution
The Review of the Japanese Constitution 15 Nov.
US Countermoves in Korea 21 June
Korean Food Supply 12 July
Democracy and Unity in South Korea 26 July
Unity Movement Stalled in South Korea 9 Aug.
South Korea's Susceptibility to Soviet 23 Aug.
Influence
The Unity Movement in South Korea 4 Oct.
Soviets Indicate Interest in Reconvening Korean 18 Oct..
Joint Commission
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IATI N Ui RICA
Eblitical Crisis in Chile 28 June
Mexican General Elections 5 July
Democratic Govt, for Bolivia Likely 26 July
The Workers' Confederation of Latin America 2 Aug.
Paraguay Liberalizes Government 2 Aug,
Ecuadorian Election Expected to Support Pres. 9 Aug.
Communism in Cuba 23 Aug.
US Base Difficulties in Peru and Panama 6 Sept.
Argentine Communist Party 13 Sept.
Anglo-.Argent Trade Agreement 27 Sept..
Brazil in SA's Economic Crisis 4 Oct.
Inter-American Measures to Exclude Nazis 18 Oct.
Venezuela's Junta Government Faces Test 25 Oct.
Soviet Intelligence Objectives in Latin 25 Oct.
America
Emerging Trends in South American Elections 1 Nov.
Soviet Intelligence Organizations in Latin 1 Nov.
America
The Gathering Crisis in Colombia 8 Nov.
Soviet-Dominated Slavic Minority Groups in 8 Nov.
Latin America
Foreign Influence in Latin American Military 15 Nov.
Circles
The Political Trend in Uruguay 29 Nov.
.CTRL Opposes Hemisphere Military 20 Dec,
Standardization
MEXICO
(see Latin America)
NETHERLANDS
(see Indonesia)
Militarization of Bear Island and Spitzbergen 6 Dec.
PALESTINE
Jemi sh Armed Organizations in Palestine 21 June
Middle Eastern Reaction to President Truman's 11 Oct,
Statement on Palestine
PAIZ&MA
(see Latin America)
PARAGUAY
(see Latin America)
PERU
(see Latin America)
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PHI I.I PPI NES
i ippine Nationalism Impedes US Base Agreement 4 Oct.
POLAND
Issues in Polish Referendum 21 June
Continued Anti-Semitic Outbreaks in Poland 26 July
Polish Political Tension Increases 26 July
PORTUGAL
Portuguese Reject US Terms for Azores Bases 9 Aug.
Per uguese Intransigeanoe on Azores Bases 26 July
RUMANIA
New Rumanian Electoral Laws 19 July
Outlook for the Rumanian Elections 25 Oct.
Communist Pre-Electoral Tactics in Rumania 8 Nov.
Economic Difficulties in Rumania 15 Nov.
Siamese-French Border Dispute 26 July
Potential Resistance to Retrocession in Siam 8 Nov.
SPAIN
Economic Pressure on Franco 11 Oct.
Unsteady Balance in Spain 15 Nov.
SKTZERLAND
Swiss Commercial Aid to the USSR 22 Nov.
TUNISIA
Communists Approach North African Nationalists 23 Aug.
TURKEY
Soviet Proposal for Revision of Straits 16 Aug.
Convention
UNITED KENGDOM
Possible Strains on Anglo..merioan Collaboration 15 Nov.
The Success of Britaints Export Drive 6 Dec.
URUGUAY
see Latin America)
Soviet Propaganda Attacks on the US and UK 14 June
Soviet Propaganda Increases Attacks on US 2 Aug.
Soviet Reaction to US Base Program 9 Aug.
Soviet Proposal for Revision of Straits Convention 16 Aug.
Soviet Propaganda Stiffens 23 Aug.
Soviet Military Polioy in Eastern Europe 23 Aug.
Soviet Internal Problems 30 Aug.
Soviet Propaganda Charges US Threatens Small 6 Sept.
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USSR Cont'd
Effect of Demobilization of Soviet Military
Potential
20 Sept.
Effects of Soviet Propaganda 20 Sept.
Soviet Military Activity in the Balkans 27 Sept.
Soviet Purge Spreads to Collective Farms 27 Sept.
Soviet Policy and Propaganda Since Stalin's 4 Oct,
Interview
Significance of Further Soviet Rationing 11 Oct.
Stalin Interview. Causes Little Change in Soviet 11 Oct.
Propaganda
Soviet Agricultural Difficulties 18 Oct.
Organization and Functions of the Soviet 18 Oct.
Ministry of State Security
Significance of Personnel Changes in Soviet 25 Oct.
Hierarchy
Stalin's Replies to the United Press 1 Nov.
Soviet Budget for 1946 1 Nov.
Soviet Propaganda Treatment of US Politics 8 Nov.
Zhdanov's Revolution Day Speech 15 Nov.
Revival of Militant Communism in USSR 15 Nov.
Soviet Propaganda in Eastern Europe 22 Nov.
USSR Seeks Expanded Retail Trade Through 22 Nov.
Cooperatives
Strength and Disposition of Soviet Occupation 29 Nov.
Forces in Europe
Current Soviet Propaganda 6 Dec.
VENEZUELA.
(see Latin America)
YUGOSLAVIA
Yugoslav Military Strength and Capabilities 14 June
Yugoslav Reaction to US Stand on Plane Incidents 30 Aug.
Tito Remains Recalcitrant 6 Sept.
Renewed Yugoslav Attacks on the US 4 Got.
Communist Jk ve to Control Trieste 22 Nov.
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES
Initial Meetings of the Council of Foreign 21 June
Ministers
Agreement in the Council of Foreign Ministers 5 July
Obstacles to US Base Program 2 Aug.
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