(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP78-01617A006100060034-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 30, 2008
• Sequence Number: 34
• Publication Date: February 1, 1950
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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Approved For Release 2008/06/30: CIA-RDP78-01617AO06100060034-7
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GENERAL
1 . Reported Soviet militaz y preparations in Austria - -US
Ambassador Johnson in Rio de Janeiro reports that the
Brazilian Minister in Vienna has been informed by
Austrian Foreign Minister Gruber that he is "absolutely
sure" the Soviet command in Vienna began about twenty
days ago military preparations which indicate the USSR
is planning large-scale military action.. In support of
his conviction, Gruber stated that- (a) new strategic
points in. Austria have been occupied by considerable
Soviet forces; (b) large quantities of modern materiel
and equipment are continuously arriving at Soviet garri-
sons; and (c) Soviet lines of communication are being
carefully protected by new contingents of selected troops.
Gruber also assured the Brazilian Minister that he is ex-
pecting momentarily a Soviet "surprise" in Europe, not
excluding the possibility of the opening of hostilities in
some sector.
(CIA Comment- CIA has no reliable information
justifying the belief that the USSR is planning large -scale
military action in Europe in the immediate future. CIA
believes, however, that the preponderance of Soviet mili-
tary strength in Europe and stringent security measures
in the Soviet sphere provide the USSR with the capabilities
for initiating military operations with little or no advance
information becoming available to the Western Powers.)
20 Increased Communist pressure in Southeast Asia predicted--
US Ambassador Kirk in Moscow suggests that the recently
concluded Sino-Soviet Treaty prepares the way for these two
principal partners in World Communism to assume in the
near future "militant initiative in Southeast Asia to a maxi-
mum degree short of open war," The Ambassador believes
Dn.curne: t NO-
State Dept. review completed
Class. ^
C..": e TO: TS S
a c~ , ~x A?- 77
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that Stalin and Mao probably estimate that C ommunist
expansion In Southeast Asia in, the near future is both
militarily and politically feasible. Kirk considers Burma
and Indochina to be the prime targets in. Southeast Asia
because their inclusion in the Communist sphere would
advance Communist forces toward the goal of world domina-
'Lion and because these countries; plus Thailand, would pro-
vide China with a solution to its food problem.
(CIA Comment- CIA concurs in the above estimate
of Soviet intent in Southeast Asaa0)
3. Dutch attitude on New Guinea--US Embassy Jakarta trans-
mits the opinion of Netherlands High Commissioner Hirsch-
feld that failure to accede to Indonesian requests for sover-
eignty over Dutch New Guinea at the forthcoming Dutch-"
Indonesian conference will mean only `continued trouble
for the Netherlands Government. The High Commissioner
believes that the New Guinea question should be negotiated
directly between the Netherlands and Indonesian governments
and that the Dutch could participate "profitably and happily',
in 'the development of. a New Guinea which had been "peace-
fully" transferred to Indonesia, Meanwhile, US Embassy
Canberra reports that the Australian Government probably
will not follow 'through with its plan to approach the Indo-
nesian Government regarding Australian interests in New
Guinea
4. Views on Asian union--US Ambassador Stanton in Bangkok
t;r?ansmits the conclusion of the Bangkok Conference of US
Chiefs of Missions that there is "an unfortunate lack" of
interest in a regional association. among Asian and South
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Pacific states. Burma, Ceylon, India, Japan, and Pakistan
reportedly regard such a regional association coolly; Indo-
nesia prefers to work alone for the time being; Australia
is unenthusiastic; New Zealand wants only a Pacific pact
with the US, Australia, and the UK. Korea strongly favors
an association and Thailand is interested. All the states
(except Korea) are opposed to an open anti-Communist bloc
or a military alliance
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Approved For Release 2008/06/30: CIA-RDP78-01617A006100060034-7