RELATIONSHIP OF DATA CONTAINED IN THE BDA AND ERA PROJECT 00.4771, THE RECORD AND POTENTIAL OF AIR ATTACKS IN ATTAINING US OBJECTIVES IN VIETNAM

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78S02149R000100110006-2
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RIPPUB
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S
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5
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December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 18, 2002
Sequence Number: 
6
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Publication Date: 
May 10, 1966
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MF
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Approved For Rgjkasdia 2/1 10 May 1966 MEMORANDUM FOR: J?ROM: SUBJECT: Relationship of Data Contained in "The BDA" and ERA Project 00.E-771, The Record and Potential of Air Attacks in Attaining US Objectives in Vietnam 1. In discussing the relationship between data used in Project 00.E+771 and data contained in "the BDA" it is necessary to distinguish between several imprecisely titled documents issued by the BDA Branch of DIA. By some people, all a.re regarded as the BDA". We have, how- (ever, made a distinction between: (1) the BDA compilation of individual strike reports (tor an example see Attachment 1), (2) "Summary of US and VNAF Air Strikes on DRV Since 1/1/65" (See Attachment 2), and (3) "DIA Results of Strikes on DRV Targets" (See Attachment 3). Supplemental sheets to all three publications are issued simultaneously and are not always in agreement with each other or internally consistent. Correction sheets also are frequently issued at much later dates. Hence our use of the term "corrected" individual strike reports. 2. Data pertaining to sorties which were contained in Project 00.J4( are a summation of data in the BDA individual strike reports, as corrected through 19 February. They also agree with a summation of data contained in the "Summary of US and VNAF Air Strikes on DRV Since 1/1/65" as cor- rected for discrepancies between the "Summary" and the individual BDA strike reports. In this sense they are in complete agreement with "the BDA". This agreement was reflected in the following footnote that appear; on page B-7 of Appendix B, in the printed version of Project 00.4771: Data in this Appendix were derived from individual strike report; given in the Bomb Damage Assessment (BDA) and therefore may not agree with data in other Sections and Appendixes which have been derived from other sources such as execute messages and pre.Iim- inary strike reports. The data, however, have been made as con- sistent as possible, given problems associated with correction of preliminary data and varied reporting systems. DIA review(s) completed. Approved For Relea$e~3202/1 q21 : CIA-RDP78S02149R0001 ... 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Relet,4ltO /1 o ;. Data in Project 00.3771 do not agree exactly with data summarized in the "DIA Results of Strikes on DRV Targets". We were in- formed by a representative of the BDA Branch that, although an attempt is made to refine the "Results" as more accurate data become available, in between revisions data are cumulated without correction. Hence the "Results" are less accurate than the corrected individual strike reports. Moreover, the "Results" contain data only on Strike plus Flak Suppression Sorties, include no data on CAP, RESCAP, ECM, Photo or other Support Sorties, do not allocate aircraft according to Service, and contain no data on losses. We therefore decided to work with the individual strike reports and with the "Summary" rather than with the "Results". As indic- ated by the following tabulation of data through 23 December 1965, the total carried by the "Results" for Strike plus Flak Suppression Sorties is only slightly larger (112) than the total derived from the individual strike reports and the "Surmnary". Strike Plus Flak Suppression Sorties 2 March - 23 December 1965 "DIA Results" ERA Project 00.3771, BDA Individual Strike Reports, BDA "Summary" Armed Reconnaissance 16,3166 17,129 Fixed Target '(, 703 6,9_8 Total 2a-,1 9 23-, 57 The difference in allocation. to armed reconnaissance and fixed target sorties was greater. Apparently some of the sorties assigned. by the BDA individual strike reports to Armed Reconnaissance were carried as Fixed Target sorties in the "Results". fib. Apart from the differences in totals and in allocation to Fixed Target or Armed Reconnaissance, data shown in the "Results" for sorties against individua~_rFixed Target Systems differ from data contained in the graphic summariesnattacks on individual target systems in Appendix B of Project 00.3771. For example, the "Results" show 210 strike sorties against "Power Plants" through 23 December 1965. The Project 00.3771 graphic summary of attacks on powerplants shows 229. This is explained by a footnote to the graphic summary which states "included 19 aircraft that also attacked fixed targets of other types on mission." Such in- clusion was desired to determine the total number of planes over various types of targets as an aid to analyzing losses and vulnerability of planes engaged in different types of missions. (The DIA "Results" assigns aircraft striking multiple targets to the principal target only.) No Approved For Relea "0/21 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/10/2 78S02149R000100110006-2 double counting resulted in Project 00.771 from the inclusion of planes engaged in multiple missions in more than one graphic summary, because the total of sorties and their allocation to Fixed Target, Armed Reconnaissance, Strike plus Flak Suppression, or Support, was derived :independently on the basis of the BDA. individual strike reports. 5. In addition to the correction sheets issued by the BDA Branch of DIA, some further correction, or at least selection, of data contained in the BDA individual strike reports was necessary. The total number of sorties shown in such reports does not always agree with the sum of the .individual aircraft reported for the strike, as is illustrated by the following tabulation of discrepancies in strike reports during 5-19 February. Strike Number Total Aircraft Credited. to Strike in BDA Strike Date Report Sum of Individual Aircraft Listed in BDA Strike Report Deviation of Total from Sum of Individual Lircraft 1126 2/5/66 64 62 +2 113+ 2/6/66 116 46 +70 1136 2/7/66 93 92 +1 1139 2/8/66 1[5 46 -1 1151 2/11/66 101 100 +1 -L163 2/16/66 93 100 -I 1167 2/17/66 88 90 -2 1175 2/19/66 61 71 -10 'T'otal for 8 Strikes Shown 661 607 +54 Where the BDA report for an individual strike was internally inconsistent- the sum of the individual aircraft reported was used in Project 00.4771, 1 preference to the total number of aircraft shown for the strike. The rea- son for this choice was that the more detailed data selected were in agre e ment with data contained in the "Summary" and permitted a distinction be- -tti,Teen Strike plus Flak Suppression and Support Aircraft. 6. In addition to the data originating in the BDA Branch of 1IA, there are other Armed Service documents (such as the STAG, Assessment of the Air Effort in Vietnam and Laos, and certain series issued by MMCC PAC that contain data pertaining to sorties which have been based on execute messages or other preliminary data, rather than on the actual BDA reports of individual strikes. 25X1 Approved For Release 4002/10/21 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000100110006-2 Approved For Release,2902/1 +? CIA-~ P7802'I 9R000100110006-2 /z .3 1 (-3 V,~ _3 Approved For Release 2002/10/21 : CIA-RDP78SO2149R000100110006-2 App 6-2 r ved R wR -2~O t~tg~ Ir 3D#WS?O2449~19864A0110 UNCLASSIFIED ONFIDENTIAL gy SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP 25X1 App TO NAME AND ADDRESS DATE INITIALS I - i l tAr _~ 2 3 4 5 6 ACTION DIRECT REPLY PREPARE REPLY APPROVAL DISPATCH RECOMMENDATION COMMENT FILE RETURN CONCURRENCE INFORMATION SIGNATURE Remarks: Data in Project 00.4771 agree with the BDA indi- vidual strike reports and with the "Summary of US & VNAF Air Strikes on DRV Since 1/l/65." They do not agree exactly with the "DIA Results of Strike on DRV Targets", which is a compilation of rela- tively uncorrected data pertaining only to Strike plus Flak Suppression Sorties. In March the BDA Branch of DIA planned to revise the "Results" to reflect corrections in the indi- vidual BDA strike reports. We supplied them with copies of worksheets from Project 00.4771 to ass- ist in the process. The personnel of the Branch changed at about that time and I don't know whether revision was undertaken or not. FOLD HERE TO RETURN TO SENDER FROM: NAME, ADDRESS AND PHONE NO. DATE -G-46 FORM b 237 Use previous editions (40) < U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1961 0-587282