EVALUATIONS OF SOVIET SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE DEPLOYMENT 14TH REVISION A REPORT OF THE DEPLOYMENT WORKING GROUP OF THE GUIDED MISSILES AND ASTRONAUTICS INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE

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CIA-RDP78T05439A000400210029-7
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RIPPUB
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T
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76
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December 28, 2016
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September 12, 2003
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29
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Publication Date: 
September 1, 1964
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 a EVALUATIONS OF SO-V IET SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE DEPLOYMENT 14TH REV.ISION_ A Report of the Deployment Working Group of the Guided- Missiles and Astronautics Intelligence. Committee 25X1 Declass Review by NIMA/DOD '041111~ ;J11 Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78T05439A000400210029-7 Copy iU -86 Pages September - 4 I t ~dr'Rel ~e~Oo 121 EVALUATIONS OF SOVIET SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE DEPLOYMENT 14TH REVISION A Report of the Deployment Working, Group t Guided Missiles and Astronautics Intelligence Committee. September 1964 TROP SECRET ILLEGIB Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 Approved For R169ase 2v6 1) : 25X1A 25X1A \1F:VIiI:1;rHII' TOP SECRET I :A A d,ForTQeQse'190k 9 ? CONTENTS Page INLRODLCT1ON ........ .............................. Table, 1. Summary of Estimated Status of Identified ICBM, IRBM, and MRB~,T Launcher. at Deployed Complexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 69 Table 2. Summary Evaluation of Soviet ICBM Deployment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 Table 3. Summary Evaluation of Soviet IRBM Deployment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Table 4. Summary Lvaluation of Soviet MRBM Deployment . . . . . . . . . . : . . . . . . . . . 66 Table S. Summary Evaluation of Soviet Fixed Field Sites (SSM Fixed Field~Positions) . 73 Table 6. Composition of IRB\1;'\IRBM Complexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 TOP SECRET 25X1 TOP SECRET Page FIGURE 1. DEPLOY\1L\ I OF SOVIET ICBM COMPLEXES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Facing 1 FIGURE 2. TYPICAL CUN'FIGURA I-IU\S OF ICBM LAUNCH SITES, AND EXPLANA- TION OF -I YPLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 2 FIGURE 3. -ABANDUNLD ICBM LAUNCH SITES A-I' GLADKAYA, KOZELSK, AND TLYKOVU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 FIGURE 4. 1E\\ ICB\1 CO\IPLE\, ZHANGIZ -'I OBE . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 FIGURE 5. COMPLEX SUI'POR I- FACILITY, ZHANGIZ-TUBE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 FIGURE 6. LAUNCH SII-I_S A (1) AND B (2), IHANGIZ-TOBE 19 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 FIGURE 7. LAUNCH GROUP 1), ULOV'YANNAYA............ FIGURE S. PROBABLE SUPPORI /CUN1-ROL FACILII-1', LAUNCH GROUP D, - OLU\ 1':\\NA1`A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 FIGURE 9. LAUNCH SI I-LS D1 (4 )-D6 (10), LAUNCH GROUP D, OLOVYANNAYA . . . . . 23 FIGURE 10. L,AL-NCII SILL I (3)), YL:DROVO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 FIGURE 11. LAUNCH SII-L A ~1 i, O\1SK; LAUNCH SITE E (5), KOZELSK; AND LAUNCH COMPLEX F ~;S ,, I-YURA I'AM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 FIGURE 13. LAUNCH SI1 L A3 (131, I YURATA\1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . FIGURE 14. LAUNCH S11-LS B2 c16) AND B3 (17), TYCRATAM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . FIGURE 15. LAUNCH CO\IPLLX G, TYLRATA\1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 FIGURE 16.0 LAUNCH COMPLEX 11 (S), I YURA I AM . . . . . . ... 31 FIGURE 17. L:\L(NCH COMPLEX 1 (14.), ILYURATAM................... : . . . . . . . . . 32 FIGURE'18. COMPLEX" J, TYURA I-A\I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .i. . . . . . . . . 33 FIGURE 19. LAUNCH CO\IPLLX K (13), FYURATAM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 FIGURE 20. SECURED :\RL.V \V LST OF LAUNCH COMPLEX G, TYURATAM . . . . . . . . 35 FIGURE 21. REV"L--ITED STORAGE AREA WEST OF LAUNCH COMPLEX G, f TYURAT:AM . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 FIGURE 22. HIGH-FREQUENCY RLCI:IV'ING ANTENNAS (FISHBONE), TYUMEN.; . . . . 36 25X2 TOP SECRET AFrprove ~orr elease 0~ 7'f2 29-7 FIGURE 30. DEPLOYMENT OF SOVIET IRBM/A1RB\1 C0\1PLE4ES 44 FIGURE 31. TYPICAL CONFIGURA I-IONS OF IRB\1/A1RBM LAUNCH SITES . . . . . . . . . 46 FIGURE 32. UNIDENT1-IFILD- I YPE SOFT SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCH FACILITY, PLESE I SK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . :... . . . . . . . . . 50 FIGURE 33. LAUNCH SITE SCI, KAPUSTIN Y'AR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 FIGURE 34. IRB\1 LAUNCH SITE, GUANAJAY, CUBA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 FIGURE 35. SOVETSKAYA GA\'AN MRB\1 LAUNCH SITE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 FIGURE 36. TRAKTOVYY IRBM LAUNCH SITE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 FIGURE 37. BOLSHAYA KA\1ENKA IRBM LAUNCH SITE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 FIGURE 38. MOLOSKOVITSY MRBM LAUNCH SITE 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 FIGURE 31). VAINODE IRBM LAUNCH SITE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 FIGURE 40. LAUNCH AREAS IC, 2C:, AND 3C, KAPUSTIN YAR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 FIGURE 41. LAUNCH SITES 4C1 AND 4C2, KAI'USTIN'YAR . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . S7 FIGURE 42. LAUNCH SITES 6C1 AND 5C2, KAPUSTIN YAR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S7 FIGURE 43. NEW RAIL SPUR UNDER CONSTRUCTION AT LAUNCH COMPLEX C, KAPUSTIN YAR........ ..................................... TOP SECRET "I`his report, published bimontljly by the GMAIC Deployment \\ orking Group ~ J-AVG1, provides a comprehensive, ready-reference listing of all ?C13\l, IR13\9, and MR13M deployment locations, types of site configura- tions, photographic references, estimated construction and operational status, and other evaluations by the 1)%\C,. . These data constitute the majority view of the D\VG membership, and.mavnot correspond pre- to individual assessments by each member. Additional data may be Lidded to future revisions. ` Dissemination of the report was previously lii lXited to holders of the. I)\V'G report, Soviet Surface-to-Surface Missile Deployment. Because the information contained herein is both supplemental and self-sustain- ing, distribution Will no longer helimitedtoholders'of the above report. TOP SECRET' YrInovo feykovo ? KOSIffm;l PIr~rOk . YoSllkx 01a . Y01y'l e~kliny;iyd S ilda TY.URATAM MISSILE TEST CENTER Novnnbusko Gli1ikaya FIGURE I. DEPL0YAIEIIT OF SOVIFT (CRR COMPLEXES. roprop INTRODUCTION .' this report is the 14th Revision of 1_valua tions of Soviet Surface-to-surtace Missile Ihe- ployment prepared by the 1}ployment \\utkino Group of the Guided Missiles and _\s;ronauti2s Intelligence Committee. I h,, l ita Revision, dated I June 1,164, and dissent mated under con- in accordance with existing instruetions for handling terials. 25X1 D missions and other sources since our last revision indicates that the Soviet ICB\1 de- plovment. prorani continues to be characterized by change, interruptions,. and shifts in emphasis. TI-his information provides additional evidence confirming previous assessmenu as to the eaten: and'pace of ICB\1 deployment. In addition, sig- nificant new aspects have b en detected, although the image- of the current Soviet deployment program_is not clearly defined. Significant new aspects identifiable in the deployment of Soviet IC13\Is include: cad con- firmation that new construction starts ot"known configurations,_.,both hard and soft, ceased in sites, both hard and soft, ~~bile still in an earl} stage of construction; cc) significant decrease in the number of con..t ruction starts during the last 25X1Dhalf of =over those identified intheprevious cb.t abandonnlen', of several and (e ), perhaps most significant of all, the construction at Tvuratam and at deployed complexes of single- cd) change in emphasis front soft to TOP SECRET 25X1 D 25X1 D alld eon:1 nub no analysis-of previous missions and other source s, h: v e provided additional information on the Soytet strategic ballistic missile deployment program. The nevv data are reflected in I able 1 and in the estimated operational status shown in Tables 2, 3 and 4. Cutoff date for information contained in this report is 15 August 1464. silo configurations of several different varia- tions, probably for a new missile system,sl. CURRENT DEPLOYMENT .'I he number of identified ICBM complexes is now 19, following the identification of a new complex at /_hangiz- lobe i4?-13'< SI-OUL)con- tainin_ t%co probable hard sites of single-silo configuration. Construction of this complex v%as probably initiated late in the first new complex begun since late in F See Figure 1 for 1-he lu complexes non contain a total of 241 confirmed and probable launchers in various stages of construction, of which 146 are soft and u5 are hard. Included in the totals, in ad- dition to the 2 single silos at "thangiz-lob. , is what appears to be a 6sin~gle-silo-configured site at Ulovy annava. Eleven of the complexes contain both hard and soft launchers, 4 contain only soft, and 4 have silo= only. I he number of sites identified at a complex range from a low of one at Omsk to a high of 11 at Yurya. AV e can- no: determine any typical number of sites or launchers wyhict each complex will ultimately contain. -- Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 25X1 B Approved For Release 2003/12/09 : CIA-RDP78TO5439A000400210029-7 Apprrpved i-orPRelea a 200J1 - 210029-7 Of the 241 identified launcher, 107 are considered to be operational, including 31 in a hard configuration. In addition, we believe that ly of the 35 confirmed and probable launchers at the Tyuratam Missile hest'Center, including 6 hard, are operational. Included in the total launchers at the Th\1I-C are 6 probable single silos under construction, as \\ell as new soft launch areas at Complexes A and G. -1 he ICB\1 Launch sites have been dcsignated by type, as sho\in and explained in 1 figure 2. \\ e are~Urrentl} unable to determine whether the single-silo onfii;urations identified at I yur tam, Olovvannava and Zhangiz-robe represent construction and deployment of one or several d-fferen; types of systems. Neither can vye as- certa.t the final site configuration(s). I here- rem to this configuration, s) for the time t?-ing as Type Ill single), regardless of the number of silos identified at the site concerned. Evaluation of all evidence received since our last revision has resulted in changes noted at the following deployed complexes: ADDITIONS: OLOVY:ANNAY_A, Launch Group1-),4-10), Type III single), under construction YEI-)ROV'O, Launch Site L 3), Type ILIA, complete ZI l.A\GIZ_-TO13L New complex i , Launch Site :A , I i. probable Type Ill single, under construction: launch Site 132), probable Type Ill single I, under con- struction - OELE"hIO\S: GL:Al )K:\1':L-, Launch Site C 4, Type 111A, abandoned TOP SECRET- K()71i1 SK , Launch Site C 1), Type III13, abandoned OMSK, Launch Site 13 (2), Type 11113, aban- doned (previously carried as possible) TITYKOVO, Launch Site G (7), Type III3, abandoned The following changes were noted at the Tyura- tam Missile Test Center: A013IT1(3\S: L:AL'\CH COMPLEX A, Launch Site A3 15), probable Type 111 (single ,' construction L3LLACH COMPLEX 13, Launch Site B2 (16). probable Type III rsingle), under construction: Launch Site 133 , 17), probable -hype III (single), under con- 1_:AL'\C}1 COMPLEX G, Launch Site GS- G6 (12), Type undetermined, under t construction;' Launch Site- G7 (18;, probable Type III (single), under con- struction; Launch Site G8-G9 (19), probable, Type undetermined, under construction L:AL'\CH COMPLEX 1 (14), probable Type III (single), kinder construction COMPLEX J, Type undetermined, under construction LAL'\C11COMPLEX K - (13), probable Type III (single), under construction CESSATION OF INITIATION OF TYPE, i IID AND IIIA SITE CONSTRUCTION ' In our last revision we pointed out that \\e had identified no new construction starts of Extensive coverage of deployed corn- plexes since has failed to reveal 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D p initiation of any additional sites, .and we believe that cor ruction of Type III-) and III:\ SS-- sites has stopped. Construction starts of sites for the SS-6 and SS-S had ceased earlier, of course, as had earlier soft configurations for the SS--. SITE ABANDONMENT Recent coverage of Launch :Areas C c-f) at Gladkava, C (I) a: Kozelsk and G i, ) at I eykovo reveals that these sites have been abandoned in an early stage of construction 1Figure 3) and provides further evidence that future (leploy- ment will consist of new configurations. Launch Site C . (4) at Gladkaya, a I vpe .II.A site, was first observed photography of revealed that. the site had been- abandoned shortly thereafter. Launch. Site C..(I )at Kozelsk, a Iv III13 site firs, observed inl I land Launch was begun in TOP SECRET i at Site (1 7 Ill) site %%hich had both been In addition, we suspect thatTOrk has stop- ped on one or t%%o more of the I ype 111:\ sites b_sm dtl~inc.the summer of 0 On the other hand, wo1 -a try-umaining I ype 11I.A. and 11IB hard.sites stiTI under. 4ons rtctior. _appear__toh progressing faster than usual, and most should be completed in less than the ratio-year average normally associated %ti ith construction of these types of sites. ZHANGIZ-TOBE COMPLEX The firs: ne\\ ICB\I complex initiated by the Soviets since late in was identified at Zhangiz- 1_ obe, 80 nautical miles (nm) .sou:h- sou:heas: of Semipalatinsk, on (Figure 41. hhc complex is rail served, and contains a complex support facility (Figure 5) and 2 road-served launch sites lo- cated approximately 5 nm apart, each containing TOP SECRET ~ 25X1 D a single launch silo under construction (Figure 6 ). Construction of the complex support facility was probably initiated late in I I with the first -launch site begun early i Control centers 25X I LZ for either launcn site cannot bcTaentified. 1 he prototype fog these sites is almost certainly included among the new single silos under con- (see page 10). A\e believe that this complex heralds the beginning of a new trend in Soyie ICBM deployment, although \\e cannot identify the missile system to be employed. It is also too early to say hoc many launch sites this type of complex will utimat-ly contain. OLOVYANNAYA COMPLEX 25X1 D Another probably new concept in Soviet single-siTD deployment was identified at the Olovyannaya 1013\I Complex on canted on the northeast side of the complex, 25X1 D which already contains 3 I ype lllA hard-sites in various stages o .construction, and consist of b probable singi,.! silos under construction arranged in a circle approximately 6 nm in- diameter around - a probable support, control facility_ (Figure %), This configuration isdesig- nated Launch Group I). The probable support/control facility is located 1-u nm northeast of the complex support facility (f=igure S). It consists of 5 barracks- type buildings, 2 small square buildings, and 2 additional structures under construction. There is ground scarring and track activity in the vicinity. A\ithin the probable support/control facility is an area of activity which one member believes is a probable launch silo. This area is identified by a dashed line on Figure S. There' was no evidence of this facility on Ons of the small buildings was 'present oni Launch 1-01(4) is located 3.4 nni north of 25X1 D 210029-7 25X1 DR 25X1 D .4 25X1 D 25X1 D the probable support; control facility iF-igure H. It consists of a shallov\ excavation ith probable coring. This activity can be negated on Mission rst activi-t_v \N1 -i.< .~ 5iar~m- - Launch Site D2' tS) i; located 2.4 nm east I' northeast of the probable support, control facility cFieure 9). It consists of a shallow excavation and 3 spoil piles. This site can b- negated in First evidence of was n are n-gin Launch Site 133 (- ~ is located 3 nm southeast of the probable support, control facility iFigure a). It consists of a graded area containing a in the vicinity has increased considerably since that time.--. Launch Site 134 cb ~, located 3 nil' sOulh%%eSl of the probable supportcontrol facility, can be identified as a silo under construction cFigure y). It is a structure, approximately :i5 feet square, in an excavation. A probable- building, 100 by 30 feet, is under construction approxi- :Activity was first observed in Launch site 1).3 Qi is located 3.3 nm west of (lid' probable supports/control facility (f=igure It consists of a shallow excavation corra- ing possible coring and a 1O(1- by 30- foot probable building under construction. There was no evi- dence of this site in I First activity was observed on Launch Site 135 - I(), is located 4 film north- west of the prhhable -support control f ac ility Figure Q. It consists of a generally -q',' 11-0 ex- cavation and a spoil pile. Ground sc,:rring and TOP SECRET. evidence of this site on YEDROVO COMPLEX - Lxcellent eovc-rage of the Yedrovo I(-B\1 25X1 D Conlpl -on finally solved the. enigma of Launch Site I (3),.reveal- ing that it is a completed 1 ype III-" site ure 1(1) and that no camouflage or other de- ceptive measures had been employed to conceal it. The site was first observed on and on several subsequent mis- sions. Photographic coverage of this -facility was poor, ho ce.ve r and until lye were unable to ascertain its function. OMSK COMPLEX Omsk Launch Si,-- A ~I ), a 1 vpe 111B site, %cas- covered by good quality stereo photogr?7 v on This coverage confirmed that tie site is complete, revealing, an electronic facility simih to the one at I vuratam Launch Complex 1 (5), the Type 1IIB prototype ~I-igure 111). Preliininarv tneasuYe- ments indicate that the legs of this facility are about 1,230 feet long. coverage of possible Launch Site B (2) at -Comsk again revealed no further pros in construction,and we are dropping --t this site from I able 2. KOZELSK COMPLEX Launch Site 1_ (5), a '1 ype 11113 site, was complete, including an electronic facility similar to those at I yuratam Launch Complex 1" and Unisk -Launch Site- ~ 1 inure 11 ). PERM COMPLEX \1 e have examined an area of activity at Perm for launch-associated facilities (Figure 12). The majority consider this area as suspect for a singlt-silo launch site. One member be- lieves that it is a probable launch site. 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1-D 25X1 D 25X1 D 25X1 D TOP SECRET ppr ve