WEEKLY SUMMARY

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1
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RIPPUB
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S
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32
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 27, 2008
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 2, 1965
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
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Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 DIA review completed. State Dept. review completed ~ `~ {ARMY Review Completed ~ENTR~L 11`~ITELLIENE> ~~E~~~ .OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLI~ENC~ .25X1 ~E~F~ET .~RC~I~R{ ~XClud~d From fliifamatc dawngrfiidin~ and, declass'r~icafioq Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 "' SECRET '~ (Information as of noon EDT, 1 July 1965) VIETNAM The Viet Cong summer offensive regained its momentum last week. The weekly incident rate was the highest this year. Battalion-size or larger attacks were re- sumed on a countrywide basis, and guerrillas attacked Da Nang ~1ir Base. Both Hanoi and Peiping continued to reject all m a v e s for negotiations, such as the Com- monwealth Peace Mission proposals and President John- son's UN speech. Page United Nations CHARTER AMENDMENTS MAY LEAD TO EMERGENCY ASSEMBLY SESSION 5 If, as expected, amendments enlarging the Security Coun- cil and Economic and Social Council become effective in the next few weeks, any UN member anxious to complicate the US-Soviet dispute over Article 19 could demand an emergency session of the General Assembly to elect the additional members. The Communist World AGRICULTURAL PROSPECTS IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIES At mid-June, prospects for the winter grain crop were generally good in the USSR, China, and North Vietnam, and uncertain in Eastern Europe. All will continue to be net importers of grain in 1965. SOVIETS MAKE INTENSIVE EFFORT AT PARIS AIR SHOW As a result, some sales of Soviet helicopters may de- velop, but most Western manufacturers probably will not encounter serious Soviet competition in the commercial aircraft field before the 197 Us. SECRET Page i WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~"'~ SECRET UNRESOLVED ECONOMIC ISSUES MAY HAVE DELAYED SOVIET PLENUM Earlier rumors that the long-awaited central committee plenum expected to deal with industrial organization and management was scheduled for June or July have been succeeded by rumors suggesting it will not be held until some time in August dr September. EAST GERMANY PRESSES CLAIMS TO SOVEREIGNTY The apparent aim of current Soviet and East German moves affecting land and air communications is to draw the West Germans into piecemeal concessions without posing a direct challenge to basic Allied rights in Germany. Asia-Africa ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS SCHEDULED IN LAOS The Souvanna government hopes to farm a new assembly with a minimum of open opposition. Minor military operations meanwhile continue in both the northwestern and southern sections of the country. NEW SOVIET ECONOMIC AID FOR INDIA The increased Soviet aid widely anticipated as a result of Prime Minister Shastri's recent negotiations may to- tal as much as $1.2 billion during India's fourth five- year plan (1966-?0)--an amount which would approximate all Soviet economic aid to India since 1955. SECRET Page ii WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Page 10 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 SECRET ~" STRUGGLE BETWEEN CONGOLESE GOVERNMENT LEADERS CONTINUES President Kasavubu appears to be slowly increasing the political pressure on Premier Tshombe in their wrestle over the powerful office of the presidency. Page 15 INCREASING HUTU-TUTSI TRIBAL TENSIONS IN BURUNDI The Hutus, who won the May election, are trying to organ- ize themselves outside existing party lines in arde control the ~avernment i'rP.P_ of Tnt~ci 9 of 1 nPnr!a _ NEW ALGERIAN REGIME STILL ORGANIZING Colonel Boumedienne may be having some difficulty rec- onciling differences among the various opponents of the old Ben Bella government, but at least the much-publi- cized demonstrations against his coup have slackened. Europe US RELATIONS WITH EURATOM AND ITS MEMBERS Some progress may have been made toward substituting a single US EURATOM agreement for the bilateral accords the US now has with five EURATOM members, but several of the five continue to have reservations and France is opposed to any move like this that would enhance the supranational status of the European communities. SECRET Page iii WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 '`'"' SECRET `"~ Western Hemisphere Page SITUATION IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Extremists dissatisfied with rebel leader Caamano's will- ingness to negotiate a political solution have attached loyalist positions in the interior. These incidents have heightened the Imbert regimets demands for a military so- lution. Ymbert is resisting suggestions that he step down, but several military chiefs say they will withdraw their support from him if an acceptable interim govern- ment can be formed. SECOND INTER-AMERICAN CONFERENCE IN JEOPARDY A number of OAS members, opposed to the role of the US and the Organization of American States in the Dominican crisis, are against holding the conference as scheduled on 4 August in Rio de Janeiro. POSSIBLE SPLIT IN JAGAN'S PARTY IN BRITISH GUIANA Jaganfs apparent decision to direct violent opposition to independence under the Burnham government may have come too late to prevent extremists from leaving his pro-Communist People's Progressive Party. COLOMBIA'S FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC PROBLEMS REMAIN UNSOLVED 25 President Valencia now proposes to send to Washington a "high commission" of several ex-presidents, party and union leaders, and technical advisers, but many of its members are pessimistic about accomplishing anything. SECRET Page iv WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 i`'' SECRET The Viet Cong summer offen- sive regained its momentum last week, with an incident rate (678) which was the highest this year. Battalion-size or larger attacks were resumed on a countrywide basis, and guerrillas attacked Da Nang Air Base. Both Hanoi and Peiping continued to reject all moves for negotiations, such as the Commonwealth Peace Mis- sion proposals and President Johnson's UN speech. Viet Cong Offensive The Da Nang attack by Viet Cong demolition and recoilless rifle teams, supported ~y 81-mm. mortar fire, occurred on the night of 30 June - 1 July. One F-102 jet fighter and two C-130 transport aircraft were destroyed, and two F-102s and one C-120 were severely damaged. One US service- man was killed and two wounded. On 25 June, a force of two to three Communist battalions overran Tou Morong, a district capital in the northeastern part of Kontum Province, bordering southern Laos. Most of the town's population, the district chief, and some 75 defending troops escaped to a nearby district town on the road to the provincial capital. The government appears to have decided not to try to reoccupy Tou. Morong, which air reconnaissance suggests now is deserted. It is too early to tell whether the Communists are making a full-scale effort to seize Kontum Province, but two other isolated district towns, Dak To and Dak Sut, have been mor- tared since the attack on Tou Morong. In the highland province of Phu Bon, the Viet Cong on 30 June overran Thuan Man, a dis- trict capital just south of Cheo Reo, the provincial capital. Two relieving airborne battalions moving to evacuate the Thuan Man garrison engaged in heavy fight- ing with farces of possible reg- imental size. Late reports in- dicate the airborne battalions fought their way to the belea- guered garrison. The strong Communist force still in the area may comprise other elements of the North Vietnamese 325th Division or elements of the 3rd Viet Cong Regiment, or both. Sabotage against land lanes of communication continued at a high level during the week, with all major routes into II Corps reported closed. US military authorities in Saigon state that continued interdiction of roads to the high plateau region will soon make it necessary to rely exclusively on air delivery of military and civilian supplies. The north-south coastal railway is operational only between Phan Rang in Ninh Thuan Province and Nha Trang in Khanh Hoa. The government forces' most successful action last week was a large-scale search-and destroy operation against a suspected Viet Cong regiment in the delta province SECRET Page 1 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 err ~ ~nua; 5a. L N?~ r~ t. qng ph{tsenulak ~' MuFdah HAILArrND ~u(ang Nakhun Sawan ` ~,`ao Burl ~.-..._.t(J.,v.-,.,- ,.,-:- "`lll NakhonR tTi a'sima I~p~?ing-fang ~,~~~ K II(I-I71InK ~, 0 Sihenuukval.. ,, /'~un. '~ ' pp ! ~ LI Clibl~p."r'1 I ~ ~:? KGVhiu~lf'Il f; tZLI .~ Li~['ang ~ ~~: Ir.. ~ ~ y. .!' L? Ndn nmK ...~. cn, :..~..r~-u" ~^~~fLan ~a; ~an gang. ~ ~--` ~~ I~~ d t i L x .. ~ 1 yNinp, i iluN a ~ l~ N O'~2 T N '~qa rPld tee? ,. Lang SOitf _~ M mi g ~S ,e,,, a .,~ _ n " ,-,^ E~ ~~ftiongsal\ t .^V ! E r l~`Q M; `'I^?-, ...~? - ; s n La p M g $ing ~ ~ ~ ` SUI 1 111 I `~? BAYARD ' ~l'huc Ye e n01+"a. ~r~~-?-~-? Yy~ tyO.~IPhonQ i I ns;G g ~QUANG A Ci S ~ '-; ~T' Ca~. ~3i _ ,. ~?j ~~ an + TRI ,J r- __..._-7; k ___ _ 4 LuangV Leng i ., -~,, a - 1 ,aUbong thane noa ~1 H I N ~uang NXai1 Rttopeu~ :~.~.J~ .Kunlnm '~Pleiiu t~~ui Nhpn I I f ~ (~ ~ E3~h Me Thuut~.1 ~~ha Tr~ BODj~ \, J ,,,F ~ ~ ./ ~~ f ~ D L~~ ~ `so~urH,. yr ~~.~_ ~ M Tho / ~ ,._.. * ,~ ~+~~{ r !Iu Vinh v nn Lp ~ ~._~ 1 ~- /~, y (]Gan Long K KU EI LI N Hip k~ou "' ~, ~ H_ +~ I N A,IlJ ('~ ~r~ml_,`A Lio~?shui PHU ~ BON han Na1~n.x N A ~" I~ 5th Division ?`~ 957#T Riv"r~ton :---'`~ PHUOC t s CAPITAL`~`~ W MILITARY DITRICT '~ TAY ?q NINH ~~~~ q~7WL00N ~~ BIER O$~igon QUANG DUC BINH ~fUY ~ I ~/ `. ,~TICTORIA MACTn MC1NG KiING OC ~ (Part) (V.K.) THUA ~~~ T~HIEN ; ~`d"'~nn pp~~ '~.. ,~' xQ 1f74~ Cl 1U.gM?. s` I Dai< Sf ~ ` _~ Tou BINH 22nd Di ision `- DARLAC 4\ han ~ ,.~P L_ South Vietnamese military. boundaries 9th Divisr~nry'l% + XUYEN ~,r: 'sior rong Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 YEN anger ?"/ III CORPS ? Rung Sat Special Zone (VNN) Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~' SL' G1tL 1 ' '~ of Dinh Tuong. Vietnamese mili- tary sources claim that 255 Viet Cong were killed, as against friendly losses of 6 killed (1 US) and 33 wounded (1 US). A large-scale US-Vietnamese airborne operation into the southern fringes of Viet Cong War Zone "D" resulted in the destruction of sizable quantities of food- stuffs and other supplies but only minor contact with the enemy. ing within the ruling military group behind the facade of unity and dedication to reform. Saigon Political Developments Saigon's new military gov- ernment in its second week con- tinued to emphasize austerity, war mobilization, and national self-discipline. On 24 June it suspended diplomatic relations with France, which have been conducted at the chargd level since early 1964. This was Premier Ky's major political move of the week, apparently motivated by a desire to launch his regime with a dramatic action calculated to win popular sup- port. Saigon intends to retain consular ties with France, how- ever, and has indicated no in- tention of moving against the considerable French economic and other interests still in South Vietnam. There are already signs that internal rivalries may be develop- The Viet Cong have stepped up terrorism in an effort to add to the new government's problems and to inhibit US action. Ter- rorists on 25 June bombed a floating restaurant on the Saigon River, killing 44, including 13 Americans, and wounding 81, of whom 16 were US citizens. The Communists next day announced they had executed.an American military prisoner in retaliation for Saigon's recent execution of a Viet Cong terrorist. They threatened that "tomorrow will be the turn of all the wicked devils, headed by Taylor, John- son, Westmoreland, Thieu, Ky, and so forth." Military Developments in DRV US and South Vietnamese air- craft last week maintained the steady pace of air attacks on targets in southern and north- western North Vietnam. Two US aircraft were lost to ground fire . SE CRE T Page 3 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 JL' (.~ ~c r, l Hanoi and Peiping The Vietnamese Communists continued their propaganda at- tacks on the Commonwealth Peace Mission this week, focusing their objections on the participation of prime Minister Wilson. A Lon-, don Da~.ly Worker interview quoted Ho i'n on 6 June as saying that Wilson "cannot engage%in peace negotiations since he him- self has supported US aggressive policies its uietnam." Hanoi has not yet rejected the Commonwealth proposals out- right. In Peiping, however, the Foreign Ministry handed a note to the British charge on 25 June formally rejecting the idea of a mission to Peiping and charg- ing that the British Government had appropriated the name of the Commonwealth to launch a new "peace talks plot" designed to help the US. Peiping responded to Presi- dent Johnson's 25 June UN speech in a People's Daily article on 29 June asserting what the US was attempting to use the UN in a "peace hoax" while at the same time escalating the war b send- in lanes near Hanoi. SECRET Page 4 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~ SECRET ~ ,United Nations CHARTER AMENDMENTS MAY LEAD TO EMERGENCY ASSEMBLY SESSION The Charter amendments en- larging the UN's Security Coun- cil and Economic and Social Coun- cil could further complicate the problems associated witH Article 19. If, as expected, the amend- ments become effective in-the next few weeks,-the legality of the two councils is subject to challenge, and an emergency ses- sion of the General Assembly could be demanded to elect the additional members. Such a tactic might appeal, for example, to the Albanians, who succgeded earlier this year in forcing the General Assembly to break its moratorium on-voting and would complicate efforts now under way to resolve the US-Soviet stale- mat~~ over Article i9 before the 20th General Assembly convenes this winter. A UN Secretariat official had suggested earlier that this danger would be 'averted if Na- tionalist China or the. US were tQ delay deposit of the ratifica- tion required to bring the amend- ments into effect.. Taiwan, how- ever, has refused to take a course which would incur the wrath of Afro-Asians and be likely to jeopardize its seat on the Security Council. The US also would be vulnerable to criticism should it withhold its deposit or take an active role in urging that new members not take office until next year. In response to a US sug- gestion.?Secretary General Thant now is trying to convince mem- bers that the amendments should be "interpreted" to permit the Security Council to continua with its present membership un- til additional members elected during the 20th General Assembly take office on 1 January 1966. Even if he obtains a consensus to this effect, however, it may not hold up until next year if some member has imperative po- litical reasons for wishing to hamstrin any Securit Council action. At mld-June, prospects for the winter grain crop were gen- erally good in the USSR, China, and North Vietnam, and uncertain in Eastern Europe. All will con- tinue.to be net importers of -grain in 1965. Total grain im- ports from the free world are projected at 15 to~16 million tons. SE ~'RE T Page 5 WEEKLY SUMMARY Crop prospects in the USSR appear favorable, but less prom- ising than a year ago when con- ditions were excellent.' Soil moisture levels at the end of May were generally above normal but lower than at this time last year. The total yield of winter grains in the USSR will probably be somewhat better than in 1964 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 PRODUCTION OF GRAIN IN COMMUNIST COUNTRIES, SELECTED YEARS (Million Metric Tons) USSR ?? GRAN E1kSTERN EUROPE (irzcluding~Ibania rand Yugraslavia) GRAIN: Breadgrains Annual Average 1457-61 19b3 COMMUNIST CHINA GRAIN Harvestedl; early summer ** NORTH VIETNAM RICE Spring rite. a. Including tubers on a grain equivalent basis of 4 metric tons to 1 metric ton of grain . k* Excluding tubers. Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ,.. SECRET `'` beca uee of the good condition of winter wheat. Acreage sown to spring wheat was in excess of -plan and greater than in 1964. Planting of, some other crops was continuing as of mid=June, prob- ably delayed somewhat by weft weather in the, northern and west- ern European USSR. Livestock production for marketing should be greater than in recent years, and overfulfillment of some semi- annual meat,and milk delivery plans was 'reported in early June. In Easterm Europe, the ab- normally cold and ,rainy spring has made prospects, uncertain, The condition of winter grains is generally good, liut final yields and quality now depend upon. weather during the next month. Production prospects for same im- portant crops are currently not as good as they were a year ago. In addition.to its over-all ad- verse effects~on crops in Eastern Europe, the unusual precipitation in late May and June is causing extensive flood damage in agri- cultural areas in Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary. Prospects for the early grain harvest in Communist China are relatively favorable. Pro- duction of winter wheat is ex- pected to be lower than in 1964 because of reduced acreage. In North China, soil moisture levelsi, which are well below those last year, delayed the sowing of some spring crops, In South and South- west China, which produce more than half the early rice crop, weather conditions are very fa- vorable. In North Vietnam, the spring rice crop, which accounts for about one third of the annual rice harvest, looks promising, and may equal last year's bumper crop. Acreage sown is the hi h- est ever claimed. SE CRE T Page 7 WEEKLS( SU~dMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 AN-Z~ TRANSPORT MODEL O:F TU-'t44 SUPERSONIC TRANSPORT CLASSIFIED MATERIAL ON REVERSE OF PAGE Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 `"' SECR.~T `~ Despite Moscow's intensive effort at the recent Paris Air Show, early and appreciable So- viet inroads in the world com- mercial aircraft market are un- likely. Some sales of Soviet helicopters may develop, but most Western manufacturers prob- ably will not encounter serious Soviet competition in the com- mercial field before the 1970s. The USSR has to convince prospective customers that its newer aircraft a.re economically competitive in operation. Those available for export are com- para.ble in range, speed, and capacity to Western types, and are being offered at lower prices, but the USSR has a poor reputa- tion for servicing exported a.ir- cra.ft, and operating costs have proven excessive. the new IL-62 faur-jet 186 pas- senger transport, have nothing to . recommend them--other than price-- Other Soviet aircraft dis- played at the air show, including viets will keep the TU-144 program one step ahead of the Concorde, in order to'be able At Paris, the USSR also dis- closed some details and displayed a scale model of the TU-144 super- isonic transport, which is very !similar to the Anglo-French Con- corde. Under the present devel- opment schedule--which closely ~iparallels that. of the Goncorde-- the TU-144 is to make its first flight in 1968 and enter service in 1970 or 1971. It seems highly probable, however, that the So- to claim a "first . " SE CRE T g WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 J,uly,65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~"~ SECRET UNRESOLVED ECONOMIC ISSUES MAY HAVE DELAYED SOVIET PLENUM It appears there may be some delay in convening the long- awaited Soviet central committee ,plenum expected to deal with in- dustrial organization and manage- ment. Earlier rumors in Moscow that the plenum was scheduled for June or July have been succeeded by later ones suggesting that it will not be held until some time in August or even September. The apparent delay in convoking the plenum is mare apt to reflect the complexity of economic problems facing the regime than differences in the leadership over the need for economic reform. Premier Kosygin in March and party secretary Podgorny in late May stressed that the cen- tral committee was preparing a reorganization of industrial man- agement. They may have been re- ferring to the activity of an ad hoc commission of prominent econ- omists who were at the time re- portedly working on the matter. Late in June, after several months' lull in public discussion of the management problem, Pravda published an account of a Moscow economic conference generally favorable to greater decentrali- zation. During the second half of this year selected retail stores, restaurants, and food-processing plants will-switch to a more lib- eral system of management that grants considerable autonomy to enterprise directors. These en- terprises will be in: addition to the 400 factories in the cloth- ing, textile, shoe, and leather industries already scheduled to convert to such a system during 1965. Several installations in heavy industry began experiment- ing with variants of these rela- tively liberal methods earlier this year. The limited scope of this experimentation suggests that decision on a nationwide reform will be slow in coming. The plenum is unlikely to do more in this sphere than approve the broad principles and possibly outline the next steps. Differences within the leadership over economic priori- ties may be hindering a decision on the extent and pace of future reform. Although there is no indication of uncertainty over the high priority attached to agriculture by the plenum last March, there continues to be in- decision on the relative weight to be given other economic sec- tors. In late May Nikolay Pod- gorny asserted that consumer- goods production would no longer suffer because of heavy industry and defense needs, but on 2 June Mikhail Suslov warned that de- fense requirements still impose "material sacrifices" on Soviet citizens. Since these statements, which may have been influenced by differing assessments of the international situation,.have not been repeated by other members of the policy-making party pre- sidium, the extent of current disagreement on the issue is un- certain. SECRET Page 10 WEEKLX SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 `~ SECRET The East Germans and Soviets have begun what may prove to be a protracted series of moves affecting West Germany's land and air communications with East Germany and West Berlin in order to advance East German claims of sovereign equality with the Federal Republic. Their apparent object is not to pro- voke a major crisis but to draw the West Germans into piecemeal concessions without posing a direct challenge to basic Allied rights in Germany. Recent East German pro- nouncements have insisted that the postwar four-power agree- ments governing communications across East Germany (GDR) and air traffic in the Berlin Con- trol Zone are obsolete or invalid, and have emphasized the "rights" of the GDR as a sovereign state. These pronouncements--like the intermittent East German heli- copter flights in the Berlin area between 23 March and 21 June--are aimed at asserting East German air sovereignty over East Berlin, and at eroding the authority of the four-power Berlin Air Safety Center (BASC). authorize BASC to reach flight safety agreements with the GDR transportation ministry. A formal East German initiative to the four powers along this line may be forthcoming. This would give the Soviets an oppor- tunity to indicate an intention in the future to exercise their BASC functions in concert with the East Germans, thus opening the way far gradual efforts to inject them into BASC. The East Germans' promotion of their claim to sovereignty is similarly evident in the Berlin pass agreement talks, and is also the reason for their recent denunciation of inter- zonal agreements on rail tariffs and barge traffic, which were based on four-power agreement. With the apparent aim of undercutting West German charges of Soviet=East German .collusion and Bonn's appeals to the three Western powers for joint action to counter Communist "provoca- tions," Soviet propaganda so far has ignored the East German har- assments. It is unlikely that the Soviets and East Germans intend to carry their current pressure campaign to the paint of chal- lenging existing Allied air ac- cess to West Berlin. However, the new GDR foreign minister has suggested that the four powers SE CRE T Page 11 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 SECRET `~ Preparations are under way for Laotian National Assembly elections scheduled for 18 July. By limiting the suffrage to senior military, police, and civilian officials and by the judicious designation of "fa- vored" candidates, the Souvanna government hopes to form a new and acceptable assembly with a minimum of open opposition. The Pathet Lao have charged that the elections are illegal, but do not appear prepared to mount a major move to prevent them. Some Kang Le neutralists also appear dissatisfied, not so much on the grounds that the elections will be rigged, as that they will favor rightists at the expense of the neutral= ists. Skirmishing between govern- ment and Communist forces mean- while is continuing in widely scattered areas of the country. In the northwest, the Pathet Lao have deployed substantial forces to the hill regions southwest of Nam Tha in an effort to curb pro- government guerrilla activities there. Recent activity has cen- tered near Vieng Phu Kha, where several key positions have changed hands in recurrent fighting. The Communists have also been pressing clearing operations in the Muong 'La area,. to the east of Nam Tha . In southern Laos, on the other hand, government forces have mounted a clearing opera- tion against Communist positions along the northern flanks of Route 9 east of Seno. The reg- ular troops involved in this action met their first stiff re- sistance last week when they probed sensitive Communist posi- tions located about 20 miles north of Dong Hene. Troop movement as been reported along the tradi- tional infiltration route lead- ing from the North Vietnamese border just north of the De- militarized Zone toward the Ban Dong area on Route 9. Truck traffic along Route 23 north of Muong Phine apparently has been brought to a halt because of heavy rains; no truck move- ment has been reported since late. May. Some local traf- fic, however,. appears to be moving south from Ban Dong along Route 92 toward the South Vietnamese border. ~ SECRET Page 12 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ...- ... Muong Houn { "1 C ~Sayahouryf 1 ~ Mrro~orvg Kassy ~. Samneua ~ '~~?~ c, ` ~~ m ~ J Mii a Ha Muong Hiem ~ fr /~ Na Khang Luang Prabang Lao Y~_ - ~ ~, f 7I PLAINE [ti.- `-,~ Xieng Khouang\, Ban Ta Viang~Tha Thom ~/ I\\ Pak Sane> f,": I ' Vang VrengC, 11 :} !'` 9 ::? f T H A I L A N D --?- Road --- Track or trail -~-~- Railroad VIETNAM Dong naMnc! Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~ SECRET `'~ The increased Soviet aid to India which has been widely anticipated as a result .of Prime Minister Shastri's recent ne- goti~tions may total as much as $1.2 billion during India's fourth five-year plan (1966-70). According to the Indian press, most of this aid will be used for large-scale industrial proj- ects, but the USSR is also re- ported to be considering substan- tial assistance for existing proj- ects in the form of maintenance and spare parts. Two thirds of the ,total aid figure--an amount approximating all Soviet economic aid to India since 1955--will reportedly be used for ten new projects and expansion of a number of exist- ing Soviet-aided operations. The largest Soviet aid project for India's upcoming plan is the Bokaro steel plant, the first stage of which is to be in opera- tion by 1970, with an annual capacity of about 2 million tons. Soviet aid is also expected to finance a second stage designed to boost production to about 4 million tons. The Soviets are also to ex- pand the Bhilai steel plant to a capacity of about 3.5 million tons, and construct an oil re- finery. The deputy chairman of India's Planning Commission has said that the USSR has also ten- tatively agreed to provide as- sistance for the construction of a number of power stations, smelters, and a large fertilizer plant. From 1955 to 1964, the USSR extended about $1 billion in economic aid to .India, the largest Soviet economic aid pro- gram in the free world. This assistance has been directed primarily to large-scale proj- ects in the steel, heavy machin- ery, petroleum, and power in- dustries. Three of these, the Bhilai steel mill and two heavy machine-building plants, accounted for almost 40 percent of Soviet aid during India's second and third five-year plans. Soviet economic assistance amounted to only about 10 per- cent of the total given India by foreign governments dur- ing the 1955-64 period. How- ever, the Soviets supplied around 40 percent of foreign aid for India's government-owned indus- tries, and roughly 25 percent of its steelmaking capacity Congolese President Kasavubu appears to be slowly increasing the political pressure on Pre- mier Tshomb~ in their wrestle over the powerful office of the presidency. Following a court nullifi- cation of election results in three provinces--in which Tshomb~ and his allies had won--Kasavubu postponed the scheduled 30 June convocation of parliament and set SE G'RE T Page 15 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 S~CR.~T no new date. This action permits him to continue to govern by de'- tree and deprives Tshomb~ of the backing of a parliament in which his Conoco party cartel would control a majority. Kasavubu also has publicly suggested that the composition of the Tshombd government be modified, and has reminded Tshomb~ that it is the presi- dent who presents governments to parliament for approval. Tshomb~, however, has repeatedly rejected suggestions that he modify his "transition"' gov- ernment before presidential elections, which are to be held six months after the parliament convenes. Tshombd's political and military assets seem the stronger, but Kasavubu has the better legal. position. The government's over-all military situation remains favorable, although another small flurry of rebel activity has appeared in the eastern Congo. INCREASING HUTU-TUTSI,TRIBAL TENSIONS IN BURUNDI Tribal tensions between the Hutus and Tutsis--the majority and minority peoples in Burundi --have continued to build up since ttie Hutu election victory in May. Last week end, there were rumors that a Tutsi-instigated coup was imminent, and the excitement led the- Belgian commander of the Bu= rundi Army to declare an alert. The troubles center on the Hutus' efforts to organize them- selves outside existing party lines in order to control the Na- tional Assembly and the future cabinet. The Tutsis, who hold only 10 of the 33 assembly seats, are, trying to convince Hutu mem- bers to stay within the previously governing UPRONA party, where the Tutsis can maintain influence. SE CRS T Page 16 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 SECRET ~. Both opponents and support- ers of the new Algerian regime seem to be marking time, await- ing the formal composition of the National Revolutionary Council and the reorganization of the government. Colonel Houari Boumedienne may be experiencing some diffi- culty in reconciling differences among his closest supporters and in meeting conditions which Ben Bella's chief opponents are like- ly to have posed as the price for adhering to or collaborating with the regime. Ferhat Abbas, the respected former president of the pre-independence provisional AZ= gerian government, reportedly is insisting on free elections and civilian control over the mili- tary. Boumedienne probably would resist the latter demand. Almost total paralysis grips the administration. Government employees are preoccupied with their worries about the nature of the new regime and the intentions of Boumedienne and of the army. There have been few declarations of support, and even those were .couched in noncommittal terms. "The only labor group which has unequivocally supported the new regime is the farm workers, which took this stand shortly after the coup. The pro.-...:Ben Bblla demonstra- tions, largely the work of left- ist-oriented student groups, apparently have petered out. Demonstration organizers may believe that police and mili- tary forces will be less in- clined to deal gently with dem- onstrators, now that the Afro- Asian conf erence has been post- poned and the press spotlight is off Algeria. The regime presumably is somewhat concerned by the de- tached and even antagonistic attitude of other African gov- ernments and by the unfavorable publicity the coup has generated in the foreign press. Algerian spokesmen have made it clear that they will not tolerate for- eign meddling; they seem partic- ularly to be harassing Egyptian technicians and teachers em- ployed in Algeria. Reacting to Fidel Castro's characterization of the Alge- ~ian coup as "antirevolutionary, treacherous, and inglorious," the Boumedienne regime closed down the Cuban news agency, Prensa Latina, for "distribution of material harmful to the rev- olutionar overnment." / SECRET Page 17 WEEKLx SUIyMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Q Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 SECRET US RELATIONS WITH EURATOM AND ITS MEMBERS Some progress may have been made toward substituting a single US-EURATOM agreement for the bi- lateral. accords the US now has with five EURATOM members for the exchange of nuclear fuel and in- formation. At a recent meeting, all of the countries concerned except France indicated a gen- eral willingness to permit their bilaterals with the US to ex- pire and, in particular, to ac- cept EURATOM as their inter- mediary in the acquisition of special nuclear materials from the US. Their continuing res- ervations, however, could still delay-their assent or deprive it of some of the expected ad- vantages. Between 1955 and the estab- lishment of EURATOM in 1958, the US negotiated individual agree- ments to assist France, Italy, West Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands in their peaceful atomic programs. Much of the purpose of these accords disap- peared, however, when direct US- EURATOM relations were set up. Moreover, the EURATOM treaty it- self had contemplated that the community would ultimately assume responsibility for arrangements connected with the procurement of special nuclear materials from nonmembers, and that the rights and obligations which member states had acquired under pre- existing agreements with non- members would be transferred to the community. Full implementation of these provisions, however, has been re- peatedly delayed by French re- luctance to accept the supremacy of EURATOM and by suspicion among all members that termination of their bilateral cooperation agree- ments with the US might cost them certain advantages. The French, whose accord ends in 1966, recently restated their strong desire to retain a bilateral relationship with the US, in- cluding in the area of fuel sup- ply. Italy--whose treaty would not expire until 1978--says it favors a switch to the EURATOM channel, but only if all its partners--including France-- agree. The Dutch and Germans, whose accords are up in 1966 and 1967, say they are willing to let them lapse, and the Germans have even offered to cancel theirs beforehand "if others would too." Belgium, whose bilateral expires on 31 July 1965, is in the uncomfortable position of having to take the lead and has been insisting that it could re- linquish its bilateral only if assured that the others would not be extended. While recent state- ments by the Germans, Italians, and Dutch had seemed to provide such assurances, new doubts have apparently arisen in Brussels in the last few days. It is unlikely that any over- all agreement can be reached to cancel all the bilaterals at this time. Aside from the French attitude, the Italians--still miffed by their recent defeat over EURATOM's research program-- SE CRE T Page 20 WEEKLx SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~" SECRET '~ may seek to cling for some time to their bilateral. Should Belgium willingly agree to let its treaty expire in July, however, this would make it easier far the US to decline to renew the others as they expire. There has been some indication that Paris is resigned to this, even though it would mean a further strengthening of the Eurppean communities. Western Hemisphere SITUATION IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Dissension among the Do- minican rebels became more evi- dent this week as hard-line extremists took exception to rebel president Caamano's will- ingness to negotiate a political solution to the two-month-old crisis. Both the orthodox Dominican Popular Socialist (Communist) Party (FSPD) and one element of the pro-Castro Fourteenth of June Political Group (APCJ) generally approve negotiations, on the grounds that only a political solution offers any hope for the rebel cause. Opposition to polit- ical compromise is centered in the hard-line Communist Domin- ican Popular Movement (MPD) and some militant members of the APCJ. Underscoring their dis- satisfaction, the extremists attacked several loyalist positions in the north-central region of the country. On 25 June, loyalist police and army forces repulsed an 80-man at= tack, led by Communists and pro- Castro extremists, in San Fran- Cisco de Macoris. The next day, a small rebel band unsuccess- fully stormed a police post in the nearby town of Pimentel. Press and rebel reports of other outbreaks have not been con- firmed. Police and army units are on alert and vigilante groups have been formed in sev- eral interior towns. As violence broke out in the interior, the Imbert govern- ment increased its demands. for a military solution in the capi- tal. These new incidents have heightened Imbert's criticism of the US and the Organization of American States for not al- lowing him to "clean up" the rebel zone in Santo Domingo. Loyalist authorities have re- fused to cooperate with the Inter-American Human Rights Com- mission in its investigation of conditions in the interior and alleged atrocities. Imbert continues adamant in his resistance to the OAS sug- gestions that he step down in favor of a new provisional SE C'RE T 21 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 "' SECRET government, but loyalist mili- tary chiefs have told US at- tachds~ that they would with- draw their support from him once an 'acceptable interim gov- ernment had been formed. Some key military officers, partic- ularly air force Generals Wessin y Wessin and de los Santos, have previously voiced discon- tent with Imbert's rule. They specifically were concerned that the mounting evidence of atrocities, for which they blame police units personally controlled by Imbert, would further discredit the armed forces. The OAS committee has se- cured the tentative agreement of a number of capable Domin= icans to serve in a provisional government that would, with the support of the OAS, rule until general elections are held at a still undetermined date. The leading candidate to head the provisional government is Hector Garcia Godoy, a career diplomat without strong political ties. In an effort to maintain the economy of the country, the OAS will provide $8 million to pay the June salaries of all govern- ment employees. It has also ap- propriated $9 million far recov- ery programs. Meanwhile, former president Joaquin Balaguer returned to Santa Domingo on Monday to visit his dying mother, and his supporters are attempting to capitalize on his presence. Balaguer, a widely known political figure, has considerable support from a broad. spectrum of ..Dominican society, in- cluding the military. He has an- nounced his support of the OAS proposals and offered his assis#- 2~nce tb,the provisional government. He is unwilling, however, to ac- cept a position in a provisional government because he hopes to run for president when elections are held. SECOND INTER-AMERICAN CONFERENCE IN JEOPARDY Opposition to the role of the US and the Organization of American States in the Dominican crisis is jeopardizing the Sec- ond Inter-American Conference scheduled to begin in Rio de Ja- neiro'.on 4 August. Foreign min- istry officials of a number of OAS members--notably Chile, Mex- ico, Uruguay, and Peru--are against holdin the meeting as 25X1 scheduled. SE CRS T Page 22 WEEKLY SUMMARY 2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 ~. w yBAwI M~ Is~nra os ~y `> ~??~ International boundary f'iovnicia boundary ib rvac~o~ai caNnai Provin~ia ~apilal ead.oaa Hnad ?ar, r ~? San Francisco ? --..de Macotis`: ~ i Yimcnrel `-~ ~_as rv Dunn M~y~c,. ioP~?NG ru Enro Rlco Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 A moderate-extremist split that he could remain the effec- within the pro-Communist People's) tive party leader only by fol- Progressive Party (PPP) in Brit- lowing an extremist course. fish Guiana has been aggravated by Cheddi Jagan's indecision over whether to lead the PPP into vio- lent opposition to the Burnham government. The dissension is further complicated by dissatis- faction with Jagan's authoritar- ianism and by the personal.. am- bitions of second-ranking party leaders. The ambitious Brindley Benn, a Negro and leader of the extrem- fists, apparently is restrained from breaking with the PPP and forming the "Communist Party of :British Guiana" only by lack of political support among Jagan's fellow East Indians. Too late, perhaps, to stem the tide of ill feeling within the PPP, Jagan appears to have come to a decision. He recently declared that independence under the Negro-dominated Burnham government would place East In- dians in a dangerous position and should be prevented by sabo- tage which he would direct. Ja- gan's decision may be based on fear that the militants' posi- tion was becoming too attractive to the PPP rank and file and SECR.~T In early June,-Jagan com- plained that most if not all of the sabotage conducted in British Guiana was being carried out by individual PPP units act- ing independently of the central. leadership. The bombing of the US Consulate in Georgetown on 24 June seemed to follow the pat- tern of these earlier sabotage efforts. Premier Burnham has arrested three top Jagan henchmen as a result of the bombing, but it is quite possible that Jagan did not order it and that he has not yet been able to bring all terrorists within the party under his personal control. A split in the PPP, however, will not improve the security situation because, with Jagan and PPP extremists both opting for violence, the outlook for a tranquil march to independence day looks bleak. Although Premier Burnham in- tends to deal forcefully with peace breakers, he will also have a difficult time keeping extrem= fists in his own party from re- taliating in kind should violence appear to be increasing. On the day after the consulate bombing, Burnham told the US consul gen- eral that "the boys'' in his party wanted to know if it were not time for them to "operate directly." SE iC'R~ T Page 24 WEEKLX SUMMARY 2 July:65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 .rte SECRET Public confidence in Colom- bia's National Front government remains low because nothing has been done to solve the country's critical financial and econamic problems following President Valencia's refusal to counte- nance a de facto exchange devalu- ation. Business and labor are restless, prices have edged up somewhat, and the free foreign exchange rate is the highest it has ever been. Congress has been in special session since 2? April but has still not acted on economic reform measures pro- posed by a special study group after an earlier crisis. In a letter explaining his recent resignation, ex-finance minister Hernando Duran Dussan stated that exchange reform is inevitable and .that the reform measures being considered by the special session of Congress will not realize enough revenue to cover the government's deficit. He said that the President lacks a fixed policy, the cabinet ministers dispute among them- selves,and the entire government lacks cohesion. He pointed out that in this environment neither technical instruments nor ex- perience have any value. Duran was replaced by the minister of agriculture, but this appointment was apparently temporary, and the position now has been offered to Ignacio Copete Lizarralde, an officer of the Inter-American' Development Bank. Hoping to find other solu- tions to the country's financial problems, Valencia has set up a "high commission" composed of several ex-presidents, party leaders, labor union leaders, and technical advisers, which he proposes to send to Washington. Many of the members were reluc - tantto accept the assignment because of pessimism that the commission will be able to ac- complish much. At the installa- tion session of the commission, a representative of one of Colom- bia's two largest labor unions' endorsed Valencia's stand against devaluation and set forth the union's proposals. If a majority of the members oppose these pro- posals,the unions may withdraw from the commission. SE ~'R~ T Page 25 WEEKLY SUMMARY '2 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/08/27: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1 -~'' SECRET `"~ SECRET Approved For Release 2008/08/27 :CIA-RDP79-00927A004900090001-1