CABLE FROM (Sanitized) TO JOHN PARANGOSKY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP71B00822R000200130016-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 13, 2004
• Sequence Number: 16
• Publication Date: November 5, 1968
• Content Type: CABLE

=O(3M
V12-67 2820
Approved For Release 2OO O5T2Ef o 61ASR 1 B0Q 2R000200130016-6
NOW
25X1
ISINGLASS
TO: JOHN PARANGOSKY
25X1
..r FROM:
6 NOV 68 01 1
1. COMMENTS ON SURVIVABILITY/VULNERABILITY STUDIES FOR ADVANCED
AIRCRAFT RECCE SYSTEM.
+.- 2. THE SELECTION OF THE PERFORMANCE CHARACTERISTICS OF A NEW
AIRCRAFT RECCE SYSTEM DEPENDS LARGELY ON THE DEFENSES AGAINST
WHICH IT MUST HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO SURVIVE. SINCE FUTURE
DEFENSIVE SYSTEMS EXPECTED 10 YEARS FROM NOW CAN ONLY BE
POSTULATED, IT IS IMPORTANT THAT THE SENSITIVITY OF SURVIVAL
TO VARIATION IN DEFENSIVE SYSTEM PERFORMANCE PARAMETERS BE
4- DEVELOPED. THESE SENSITIVITIES SHOULD BE DEVELOPED AND EVAL-
UATED FROM THE REGION OF NOMINAL PARAMETER VALUES, BASED ON
PRESENT DAY SYSTEMS, TO VALUES ADEQUATE TO ENCOMPASS FUTURE
SYSTEMS.
3. A VARIATION ABOUT THE NOMINAL SHOULD BE INCLUDED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COMPONENTS OF THE PROBLEM. COMPONENTS FOR WHICH
W CHARACTERISTICS WILL BE VARIED ARE:-
NRO review(s) completed.
25X1
ILLEEi IB
ILLEGIB
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP71 B00822R000200130016-6
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP71 B00822R000200130016-6
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP71 B00822R000200130016-6
 FOta,M (44)
rwr 12-67 2820
Approved Fo, r Release 2C)666?tflE[tWftbMB0082?2ROO0200130016-6
25X1
SECRET
(When Filled In)
S E C R E T
7'. THE RESULT WILL BE A SERIES OF MATRICES THAT SHOW THE
RELATIVE SURVIVABILITY AND SENSITIVITY TO DEFENSE SYSTEM
CHARACTERISTICS. THE DEFENSIVE SYSTEMS WHICH ARE CURRENTLY
DEPLOYED AND IN DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE COMPARED TO THOSE
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP71 B00822R000200130016-6
25X1
 FORM
1w 12-67 2820
SECRET
(When Filled In)
25X1
w
Approved For, Release $91No C71 BO(2R000200130016-6
%ow
PAGE.4 SECRET
6
7
9
VARIOUS IMPROVEMENTS POSTULATED AND AN ASSESSMENT MADE OF THE
TECHNICAL CREDIBILITY. THE COST IMPACT WOULD BE AN IMPORTANT
AND DESIRABLE FACTOR ALSO. THIS COMPARISON OF POSSIBLE SYSTEMS
VERSUS PROBABLE SYSTEMS WOULD PROVIDE PLANS AND ASSOCIATED
RATIONALE WHICH COULD BE USED TO ASSESS THE "DIRECTION"
THAT AN INTELLIGENT ENEMY MIGHT TAKE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF HIS
FUTURE DEFENSIVE SYSTEM. BY THEN DEVELOPING A TIME FRAME OF
"POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT RATE," THE THIRD DIMENSION CAN BE ADDED
WHICH THEN IDENTIFIES THE SPAN OF "OPERATIONAL FREEDOM"
SPECIFIC RECONNAISSANCE SYSTEMS MIGHT ENJOY.
S E C R E T
BT
Approved For Release 2004/05/21 : CIA-RDP71 B00822R000200130016-6