THAILAND, LAOS, AND CAMBODIA BRANCH (I/TLC)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
27
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 12, 2004
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2.pdf1.54 MB
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Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2 25X1 25X1 No Date 21 Dec 67 No Date Blind Memo re Air Attacks on VC Base Areas in Cambodia Attachment: Proposed Outline: VC/NVA Base Areas No Date Map of Cambodia 25X1 28 Feb 68 as a Air Traget System showing enemy Base Areas (and various,) re timeaschedule for producing a study on The. Status of Vietnamese Communist Use of Cambodian Territory (1 October 1967 - 31 March 1968 (outline attached). 25X1 25X1 22 Mar 68 7 May 68 17 Jul 68 28 Agu 68 (study not attached) to Ch/D/I memo_ie CICV report, VC/NVA Use of dia as a source for arms and ammunition (evaluation of subject report) Current intelligence item re Cambodia-China-VC and Cambodia-China (report of Chinese shipment of arms to the VC via Cambodia) Transmittal Manifest from forwarding piece 25X1 on Use of Cambodia for Arms an nunition Resupply (attached) Transmittal sheet forwarding CICV study "VC/NVA Use of Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2 Cambodia as a Source for Arms and Ammunition" from SECt&i/ Approved For Release I 28 August 1968 I.EMORANDUM FOR: Chief, D/I FROM : I/TLC SUBJECT CICV report, VC/NVA Use of Cambodia as a source for arms and ammunition 1. The attached CICV report on arms infiltration through Cambo- dia is a very good summary of reports on the location of probable routes used (see map). In fact, it is probably the best report we have received from the field on this subject. In general, much of the analysis used by CICV is similar to that of the CIA report (July 1968, ER IM 68-84), but, in our opinion, the conclusions reached in the CICV report often are too strong. 2. We would take issue primarily with the CICV conclusions on the volume of arms infiltration through Cambodia. It is impossible to con- clude -- as does the CICV report (p.10) -- from the intelligence now available that large quantities of arms and ammunition unloaded in Siha- noukville are being diverted to VC/NV.Aforces in III and IV CTZ. The CICV report claims that an estimated 9,500 tons of war material (itemized in attached table) were delivered to Sihanoukville from December 1966 to March 1968,and concludes that, since this seems an excessive mount even considering ARK's shortage of military equipment, much of it is being trans- ferred or smuggled to the VC/NVA. CIA, on the other hand, accepts only 911 tons as probable munitions. Flour and sugar are included in the 7,333 tons which remain,for the most part, unidentified. Moreover, one hundred and twenty tons of the material accepted as military goods by CICV have been identified by CIA as definitely non-military. 3. CIA also takes issue with the CICV conclusion that ARK involve- ment is extensive enough to provide a solid framework for supply activities (p.)+l). The precise role of ARK remains undetermined. ii. OER concurs with CICV's conclusions concerning the effectiveness of the enemy's logistical system and the gaps in allied intelligence which make interdiction more difficult (pp. 4+5-48). 25X1 25X1 SMT 4 Approved Fo 004/11/30: CIA-RDP78TO2095R 5. Two other reports, MACV of May 1968 and DIA-Navy of 18 May 1968 (both attached), also address the problems of arms infiltration through Cambodia. Both reports are good in their analysis of the routes used for arms infiltration, but their reasoning and conclusions as to the volume of arms infiltration are even more illogical than those of the CICV re- port. Low-level intelligence is too often accepted at face value. attachment: table: Shipments into Sihanoukville attachments with original copy: map MACV report, Use of Cambodia for arms and ammunition supply DIA-Navy report, Viet Cong Use of Cambodia for Arms Infiltration CICV report, VC/NVA Use of Cambodia as a source for arms and ammunition 25X1 25X1 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78T0209 R000200140001-2 25X1 Approved ZIP 25X1 Approved For Release 2004 Amount (short tons) bate chip CICV MACV CIA 30 Dec 66 Heping 450 arms 450 arms 450 probably arms 30 Jan 67 Hang Shou 2300 arms 2300 arms unidentified Mar 67 Heping 450 arms 450 arms x+50 arms 27 Aug 67 Jining 1000 arms 1000 prob. arms 1000 prob. arms for FARK for FARK 400 Unid., not for FARK 22 Oct 67 You Yi 805-1+00 arms 805 arms 685 unidentified (120 ident. as non-military) 10 Dec 67 Fo Shan 11 arms 10 Jan 68 You Yi 33+8 arms 33+8 prob. arms unidentified, some :flour & sugar 20 Mar 68 Xu xi 1000 suspect Unidentified arms 9500 85 00 836 including some flour & sugar (90% unidentified) Approved For Release 2 R000200140001-2 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Next 7 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 TRANSMITTAL SLIP DATE 16 May 68 TO: chief, D/T ROOM NO. BUILDING REMARKS: We have asked IS/IT and I/L for oral appraisal o f MAC-V case by 1000 Friday ay 68. rr FROM: Chief, 0ER /I /TLC ROOM NO. 3G19 BUILDING Hdq. 1 1 . 1 FORIR ND .~41 REPLACES FORM 38-8 wur(N MAY BE USED. 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 28 February 1968 We should complete the project in the attachment outlined as soon as possible, but without overtime work. I would like to submit a draft to Chief, D/I by the end of March. With a bit of updating early in April we could put out a timely piece on developments during the just- completed six-month period. The outline is for research purposes. I realize that we do not have the desired information on all areas, but we can modify the organization of the finished report to fit the information in hand. I expect to get a big hand from NPIC/IAS, and additional contri- butions from I/L and IS/CST. Chief, Thailand, Laos and Cambodia Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2 The Status of Vietnamese Communist Use of Cambodian Territory (1 October 1967 - 31 March 1968) I. Base Areas A. Location of each B. Description of each identified camp 1. types and numbers of structures 2. estimated number of troops that can be accommodated (or estimated maximum number detected there) 3. principal functions a. hospitalization b. training (cite evidence) c. R&R d. storage and supply C. Extent of use a. forces detected at @ b. length of stay c. estimated concentration in terms of man weeks d. apparent nature of use, i.e., used by units to prepare for action, or used by units to recover from action? II. Infiltration Routes A. Locations 1. routes connecting base areas 2. principal routes into South Vietnam Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78T02095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 B. Nature of use 1. general information 2. specific information (actual unit movements detailed) 3. change in use over 6 months? III. Cambodian Activities in Eastern Border Areas (in proximity to Vietnamese bases) A. Military 1. location and size of military units and sub-units 2. construction activities B. Civilian 1. development projects a. completed b. in progress c. planned 2. commercial Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 SENDER WILL CHECK CLASSIFICATION TOP AND B TTOM UNCLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL SECRET OFFICIAL ROUTING SLIP TO NAME A N D ADDRESS DATE INITIALS I c ~ ~ C i F ) ) , .1-~ 2 3 4 5 6 ACTION DIRECT REPLY PREPARE REPLY APPROVAL DISPATCH RECOMMENDATION COMMENT FILE RETURN CONCURRENCE INFORMATION SIGNATURE Remarks : RETURN TO SENDER AND PHONE NO. DATE CONFIDENTIAL SECRET Approved For Release 9 2004/11/30 :CIA- 8TO2095ftb 002001400 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 - Parrot s Beak Axis Bassac-Mekong Corridor (Base Area 704) Seven Mountains Area (Base Area 705) Ha Tien Route Mimot/Snuol/Fishhook Axis Tonle San/Route 19/Bo Kheo/ Lomphat Area Tonle Kong River/Route 110/ Base Area 609 - Tri Border Area waterway, -- town Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 'z I beer= BATTAM AWG POINTS .SM PhnomOnnPenh, Bokoy Sep,send Shonoukvi0e are murti 00tMOMS npo hie 00 DAR EA NC HEY e AEg Y' ~ KON ANTAY Hon Chong AeBIOW HON...... O MINK HOA IIf% d. DE POOL MMA 0h hfn / 1--e ,. %. 9lem Pen CAMBODIA RMllroed Province b.MMery ROed T!-e Province cedltel -- Tiell t Plrfleld t Principal Pod PopWeted p1.0.0 ? owr BOA00 0 10,000 to 00,000 . Under10,000 MM- 30 MG TS Approved }For Zele. SECRET Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Sudden, intensive aircraft against VC be result in inf1: upon the Using of ,r optimum conditions military losses `epende;it upon the on of targets. Thorough tsrgetingfB : studies would be a pre-requisite to effective air attacks for the following reasons: a. The specific areas to be attacked would have to be and precisely defined if significant damage is to be widescale attacks by B- 's and tactical cant, alt hate selection of targets would result in civilians being killed, attacks were made against enemy base areas inflicted on the enemy; there would little likelihood of air attacks causin ai ifi 'ant military losses; presently active -- contain large numbers of enemy border; c. Unless attacks were made a in the heavily populated areas along the Cambodian-South Vietn 25X1 Ap CRET SECRET Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Without a thorough study of specific targets it would not damaged. It is possible that poliey eke rs m supply depots in the base areas to be more effective than can be realistically expected. eks gleaned from CIA/O 51 on enemy activity in these areas Imo, aerial photography, and g iblem would be useful, however, in that it would, 1) establish the criterion for targe on, m- e.g. be plated aa.~eas, 2) and give a non-exaggerated appraisal of the probable effectiveness of such attacks. ch on the infeasible at this e attendant political and pr ible that t system would, in 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 -ttA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 ET Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 :Pr'Q sed Outline : VC W11A BaseA I. __'get _sc`i_i_n A. The tern base a to Allied concept used to refer to a l+ooseir defined area, frequently by Communist forces for refuge, reg car short periods resupply most cases we can define and locate such areas and indicate ,cult to pin-point the real of most intensive act B. Fixed Facilities Fixed facilities in Cambodian base areas are largely limited to mall, dispersed caches of supplies. T bivouac und upon departure from t often are dismantled Reconnaissance teams have pin-pointed few such facilities. C. Troop Concentrations Combat units using the Cambodian base areas provided by l f hzen,sive information.. Appro ed For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R0002001 25X1 40001- ftE T Tentative information on their locations is but recon ajs?aance Approved For Release 20045 Ti- ZDP78T02095R000200140001-2 cadre consists only of enough men to handle security, guidance itary Posts In some instances Cambodian military outposts are located assist in the logistical support We can demonstrate this in several cases. E. Proximi to Civilian Emulation Centers Several base areas are located so close to Villages that it is difficult to distinguish between Communist and C,,MbOdj facilities. In other cases, Communist activities are clearly distinguishable. II. Probab Based on experience in Laos it would be very difficult to estimate the enema 1(IA resulting from air strikes a cinst a. If there were follow-up ground reconnaissance estimated. -4- 25X1 the effectiveness of the air attacks in causing casualties Approved For Release 2004P 'F MLA- DP78T02095R000200140001-2 SECRET Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 B. Logistic Su lies Without ground reconnaissance it would be very difficult to estimate the volt of enemyy supplies destroyed. Rough es would be dependent upon unreliable indicators suebc as secondary explosions and fires. The relatively =all volume of munitions that are required by the enemy forces uth Vietnam and the large areas in Cambodia over which supplies could be readily dispersed suggests that air attacks alone could not be expected to seriously affect the enemy supply position in South Vietnam. Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 25X1 SECL 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 . ~ DEC 1967 7 Cc taetit. Conditions for Success As a weapon of et( pre-emptive buying is to good t' cmntiwied efforts to supply of the good in question.* P any all of the suppler of a good to the on=W buying is very expensive to the nation or nations, it can, in addition to limiting the supply, risk enear does receive a great deal more sivee as motive buying 21 or all of the outstanding only under certain rather limited conditions. POD, b of the good roust be critical and unavailable domestically or from territories. Second, the supply of the good should be limited and luared incapable of Increasing substantially despite rapidly rising prises, i.e.,, supply should, in the short run, be price inelastic. ment (as) of the country or countries who supply the critical actively interfere with tl pre-eMtive buying is used o other sic: ie; econc lc, political or military warfare sures are not feasible. In such circ cstancsa g is one of the more gentle means used during war. * The, Use of Pre-emptive buying as a weapon of economic first used the A.l.lies in World War II and was under the direction cf t3CC (United Kingdom CT, rcia1. Corporation) and the tJ',',CC (TJnltec' 3tatea C rciaal. Coies). Approved For Release 2004/11/ UN i P78T02095R000200140001-2 : AS . UNC UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 II stages of the tar, having ash and Pr,, xnavy as both the Franc* and Sss r re Allied x al because while he A.lUied need Spain trots and attempted to "equitably" parce2 out d the Anion. Tn 'min the only limit nn becau a of the sk7rocketin :. We* per ton of rs poured into the if ie bus neae. A pick, ort of a policy of doling out wolfram between Go Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 UVCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 6, It was a terrib iv. Allied campaign. the and of the war,. a of vol fran b&d been pa hased frM 311 in and 9.0M, ton a total coat (to the and ) of ld have cost o about 15 The Germ n war effort was in jAwed tungsten in carbide tool tips from a 1'43 ala eoutrolled t v interests friendly to the en. or was allocated the enog W the neutral government -- pre-emption was c!oo sd Wlure, in adft=e. Fortmately, such cases ware not so numerous as to dsa our prog . . . .. In its uoA inrorunt and per spe met successful aspects, pre-. tpti was a Kara ssinr action rather than a. decisive battle on the econnnic f nt." Gordon, t 3. ag UM . and ngerfield, ydon, York, 1st Edition, 11947. 10 to 1t? Ott t; 2 or 3 e-:ill., Inc., Nov T Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 UNCLASSTFIED U1 CLhSSIFIED Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 For other exampUs as veil ecditional in math di i ive b. , also :, ! li tt, W. N., Vol. I end It, L e? 'Green and Co., raan in additioe a stern ecs :. c jade from i925-154 so list (t iubjeot) in the Index of Eoauo is 3auma3s. Based o titles, 10 articles ve lseted but none have, been read. Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 UACLASSIFIED TG Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-I [ T.02095R000 01140001--f s J 1 ~ et rl,-t rqrs to t i s. year *if- tntift bI chows I*vv av4o t for a r e t a e than I. t e -- sr Oulbod 2.1 2.6 Sillian tot* a yes Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 ms's t tti Pr",Iy V,1111 L-ttweeu 311,041 * k Is r r VA.n that of .a's rx r of r e tAbI* Offt Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 Principal Purchasers of Cambodian Rice and its Derivatives, 1966 and January - June 1967 Jan - Dec 1966 Jan - June 1967 thousand $ US ) thousand US ) metric tons millions) (metric tons (:millions) Total 190 24.2 121 199. French Colonial Area 67 9.5 23 4.2 Singapore 44 3.7 19 2.3 Communist China 22 2.8 10 1.7 Hong Kong 14 1.7 24 4.0 Poland 12 1.7 0 0 East Germany 8 1.0 0 0 Czechoslovakia 7 1.1 9 1.7 France 4 0.5 1 0.1 Other European . Countries 8 1.4 4 0.7 India Neg. 0.1 11 1.8 Phillipines 0 0 15 2.4 Indonesia 3 0.4 2 0.3 Other Countries 1 0.3 3 0.7 Approved For Release 2004/11/30 : CIA-RDP78TO2095R000200140001-2 U H V ~? .f F s:? i E D