SPECIAL AD HOC COMMITTEE COUNTRY REPORT ON INDONESIA

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CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3
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T
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17
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December 23, 2016
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July 31, 2013
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 22, 1947
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REPORT
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Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ?14 quifieplORIFI.F COPY NO. SPECIAL AD HOC COMMITTEE COUNTRY REPORT ON INDONESIA 22 July 1947 TOtaiFS,4":") DOCUMENT NO. / 21 CHANGE IN CLASS. El CLASSIFIED CLASS, CHANGED TO: TS S C Nen REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR DATE: patioNER? 006614 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 So 00i CAS" Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ENCLOSURE STATE?WAR?NAVY COORDINATING COMITTEE SPECIAL AD HOC COMMITTEE SECOND PHASE SWNCC STUDY ON INDONESIA Reference: SWN 5275 i.ANALYSIS OF THE SITUATION IN INDONESIA A. Basic Forces The principal basic forces operating in Indonesia are: 1. Militant nationalism, especially in Java and Sumatra, led largely by socialists. The socialist?national?_ 1st movement has the support of a sprinkling of Communists and other leftist groups, but their activities, at least for the moment, seem to be submerged. 2! Efforts of the Netherlands authorities to salvage as Much as possible of the control formerly exercised in the Indies under their interpretation of the Linggadjati agreement signed on Maxch 25, 1947, which accorded the Indonesian Republie de facto status and envisaged the emergence of. a sovereign USI and a Netherlands?Indonesian Union on about January 1, 1949. 3. Antagonisms engendered by the conflict between the two foregoing forces. These antagonisms prevent the .eaXly conclusion of necessary economic and political agreements, which in turn prevents the development of the natural resources of the .Indies for the benefit both of Indonesia and the world. Indonesia is at present divided into two spheres: (a) Java, . . Madura, and Sumatra, over which (with the exception of key ports and towns now occupied by Dutch military forces) the de facto authority of the Republic of,Indoneeia has been recognized by the Netherlands; and (b) all other islands of the Indies, known as the "Malin? areas," which are controlled by the Netherlands Indies authorities. ? 1? siTiatie.ETIN Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 On March 25, 1947, the Netherlands and the Repbulic signed the Linggadjati agreement, whiph provided for cooperation of the two parties in the creation. of a sovereign and democratic United States Of Indonesia composed of at least three federated states, including the Republic, and the creation of a:Netherlands- Indonesian Union under Hollandts sovereign. Despite the agreement, variously interpreted in Holland and in Indonesia, the opposing aims of the Netherlands and of the Republic have not yet been reconciled. As of May 1947 Dutch-Indonesian negotiations had reached a deadlock. The major obstacle to an understanding appear to bet (a) disagreement on the Republic's degree of jurisdiction over its own ecOnomic affairs; (b) the continuing influx of Dutch ground troops, which now number about 110,000; and (c) Republican insistence on making economic discussions contingent on reduction and/or withdrawal of Dutch troops and the lifting of the naval blockade. In Holland, as well as in the Indies, there is increasing pressure from certain Dutch circles to force a solution in the 1 ,Indies by military means. A military victory would not, however, insure peace and order, since a period of guerrilla warfare, coupled with sabotage and labor strikes, Wouldundcubtedly follow:. Indonesia is in need of rehabilitation! Dutch authorities estimate loss and damage resulting from the war at approximately US $855,000,000, based upon 1942 price levels. More than half . of this figure represents damage tp the mining industry and estate agriculture. Damage to land and water transportation systems is estimated at about $185,000,000. The remainder of the estimated war losses, approximately $95,000,000, is evenly . divided between industry and native agriculture. These figures have not been confirmed by neutral sources. There has been little or no reinvestment of private capital, except in the Dutch-held tin and petroleum industries, because of the lack of. established political jurisdictitns and Policies. Trade from Java and Sumatra, centers of the export industry, is virtually at a standstill r. 2 - Enclosure _Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 because of the Netherlands Indies Governments trade regulations of January 28, 1947, which are enforced through a blockade of these islands by the Netherlands Navy. B, Objectives and Methods of Other Great Powers Great Britainks interest in Indonesia centers in restoration of its trade, safeguarding its investments, and securing Indonesian good will, which is important tc its wider responsibilities in Southeast Asia. Great Britain pursues a' policy friendly to both parties and has effectively acted as mediator in the Dutch-IndoneSian conflict. China maintains a neutral attitude toward the political conflict but is concerned with some 1,20.0,000 overseas Chinese in Indonesia, who make substantial remittances to the homeland, and is interested in trade with this tropical. area. The USSR has the same interest in Indonesia that it hes in all other colonial areas where the policies of metropolitan powers may frustrate nationalist movements and create am-mg the natives an atmosphere receptive tr Communistic political penetration. The Soviet Union uses developments in Indonesia for press and radio campaigns, stressing Dutch and Anglo-American imperialism. It does not appear to conduct Communist activities in Indonesia di:'ecily. The Indonesian Communtst Party, although active and represented by 35 out of 432 seats in the Republic's provisional parliament, has little chanpe of gaining predominance: especially if Dutch-Indonesian cooperation develops successfully. Australia and India, both potential suppliers of manufactured goods, ate interested in developing trade and cultural relations with Indonesia. Australia, mindful of' its own security, for which it believes a friendly Indonesian population is essential, has shown a somewhat' stronger sympathy for the Indpnesian, nationalist cause than for Dutch effort's to reinstitute Netherlands authority. India . has given the Indonesian Republic every possible moral support and has engaged in barter trade rith the Republic. Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31: CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 TO? SECRET The Arab League, interested in drawing into its oilbit Indonesia's. 60 million Moslete, ha S dome Out in favor of granting the epublic full recognition. So far) however, discussions that have been conducted with individual countries, especially Egypt, have not resulted in the establishment of official diplemstic relations. a. ANALYSIS OF ASSISTANCE ALREADY RECEIVED A. Analysis of Political and Economic Premises'on Which Economip_Lid was Based Aid extended by the US was based on the recognition of Netherlands sovereignty over all Indonesia and US desire to speed the reconstruction of the Indies. The US has not been willing, however, to aid the Netherlands by supplying equipment and weapons for military purposes in Indonesia. US post factum aporoval of the transfer by the British of lend-lease lethal war material to the Dutch armed forces in the Indies was given as an exception rather than a reversal of our policy. It was given under conditions that made recapture of these weapons practically impossible. One Dutch Marine brigade was S. trained and equipped in the US during the war. This brigade waS subsequently sent by the Netherlands Government to the Indies. Aid aimed at assisting Indonesia's rehabilitation and re- sumption of trade involved US disposal .of war surplus supplied to the NEI Government and the granting of credits to stimulate the prZduction and flow of copra.from the Indies. B. Summary of Assistance Given The financial end other aid already made available to the Netherlands for the Indies since VJ-day is summarized below: 1. Aid by the US a. Surplus property credit of 100 million, of which $68,335,314 had been used by May 30, 1947 - $68,335,314 - 4 - TOP SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 . ? ' TOP SECRET b. US Commodity Credit Corporation bobk credit "not to exceed $15 million outstanding at any one time;" $2,400,000 had been extended as of May 1947 2,400,000 $5000,000 of this 11S0CC credit is expected to be utilized in June fat the purchase of Japanese textiles.' c. US Civilian Supply Deliveries; (Plan "A"), valued at approximately $6,500,000 6,500,000 e. for $20 in full Lend-leasei 1) 2) Direct te'NEI -- value Of non-lethal goods i1i$1000,000 Through UK transfers! a) Agreed value lethal goods b) "Fair value" equipment? TOTAL ? of non- ' ..... 1,200,000 ? of lethal 1,500,000 3,700,000 $80,935,314 Procurement assistance through prioritiee million worth of Mn equipment, paid for by the Billiton Company, which is partly NEI Government-owned,. 2. Aid by Other Countries. Financial aid to the Netherlands for the Indies advanced by other countries may be summarized as follows: ' a. Sweden -- commercial credit tc be repaid en December 31; 1948 . . . ... b. Australia -- for the purchase of surplus property . . 4,200,000 . 24,000,000 c. Canada -- loan of . 15,000,000- *TOTAL $4-3,200,000 d. Great Britain supplied the Netherlands with military equipment and trained Dutch troops, The value of this military assistance in US . dollars cannot as yet be ascertained. TOP SECT Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? TOP SECRET ? C.; Economic Assistance Pending or ConteMolated In 1945 the Export-Import Bank authorized a loan to the. Indies of $100,000,000.. This loan has not been finalized, ? however,because of uncertain political conditions and would have tr be renegotiated. On June 26,.1947, the US GovernMent offered to discuss . .financial aid for rehabilitation purposes in the Indies, if such discussions were sought by a federal government representing both Indonesians and Dutch.. D. Analyeis of Contribution of This Aid to the Country 6. Recovery Economic aid already granted to the Netherlands authorities for the Netherlands Indies appears to have helped slightly in the eccncmic recovery .of the Dutch-controlled regions of the NET. It has not reached the Republican areas of Java, Madura, and Sumatra, which contains about. 60 at of the 72 million inhabitants of the Indies and before the-war accounted for three-fourths or the Indies' foreign-trade. A considerable portion of US surplus property sOld to the NET government consisted of wartime installations and army supplies1 in New Guinea and other areas. This property has con- ? . tributed little to the economic rehabilitation of the Indies. Other.Up aid, however, has been effective to some extent in speeding exPorts of copra and tin from Dutch-controlled areas. - E. Political Effects of Aid , The economic aid that has been given by the US and other ' countries for the Netherlands Indies and the manner in which it, has been utilized by the NEI authorities. have directly cr indirectly served to strengthen the bargaining position of the Netherlands vis-a-vis the Republic and to increase Netherlands military re- sources in Indonesia. This aid has created the impression among ? the Indonesians that the Western powers are backing the Dutch. However, diplomatic pressure upon the Netherlands by Great Britain and the U$ has been a restraining influence and has moderated Dutch policies in Indonesia. - 6 - TOP 'SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 TOP SECRET III.. US OBJECTIVES IN INDONESIA Indonesia is one of the most important regions of Southeast Asia because of its large population, wealth, and strategic .location. Indonesia is also in the forefront of the postwar - nationalist struggle of Southeast Asiatic peoples that. calls for a readjustment of old colonial relationships. The outcome of this, struggle and the conditions surrhiunding it will have a profound effect on the future attitudes of Southeast Asia's peoples toward the Western deomocraeies on the one hand and toward the USSR. on the other. US objectives in. Indonesia must take into account over-all US objectives in Asia and Europe and also the interrelationship of Southeast Asia's dependent countries with Western European democracies, The prime general objective of the US is a non-totalitarian Indonesia' friendlyto the West. Specifically, the US wishes to: 1. Promote a peaceful and equitable implementation of .the Linggadjati agreement leading to a volunts4r assOciation. between the Netherlands and Indonesia. 2. Facilitate the reconstruction of the Indies and the resuaction of non-discriminatory foreign trade and investment 3. Prevent the spread of Communism, Fascism, or other ? totalitarian. regimes in the area by the political, and -economic measures suggested above and1-Jor fostering friendly relations with the US by cultural means. IV. CONSIDERATION OF MEANS OF REACHING OBJECTIVES A. Economic Means Outside economic aid alone will not achieve political stability. The chief determinant of political stability is the achievement of Dutch-Indonesian politcal accord. However, economic assistance, if designed to promote Dutch-Indonesian cooperation, could speed reconstruction and economic development - 7 - Enclosure TOP SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? ? TOP SECRET and thus reinforce stability and forestall the emergence of any form of extremism. B. .Prlitcal Means In the present circumstances, political pressure is likely to be more effective than economic measures. The US. could continue to exercise pressure upon 'both the Netherlands and Republican authorities, supplementing diplomatic steps with economic- measures. ? C United.NrYtiOns Assistance The ways in which the United Nations and its specialized 'agencies may be brought into relationship'with United States aid programs are set forth in the Addendum to SWNCC 360, dated April 24, 1947. The Position of the Department in this regard should be considered in the light of the program as a whole rather than in the reports on individual countries. D. Information and CUltrual Means American policies should be supported by a vigorous public relations program. The disseminvti:on of Information, combined with an exchange of persons, will familiarize Indonesians and Dutch with American policy, democratic processes; techno- logical methods, and scientific and cultural developments, thus preparing the way for cooperation with the US and contributing to the rehabilitation and- development of- Indonesia. E. Military Means No military assistance to either side is contemplated. V. MAGNITUDE, NATURE hND TISING OF THE MEASURES REWIRED WITHIN THE NEXT THREE TO FIVE YEARS TO REACH THESE OBJECTIVES A. Economic Measures ti Dutch-Indonesin cooperation is assured, the Indies might in the course of the next three years be able to meet without foreign government loans itS own minimum import require- ments to (a) alleviate the most acute consumers' goods shortages,- - B - Enclosure TOP SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31: CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? -. ? TOP SECRET (b) provide incentive to production and trade, and (0 restore essential governmental services and public utilities to the ? minimum extent necessary for a gradual recovery of production. However, the process of rehabilitation. would be substantially speeded end political stability reinforced by financial aid' geared to pOlitical developments. It is estimated that for this purpose credits of the general magnitude of 150 to 200 million . ? dollars would be required, mainly tr., effect the speedier re-. construction of transportation, utilities, and processing industries essential for the revival of trade, which in turn will contribute to stability. The timing of extension of Credits must be geared to strengthen Dutch-Indonesian cooperation progressively and will depend on future developments in Netherlands-Republican relations, B. Politcal Measures Should the Dutch-Indonesian deadloch cy.ntinue and the tensions grow, the US may be called upon to offcr Its gcod offices, to mediate, or to arbitrate. C. United Nations Measures At an appropriate time, the United States should favor the admission cf the US of Indonesia to membership in the United. Nations. Membership in the United Nations and in its related agencies offers a number of advantages that will help in maintaining the economic and political stability of Indonesia. The most important of these advantages are: 1. Members of the United Notions hove easier accesc the organs of the United Nations and to its related agencies and broader rights of participation in the proceedings Of such organs and aroncies than states that are not members of the United Nations. 2. Since Indonesiala economy is in large measure dependent on international trade, it is desirable that the fullest advantage be taken of those facilities of the United Nations and its related agencies that are concerned with economic cooperation. - 9 - Enclosure TOP SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 TOP SECRET . 3. After admission to membership,.IndrneSia may be expected tfl render general support to United States . policies in the United Nations. ' T. Cultural Measures The present US program, which provides for one library at Batavia and one at Soerabaja, should be extended as. soon as conditions:permit to include at capita/ of the Republic, one in and one in Borneo. In addition least one US library at the Sumatra, one in East Indonesia, to' supplying reading materials for the Public, the, libraries should provide a general information service regarding the US. Motion pictures and filmstrips should be shown to Selected groups, especially to educational and professional organizations. The local press should be serviced with information regarding the policies and activities . of the US Government, including texts of important speeches,. documents, and other pertinent information. This information should also The distributed to government officials and key intellectuals throughout Indonesia. The absence of any-American- controlled news service in Indonesia at present makes this service all the more necessary. The exchange of US and Indonesian specialists, technicians, and scholars should be intensified with a view to assisting rehabilitation as well PS to furthering understanding between the two countries. The Fulbright program, if consummated, will providefunds for educational activities in Indonesia that can be financed by local currency. The program provides for research, ,study and teaching in Indonesia by American scholars and specialists. VI. PROBABLE AVAILABILITY OF ECONOMIC AID FROM EXISTING SOURCES UNDER PRESENT POLICIES A. US Sources The Export-Import Bank has earmarked $100 million for use in the rehabilitation of. the Indies. However, this credit was never crnsummated and the extension of. the credit mut await renegotiation. Such reneg;otiation will, of ccurse, take into - 10 - TOP SECRET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 TOP SECRET consideration the political situation and evidence 'of financial responsibility on the part of the debtor. 'It is not anticipated that US Government sources will grant any additional credits within the next three years B. Other Countries Canada, at the time it extended a $15 million credit in 1945, indicated that it would be willing to consider a request for an aaditinnal $50 million on the same terms. However, there have been no recent indications of any further action on the matter. C. International Sources L The World Bank might be in a position to exend a loan of $100 Million during 1948 or 1949 if the Netherlands is willing to guarantee the credit. VII. ADDITIONAL MEASURES REQUIRED FRW THE UNITED STATES - A. Expansion of US Remresentation in Indonesia In conjunction with political and economic measuree, the US needs to strengthen its diplomatic representation in Indonesia by appointing a sufficient number of officers to observe political, economic, and social developments in the various areas and to report on the utilization of such aid as may be given. VIII. NATURE OF ARRANGEMENTS TO1INSURE ACCOMPLISHMENTS OF US OBJECTIVES IN TAKING SUCH MEASURES Any US financial assistance must be so arranged as not to defeat the US objective of promoting cooperation between the Dutch and Indonesians. .Only a comprehensive Netherlands-Republican agreement on the main political and economic issues can insure the effective utilization of US aid for the rehabilitation of the country. Aid extended prior to such an agreement to either of tho parties may have political consequence contrary to US objectives. Posti-agreement aid must be based en arrangements acceptable to both parties.. - 11 - 'TOP SECRET ? Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 TOP SECRET In accordance with customary Export-Import Bank procedure, any loans should be advanced only rm the basis of specific projects Care must be taken to insure that loans to the Netherlands for use in the homeland are not diverted to promote Netherldnds military efforts in Indonesia. IX. EFFECTS UPON INDONESIA AND UPON US FOREIGN PdLICY OF US REFUSAL TO, GRANT AID OR OF FAILURE OF PROGRAM UNDERTAKEN US refusal to grant economic aid for Indonesia befcre comprehensive Mitch-Indonesian agreement has been reached may hasten the achievement of such )an accord. Refusal to aid after. Dutch and Indonesi.en cooperation in an interim federal government has been demonstrated might endanger its success. Such a refusal would delay the rehabilitation of the Indies and the resumption of trade, Retardation of recovery and Consequent continuing low standards of living'would contribute to discontent and local unrest. It may also diminish the opportunities of the US to obtain strategic materials. Failure of a US program for politically stimulating Dutch- Indonesian voluntary cooperation and association and aiding in the rehabilitation of Indonesia would mean a sharpening of the Dutch-Indonesian conflict, possibly resulting in a local war and increased Indonesian antagonism-toward the Western'powers. From a long-range point of view, an Indonesian population hostile to the Western powers would make 'Indonesia particularly vulnerable in the event of war. A friendly and prosperous Indonesia might have great value ae an arsenal in the Pacific., X. POSSIBLE EMERGENCY SITUATION WHICH SHOULD. BE ANTICIPATED AND RECoMENDED COURSE OF ACTION The outbreak of serious Dutch-Indonesian hostilities might create a critical situation affecting the whole relationship of Western democracies with the peoples of Southeast Asia. Should auj other efforts to find a solution fail, the US might find it advisable to take the initiative in bringing the situation to the - 12 - Enclosure TOP SECRET I Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 attention of the United Nations and thus forestall its presentation for propaganda purposes by the Soviet Union or one of its .,satellites. 7. ? 13 ? itierts 1-Trms.". Enclosure Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? APPENDIX SECOND PHASE .SWNCO STUDY OF INDONESIA SU/SiA7,y Indonesia is at present suffering from the effects of four years of Japanese occupation, followed by nearly two years of politicial upheaval. An estimate of lose and damage resulting ? from the war is $855,000,000. The pre?war trade of, the islands is nearly at a standstill; transport facilities, communicatiOns, agricultural and industrial enterprises are badly in need 01. rehabilitation. . 0 - . 0 . Preventing thus far any 'large?scale economic recovery in the Indies, the political differences between the Republic of Indonesia, which has emerged since the war as the nationalist government controlling -Java, Sumatra and Madoera, and the Netherlands Indies Government are not yet fully resolved. While the attempt on both sides has been to Work out a settlement by .oeaceful means, negotiations have frequently broken down during the past 18 months, and the country has,more than once' seemed. on the verge of widespread hostilities. In March 1947, the Netherlands and the Republic signed the Linggadjati Agreement, . which provided for cooperation of the two parties in the ultimate creation of a. sovereign and democratic United States of Indonesia composed of at least three federated states, the Republic, East Indonesia, and West Borneo. Little progress has thus far been made in implementing this agreement, although indications are at present that agreement has been reached in principle,on the formation of an Interim Federal Government over which the Netherlands will exercise determinink control until creation. of ?. the projected sovereign United State S of Indonesia and a Netherlands?Indonesian Union by January 1, 1949. ? 14 ? Appendix etiaillIagrET Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? , - Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Great Britain's interest in Indonesia centers in restoration of its trade, safeguarding its investments and securing Indonesian good will. China has maintained a neutral attitude towardthe political conflict. The Soviet Union has used developments in Indonesia for ;Press and radio compaigns, stressing Dutch and Anglo-American imperialism. The USSR does not appear to conduct communistic activities in Indonesia directly. Australia and India are interested in developing trade and cultural relations with Indonesia. India has given the Indonesian Republic much moral support, as have certain countries of '61e Arab League, Aid extended by the U.S. was based on the recognition of the Netherlands' sovereignty over all Indonesia and the U.S. 2_ desire to speed the reconstruction of the Indies. The U.S. has not been willing, however, to aid the Netherlands by supplying military equipment for use in the Indies, and has persistently urged a peaceful settlement. Aid in the form of goods and credit extended by the US. to the Netherlands for the Indies since VJ-Day has amounted to approximately $80,000,000: Aid extended by other countries has amounted to approximately $43,000,000. In June 1947; this Government offered to discuss financial aid , for rehabilitation purposes in the Indies, if such discussions were sought ,by a federal government representing both Indonesians and Dutch. This offer was based on a $100,000,000 fund in the Export-Import Bank which was earmarked for the Indies in 1945. A prime general objective of the U.S. is a non-totalitarian Indonesia, friendly'to the West. We believe this can best be accomplished by a peaceful and equitable implementation of the Linggadjati Agreement leading to a voluntary association between the Netherlands and Indonesia and by facilitating the economic reconstruction of the Indies. The most effective means of achieving the objective of the US in Indonesia appears to be through financial assistanDe designed to promote Dutch-Indonesian cooperation, It is estimated that - 15 - Appendix pia ;;I Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3 ? credits of the general magnitude of 150 to 200 million dollars would be required, mainly to effect the speedy construction of transportation, utilities, and processing industries essential for the revival of trade, which in turn`will contribute tc ' political stability.. The Export?Import Bank has earmarked 100 million dollars for use in the rehabilitation of the Indies.I This credit must be renegotiated after political stability has been achieved. It is not anticipated.that this Government will grant any credits additional to this within the next three years. The World Bank might consider the extension of a loan to Indonesia during 1948 or 1949 if political conditions warrant. Any U.S. financial assiatance must be so arranged as to promote the U.S. objective of securing co'operation between the Dutch and Indonesians. Only a comprehensive Netherlands ? Republican agreement on the main Political and economic issues can insure the effective utilization of U.S. aid for the rehabilitation of the country. Refusal to Aid after Dutch and Indonesian cooperation in an interim federal government has \. been demonstrkted would delay the economic rehabilitation of the country to the point where it might become prey to a totalitarian form of governmenthostile to the Western Democracies. , vgiewoodIntS6 Appendix Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/07/31 CIA-RDP78-01617A003000040001-3