BLACK RADICALISM IN THE CARIBBEAN

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CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3
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19
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December 12, 2016
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November 26, 2001
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9
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July 6, 1970
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Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 TAB Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 You ,-Ill recall that at O'-- e^tir g with the President on C1 c::ie. 1c e :t erc collection he r.1a a r ere to yc? r,c r a c J.t.:i1 'yf the ~'v , .. Carib raa%: GS.a and asked to hr..and 'c' e a ?'ri0I` study, made of its refati o hip to nom.1 jt,; nt b ac t; org ' ni z ir1 on r in the United States.. Hero is that study. I aes;::+:L YOU LiM see that 'the'' ` s '' '-;`" re ce ..ves hi copy. , ... rd I?cl=as Attach m mts .. 3 6 JU.l y 1970 No. 0.'524'/-,0 zit's2. :'o Black ?af-.ca i Ii in the Carihbz; n. cc: Chief, CI 1,1/3 attack .eats Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 Approved For Release 2002/01109L.: CIA-RDP76Nf00527R000700200009-3 Secret Sensitive DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Intelligence Memorandum Black Radicalism in the Caribbean Secret 6 July 1970 No. 0524/70 Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 'Approved For Release 2002/01/09].CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GROUP t !7[CLODED FROM AUTOMATIC On AND DECLANYIFICATION Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 Approved For Release 2002/0'h~/09.? 005278000700200009-3 s~ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 6 July 19 70 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM Black Radicalism in the Caribbean Summary Black radicalism suddenly became a politically disruptive force in Trinidad early this year. The disturbances there sent shock waves throughout much of the Caribbean.* Other states and territories associated with the British Commonwealth appear vul- nerable, as do the Netherlands West Indies. The various black-oriented groups differ widely from place to place in their programs and tactics, and as yet there has been little liaison among them. They share in the goal of stimulating greater economic and polit- ical participation by the black masses, who remain at the bottom of the economic and social ladder in most of the area. Black radicalism appears to be largely a homegrown phenomenon in the Caribbean, though ties have recently begun to develop with militant black organizations in the United States. (For a discussion of this, see paragraphs 16 to 23, pages 8 to 11.) *Black ra icalism is a real or potential factor in the area's four independent members of the British Commonwealth (Guyana, Trinidad-Tobago, Jamaica, and Barbados); in the still dependent British island in the Caribbean (the Windward and Leeward groups) and in the nearby Atlantic (the Bahamas and Bermuda); and in the Netherlands West Indies. The French islands do not seem to have been appreciably affected. Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic are not affected, at least directly. Note: This memorandum was produced solely by the CIA. It was prepared by the Office of Current Intelligence and coordinated with the Directorate for Plans. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/09 :$ &00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002101/WN(?1TkP76M00527R000700200009-3 The Nature of Black Radicalism in the Caribbean 1. Black radicalism in the Caribbean today often carries the overtones of a protest movement against "the establishment." In many places it also has a strong nationalist content. And in some respects it is a facet of the search for national or group identity by the black majorities in the newly independent or still emerging nations of the region. Radical black organizations in the Caribbean are difficult to cate- gorize ideologically because their revolutionary ante- cedents (Marxism? African socialism, and the civil rights movement in the United States) are mixed and poorly digested. 2. Neither political independence in Guyana, Trinidad-Tobago, Jamaica, and Barbados nor progres- sively increasing. internal autonomy in most of the other territories has significantly altered their socioeconomic structures. In many ways, the social patterns that developed in the plantation economies during the days of colonialism persist today. Blacks still make up the bulk of the lower classes (except in Guyana where just over half the population are of East Indian descent and only some 45 percent are black.) The relatively small middle classes are composed largely of "coloured" (i.e. mulatto) people with an admixture of East Indians (especially in Guyana and Trinidad), Chinese, and whites. The apex of the social and economic pyramid is occupied by a small white or near-white elite, accounting for less than one percent to about four percent of the popu- lations. A highly disproportionate share of the agricultural estates, businesses, commerce, banking, and industry is controlled by the white minorities-- and by foreign-based companies. 3. Changes are, of course, gradually taking place, and the barriers to black progress are no longer as impermeable as they once were. The biggest changes brought about by the movement toward self government are, of course, in the political sphere. Blacks now have won political office throughout most of the area, though lighter skinned "coloureds" have generally done better than they. In the economic and social spheres, however, change has been so grad- ual as to seem nonexistent to many blacks. For these SENSITIVE SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : JT&l00527R000700200009-3 reasons, even black-run governments are often ridi- culed as mere "black fronts manipulated by white power." 4. The fruits of independence in the four coun- tries mentioned above, or of greater local autonomy in most of the others, have not generally lived up to popular expectations. Widespread poverty and high unemployment levels continue. The governments have seldom shown themselves able to bring the kind of progress that would be meaningful to low-income blacks. Popular dissatisfactions sometimes become manifest in racial frictions, which in several places are al- ways close to the surface. When racial tensions erupt into violence between blacks and whites, or between blacks and browns, political and economic progress can be set back seriously. Another manifestation of popu- lar malaise is rising crime rates. Crime has been particularly disruptive in recent years in the densely peopled slum areas of Kingston, Jamaica. The islands, particularly the smaller ones, have some of the highest population densities in the world, a factor further contributing to economic stagnation and popular unrest. 5. Popular grievances, often real and compelling, are of course susceptible to exploitation by political demagogues who promise the impossible or by revolu- tionaries who advocate destruction of existing poli- tical, economic, and social structures. Few, if any, black radical leaders currently on the scene are yet able accurately to claim more than relatively few followers. If the trends of the past year or so are meaningful guides, however, this could change. 6. The past year has seen a growth in the poten- tial of "black power" as a political and social force in much of the Caribbean. New black-oriented groups have appeared, and a number of others that existed earlier have shown signs of becoming more active. They vary widely in their purposes, tactics, and pro- grams. Some are primarily educational;. they stress promotion of an enhanced awareness among blacks of their cultural heritage and identity. This kind of group, probably the majority, is only seldom involved in politics. Some groups are semi-religious, and -3- SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/09 5t17Z- 1 'T M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET ) Approved For Release 2002/01/09. ~tW1kl?iY MO0527R000700200009-3 others act primarily as political pressure groups urging a better deal for the black man. A few, how- ever, are militantly revolutionary. 7. A vaguely articulated notion common to the more radical black leaders is that the roots of British and other colonial cultures must be broken; new social, political, and economic structures com- patible with the needs of the black majorities must be fostered. Black radical leaders become more specific when they discuss economic issues--and these issues are often the most inflammatory ones and the ones most easily understood among the less educated in the radical followings. Black economic control is often made to seem a panacea for the problems of poverty and unemployment of the black communities, where irritation is prevalent over the obvious display of white affluence. The foreign-based companies (primarily US, Canadian, British, and Dutch) are also targets of black radical leaders. Like national- ists in other parts of the world, these leaders resent the fact that such companies dominate many of the economies for (as they see it) the benefit of white foreigners. 8. The most disruptive recent employment of black political action occurred early this year' in Trinidad-Tobago, where black radicals suddenly emerged from near obscurity, without funds or effective organ- ization, to pose a formidable challenge to the stability of the government. Geddes Granger, a 35-year-old student now in his last year at the local university, had formed the National Joint Action Committee (NJAC) in early 1969 as a pressure group to secure "black people's rights." The NJAC became a loose amalgam including several preexisting black groups and attracted support from leftists in the labor movement--notably George Weekes' oil workers' union and Clive Nunez' militant Transport and Industrial Workers' Union. In February of this year Granger launched a series of demonstrations to support a group of West Indian students who had come to trial in Canada. Black power themes emphasizing economic nationalism quickly came to dominate the protests, however, and dissent focused on the govern- ment. After continuing demonstrations had sparked spo- radic disorders, the government in April declared a state -4- SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/09 :WA 9m00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/ME1A8M00527R000700200009-3 of emergency and arrested many of the protest lead- ers, including Granger. This triggered a mutiny in the armed forces, and it was more than a week before the government was able to reestablish control of the military. 9. Although the Trinidad-Tobago government has now firmly reasserted its authority, Prime Minister Williams' prestige has probably suffered irreparable damage. The extent of popular support generated by the protests made evident a deep underlying resentment against the government's failure to promote speedy socioeconomic change. Granger's NJAC, radical from the beginning, seemed to move even further toward a revolutionary position when the opportunity arose to ride a strong current of popular discontent. Unlike black radical groups in most of the rest of the area, the NJAC has made some effort, thus far without success, to secure coopera- tive arrangements with non-black groups, in this case with the large East Indian minority. 10. Elsewhere in the Caribbean, there are other radical and potentially revolutionary groups, though none of these has yet been tested in action as has the NJAC. Most of these groups are small, and few of them seem to have the advantage of effective leader- ship. In Jamaica there are several competing groups. One of them, the African National Union, is led by Marcus Garvey, Jr., son of the man whose "back-to- Africa" movement early in this century created some stir in the United States. Another Jamaican group, Jama-Youth, calls for revolutionary change and the exclusion of non-blacks. Still another group in Jamaica, a semi-religious cult called the New Creation International Peacemakers Association, is headed by Claudius Henry, who seems to be trying to use the group as a springboard to enhanced political influence. In Guyana, the newly formed Ratoon Group, composed primarily of radical university students and faculty members, probably comes close to being a revolutionary group. It is much smaller, however, than the more moderate African Society for Cultural Relations with Independent Africa (ASCRIA). The latter is led by Sydney King, who has Africanized his name to Eusi SENSITIVE C1A Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : P6M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/09 S6Ik@$P'&VI00527R000700200009-3 Kwayana. This group, which has several hundred members, is influential within the governing polit- ical party. 11. Black radical organizations draw their support from a wide variety of sources, and the com- binations differ from place to place. Branches of the University of the West Indies in Jamaica, Trinidad- Tobago, and Barbados are important sources of support and inspiration. In Bermuda, the most prominent exponent of radical black positions is Roosevelt Brown, an opposition member of Parliament. An important political leader and a former member of the prime minister's cabinet in Trinidad, A.N.R. Robinson, may become an important black leader in that country. In the small island of St. Vincent most of the educated young people, mainly teachers. and other civil servants, belong to the Educational Forum of the People, the island's strongest black-oriented group. 12. The various Caribbean governments have reacted in different ways to the black radical chal- lenge. Following the trouble in Trinidad in April, many Caribbean governments showed fear, uncertainty, and then a tendency to crack down hard on potential troublemakers. Many attribute Prime Minister Eric Williams' difficulties in Trinidad-Tobago to his failure to recognize early the threat of black extremism. Prime Minister Hugh Shearer of Jamaica stated flatly that if disturbances similar to those in Port of Spain should erupt in Jamaica, he would not hesitate to crush them. Prime Minister Barrows of Barbados has strengthened his country's security controls and banned a scheduled regional black power conference. Officials on the islands of Grenada and St. Vincent have reacted similarly. 13. In Guyana, Prime Minister Forbes Burnham has sought to maintain a cordial and consultative relationship with his country's largest "black power" group, Eusi Kwayana's ASCRIA. The recent series of rather drastic nationalist economic plans announced by Burnham were coming anyhow, but the wily Burnham surely recognizes that they have helped take the wind SENSITIVE SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01/09 : CIA-RDP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET _Approved For Release 2002/01/@~NCIYWIW76M00527R000700200009-3 out of some of the black radical demands. In Jamaica, Barbados, Trinidad-Tobago, and the Bahamas, govern- ment leaders also seem to be becoming aware of the political advantage of acceding to some of the nationalist demands of black pressure groups. The large US-owned bauxite operations in Jamaica and Guyana, foreign banks in the Bahamas, and other foreign interests throughout the area are likely to be pressed to relinquish some control to local citizens or governments. Prime Minister Williams has privately asked that the US give up its remain- ing assets in the Chaguaramas military base area. Intra-Regional Ties 14. The growth--however uneven--of black radi- calism in the Caribbean suggests a definite potential for development of a regional movement. The four- day First Regional Black Power Conference, held in Bermuda in July 1969, may prove to have been a begin- ning in this direction. The conference was organized by Bermudan opposition legislator Roosevelt Brown. Some 1,100 people participated, but about 90 percent of them were from Bermuda itself. Only about 110 participants, including some 40 from the United States, represented "black power" groups elsewhere in the area. Part of the reason for this was the comprehensive controls imposed by the British. Known or suspected agitators were prohibited entry to Ber- muda just prior to and during the conference. Con- siderable enthusiasm appears to have been generated at the conference for a continuing regional association, but the conference seems to have produced few concrete results, and ties among the disparate "black power" groups of the area remain very loose. 15. It was decided at Bermuda to hold a Second Regional Conference in July 1970 in Barbados. The conference was banned by the Barbadian Government, however, after the recent disturbances in Trinidad- Tobago. Conference organizers have decided to re- schedule it for this autumn and to hold it in the United States, tentatively in Atlanta, Georgia. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/09 :%V;(~aIE7TM00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/01 /09 SF "-I DEV M00527R000700200009-3 International Ties--US Black Militants 16. The evidence shows that there is no con- certed effort by any significant black militant or- ganization in the United States to control the amorphous black radical groups in the Caribbean. Black militants in the United States have provided an inspirational example to black radicals in the Caribbean, and this, of course, is stimulated by the heavy Caribbean press coverage of black militant activities in the US. Some personal contacts do exist between US and Car- ibbean "black power" leaders. Thus far,. these con- tacts do not seem to have resulted in more than limited guidance and some material support to the Caribbean groups. These contacts do, however, have symbolic importance and contribute to the morale of the Caribbean extremists, while alienating the established black political leaders. 17. Perhaps the most significant contacts de- veloped in relation to the Bermuda conference of July 1969. Roosevelt Brown, the Bermudan organizer of the conference, had come to the United States in July 1968 to attend the Third National Black Power Conference in Philadelphia. At that conference he proposed that the next such meeting be held in Bermuda. His suggestion was rejected, but Brown was appointed Regional Black Power Coordinator for the Caribbean Area--evidently a recognition of interest among US blacks in developing contacts in the Carib- bean. After that, Brown proceeded to organize the Bermuda conference. In so doing, he contacted var- ious leaders of the US movement, including the organ- izers of the US Black Power Conferences. He appar- ently received some assistance from them. The Bermuda conference was organized along the lines of the conferences in the United States, and some of the literature available in Bermuda was identical to that used during the US conferences. As noted above, some 40 participants came from the United States. In March 1970, Brown was back in the United States seeking assistance in organizing the Second Regional Black Power Conference, then scheduled for July in Barbados. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/09 $1 6M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/0'OiBMAAMP76M00527R000700200009-3 18. Another contact of a different--and cov- vert--nature developed last December and early January when Geddes Granger, the militant black leader of Trinidad's NJAC, visited New York and Mont- real, Canada. Before his departure from Trinidad on 23 December, Granger said that his trip would be on "black power business an that he wanted his travel to be "as clandestine as possible." After his arrival in New York, Granger contacted the local branch of the Black Panther Party. He is re- ported to have asked for financial assistance "to help bring about a revolution in Trinidad." Report- edly, he was refused until the NJAC had "proven it- self worthy of help by creating some serious internal disturbance in Trinidad." From New York, Granger went to Montreal, where some West Indian students face trial for participating in serious riots at the Sir George Williams University there in February 1969. After a few days, Granger returned to New York, leav- ing for Trinidad on 23 January. At a gathering of NJAC leaders a few days after his return, Granger stated that the NJAC must "do something" to gain recognition. The demonstrations, it will be recalled, began ostensibly in support of the students in Mont- real but evolved into a violent antigovernment pro- test movement that nearly toppled the Trinidad- Tobago Government. Granger was arrested in April and at last word was still in jail. 19. One point of continuing contact between US and Caribbean blacks is Professor Cyril L. R. James, who has been on the teaching staff of Federal City College in Washington since early this year. The 69-year-old James, a citizen of Trinidad- Tobago and long-time resident in England, seems to be widely regarded among advocates of "black power" as a learned "elder statesman" of the movement. A self-styled "independent Marxist," he is a sociolo- gist and historian and the author of several books. At the urging of Roosevelt Brown, James delivered the rousing keynote address at the July 1969 confer- ence in Bermuda. During his period of residence in Washington, James has developed contacts with the Center for Black Education, which is headquartered here. This organization, in turn, has recently es- tablished some kind of "working relationship" with SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01Yi~9C-1~_-1 P76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/(E7L 9S]24PP76M00527R000700200009-3 ASCRIA,.the larger and more moderate of the two black-oriented groups in Guyana. 20. Other contacts have developed from the travel of US black leaders to various points in the Caribbean, although these trips are usually said to be purely for vacation. There is no evidence, for instance, that H. Rap Brown's trip to Nassau in Aug- ust 1968 was for any other purpose. On the other hand, some of the several Black Panther members who visited Jamaica in 1969 and 1970 are known to have distributed their party's literature in Jamaica and to have tried to proselytize there. Last January, James Forman, of the Student National Coordinating Committee (NSCC), was expelled from the French West Indies for delivering a "racially inflammatory STATOTHR speech." Another SNCC officer, was STATOTHR apparentl more discreet during a visit to the same place in In February 1970, just as the NJAC demonstrations were getting under way in Trinidad, two US black militants, Leslie Campbell and Everard Mason, visited the island and addressed a demonstra- tion. This led to a charge by the chief of police that the visiting Americans had tried to foment a black uprising in Trinidad. There has,. of course, been some travel to the US by Caribbean militants. Marcus Garvey, Jr. returned to Jamaica last Septem- 25X1C 25X1C ber after a visit in the United States. Garvey boast e o having friends in the US Black Panther Party who would be willing to help him financially if he deci- ded to overthrow the Jamaican Government. In April 1970, the British High Commissioner in Barbados claimed that Eric Sealy, a black Barbadian activist, was being financed by Black Panther sources in New York. There is no confirmation of this. 21. The greatest amount of travel by US blacks has been to Guyana. ASCRIA, the larger and more moderate black group in Guyana, sponsored (jointly with the Government of Tanzania) the Pan-African and Black Revolutionary Conference that was held.in Guyana in February 1970. Several US militants attended, and there was a follow-up meeting in New York in late March. There was talk at both meetings of establish- ing a permanent secretariat, possibly to be based SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/0 'WB1--' DP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/g1/9$1g76M00527R000700200009-3 somewhere in the United States. It was agreed that ASCRIA would edit and publish a Pan-African journal in association with the Center for Black Education in Washington, D.C. 22. The most prominent US black militant in the Caribbean area is Stokely Carmichael, whose origins in Trinidad-Tobago give him a certain accep- tance and rapport in the area. (Last March, at the height of the antigovernment disturbances in Port of Spain, Carmichael was cheered as "the next prime minister of Trinidad.") Carmichael's most recent visit to the area was in May, when he went to Guyana. This visit, which was sponsored by the radical Guyanese Ratoon Group, was a mixed blessing to black radicals. His, speeches, stressing Pan-Africanism and the separate development of the races, may have alienated more people than they attracted in Guyana's multiracial society. On this swing through the Caribbean, Carmichael was not permitted to visit Trinidad, and his stop in Barbados was cut short and heavily controlled by the Barbadian Government. In- terestingly, one of the men who often appeared with Carmichael during his appearances in Guyana was Roosevelt Douglas, a West Indian student who is said to have been a ringleader of the Montreal riots of February 1969. Chedi Jagan, Jr., son of the Commun- -ist.opposition leader, was a leader of the riots. He has sought to capitalize on these "revolutionary credentials," but not in any black power sense. 23. The sum of available information suggests that relationships between US and Caribbean area black militants are only beginning to develop into significant contacts that might prove helpful in the continued development of black radicalism in the Caribbean. If the Second Regional Black Power Con- ference is held in the United States next autumn, as is planned, these ties would in all likelihood become much closer and of greater value to the Caribbean militants. US black militant involvement in Carib- bean affairs would also be likely to increase if the permanent secretariat for the Pan-African and Black Revolutionary Conference is set up in the United States or if it is staffed to a considerable extent by US blacks. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/W. co iiTP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 2002/0.1Mti$E76M00527R000700200009-3 International Ties--Cuba and Communists 24. Concrete information is lacking on signi- ficant Communist ties with black radical groups in the Caribbean. Some black radical leaders and organ- izations, such as the Ratoon Group in Guyana, pro- fess to be Marxist, but certainly are not disciplined Communists. The leading opposition party in Guyana, Chedi Jagan's People's Progressive Party, is Commu- nist-led, but the members are almost wholly East Indians for whom black radicalism is a racist threat. Guyanese students have traveled to the USSR on scholarships, and some have gone to Cuba, but avail- able evidence does not link these travelers to any black radical movement. Neither the Soviet Union nor any other European or Asian Communist country maintains diplomatic or consular-relations with any of the Commonwealth, Dutch, or French Caribbean ter- ritories. 25. Cuba maintains a small consulate in Kings- ton, Jamaica--the only such Cuban installation in the Caribbean. At present, the consulate seems to have only a passive interest in the black radical movement in Jamaica. The most frequent visitor to the consulate, Robert A. H. Hill, is apparently in- volved on the fringes of the Jamaican black radical movement. Hill, who attended a "cultural congress" in Havana in January 1968, made an extensive two- month vist to the United States in April and May of this year. Purporting to be an authority on "black power," Hill spoke at a number of US universities and did research of some kind at various US librar- ies. But Hill does not appear to be prominent in the movement in Jamaica or anywhere else. Roosevelt Brown, organizer of the regional conference in Ber- muda last July, reportedly made a brief stop in Cuba in May 1969 when he was seeking support for the con- ference. Nothing is known to have resulted from his Cuban visit. Two of the men involved in the regi- mental mutiny in Trinidad in April, Reginald Lassalle and Raffique Mohammed Shah, had reportedly received three weeks of guerrilla warfare training in Cuba in 1968, but there is no evidence that Cuba had any- thing to do with the mutiny. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01F J bP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET Approved For Release 20a2/0' @Ms(IIA P76MOO527R000700200009-3 26. Cuba has not been represented at any reg- ional meeting on "black power" themes, nor has Cuban propaganda paid much attention.to such regional meetings. The Castro government, in fact, seems anxious to avoid inflaming the "black power" issue, perhaps because this would hinder Cuba's efforts to expand diplomatic and commercial contacts in the region and might create dissidence among Cuba's own sizable black population. In 1968, when Walter Carbonell, a Cuban black author and a friend of Castro's, tried to promote black radicalism in Cuba, Castro had him arrested and imprisoned. Al- though Castro gave asylum to Eldridge Cleaver, he did not permit Cleaver to promote black radicalism while in Cuba. When Cleaver's presence in Cuba became generally known, Castro had him sent to Algeria. There has been occasional contact between Cuba and the Black Panther organization in the US. Conclusions 27. Black radicalism in the Caribbean is grow- ing as a political and social force, especially when it is contrasted to the stagnant old-style leadership that is politically dominant in most places. In some places it may become a threat to political stability, as it already has in Trinidad-Tobago. The extent to which black radicals become an important force for political and social change, however, will depend on the effectiveness of their leaders and on improved organization and better finances. In both these two vital areas, most Caribbean black radical groups are presently seriously lacking. 28. Much will also depend on the ability of the local governments in the Caribbean to de-fuse the social and economic conditions that otherwise could give radical leaders the mass support most of them still lack. Some governments are.. already at- tempting to undermine the potential radical follow- ing by instituting popular measures of economic nationalism, but these measures could in time fur- ther weaken economic and political stability. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01/f19'DP76M00527R000700200009-3 SECRET ) Approved For Release 2002/0 ,tR?~1 P76MOO527R000700200009-3 29. Serious efforts to develop a regional grouping of black radical groups did not begin un- til last summer at the First Regional Black Power Conference in Bermuda. The disparate black radical groups in the Caribbean are'still only very loosely associated, if at all. Future regional gatherings are planned, however, and liaison among the various groups is likely to improve. 30. Ties between black radical leaders in the Caribbean and their counterparts in the United States are only beginning to develop. The prospects are for closer ties, beneficial to the radicals in the Caribbean. 31. Communist influence, and the influence of Castro's Cuba, appear from all available evidence to be negligible factors in Caribbean black radical affairs at this time, though the opportunity for playing a role certainly exists. SENSITIVE Approved For Release 2002/01 MC'EP76M00527R000700200009-3