WEEKLY SUMMARY

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CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1
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S
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33
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December 19, 2016
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SUMMARY
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lease 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 1 1 M OCI No. 0301/63 Copy No. 76 WEEKLY SUMMARY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY ? 1 a .I/ClDF Page 2 onl+ SECRET GROUP I Excluded from automatic downgrading and declassification Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 SECRET (Information as of 1200 EDT, 10 October 1963) FURTHER NATIONALIZATION OF CUBAN FARM LAND A decree nationalizing remaining private farms of more than about 167 acres will leave only some 34 percent of the farm land under private ownership. LARGE-SCALE RELOCATION OF CUBAN FAMILIES The regime may be trying to choke off local sup- port for guerrilla bands by relocating families in areas where insurgent activity has been chronic. EAST GERMAN ELECTION PREPARATIONS BRING PROTESTS Party functionaries are trying to bring out the largest possible vote for the single list of can- didates without making concessions to the populace. THE SKOPJE EARTHQUAKE AND ITS AFTERMATH Belgrade, estimating that reconstruction will cost over $1 billion, is seeking more foreign aid to minimize the effects on the country's economic stability and rate of growth. TITO'S LATIN AMERICAN TOUR The trip seems to have done little to advance Yugo- slav influence in the area other than to establish a degree of rapport with some leaders and to open the door a little wider for Yugoslav trade. SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM Political unrest continues, and both Buddhists and Ngo Dinh reportedly are planning action against American personnel or installations. SECRET 11 Oct 63 CURREEN 1` 'INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 SECRET ASIA-AFRICA (continued) BACKGROUND FOR ELECTIONS IN SOUTH KOREA The mood of bitterness and factionalism in which the elections are being conducted is not due to "issues," but is rooted in basic attitudes shared by the military junta and the civilian politicians who are opposing it. Regardless of who wins the voting, the real outcome of the elections could be another violent confrontation between the regime and an aroused populace. (Published separately as Special Report OCI No. 0301/63C) SYRIAN-IRAQI COOPERATION GROWS Announcement of military unity between Syria and Iraq may be the first of a number of moves toward a full union of the two countries. IMPROVED SOVIET-ALGERIAN RELATIONS The reception in Moscow of Algerian Deputy Premier Boumedienne is a further sign of increasingly open Soviet friendship for Algeria since the consolida- tion of Ben Bella's rule in that country. SECRET 11 Oct 63 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 %w SECRET SECRET 11 Oct 63 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iii Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 *mw 1"w SECRET SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iv Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 SECRET A decree of 4 October has nationalized Cuba's remaining independent farms of more than five caballerias (about 167 ' acres) and left only some 34 per- cent of the country's farm land under private ownership. The decree states flatly that the move was necessitated by stepped- up "Yankee aggressions" against the Cuban revolution--aggressions which had the sympathy of the remaining "rural bourgeoisie." This outlook was underlined by Castro in a speech on 5 Octo- ber explaining the decree. He stated categorically that in the future there will be no medium- sized or large landowners in Cuba because they will always be "irreconcilable class enemies of the revolution." He estimated that 7,000-8,000 landowners would be affected by the decree and added, that this group now would lose its social and economic in- fluence. Some of Cuba's best farmers are to be found among those hold- ing 5-30 caballerias, and the economy will undoubtedly suffer noticeably if they are driven off their land. It is still not clear what will happen to the small farmers. In his speech of 9 August before SECRET the congress of the National Association of Small Farmers, Cas- tro attempted to assure his lis- teners that they could feel se- cure in their future. He esti- mated that about 70 percent of the farm land would eventually be in "national lands" and about 30 percent in plots owned by small farmers. This is undoubtedly one of the dilemmas facing the regime in its agricultural policies. Despite the huge investment the government has made in state farms, the independent farmers are still the better producers and account for well over half the production of such staple items as sugar cane, tobacco, coffee, corn, yuca, and potatoes. A Western observer in Havana commenting on Castro's August speech, states that the regime appears to have two motives for eliminating the "rural bour- geoisie." From the ideological point of view it feels that the state should own the land, while politically it fears the opposi- tion of the wealthier farmers. He feels that the small farmers are also scheduled to disappear as soon as the regime has satis- factorily organiz-A +h ing state farms. 11 Oct 63 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 SECRET The Castro regime appears to be trying to choke off local support for guerrilla bands. One technique may be large- scale relocations of families from areas where insurgent activity has been chronic. annoyance rather than an in- Insurgent activity in Cuba is still on a small scale and has not increased in recent months. The relocation pro- gram, therefore, would appear designed to reduce a chronic SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 3 25x1 25x1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 34107 24 (6) 33 32 19 (6). . T ~~U H~o, D L 6 U R.G 16 EAST GERMANY ELECTORAL DISTRICTS 20 OCTOBER 1963 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 N%Wwl 1%80 o F 22 .~s) M,'A G D I;z { ff CLASSIFIED MATERIAL ON REVERSE OF PAGE . Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Total election districts 67 Total deputies 434 (66) Non-voting representatives Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 m ar' SECRET EAST GERMAN ELECTION PREPARATIONS BRING PROTESTS Some elements of the East German population are threaten- ing to boycott the 20 October People's Chamber elections. Party functionaries, however, confidently continue to try to bring out the largest possible vote for the single list of candidates without making con- cessions. In the face of such atti- tudes, top officials are mak- ing speeches in all parts of the GDR "answering" public grievances. Soviet prestige is being enlisted to support the regime--cosmonauts Valen- tina Tereshkova and Yuriy Gagarin are to visit the GDR from 17 to 22 October. Col- laborating churchmen and fel- low travelers from the East German Christian Democratic Union are printing appeals for support of the elections. Ref- ugees are being urged to re- turn from West Germany to cast ballots--a propaganda gambit which has caused East Germans to point out that these ref- ugees until recently were branded as traitors. Although the regime is resisting pressure for con- cessions, more than half of the 400 members in the present house have been dropped from the list of nominees. Many of the new nominees are younger SED officials with technical training who recently have achieved high part or a n- ment position. SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 4 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 BEST COPY A VAILAJ3LE Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 An aerial view Tito escorting Khrushchev through Skopje ruins 0 Appro jdl ~WW i~ ~ 'I~ '3L F 'Vl ~O it 0001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 The Communist World THE SKOPJE EARTHQUAKE AND ITS AFTERMATH Two and a half months after its devastation by earthquake, Skopje, capital of Yugoslav Mac- edonia, is again functioning as a city. However, most of its 180,000 inhabitants are still living in tents, and present plans will provide housing for only two thirds of them. Belgrade esti- mates that reconstruction will take five years and cost over a billion dollars. It is seeking additional foreign aid to minimize the effects on the country's eco- nomic stability and rate of growth. The earthquake which struck Skopje on 26 July rendered 80 percent of its buildings uninhab- itable. Of the 36,000 houses and apartment buildings, only 10,000 can be repaired. Of 45 factories, 14 were destroyed and 13 more needed major repair. Dam- age to roads, railways, and ware- houses completely disrupted supply and distribution. Demolition of the most se- riously damaged buildings has been generally completed, and the rubble removed. Most indus- trial plants left standing are back in full production, and re- construction of housing and the building of new factories is going ahead at full steam. As a result, employment is apparently close to the pre-quake level, and Macedonian industry has exceeded production goals set before the disaster. With cold weather and winter rains beginning, priority now is being given to construction of semipermanent housing. By mid-August over $9 million in aid for Skopje, in both cash and goods, had been received from abroad and other parts of Yugo- slavia. Many foreigners are cur- rently working in Skopje. The British have a 50-man engineering unit supervising erection of 1,600 donated housing units for 10,000 people. The USSR's aid, however, apparently has made the greatest impact. Moscow sent a 500-man engineering unit for construction work, donated a factory for pre- fabricated apartments, and re- portedly has offered 1,800 more men. The Czechoslovaks are appar- ently about to begin a housing project, and the East Germans and Poles are planning still others. The long-term task of re- constructing Skopje is to be in- corporated into Yugoslavia's new Seven Year Plan, which begins next year. Belgrade hopes to make around $200 million avail- able in 1964. Part of this will come from special taxes and sale of bonds, the rest from general federal revenues and, it is hoped, foreign aid. The cost of rebuilding Skopje does not greatly affect Yugoslavia's prospects for continued rapid economic growth, but it does in- crease the strain on some resources, especially building materials. The Yugoslavs hope to get foreign aid in meeting their balance-of-payments problem by loans and postponements of $200 million in foreign debts sched- uled for repayment in 1964. The International Monetary Fund has already responded favorably to a Yugoslav request to make a new drawing of $30 million and post- pone a $45-million repaym scheduled for next year. 25x1 SECRET 11 Oct 63 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 5 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Tito seated with President Goulart during Yugoslav-Brazilian official talks. Mme. Tito with the two heads of state. Approvecia~t31~1IfFP,F9~0~4~OBHC71-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 SECRET During his Latin American goodwill tour, which will conclude with a 3-16 October visit to Mexico, Tito has received a mixed reception which has probably fallen short of his expectations. He seems to have achieved little toward advancing Yugoslav influence in the area other than establish- ing a degree of rapport with some leaders and opening the door a little wider for Yugoslav trade. The critical reaction of some sections of the Latin American press has tarnished Tito's image as an important figure in world affairs. The tour got off to a bad start in Brazil, when the refusal of two conservative governors to receive him caused cancellation of traditional visits to Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo. A third governor followed suit, claiming to be unable to guarantee Tito's security. As a result, Tito saw only two Brazilian cities and shortened his visit by two days. Conservative opposition also ex- plained in large part why only 75 of Brazil's 475 congressmen showed up to hear him address the National Congress. Conservative opposition to a Tito visit was also strong in Chile. Two conservative ministers resigned from the government in protest, and the mayor of one town visited by Tito refused to receive him officially. The con- servatives were also able to keep him from addressing the Chilean Congress--apparently only the second time in Chilean history that this privilege has been de- nied to a visitor of Tito's rank. The Yugoslavs were so concerned that an assassination might be at- tempted by anti-Tito Latin Ameri- cans of Yugoslav origin that Tito made little contact with the people. In Bolivia, for example, Tito was seldom seen except in a closed, bullet-proof car which passed through the city "like a tornado." A number of potentially signif- icant economic agreements were signed during the trip, however. A joint economic commission was set up with Brazil to study ways of stabilizing and increasing trade. Yugoslavia and Bolivia signed a most-favored-nation trade agreement and also established a joint eco- nomic commission. In addition, a financial and technical coopera- tion agreement which provided La Paz with a $5,000,000 credit for purchase of Yugoslav industrial equipment was signed. Talks in Chile identified likely products for trading and produced an agree- ment to establish a $500,000 swing credit to provide short-term trade financing. Apparently Tito and his hosts readily achieved a meeting of minds on such questions as the need for easing international tensions and fostering the eco- nomic growth of underdeveloped states. These two subjects have dominated the joint declarations signed thus far, and cooperation in working for these goals has been pledged. Apparently only in Chile, however, did Tito find a responsive echo to Yugo- slavia's 1 of nonalignment. SECRET Page 6 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 SECRET Continued political unrest in Saigon was sharply pointed up on 5 October by another Buddhist self-immolation--the sixth--and by the defection to Cambodia of a South Vietnamese Air Force fighter pilot. These events, which came when the Buddhist issue was being brought before the UN General Assembly, may foreshadow further incidents during the forthcoming UN-spon- sored fact-finding visits by Afro-Asian representatives. Antigovernment leaflets, alleg- edly prepared by underground student and Buddhist groups, have appeared in Saigon, and reports that groups of monks are independently planning actions, possibly including terrorist tactics against Americans, in the belief that this will force the United States to abandon President Diem. Diem, in a speech on 7 Oc- tober, nevertheless reiterated that the Buddhist issue was re- solved, and on 8 October the government reopened Hue Univer- sity and released over 100 additional Buddhist prisoners. Saigon University remains closed, however, and reports con- tinue of searches and arrests-- Government officials and the government-controlled press, meanwhile, have continued to charge that American officials and newsmen foster much of the political discontent. Reports are circulating that the govern- ment may announce some internal changes by 26 October, South Vietnam's National Day, and that these might include economic measures to counteract any re- duction in US aid. Several re- ports during the past month have alleged that Nhu is planning some kind of demonstrations or dis- orders at the American Embassy. The Viet Cong has sustained military attacks at an increased rate for the past five weeks, demonstrating its continued offensive capability. A re- cently captured Viet Cong soldier, who stated he had entered northern South Vietnam via Laos with a 107-man unit in April, provided the most sub- stantial evidence to date of the infiltration of any military unit from North Vietnam during SECRET CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 7 25X1 25X1 ~;KI Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13: CIA-RDP79-00927 004200060001-1 MALAYSIA, Medan p&tA LUMPUR ^ ,^? x4: NORTH --- LHINA .~J!(ETNAM S n Fernando v LUZON MALAYSIA, MANILA INDONESIA, p i $UTH and ?