CABLE FROM (Sanitized) TO JOHN PARANGOSKY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP71B00822R000200130017-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 13, 2004
• Sequence Number: 17
• Publication Date: November 5, 1968
• Content Type: CABLE

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ISINGLASS
TO; JOHN PARANGOSKY
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1. PER OUR DISCUSSIONS LAST WEEK I THOUGHT I WOULD PASS ALONG
A FEW COMMENTS WHICH I FEEL ARE PERTINENT CONCERNING ANYI iiVANCE)
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~- PLANNING STUDY. THESE COMMENTS REALLY REFER TO THE SUITA-
BILITY, APPLICABILITY, OR NECESSITY OF THE "THINK TANK"
TYPE SUPPORT.
o A) MISSIONS AND PROFILES - THE SELECTION OF MISSIONS AND
PROFILES SHOULD BE, OF COURSE, APPROACHED WITH A COMPLETELY
OBJECTIVE VIEW. HOWEVER ONE FINDS VERY RAPIDLY THAT THOSE
MISSIONS AND PROFILES WHICH SHOULD BE PURSUED ARE THOSE WHICH
HAVE BEEN DICTATED BY SURVIVABILITY/VULNERABILITY CONSTRAINTS.
THEREFORE, THE "THINK TANK" SHOULD REALLY HAVE NOTHING TO
,w OFFER UNLESS THEY DO SURVIVABILITY/VULNERABILITY ANALYSES
WHICH HAVE THE DEPTH AND SPECIFIC RELEVANCE WHICH OSI CAN PRO-
VIDE WHEN SUPPORTED BY CREDIBLE DESIGN STUDIES, AN UNLIKELY
SITUATION.
NRO review(s) completed.
ILLEGIB
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S E C R E T
B) SURVIVABILITY/VULNERABILITY - ANALYSIS OF SURVIVABILITY/
VULNERABILITY TO DEVELOP THE FLIGHT ENVELOPE IN WHICH SOME
OPERATIONAL FREEDOM MAY BE ENJOYED REQUIRES, IN THIS SPECIFIC
CASE, THE USE OF DYNAMIC INFORMATION WHICH IS CURRENT AND
SUBJECT TO CREDIBILITY QUESTIONS UNLESS THE PROPER PERSPEC-
TIVE IS MAINTAINED. IT WOULD APPEAR THAT NO "THINK TANK'
CAN PROVIDE THE NECESSARY HIGH CONFIDENCE BASIS WHICH IS
OFFERED BY THE COMBINATION OF OSI WITH SELECTED SUPPORT.
C) TECHNOLOGY AND STATE OF THE ART - THIS IS ONE AREA
WHERE OUR EXTENSIVE EXPERIENCE SHOWS THAT THE KNOWLEDGEABLE/
EXPERIENCED CONTRACTOR (SUCH AS ONE WHO HAS BEEN INVOLVED
IN ACTUAL HARDWARE PROGRAMS THROUGHOUT THE APPLICABLE SPEED
ALTITUDE REGIME - FROM STOL TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS TO SPACE
VEHICLES INCLUDING RE-ENTRY CONFIGURATIONS -- AND I WONDER
WHO THAT IS --) IS BY FAR LEAPS AND BOUNDS AHEAD OF THE
USUALLY NAIVE PROBLEM TREATMENT GIVEN BY "THINK TANK"
GROUPS. THE SIMPLE FACT OF THE MATTER IS THAT THERE ARE
EXTREMELY IMPORTANT SUBLETIES IN DEVELOPING CONFIGURATIONS--
T HE CONCEPTUAL DESIGNS, STRUCTURAL ARRANGEMENT, WEIGHT AND
BALANCE CHARACTERISTICS, EVALUATING STABILITY AND CONTROL --
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S D C R E T
1w AND A HOST OF OTHER "DESIGN REQUIREMENTS" INCLUDING PROGRAM
PLANNING AND COSTING WHICH SIMPLY CANNOT BE DEVELOPED IN ANY
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WAY OTHER THAN DIVING IN AND GETTING YOUR HANDS DIRTY BY
INSPECTING AND ANALYZING TO THE APPROPRIATE DEPTH. THIS
IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OF ADVANCED SYSTEMS WHERE "CORRELATIVE
PROCEDURES" EITHER DO NOT EXIST OR ARE GROSSLY IN-
?w ADEQUATE. THE ONE WORD WHICH SUMS UP MUCH OF THIS IS
"PRACTICAL."
D) OPERATIONAL CONSTRAINTS - IT WOULD APPEAR TO ME THAT
THIS SUBJECT REQUIRES INTIMATE KNOWLEDGE OF THE "REAL WORLD"
INCLUDING THE PRACTICAL ASPECTS OF DEPLOYMENT AND OPERATION.
THERE ARE UNDOUBTEDLY MANY CONSTRAINTS WHICH HAVE BEEN DE-
VELOPED AS THERE ARE UNDOUBTEDLY MANY SYSTEM FEATURES THAT
HAVE BEEN RATED GOOD OR BAD -- AND WHICH SHOULD BE
ACCOUNTED FOR IN FUTURE SYSTEMS. THESE MIGHT BE CONSIDERED
"DETAILS" AT THIS POINT IN TIME, BUT THERE ARE MEANINGFUL
CONSTRAINTS WHICH SHOULD BE DIALED IN EARLY -- AND ONLY
SOMEONE WHO HAS BEEN THERE AND HAD THIS RESPONSIBILITY CAN
TALK INTELLIGENTLY TO THIS POINT. THE "THINK TANK" APPROACH
MIGHT BE GOOD FROM AN OVERVIEW STANDPOINT, BUT THE PROBLEM
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HARDLY REQUIRES THAT TYPE OF GROUP TO DEVELOP OVERVIEWS OR
PLATITUDES.
E) THERE IS NO QUESTION THAT "OBJECTIVITY" IS VITAL IN PATH-
FINDER EFFORTS OF THE NATURE WE ARE DISCUSSING. THE KEY
TO THIS IS THE MONITORING GOVERNMENT GROUP WHO ARE RESPONSIBLE
NOT ONLY FOR DEVELOPING BROAD GUIDELINES BUT FOR MAINTAINING
A DETAILED KNOWLEDGE OF WORK AS IT IS CONDUCTED, WHETHER BY
A SYSTEM CONTRACTOR OR BY A "THINK TANK." CERTAINLY YOU
MUST HAVE PARTICIPANTS WHO HAVE A HIGH MOTIVATION, AND IT IS
VITAL THAT PARTICIPANTS BE TRULY RESPONSIVE. WE HAVE FOUND
THAT THE ACADEMIC APPROACH AND GOAL OF THE "THINK TANK" GROUPS
OFTEN REPRESENT AN INSURMOUNTABLE HURDLE IN COMING TO ANY
PARTICULAR CONCLUSION OR IN RESPONDING TO "REAL WORLD" CON-
STRAINTS. THEY OFTEN SEEN TO BE FORCED TO MAINTAIN THEIR
IMAGE OF CONSIDERING ALL FACTORS, AND NOT RISK ASSESSING
PRIORITIES OF ITEMS. THIS CAN BE SUMMED UP AS PERHAPS
"ACADEMIC OBJECTIVITY."
2. THESE COMMENTS SUMMARIZE THE THOUGHTS OF BOTH HAROLD AND
MYSELF AND ARE FORWARDED FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION.
3. WE WILL FORWARD A WIRE WITH COMMENTS ON SURVIVABILITY/
w
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S E C R E T
VULNERABILITY ANALYSES LATER TODAY.
S E C R E T
BT
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