WEEKLY SUMMARY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-00927A004200060001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 33
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Sequence Number: 1
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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OCI No. 0301/63
Copy No.
76
WEEKLY SUMMARY
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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GROUP I Excluded from automatic
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(Information as of 1200 EDT, 10 October 1963)
FURTHER NATIONALIZATION OF CUBAN FARM LAND
A decree nationalizing remaining private farms of
more than about 167 acres will leave only some 34
percent of the farm land under private ownership.
LARGE-SCALE RELOCATION OF CUBAN FAMILIES
The regime may be trying to choke off local sup-
port for guerrilla bands by relocating families in
areas where insurgent activity has been chronic.
EAST GERMAN ELECTION PREPARATIONS BRING PROTESTS
Party functionaries are trying to bring out the
largest possible vote for the single list of can-
didates without making concessions to the populace.
THE SKOPJE EARTHQUAKE AND ITS AFTERMATH
Belgrade, estimating that reconstruction will cost
over $1 billion, is seeking more foreign aid to
minimize the effects on the country's economic
stability and rate of growth.
TITO'S LATIN AMERICAN TOUR
The trip seems to have done little to advance Yugo-
slav influence in the area other than to establish
a degree of rapport with some leaders and to open
the door a little wider for Yugoslav trade.
SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM
Political unrest continues, and both Buddhists and
Ngo Dinh reportedly are planning action against
American personnel or installations.
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ASIA-AFRICA (continued)
BACKGROUND FOR ELECTIONS IN SOUTH KOREA
The mood of bitterness and factionalism in which
the elections are being conducted is not due to
"issues," but is rooted in basic attitudes shared
by the military junta and the civilian politicians
who are opposing it. Regardless of who wins the
voting, the real outcome of the elections could be
another violent confrontation between the regime
and an aroused populace. (Published separately
as Special Report OCI No. 0301/63C)
SYRIAN-IRAQI COOPERATION GROWS
Announcement of military unity between Syria and
Iraq may be the first of a number of moves toward
a full union of the two countries.
IMPROVED SOVIET-ALGERIAN RELATIONS
The reception in Moscow of Algerian Deputy Premier
Boumedienne is a further sign of increasingly open
Soviet friendship for Algeria since the consolida-
tion of Ben Bella's rule in that country.
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11 Oct 63 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iii
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page iv
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A decree of 4 October has
nationalized Cuba's remaining
independent farms of more than
five caballerias (about 167 '
acres) and left only some 34 per-
cent of the country's farm land
under private ownership. The
decree states flatly that the
move was necessitated by stepped-
up "Yankee aggressions" against
the Cuban revolution--aggressions
which had the sympathy of the
remaining "rural bourgeoisie."
This outlook was underlined
by Castro in a speech on 5 Octo-
ber explaining the decree. He
stated categorically that in the
future there will be no medium-
sized or large landowners in
Cuba because they will always
be "irreconcilable class enemies
of the revolution." He estimated
that 7,000-8,000 landowners would
be affected by the decree and
added, that this group now would
lose its social and economic in-
fluence.
Some of Cuba's best farmers
are to be found among those hold-
ing 5-30 caballerias, and the
economy will undoubtedly suffer
noticeably if they are driven off
their land.
It is still not clear what
will happen to the small farmers.
In his speech of 9 August before
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the congress of the National
Association of Small Farmers, Cas-
tro attempted to assure his lis-
teners that they could feel se-
cure in their future. He esti-
mated that about 70 percent of
the farm land would eventually
be in "national lands" and about
30 percent in plots owned by
small farmers.
This is undoubtedly one of
the dilemmas facing the regime
in its agricultural policies.
Despite the huge investment the
government has made in state
farms, the independent farmers
are still the better producers
and account for well over half
the production of such staple
items as sugar cane, tobacco,
coffee, corn, yuca, and potatoes.
A Western observer in Havana
commenting on Castro's August
speech, states that the regime
appears to have two motives for
eliminating the "rural bour-
geoisie." From the ideological
point of view it feels that the
state should own the land, while
politically it fears the opposi-
tion of the wealthier farmers.
He feels that the small farmers
are also scheduled to disappear
as soon as the regime has satis-
factorily organiz-A +h ing
state farms.
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The Castro regime appears
to be trying to choke off local
support for guerrilla bands.
One technique may be large-
scale relocations of families
from areas where insurgent
activity has been chronic.
annoyance rather than an in-
Insurgent activity in
Cuba is still on a small scale
and has not increased in recent
months. The relocation pro-
gram, therefore, would appear
designed to reduce a chronic
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 3
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 34107
24 (6)
33
32
19 (6). .
T ~~U H~o, D L 6 U R.G
16
EAST GERMANY
ELECTORAL DISTRICTS
20 OCTOBER 1963
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CLASSIFIED MATERIAL ON REVERSE OF PAGE .
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Total election districts 67
Total deputies 434
(66) Non-voting representatives
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EAST GERMAN ELECTION PREPARATIONS BRING PROTESTS
Some elements of the East
German population are threaten-
ing to boycott the 20 October
People's Chamber elections.
Party functionaries, however,
confidently continue to try to
bring out the largest possible
vote for the single list of
candidates without making con-
cessions.
In the face of such atti-
tudes, top officials are mak-
ing speeches in all parts of
the GDR "answering" public
grievances. Soviet prestige
is being enlisted to support
the regime--cosmonauts Valen-
tina Tereshkova and Yuriy
Gagarin are to visit the GDR
from 17 to 22 October. Col-
laborating churchmen and fel-
low travelers from the East
German Christian Democratic
Union are printing appeals for
support of the elections. Ref-
ugees are being urged to re-
turn from West Germany to cast
ballots--a propaganda gambit
which has caused East Germans
to point out that these ref-
ugees until recently were
branded as traitors.
Although the regime is
resisting pressure for con-
cessions, more than half of
the 400 members in the present
house have been dropped from
the list of nominees. Many
of the new nominees are younger
SED officials with technical
training who recently have
achieved high part or a n-
ment position.
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 4
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BEST COPY
A VAILAJ3LE
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An aerial view
Tito escorting Khrushchev
through Skopje ruins
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The Communist World
THE SKOPJE EARTHQUAKE AND ITS AFTERMATH
Two and a half months after
its devastation by earthquake,
Skopje, capital of Yugoslav Mac-
edonia, is again functioning as
a city. However, most of its
180,000 inhabitants are still
living in tents, and present plans
will provide housing for only two
thirds of them. Belgrade esti-
mates that reconstruction will
take five years and cost over a
billion dollars. It is seeking
additional foreign aid to minimize
the effects on the country's eco-
nomic stability and rate of growth.
The earthquake which struck
Skopje on 26 July rendered 80
percent of its buildings uninhab-
itable. Of the 36,000 houses
and apartment buildings, only
10,000 can be repaired. Of 45
factories, 14 were destroyed and
13 more needed major repair. Dam-
age to roads, railways, and ware-
houses completely disrupted supply
and distribution.
Demolition of the most se-
riously damaged buildings has
been generally completed, and
the rubble removed. Most indus-
trial plants left standing are
back in full production, and re-
construction of housing and the
building of new factories is
going ahead at full steam. As a
result, employment is apparently
close to the pre-quake level, and
Macedonian industry has exceeded
production goals set before the
disaster. With cold weather and
winter rains beginning, priority
now is being given to construction
of semipermanent housing.
By mid-August over $9 million
in aid for Skopje, in both cash
and goods, had been received from
abroad and other parts of Yugo-
slavia. Many foreigners are cur-
rently working in Skopje. The
British have a 50-man engineering
unit supervising erection of 1,600
donated housing units for 10,000
people. The USSR's aid, however,
apparently has made the greatest
impact. Moscow sent a 500-man
engineering unit for construction
work, donated a factory for pre-
fabricated apartments, and re-
portedly has offered 1,800 more
men. The Czechoslovaks are appar-
ently about to begin a housing
project, and the East Germans and
Poles are planning still others.
The long-term task of re-
constructing Skopje is to be in-
corporated into Yugoslavia's new
Seven Year Plan, which begins
next year. Belgrade hopes to
make around $200 million avail-
able in 1964. Part of this will
come from special taxes and sale
of bonds, the rest from general
federal revenues and, it is hoped,
foreign aid.
The cost of rebuilding Skopje
does not greatly affect Yugoslavia's
prospects for continued rapid
economic growth, but it does in-
crease the strain on some resources,
especially building materials.
The Yugoslavs hope to get
foreign aid in meeting their
balance-of-payments problem by
loans and postponements of $200
million in foreign debts sched-
uled for repayment in 1964. The
International Monetary Fund has
already responded favorably to
a Yugoslav request to make a new
drawing of $30 million and post-
pone a $45-million repaym
scheduled for next year. 25x1
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Tito seated with President Goulart during Yugoslav-Brazilian
official talks.
Mme. Tito with the two heads of state.
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During his Latin American
goodwill tour, which will conclude
with a 3-16 October visit to
Mexico, Tito has received a mixed
reception which has probably fallen
short of his expectations. He
seems to have achieved little
toward advancing Yugoslav influence
in the area other than establish-
ing a degree of rapport with some
leaders and opening the door a
little wider for Yugoslav trade.
The critical reaction of some
sections of the Latin American
press has tarnished Tito's image
as an important figure in world
affairs.
The tour got off to a bad
start in Brazil, when the refusal
of two conservative governors to
receive him caused cancellation
of traditional visits to Rio de
Janeiro and Sao Paulo. A third
governor followed suit, claiming
to be unable to guarantee Tito's
security. As a result, Tito saw
only two Brazilian cities and
shortened his visit by two days.
Conservative opposition also ex-
plained in large part why only
75 of Brazil's 475 congressmen
showed up to hear him address the
National Congress.
Conservative opposition to
a Tito visit was also strong in
Chile. Two conservative ministers
resigned from the government in
protest, and the mayor of one
town visited by Tito refused to
receive him officially. The con-
servatives were also able to keep
him from addressing the Chilean
Congress--apparently only the
second time in Chilean history
that this privilege has been de-
nied to a visitor of Tito's
rank.
The Yugoslavs were so concerned
that an assassination might be at-
tempted by anti-Tito Latin Ameri-
cans of Yugoslav origin that Tito
made little contact with the
people. In Bolivia, for example,
Tito was seldom seen except in a
closed, bullet-proof car which
passed through the city "like a
tornado."
A number of potentially signif-
icant economic agreements were
signed during the trip, however.
A joint economic commission was
set up with Brazil to study ways
of stabilizing and increasing trade.
Yugoslavia and Bolivia signed a
most-favored-nation trade agreement
and also established a joint eco-
nomic commission. In addition, a
financial and technical coopera-
tion agreement which provided La
Paz with a $5,000,000 credit for
purchase of Yugoslav industrial
equipment was signed. Talks in
Chile identified likely products
for trading and produced an agree-
ment to establish a $500,000
swing credit to provide short-term
trade financing.
Apparently Tito and his
hosts readily achieved a meeting
of minds on such questions as
the need for easing international
tensions and fostering the eco-
nomic growth of underdeveloped
states. These two subjects have
dominated the joint declarations
signed thus far, and cooperation
in working for these goals has
been pledged. Apparently only
in Chile, however, did Tito
find a responsive echo to Yugo-
slavia's 1 of nonalignment.
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Continued political unrest
in Saigon was sharply pointed
up on 5 October by another
Buddhist self-immolation--the
sixth--and by the defection to
Cambodia of a South Vietnamese
Air Force fighter pilot. These
events, which came when the
Buddhist issue was being brought
before the UN General Assembly,
may foreshadow further incidents
during the forthcoming UN-spon-
sored fact-finding visits by
Afro-Asian representatives.
Antigovernment leaflets, alleg-
edly prepared by underground
student and Buddhist groups,
have appeared in Saigon, and
reports that groups of monks are
independently planning actions,
possibly including terrorist
tactics against Americans, in
the belief that this will force
the United States to abandon
President Diem.
Diem, in a speech on 7 Oc-
tober, nevertheless reiterated
that the Buddhist issue was re-
solved, and on 8 October the
government reopened Hue Univer-
sity and released over 100
additional Buddhist prisoners.
Saigon University remains
closed, however, and reports con-
tinue of searches and arrests--
Government officials and
the government-controlled press,
meanwhile, have continued to
charge that American officials
and newsmen foster much of the
political discontent. Reports
are circulating that the govern-
ment may announce some internal
changes by 26 October, South
Vietnam's National Day, and that
these might include economic
measures to counteract any re-
duction in US aid. Several re-
ports during the past month have
alleged that Nhu is planning some
kind of demonstrations or dis-
orders at the American Embassy.
The Viet Cong has sustained
military attacks at an increased
rate for the past five weeks,
demonstrating its continued
offensive capability. A re-
cently captured Viet Cong
soldier, who stated he had
entered northern South Vietnam
via Laos with a 107-man unit in
April, provided the most sub-
stantial evidence to date of
the infiltration of any military
unit from North Vietnam during
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Page 7
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MALAYSIA,
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