11 JANUARY DRAFT OF DCID 15/1

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP75-00662R000200110007-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 3, 1999
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: January 18, 1954
• Content Type: MEMO

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e4NDARD FORM NO. 64 0 ~~
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Office Memorandum ? UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT
TO : Chief, Economic Research
FROM Chief, Services Division
SUBJECT: 11 January Draft of DCID 15/1
DATE: 13 January 1951
1, In general, the draft appears to be sound and, in marV
respects, would represent improvements in the recognized authority
and responsibility of 0/RR in the field of economic research. It
certainly injects more realism into the problem of inter agency
coordination than was found in the earlier NSCID's and DCID's. I
have some major reservations about the draft, however, which are
covered in the following paragraph-by-paragraph comment.
Policies
a. No complete separation of areas of interest is
possible or necessarily desirable in economic intelligence
activities.
Comment: This is a good point to have established.
The same point should be made for other
fields.
b. Full and free interchange of all intelligence
information and finished intelligence and schedules of
research programs, including external research, between
all agencies concerned is essential.
Comment: Good.
c. No one agency is considered to be the final authority
in arty field; conclusions may be questioned by other IAC
agencies and dissents recorded.
Comments This point should also be made for other
fields.
d. Any agency may make such studies as it believes
necessary to supplement intelligence obtained from other
agencies in order to fulfill its agency functions, but basic
research studies should not normally be disseminated outside
the producing agency without advance consultation w.i.th the
agency having primary responsibility for the subject matter
involved.
Comment: Good.
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e, An agency charged with primary responsibility in
a particular field will develop special competence in that
field and will normally carry out most of the research in
that field.
Comment: Good.
f. Each intelligence agency will endeavor to coordinate
the intelligence activities of its technical services and its
other facilities having economic intelligence production capa-
bilities with the work of the IAC intelligence agencies and to
make available to those agencies the intelligence produced by
such services and facilities.
Comment: A good point, but a difficult one for some
of the Services to execute. It might be
advisable to have the language include the
intelligence activities of major co
abroad or elsewhere in the iNea States,
The former work of the CINCPAG intteel 16-nee,
staff on the China problem is a good case in
point. They have re-hashed out-of-date in-
formation and made estimates on inadequate
research in such a may as to cause the US
Government considerable embarrassment.
Responsibility for Intelligence Production
2.1.a. The CIA shall have primary responsibility for intelli-
gence research, as a matter of common concern, on the past and
present state of the Soviet Bloc economibs.
Comment: Good.
b. The appropriate military agencies shall have primary
responsibility for research into the production of military end
items and such studies as may be required to supplement CIA
research in discharging their departmental responsibilities.
Comment: This is a dangerous statement. There are
few plants that do nothing but produce mili-
tary end items. There are many plants that
produce a mixture of civilian and military items,
and there are a great mart' plants that could be
converted from the production of civilian goods
to the production of military end items. It is
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impossible to separate the study of the produc-
tion of military items from the study of the
production of other items. Also, the problem
of convertibility is one of the most important
aspects of the study of Soviet industry.
I suggest that the paragraph be rephrased as
follows :
"The appropriate military agencies shall
have primary responsibility for research into
present and future re uirements for military
of such items,
end items, the cRumt
and such studies...."
This would leave primary responsibility for
production rates with O/RR, but would still
permit the Services to supplement our work in
that field.
This paragraph applies as far as the Array and
Navy are concerned and would also cover military
items of direct interest to the Air Force, but
it does not cover the Air Targets problem. I
do not know enough about that problem to make a
firm recommendation, but it seems to me that we
must either undertake certain types of economic
analysis on behalf of the Air Force or be pre-
pared to recognize a limited amount of duplication.
o. The Department of State shall have primary responsi-
bility for research which integrates political and economic
intelligence and such studies as may be required to supplement
CIA research in discharging its departmental responsibilities.
Comments This is all right, but we might consider
reserving the right to dissent on their
weighing of the various factors.
2.2.a. The Central Intelligence Agency shall have primary
responsibility for providing economic-analytical projections
and establishing limits of economic capabilities.
Comment: Good.
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b. The appropriate military agencies shall have the
primary responsibility for estimates concerning military
end items,-capabilities, and vulnerabilities.
Comment: This paragraph should be amended in accord-
ance with the comment on 2.1.b., above.
c. The Department of State shall have primary responsi-
bility for estimates that integrate political and economic
intelligence in forecasting probable developments.
Comment: See comment on 2.1.c., above.
It recognized that, despite the above mentioned allo-
2.3.
cations of primary production responsibilities, there will be areas
of common or overlapping interest which will require continuing
inter-agency liaison and such wcwking-level conferences as may be
appropriate.
Comment: This is good.
Res onsibility for Economic Intelligence Coordination
3.1. The Central Intelligence Agency will continue to have the
of economic intelligence as
responsibility for coordination
Intelligence Agency in
outlined in NSCID-15.
carrying out this responsibility the Economic Intelligence Committee
shall continue to perform the functions outlined in IAC D-22/1
(revised).
Comment: This statement may be adequate, but somehow
we must encourage all agencies to take a broad
view about their responsibility for coordination.
'What we really need is an Intelligence Conmmnity
that thinks in terms of US interests rather than
Departmental interests. At the same time, we
need intelligence officers in all departments
who think of themselves as belonging to a US
intelligence team and who will trust the other
members to do the best job they can. This DCID
may not be the proper place to say any of the
foregoing, but we should keep the objective in
mind at all times,
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