(Classified)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78S01932A000100120010-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
2
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 1, 1998
Sequence Number: 
10
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 10, 1974
Content Type: 
CABLE
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP78S01932A000100120010-4.pdf116.96 KB
Body: 
OUTGOING MESSAQ,4E CO MINA' Approved For Release 2000/08/31 : CIA-RDP78SO1932A1/~~yy/~~~/~ 0jy/7 _O 4 .. .. S1GNALCENTE.R I.SE ONLY 4' 1.~`%a'7i .l 9L LS '0 a a a CIA/WHSS SOURCE REF: TO: IMMEDIATE WHITE HOUSE//SITUATII:vi,! ROOM FOR 61R FAZIO, STATE RCI//OPERATIONS CENTER 11R FRY-, NMCC//ATTENTIQN CIA REP, TREASURY DEPT/{/INFO WARNING NOTICE SENSI's IVE INTELLIGENCE SOURCES AND 25X1X6A HETHol 6 DATE: 10 DECEMBER 1974 REF 25X1X7 THE TURKS HAVE NO INTENTION OF I:NITIA'lING A THIRD MILITARY OPERATION ON ONLY A `VERY 25X1X7 SERI QUS1T GRL E.. PROVOCATION COULD PROMPT THE TURKS TO BREAK THE CEASE--FIRE- AND IN NO CASE WOULD . TURKI al-! COMN,.NDERa LN THE F .ELD Uc PERMITTED TO MOVE. ON THEIR OWN INITIATIVE IF i kE~RiOUS PRO- VOCATION DOES OCCUR~ : THE SITUATION SWILL BE E E':~It aII T. IN 4i KARA GY ,+ ??SS.1.VT L.g1.A,9 AND rANDAr !E LITP~ L1iRY L LADL_r \\ EtELOR.r E ANY 'E %{.,A,.".t ~TE1_.`tf`i O ~+'iti 5.. ' .. {`~..2 Gt.l~Y. Vda ON A i~~.LL I ;~l\ Y OPEr ATION IS DATE - ORIG: UNIT: 'liJHSS 25X1A9a CIA OPS CTI1 III-JUN TO AHUHIVES ~t IITI ; CETdT.I 93 4 U IMMER1411Y AFTER 3, A,pAprovec~` `or Release 2000/08/31 "CTK-'R'DP78S01932A000100^T2'00'1'0';4 ` " .;..+s; :r R r.P R e) D L CT doN EY OT??; N 5';UINC+ OF'=`? 5 a` O-fii3Ci ED i.a 2 `e e:.t t_ 7 C L G Y OUTGOING MESSAGE COIN T Approved. For Rejq4~F CIA-R DP78SO1932AQ9499k9es AGE COI ACP rGG TPE MRO Oct TPi PAGE or YAGE3 SCi- 0 #l 0 0 0 a S NFD/CD 25X1X7 1 2 a 4 S n 7 8 a _ 10 II Ia TURKISH LEADERS WOULD BE VERY 25X1X7 RELUCTANT TO APPROVE A THIRD OPERATION. THE TURKS ALREADY CONTROL MORE OF CYPRUS THAN THEY NEED AND DEFINITELY DO NOT WANT TO INCREASE THEIR HOLDINGS. THEY ALSO REALIZE THAT ANY FURTHER MILITARY OPERATIONS WOULD MAKE A POLITICAL SETTLEMENT MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO ACHIEVE, WHICH WOULD HAVE THE EFFECT OF TYING THE TURKISH MILITARY DOWN IN CYPRUS INDEFINITELY. 2X1X7 CAUTION TURKISH FORCES ON CYPRUS REMAIN ON ALERT, BUT MAINLAND UNITS THAT WERE IN ALERT STATUS PRIOR TO THE TWO PREVIOUS ROUNDS OF FIGHTING HAVE TAKEN ONLY PRELIMINARY MEASURES SUCH AS RESTRICTING LEAVE. AS A FURTHER PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE, THE "WAR ROOM" AT TURKISH GENERAL STAFF HEADQUARTERS HAS REPORTEDLY INSTITUTED A HOUR WATCH. TURKISH PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF RENEWED HOSTILITIES WERE BASED ON THE TURKISH FEAR THAT ARCHBISHOP MAKARIOS' RETURN TO CYPRUS WOIJLD SET OFF FIGHTING WITHIN THE GREEK CYPRIOT -COMMUNITY.. AND MIGHT THREATEN TURKISH L IVES. THE ARCHBISHOP HAS BEEN CONCILIATORY SINCE HIS RETURN LAST- SATURDAY, HOWEVER, AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SERIOUS VIOLENCE 'O CrURIN HAS BEEN GREATLY REDUCED . THE CHANCES OF GREEK CYPRIOTS PROVOKING THE TURKS INTO RE'" EWED MILITARY ACTION NOW SEEM. REMOT? . E-2 IMP DET.d p -pAL d~FISr DISTRIBUTION: 2000/08/E311R CD"Y AND IIA7RDP78SO41 20010-4 a