(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP78-01617A005800030024-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 7, 2004
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: September 18, 1946
• Content Type: SUMMARY

Approved For Release 2004/11/01 : CIA-RDP78-01617A005800030024-6
USMC, DOS, OSD
and DIA review(s)
completed.
Approved For Release 2004/11/01 : CIA-RDP78-01617A005800030024-6
 1946
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GENERAL
1g8
1. USSR believed notpreparing attack on Turkey--US Military Attache
Moscow, in replying to a War Department request for his views on
rumors of Soviet military preparations in the Black Sea area, states
that Soviet forces on Turkey's borders are "believed inadequate for
attack. The MA "seriously doubts" that the Soviet internal situation
would support a major war at present.
2. British to sell war planes to Turkey--US Military Attache Ankara has
been told by the British Attache there that Great Britain is contracting
to sell to Turkey 400 newly reconditioned combat and trainer aircraft,
principally Mosquito fighter bombers and Spitfire fighters. Delivery by
air from England will begin in October or November and will extend
over about a year.
3. British expect to detain 20,000 Jews on Cyprus--US Military Attache
Cairo reports that the British now have detained nearly 2,700 Jews on
Cyprus and expect the total will exceed 20,000. The MA adds that
Egyptian reaction to US fleet operations in the Mediterranean is "favor-
able."
4. US not to interfere with UNRRA shipments to Y lavia--The State
Dep-airlment will no Meirf ere with the shipment of UNRRA supplies to
Yugoslavia without first obtaining proof of "substantial misuse."
5. Tito claims violations increas asks US assurances --Marshal Tito
i ormed Ambassador Patterson on 31 August that "unauthorized flights
over Yugoslav territory continue daily in increasing numbers."
In a note sent to the US prior to his 31 August written "regret" for
the loss of US fliers Tito stated that Yugoslavia "cannot be held respon-
sible for the victims of the burned plane on 19 August," and requested
(a) an official guarantee that violations of Yugoslav territory will stop;
(b) punishment of pilots responsible for future violations; and (c) agree-
ment on signals to be used by pilots in distress over Yugoslav territory.
6. Reaction to Soviet UN offensive--According to Herschel Johnson, Bevin
his s ructed Cadogan to seek US and French support in opposing the
inclusion on the Security Council agenda of the Soviet proposal that the
SC request data on military forces stationed in "non-enemy" countries.
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Secretary Byrnes believes that the US also should oppose the Soviet
proposal.
EUROPE-AFRICA
7. PORTUGAL: Revolution may break out within two weeks--According to
US Military Attache Lisbon, the Opposition. coalition, excluding the Com-
munists, are prepared to stage a revolt within the next two weeks. The
MA believes that the revolution, "if launched," will succeed because
(a) there is widespread resentment against the present Government and
(b) the majority supports the Opposition.
8. ALBANIA: UNRRA and Red Cross aid unnecessary--US Representative
Jacobs reports that 19 no need exists" continuing UNRRA and Red
Cross aid to Albania. He states that the country's food requirements
can be adequately met by the 1946 crop and that the Government is
stockpiling medical clothing and food supplies, probably for "ulterior
military purposes.'
Conscripts called up--Jacobs also reports that five new classes of
conscripts have been called up and ordered to be ready to move on 5
September.' He states that other troops are moving south daily by truck
and believes that a "'decision at this stage to give any part of Albania to
Greece means war."
9. USSR: Embass 's views on internal unrest--US Charge Durbrow has
concluded that the Kremlin now is aware that (a) there is a general post-
war let-down in popular morale and energy in the USSR, (b) the zeal of
Party members is wearing thin as they become more closely identified
with the privileged bureaucracy, and (c) the industrial plant is in worse
condition than was first believed. Durbrow believes that the problem is
serious but does not reflect a general breakdown of the system, nor fore-
shadow a major purge at present.
Soviet food situation not believed critical--US Military Attache
Moscow concludes that the Soviet food outlook probably is not so dark
as officially pictured. The MA does not believe the current food short-
age is severe enough to preclude the possibility of limited military
operations before the 1947 harvest. He suspects that the gloomy pre-
dictions of Soviet officials are designed to encourage relief shipments
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TOP SECRET
CONFIDENTIAt3
from the US and to excuse the USSR's failure to contribute to the world
relief program.
Evidence that Konev commands Soviet pound forces--US Embassy
Moscow sees in recent events strong circumstantial evidence that
Marshal Konev's present position Is one of central authority, and thinks
it likely that he now commands all Soviet ground forces.
10. ITALY: Lack of information on US aid--An Italian representative at
the Paris o erence has orm the US Delegation that the Italian
people are uninformed about US aid in easing Italy's reparations burden.
Ex-Partisans' o ization Soviet-dominated--f I
25X1 S Consulate General Milan that thth Pae rtiglani (an organization
composed of ex-partisans) Is "being manipulated" by the Soviets and
the Partigiani's future is completely In the hands of Communist leader
Togliatti.
Possible effect of harsh treaty terms--British Ambassador Charles
has informed US Embassy Rome of his belief that unless the terms of
the Italian peace treaty are modified, "'Italy will drop into the Soviet
lap. "
11. HUNGARY: Smallholders' Government may fall--US Minister Schoen-
feld has learned from circles close to the Prime Minister Nagy" that
the Hungarian Delegation at Paris may be forced by its Communist
members to Issue a statement opposing the US position regarding
Hungarian reparations. Nagy has told Smallholders Party leaders that
they would have no choice but to resign from the Government, if such
a statement were Issued.
FAR EAST
12. INDIA: Further trouble expected--US Commissioner New Delhi is of
the opinion that no Congress or League leader has to date clearly risen
above partisanship or shown statesman-like concern for the masses;
therefore,'the possibility of increased communal bitterness and further
loss of Life still looms large."
13. CHNA: Communist activities in north---Nationalist reports reaching
the Commanding General IN Marine Division indicate that the Chinese
Communists may begin operations to destroy the southern section of
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140
the coastal railroad leading from Tientsin to M axi chu ia. He notes that
recent derailments on that line occurred at a section from which US
marines had been relieved-of coal-train guard duty by NationaUsst troops
one week earlier. He believes that reported withdrawals of Commum ist
military equipment from Harbin indicate that the Communists doubt that
they can hold that city against a Nationalist offensive,
SIAM: Defense !gdg BMW Chinese tton--US Military Atta-
che Bangkok reports that the Defense Ministry ears and opposes the
establishment of a Chinese Legation In Bangkok, because it may Inflame
already dangerous Chinese national feeling in Siam and become a center
for anti-Siamese trArigue.
15. PHILIPPINES: Hukbalaha situation at end of truce--General Chriattan?
sea, CG AFVFESPAC, eves an U10 Philippine rnwent, in order.
to avoid giving the impression of civil war, will not initiate large-scale
attacks against the Hukbalahaps but plans to attack in force upon the
first provocation by Huklbalai>