THE SITUATION IN HAITI

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!tease 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 26 July 1963 OCI No. 0290/63A Copy No. 79 I!,k ZOO SPECIAL REPORT THE SITUATION IN HAITI CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY D I R E C T O R A T E O F I N T E L L I G E N C E SECRET GROUP I Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification M RM Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 Approved For_Zelease 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-009?g-k004100070006-6 THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECT- ING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, USC, SECTIONS 793 AND 794, THE TRANSMIS- SION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. DISSEMINATION CONTROLS This document MUST NOT BE RELEASED TO FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS, If marked with specific dissemination controls in accordance with the provisions of DCID 1/7, the document must be handled within the framework of the limitation so imposed. Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 iw~ SECRET 26 July 1963 THE SITUATION IN HAITI Summary Haitian dictator Duvalier presently is in a stronger position than ever, largely because of the collapse of organized opposition to him following the critical period last April and May. He has been successful in remaining in power beyond his legal presidential term mainly through his under- standing and exploitation of the weaknesses and eccentricities of the Haitian people. ;3e has been careful to shift or remove regime officials before they could build up personal followings against him, and most of the small number of top officials who have retained their posts throughout his administra- tion are extreme opportunists, including some Com- munists and pro-Communists. It is from this group of persons that a successor to Duvalier would be most likely to emerge as matters now stand. The chances that a bloodbath and a general breakdown of central. authority would result from Duvalier's removal from the presidency are considered high. The Haitian Army, traditionally the kingmaker in local politics, has been transformed by repeated purges from the most likely agent of Duvalier's downfall. into one of three armed groups supporting him and responsive to his dictates. The civil mili- tia and a secret police organization--both created by Duvalier originally to counter the power of the army--complete the roster of the forces maintaining him in power. Army efficiency and capabilities have declined as US-trained officers have been removed or have fled into exile, while the discipline and degree of training of the militia appear to have increased. Some form of unification of the two forces may be carried out in the future. The Communist threat in Haiti, heretofore con- sidered negligible because of comriunism's lack of appeal. among the country's politically inert masses, is increasing. Haiti's Communists presently lack militancy but are permitted to operate relatively unchecked by the regime and consequently are increas- ing their strength. The danger of a seizure of power by a small, determined Communist elite group in the event of Duvalier's removal. is clearly mounting. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-OP927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 SECRET On the other hand, the threat posed by Haiti's lim- ited ties with the bloc appears to be minor compared with the internal threat at this time. Haiti has few contacts with the bloc or with Castro's Cuba, and there appears to be little evidence of political or subversive interest in Haiti on the part. of Com- munist-controlled countries. Haiti's economic deterioration probably has been accelerated under Duvalier. An economic col- lapse, however, does not appear imminent, since a bumper coffee crop later this year is expected to alleviate the country's present foreign exchange shortage. A grandiose "economic development plan" announced by Duvalier on 22 May appears, like a pre- vious "self -development" program, to have been devised for internal political reasons. It holds little promise of accomplishing anything, but may be used by the regime to attempt to coax and extort additional funds from domestic and foreign sources. Haitian opposition to Duvalier is characterized at present by the despair and inactivity of the dic- tator's opponents within Haiti and by the weakness and fragmentation of exile groups. The death of Clement Barbot on 14 July virtually ends organized resistance to Duvalier within Haiti, and Haitian exile groups now active in the Dominican Republic appear to be dissipating most of their energies in attempting to discredit each other rather than build- ing strength against Duvalier. Exile disintegration is being accelerated by Dominican President Bosch's sudden decision to refuse permission for the use of Dominican territory by the exiles for training and staging purposes. Annex Basic Facts On Haiti Annex B: Haitian Exile Organizations and Groupings SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved Fia?Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-OOA004100070006-6 HISPANIOLA D, Caicos Is. (U.K.) 2 ,\p ) (Great Inagua I. Navassa 1. (U.S.) 0 25 50 00 I 1 1 Turks Is. (U.K) CLASSIFIED MATERIAL ON REVERSE OF PAGE PUE1% FO RIC Q Isla Mona (P. R.) Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 SECRET Duvalier's Political Situation Haitian dictator Duvalier has emerged from the turbulent period of April and May in a stronger position than ever. There appears to be no organ- ized group within the country or abroad that is now in a po- sition to attack him, let alone topple his regime. The rela- tively small segment of the population in Haiti which is sufficiently active politically to carry any weight in opposing him has been bowed and demoral- ized by the failure of this spring's attempts against him and by the regime's subsequent imposition of even tighter measures of cofitrol and re- pression. Duvalier has managed to maintain his regime largely by building up a body of loyal henchmen to act as the instru- ments of his policy of terror- ism and repression, and by effectively playing off and neutralizing those individuals who might at some time oppose him. He has instituted a per- vasive, effective informant system to apprise him of plots well before they can materialize. Beyond this, he has perhaps succeeded in prolonging his term of office where other Haitian presidents have failed because he thoroughly under- stands and has cunningly used the weaknesses and eccentricities The impetus behind the drive to oust Duvalier on or before 15 May--the date his legal term of office expired-- has been entirely dissipated. There are no prospects for an- other psychologically propitious period for a drive against his regime for some time to come. He claims that the term to which he was "re-elected" in 1961 is to run for six years, but several domestic groups already have urged "..spontaneously" that he be "president for life." In this situation, the most likely possibilities for his removal appear to have narrowed down to two: his death from assassina- tion or from natural causes (the 55-year-old Duvalier's health is and has been uncertain), or a coup staged by one or more of his trusted associates. SECRET sador Thurston to return to Haiti. confidence and whose authority Duvalier has been careful not appeared to increase during the to press his attacks on the US recent cris'~n. I inf, too farApOtblYFojtfldJ1a?0/011106: C1}-g Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 SECRET of the Haitian temperament to his own advantage. To the apolitical, superstitious masses, he is "Papa Doc," the virtual personification of a Voodoo god; to the country's overwhelmingly Negro population, he has shown himself to be anti- mulatto and a devotee of black supremacy, which he calls "negritude"; to all Haitians, he poses as a Haitian national- ist, frequently invoking past glories and the names of famous national heroes such as Emperor Dessalines. One aspect of his exploi- tation of nationalism has been seen in his use of the US as a scapegoat for virtually all the ills that beset the country. He has consistently charged that American miserliness, not Haitian mismanagement and cor- ruption, is the basic reason for Haiti's continuing economic and social deterioration. In recent weeks, anti-US pronounce- ments by regime leaders have taken on a different tone; they have asserted that the US was responsible for the recent critical period and for the abortive attempts against Duvalier which then took place. These charges appear to have culminated--at least for the present--in the ousting of the US naval and air force missions and the refusal of the Haitian Government to allow US Ambas- sador Thurston to return to Haiti. Duvalier has been careful not to press his attacks on the US too far; he may still hope to regain some sort of US economic aid commitment, and he may believe that the risks attendant upon a complete break with the US are too great to be taken. Few regime officials are permitted by Duvalier to exer- cise real power, and those who do are largely of the same stripe as the dictator himself. Most top officials are sporadically reshuffled or removed in order to prevent their building up a personal following which might some day challenge Duvalier. Several of the men who have occupied cabinet-level positions longest under Duvalier are Com- munists or pro-Communists. Pro-Communist Minister of Finance Herve Boyer allegedly is a former member of the French Communist Party. The same re- port has been received on Jules Blanchet, who is currently serv- ing as Haiti's ambassador to the European Common Market. Minister of Commerce Clovis Desinor is frequently reported to be at least pro-Communist, although some reports classify him as an extreme opportunist. Others fitting into the latter category are Minister of Public Works Luckner Cambronne and Jacques Fourcand, the director of the social security institute. Both the latter are top Duvalier aides and confidants. Adrien Raymond, who holds the number two position in the Foreign Ministry, is another individual who evidently has Duvalier's confidence and whose authority appeared to increase during the recent crisis. He and his brother, Colonel Claude R.tymond --quartermaster general of the Haitian Army--are tough, trusted SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 NW, SECRET as the most likely source of an attempt to overthrow him, he now considers it one of the groups which solidly supports his re- gime. He has been able to achieve this complete about- face by systematically elimi- nating all officers whom he regarded as not completely sub- servient to him. Since his inauguration in 1957, Duvalier has cashiered approximately 191 officers (49 percent of the officer corps), the last purge of about 60 officers having taken place in the 20-23 April period. The officers purged from the FAd'H have been the older, more experienced and stable elements of the armed forces. For the most part they were US- trained, pro-US and competent. In their place, Duvalier has placed political appointees (many former enlisted men) who offer little in military quali- fications but are politically acceptable and loyal to his re- gime. The effectiveness of the armed forces has been reduced to the point that it has minimal value as an organized military force. The Ton Ton Macoutes (Duvalier's secret police) were established in late 1957 by Clement Barbot, who later turned against the regime and recently headed, until his death on 14 July, the sole known organiza- tion opposing Duvalier within Haiti. The TTMs are a loosely organized mixture of military, paramilitary and civilian ac- tivist supporters of the regime. Their mission is to keep Duvalier and Haiti's blacks in absolute power as long as pos- sible. Ostensibly a presiden- tial bodyguard, they are Duvalier's confidential agents, dealing in terrorism and vio- lence. Composed mostly of thugs and other undesirables, the TTMs number from 1,000 to 1,500, are expert in brutality and the techniques of political repression, and serve the regime while serving themselves. The civil militia is a part-time paramilitary force. Even though it has been in existence since 1958, it was not legalized until November 1962 when it was officially designated the "National Security Volunteer Corps" (VSN). The VSN represents a politically mobilized and ideologically oriented force which keeps the masses in line. Formed, ac- cording to Duvalier, for in- ternal security and to ensure against an external invasion, it was actually established to offset the strength of the FAd'H. The VSN has the potential to identify and report clandestine opposition to Duvalier anywhere in Haiti; it has been used successfully to turn out the vote for Duvalier and to sup- press minor political disturb- ances. There are about 10,000 militiamen, of which only about 25 percent are equipped with firearms. Some 2,500-militia- men are concentrated in the Port-au-Prince area alone. The VSN operates as an adjunct of the Ton Ton Macoutes and is used to implement TTM orders SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AA004100070006-6 %0 %104 25X1 SECRET when the number of men needed is fairly large. some memuurS 01 the VSN took part in the 22 May parade celebrating the second anniversary of Duvalier's "re- inauguration." On the basis of its impressive appearance at this time, the VSN is believed to have received considerable training during the past year. .The US military missions in Haiti--which until their ex- pulsion by Duvalier this spring maintained close relations with the officers of the FAd'H--were feared by Duvalier. He claimed that the missions "interfered" with the absolute personal loyalty which he demanded of his officers. As of now the oppor- tunities for such "interference" have been greatly reduced; FAd'H officers and men have been vir- turally barred from the slightest contact with those US MAAG per- sonnel still remaining in the country. Duvalier continues, however, to give evidence of his fear of such contacts by hampering any and all efforts by the MAAG group to accomplish its normal functions. The chances of a military coup occurring in the foresee- able future appear quite small. It is more likely that the militia will become better or- ganized,, trained and equipped as the army's capabilities and standards continue to deteriorate. An eventual merger of the two groups could occur when Duvalier considers that his present drive to convert the armed forces into a more useful tool of his regime has been accomplished. Such a force probably would not be worthy of consideration as a military organization by non- Haitian standards, but would be powerful enough to suppress quickly any internal move against Duvalier that might develop. The Communist Threat The threat of communism in Haiti has traditionally been re- garded as small, largely because the Haitian populace is generally apathetic, illiterate, and apo- litical. Also, the pressures for land reform which have been ex- ploited to such advantage by Communists in other Latin Ameri- can countries are largely non- existent in Haiti; the Haitian peasants have owned their own tiny plots of land for genera- tions. Haiti's abject poverty, its appalling social conditions, and its political bankruptcy, however, do create a situation which readily lends itself to Communist exploitation. While the docile, lethargic nature of the population probably would preclude the possibility of a Communist takeover through a mass uprising, it would facili- tate the control of the country by a small, dedicated Communist elite group if it were to seize power. The evidence now available indicates that such a dedicated, hard-core Communist organization is being built up within Haiti. While the effectiveness and militancy of local Communists are believed to be rather low SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 *00 SECRET at this time, their potential is clearly increasing. This results in no small degree from Duvalier's policy of tolerating --for his own devious political purposes--the existence of Haiti? two Communist parties, both of which are permitted to function almost unhindered despite their clandestine status. These organizations are the People's Unity Party (PEP), which is estimated to have roughly 500 members, and the People's Na- tional Liberation Party (PPLN), with an estimated membership of up to 1,500 persons. The PEP has well-established inter- national Communist connections and is recognized as the official Communist party by the interna- tional Communist apparatus. It is concentrating on building well-trained and disciplined cadres; the PPLN is less tightly knit and is more of a mass party. The PPLN publishes a small periodical pamphlet which ap- pears irregularly entitled Haiti Demain (Haiti Tomorrow). Both the PEP and the PPLN are steadily gaining new members.. Duvalier's removal could lead to an acceleratied growth partic- ularly if a new government were formed by those elements of the pro-Communist or opportunist stripe who now surround the dictator. If Duvalier's down- fall were to result in chaos and a breakdown in national authority, only the Communists, who are the only organized opposition forces in Haiti, would be in a position to gain influence and power. External Communist atten- tion to Haiti appears to be of minor importance compared with the potential threat posed by domestic forces at this time. Poland is the bloc nation most active in Haiti and is the only one maintaining diplomatic ties with the Duvalier regime. A Polish commercial attache has resided in Port-au-Prince since April 1962. Warsaw's new ambas- sador to Mexico, who is resident there but accredited as minister to several Middle American coun- tries, presented his ministerial credentials to Haitian officials last month. Recent information reveals a growing Polish com- mercial interest in Haiti and indicates that Duvalier probably is encouraging still more interest on Poland's part. Several Polish trade officials have visited Haiti since April, and as of 26 June a Polish-Haitian com- mercial firm reportedly was being established in Port-au- Prince to promote barter deals between the two countries. The first barter contract set up by the firm is said to envisage an exchange of Haitian coffee and other products for 17,000 tons of Polish cement and other prod- ucts,, with a total value of $300,000. Czechoslovakia also has evinced commercial interest in Haiti, but evidently to a lesser extent. A six-man Czech-trade delegation visited Haiti in early March of this year and met informally with Haitian business- men. There was no indication that the delegation met with any Haitian officials, and no im- portant deals for cash or barter were made. There have been several reports since mid-1962 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927AO04100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 SECRET that Czech weapons have come into Haiti, but none have been confirmed. Firmer indications of the extent of bloc interest in Haiti may develop shortly. A Haitian cabinet-level delegation is tentatively scheduled to leave for Western Europe in September to seek economic aid commitments from France, West Germany, and Italy. If these attempts to acquire Western economic aid should fail--and preliminary in- dications are that only minor aid offers will be made at this time --Haiti reportedly will seek Czech and Polish help. Duvalier has threatened on a number of occasions over the past several years to turn to the bloc for economic assistance if he could not obtain more aid from the US. For the most part, these threats--the latest of which was implied in Duvalier's 22 May re- mark that Haiti might be forced to turn to "other systems" if satisfactory economic support were not forthcoming from within the free enterprise system--have been implied rather than explicit and have not been followed up. A few tenuous feelers by Duvalier toward the bloc have been reported, however, such as the unconfirmed reports that former Haitian for- eign minister Raymond Moyse headed a small delegation sent to Moscow in a quest of Soviet aid during the summer of 1962. Such overtures as may have been made evidently have met with little response from the bloc. There also have been few other indications of any bloc interest in Haiti; bloc propaganda media have rarely mehtioned Haiti, and except for the unfavorable comments on Duvalier made by Moscow and the Soviet delegation at the UN during the Haitian- Dominican crisis, bloc commen- tary on Haiti has been largely noncommittal. It has been reported that several Communist and pro-Com- munist members of Duvalier's coterie were plotting to remove him from power and subsequently declare Haiti to be a "social- ist republic." A rash of such reports were received during the several weeks preceding the end of Duvalier's legal term of office on 15 May; none have come in since then, and there is some reason to believe that these re- ports were deliberately planted by Duvalier so that they might reach US Government officials. Nevertheless, if such a course of action were ever implemented, the chances of such a successor government eliciting bloc or Cuban support would appear con- siderably greater than are the prospects of the present gov- ernment. Even in this case, however, the bloc's initial reaction to an appeal for sup- port probably would be cautious until the situation was clari- fied and the nature and extent of US reaction had become ap- parent. Also, the bloc might be cautious unless the neigh- boring Dominican Republic--a more attractive and more signif- icant target for eventual bloc domination--were won over first. There is no evidence of more than a perfunctory interest SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-O 927AO04100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 jwr+ SECRET in Haiti on the part of the Castro regime at this time. Cuban-Haitian relations were broken in August 1959 following an abortive "invasion" attempt against Haiti by a handful of Castro's followers, and contacts between the two nations have been minimal ever since. Sev- eral Haitian Communists report- edly live in Cuba, and one of them, Rene Depestre, is said to have been given a job by Castro at the Cuban Government printing office in Havana. Radio Havana devotes an hour each day to beaming a broadcast in the Creole language to Haiti; the broadcast was initiated late last December following an 18- month lapse in Cuba's interna- tional broadcasts to Haiti. Aside from this, there is 1' evidence of Cuban interest. n ear y May, u oreign Minister Raul Roa re- marked that Cuba had its own troubles and was interested neither in Duvalier nor in Dominican President Juan Bosch, who were described as "equally distasteful" to the Cuban Government. There have been several reports recently that Castro is training thousands of Hai- tians and French-speaking Africans to be used in a take- over of Haiti-and that some of these forces have already been infiltrated into Haiti. Neither aspect of these reports can be confirmed. The former Haitian consul general in Santiago de Cuba, who returned to his coun- try last month, estimated that there are approximately 80,000 Haitians living in Cuba, most of them having emigrated there as cane-cutters in the pre-Castro period. He stated that only a small percentage of these per- sons are Castro supporters and that he found no evidence of Africans being trained to go to Haiti. He also made the point that the Haitians who had gone to Cuba found living conditions there superior to those they had left behind, which would incline most of them to remain. Sources familar with the Haitian people point out that clandestine entry into the country, even for native Haitians, would be no easy task; such persons would quickly be spotted by local authorities, who tend to be suspicious of any "strangers." There is no evi- dence that such incidents have occurred. The State of the Haitian Economy Haiti remains an over- crowded and impoverished country where the levels of production, income, health, and literacy are probably the lowest in the West- ern Hemisphere and among the lowest in the world. The major problems facing the economy are those which have plagued the country for generations: inade- quate natural resources, low agricultural productivity, a lack of diversification in pro- duction, and a lack of any systematic economic development program and trained personnel to implement economic reforms. Agricultural production--the country's main economic activity --is retarded by the prevalence SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 jrrr' rqw SECRET of subsistence farming on small family plots and by the owners' failure to observe even the most elementary principles of land and soil conservation. Haiti's major exports are coffee, sugar, and sisal. Coffee, the most im- portant crop, grows wild and re- ceives a minimum of processing from the peasants who collect it. Continued heavy dependence on coffee, with alternating high and low crop years and continuous price fluctuations, results in periodic strains on the countryS economic stability. Under Duvalier, the coun- try's over-all economic deteri- oration has continued unchecxed. Revenues ostensibly raised for developmental purposes have been diverted for Duvalier's personal use and that of his top officials and armed retainers. Taxes have been increased as much as the traffic will bear, and foreign businesses in Haiti are inces- santly asked to "contribute" to the regime's coffers. The level of business activity has declined and during the last six months business has been especially poor due to the effects of a longshoremen's strike in the US, the political situation in Haiti, and the virtual cessation of the tourist trade--formerly Haiti's second-largest source of foreign exchange. Many observers who have been struck by the poverty and economic stagnation so evident in the country have assumed that an economic collapse is imminent. Such a collapse now appears ex- tremely unlikely, since the coun- try grows enough food to satisfy the regime's heeds and since the coffee crop to be harvested during this October and November is expected to be a good one. This will bring the regime much- needed foreign exchange and re- lieve temporarily much of the economic pressure built up over the past year. Also Haiti re- mains fiscally sound in the technical sense. The economy, 'iowever dreary it may be in other respects, has had a notably good record in fiscal-monetary per- formance ever since the end of the US occupation of the country in 1934. In his speech of 22 May, President Duvalier announced the initiation of an elaborate new economic and social development plan for the country which he titled the "Plan of Urgency." Basically the "plan" calls for a $50-million investment annually for two years, in order to put the nation's economy on the road to progress. The announced goal of the plan is a five-percent increase in the nation's per capita GNP, to be achieved at the rate of 2.5 percent per annum. After the first two years of operation, the plan calls for an annual investment of $70 million, the extra $20 million going toward meeting the costs of maintenance and replacement. Typically, however, the plan contains no specific provision for financing, aside from vague references to "national effort" and "sacrifice," and a rather blustering assertion that foreign aid with strings attached will SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 Nw~ %0 SECRET not be accepted. The plan evidently assumes that the means will somehow and somewhere be found; aside from this,. Duvalier referred to the program as "an alliance with ourselves for progress." The economy clearly cannot produce the funds neces- sary to finance a program of this magnitude, and it is doubt- ful that in its present state the Haitian economy could absorb an investment of $50 million, even if it became available. The scheme appears similar in purpose to Duvalier's earlier "National Renovation Movement," an economic development project of smaller scope which has served Duvalier's domestic propaganda purposes and whose major accom- plishment has been the partial construction of a low-cost workers' residential community named "Duvalierville" in an area where there is little need of it. For these reasons the plan has not been taken very seriously in Port-au-Prince except for its implied threat of increased taxation. Duvalier's Opposition The strength of Duvalier's position today comes not only from his own clever manipulation of the forces which have the potential to overthrow him, but also from the extreme disarray and despair of those Haitians who oppose him. The Haitian op- position has long been deeply fragmented, but only recently have the anti-Duvalier forces-- particularly those remaining within Haiti--lost hope of over- throwing the dictatorship. With the passing of the 22 May anniversary celebrations of Duvalier's "reinauguration" in 1961, the anti-Duvalier momentum built up during the preceding two months evaporated, and despondency supplanted optimism in opposition circles. Recent reports from within Haiti indicate that silent, in- active opposition to Duvalier among politically conscious sectors of the population con- tinues at a high level and probably has increased. They also make it clear that the populace has been cowed by the regime's repressive power and by its often-demonstrated brutality against known or sus- pected dissidents. Most of those Haitians who have exhibited courage or capability in the struggle against Duvalier have either been killed or imprisoned by the regime, or have taken asylum in foreign embassies and have fled to Other countries. Only Clement Barbot--whose death was announced by the regime on 14 July--and his handful of followers actively opposed Duvalier from within Haiti in recent months. Barbot's death may well leave Duvalier virtually unopposed at home at this time; the capabilities of the surviving remnants of his group are believed to be quite limited. Such internal opposition to the regime as exists is cen- tered mainly in the small Haitian mulatto element, which has been especially persecuted by Duvalier since he took power. He has been largely successful in destroying SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 SECRET the political power of the mulattoes, who traditionally have controlled most of the country's key posts other than the presidency. Further, Duvalier has sharpened his.- torical racial antagonisms between them and the country's Negro masses--the latter ac- counting for approximately 95 percent of the population. There Are reports that in the event of an attack on his regime, Duvalier's henchmen have stand- ing orders to launch an all-out attack on the mulattoes. Many members of this group already have been liquidated or have fled into exile, but those who remain--businessmen, intellec- tuals, and professionals who have not been harmed because of their economic importance to the country--are bitterly opposed to Duvalier. The exile picture is one of fragmentation and confusion. A multitude of small, personalistic exile groups exist, but most of them tend to focus more on at- tempting to discredit rival groups and personalities than on direct- ing efforts against the Duvalier regime. (See Annex B for a brief description of some of the exile organizations most frequently reported on.) Most of the groups have advanced dubious claims of substantial support within Haiti, and few have come up with detailed plans for a future government. Many are limited in their appeal to other Haitians because their leadership is composed of Haitian politicans of the old-school type who, if they were to achieve power, would probably ape the present regime in most of its authoritarian and corrupt prac- tices. Few are believed to have much financial support or military resources available at this time. Concentrations of anti- Duvalier exiles are located in the Dominican Republic; in New York and Miami in the US; and in Cuba, Venezuela, and the Bahamas. There are lesser numbers in other areas. The center of Haitian exile activity is the Dominican Republic. To Haitian exiles hoping to build up strength for an eventual conquest of their homeland, the Dominican Republic is both a natural and an important staging area. Given their present lack of financial and military re- sources, the Haitian exiles would be hard pressed to mount any kind of an attack on Duvalier without active Dominican support. Dominican President Juan Bosch's recent loud protesta- tions of his opposition to Duvalier have historical ante- cedents: Haitian-Dominlican relations have been character- ized by tension and strife ever since 1822. In 1937 the two countries nearly went to war after thousands of Haitian canecutters who had crossed the border to work in Dominican canefields were slaughtered by the Trujillo dictatorship. Now difficulties between the two countries have been revived largely because of the conflict- ing natures of their govern- ments. Bosch, a member of the SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0; 927AO04100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 V *40 SECRET political school of the demo- cratic left, like Costa Rican ex- president Jose Figueres and Venezuelan President Betancourt, opposes everything which Duvalier stands for and has said that their two governments cannot exist for long on the same is- land: one will have to fall. The Haitian-Dominican crisis which erupted in late April was a reflection of this sentiment. It was largely manufactured by Bosch, who used the crisis to rally the Dominican people to an old banner in order to divert their attention from domestic political and economic problems. Most of the larger Haitian exile organizations have vied, with some success until recently, SECRET Ifor Dominican support for a move against Duvalier. Busch now opposes providing military equipment and training sites to any of the exiles, although several groups did receive such aid earlier. His about- face in this matter may have sprung from his fear of inter- national censure and from his unfavorable impressions of the Haitian exiles he has met. His decision, however, has served to accelerate the confusion and disintegration of the Haitian exile forces. The Dominican Government is nevertheless continuing to welcome Haitian exiles into the country, and hundreds of refugees and exiles have crossed the border into the Dominican Republic in recent months. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM) Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 SECRET Capital City: Area Population Rural to Urban Ratio: Illiteracy: Budget Percentage of Budget for Military: Total Value of Exports: Total Value of Imports: Chief Exports (1962-63): Port-au-Prince Pop. (1963 est.) 200,000 10,714 square miles 4,400,000 (1963 est.) 85% to 15% 90%a (est.) $28,800,000 (1 Oct 62 to 30 Sept 63) 26% $32,000,000 (1961 est.) $35,000,000 (1961 est.) Coffee - 40% Sugar - 16% Sisal - 10% US Investment (Direct): Per Capita GNP: Armed Forces (FAd'H): Civil Militia (VSN): Ton Ton Macoutes: US Aid to Haiti since World War II: US Aid to Haiti under Duvalier Regime: SECRET $70,000,000 $65-$70 (est.) Army - 4,788 Coast Guard - 314 Aviation Corps - 184 10,000 (1963 est.) 1,000-1,500 (1963 est.) $100,000,000 $50,000,000 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927A004100070006-6 W SECRET ANNEX B Haitian Exile Organizations and Groupings* (Listed alphabetically) 1. Corvington military grouping: Ex-colonel Paul Corvington, former director of Haiti's mili- tary academy who left the country as an asylee this spring and who is distinguished by his capable military leadership as well as by his distrust of Haitian exile politicians, is attempting to build an organization of other former military officers and men for an eventual attack on Duvalier. Active mainly in the Domini- can Republic, Corvington and a few associates have negotiated with Dominican President Bosch and elements of the military leadership there for their support, but the Corvington group is not believed to be receiving such assistance at this time. A Haitian priest, Father Jean Baptiste Georges, currently appears to be working closely with Corvington. 2. Dejoie-Fignole Haitian "Government-in-Exile:" Two former rivals for the Haitian presidency in the 1957 elections, Louis Dejoie and Daniel Fignole, announced on 12 May their joint leadership of a 16-man provisional "government-in- exile." Their organization appears never to have gone beyond the planning stage and the two leaders have split up, according to recent reports. Dejoie, a wealthy mulatto of conservative politi- cal tendencies, has attempted several times since 1957 to ous7c Duvalier, and claims a large number of supporters within Haiti. Fignole, who actually was president of Haiti for 19 days in June 1957, is a spellbinding Negro orator and demagogue who is believed to retain a considerable following among Port-au-Prince's slum dwellers. Both Dejoie and Fignole are presumably continuing their attempts to build their own organizations. *Within the Haitian exile concentrations,'alliances be- tween groups and their leaders shift constantly and rap- idly as the key figures jockey for increased prestige and support. For this reason, certain generalizations as to the makeup of the groups and their alliances with other organizations listed herein may very quickly become less than accurate. SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-OP927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO004100070006-6 Nw~ 1411110 SECRET 3. FRU (United Revolutionary Force): The prominence of the FRU has declined rapidly since mid-May, when the organization's military training camp just across the Haitian border in the Dominican Republic was closed down by the Bosch government. The group, estimated in May to have a strength of about 60 men, was set up by Haitian exile brothers Jacques and Raymond Cassagnol and was indirectly financed by Haitian ex-Presi- dent Paul Magloire. The FRU camp was disbanded and its equipment seized by the Dominican Government apparently only hours before it was to launch an invasion effort against Duvalier. Other exile groups within the Dominican Republic reportedly have been vying for the allegiance of the FRU members, but no one group seems to have absorbed them. 4. MJH (Young Haiti Movement): This well-organized and active group is led by a Haitian Catholic priest, Father Gerard Bissainthe, who is of leftist per- suasion. His group reportedly includes elements both of the demo- cratic left and of the extreme left. Father Bissainthe claims that MJH groups have been organized in several Haitian exile centers, including New York, Caracas, and Puerto Rico, and asserts that the organization has about 500 members within Haiti. Most of the group's current efforts are centered in the Dominican Republic. The MJH formerly received its military guidance from And'd Riviere, a self-proclaimed French guerrilla warfare expert who recently was ousted from the group. 5. MPH (Haitian Patriotic Movement): Founded in 1.962, the MPH is led by Clement Benoit and is cen- tered in Nassau, B.W.I. Benoit has put forward greatly exaggerated claims as to the strength of his organization, which is believed small and probably has little financial or any other support. Benoit himself is generally regarded as a rather minor figure on the Haitian exile scene who is trying to build up his own importance. 6. PNH (National Haitian Party): The political vehicle established by the late Clement Jumelle (an unsuccessful presidential candidate who competed against Duvalier in the 1957 elections), the PNH today is politically quiet and is nominally led by Clement's brother, Gaston Jumelle. The organiza- tion has maintained its original philosophy, which is of the mod- erate left, and its present headquarters is believed to be in New York. Some of Haiti's most progressive, enlightened, and SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-0 927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AQ04100070006-6 voo~ W, SECRET professional people maintain loose ties with the PNH, but these people--one group of whom is referred to as the Latortue group, stemming from the name of one its members, Francois Latortue--are handicapped in their political efforts by the lack of any real organization. The PNH and the Latortue group are believed to en- joy considerable support among intellectuals in Haiti. 7. UDN (National Democratic Union): The UDN is the older of the two amalgamations of several Haitian exile groups, the other being the Dejoie-Fignole organiza- tion. It was formed in 1962 by a "traditional" Haitian politician, Pierre Rigaud, who heads the group's main concentration in the Dominican Republic. The UDN is also represented in New York, Wash- ington, and Caracas. It contains groups of various political per- suasions and includes representatives of at least two of the groups listed above (PHN and MPH). Its military leader at present report- edly is General Leon Cantave, a competent, pro-US former Haitian army chief of staff. The group may have greater numerical strength than any of the others. (SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM) SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-OP927A004100070006-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6 Q Approved For Release 2006/11/06: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04100070006-6