WEEKLY SUMMARY

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6
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RIPPUB
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S
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37
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 29, 2008
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 30, 1965
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE, AGENCY OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE downgrading and declassification Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 (Information as of noon EDT, 29 July 1965) VIETNAM The surface-to-air missile sites in North Vietnam are now operational. The two most recently discovered sites in the area where a US fighter was shot down last week were reported 20 percent destroyed by a US strike on 27 July. Vietnamese Communist propaganda continues to sharpen the threat of bringing in foreign volunteers but stops short of admitting that some are participating in the fighting now. Viet Cong activity remains in a relative lull for the third week. NEW SOVIET ICBM FIRINGS TO PACIFIC IMPACT AREA A 26 July announcement said an area 80 nautical miles in diameter 4,500 nautical miles from Tyuratam would be closed to shipping from 28 July to 15 October for tests of "new types of carrier rockets for space vehicles." SOVIET ECONOMIC STATISTICS FOR MIDYEAR An apparent improvement in the Soviet economy since last year's midyear figures were announced is largely the result of the recovery of the food industry follow- ing the exceptional harvest of 1964. Page THE RUMANIAN PARTY CONGRESS Except for statements by the Soviet and Chinese dele- gates, Rumania's 19-24 July party congress skirted ideo- logical issues and concentrated on national affairs. In addition to reasserting Rumania's independent position in the Communist world, the proceedings served to enhance the power of party leader Ceausescu. SECRET Page i WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 .. & W V..a BULGARIAN LEADER'S POSITION WEAK Moscow will withdraw its support of Todor Zhivkov's leadership unless he can improve the country's economic situation and end intra- party friction before next February's general elections. YUGOSLAV ECONOMIC REFORM MEASURES ADOPTED These reforms should have a favorable long-run effect on the economy, but initially will cause severe diffi- culties for certain industries and population groups. NORTH KOREA'S RELATIONS WITH THE BLOC There are growing signs that Pyongyang is moving back toward the policy of neutrality it once pursued in the Sino-Soviet dispute. Asia-Africa LULL IN INDONESIAN CONFRONTATION ACTIVITIES AGAINST MALAYSIA 17 All Indonesian military forces near Malaysia have never- theless remained in a high state of alert, and prepara- tions for future operations against Malaysia continue. THE SITUATION IN LAOS No single faction won a majority in the National Assem- bly elections, but minor cabinet changes are likely soon. Government military forces are exerting pressure on Pathet Lao positions. DOMESTIC PRESSURES FOR RHODESIAN DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE 19 While Prime Minister Smith seems strong enough to with- stand these pressures, he is continuing to develop close ties with the other white redoubts of southern Africa in case a unilateral declaration becomes necessary. TSHOMB19 AND KASAVUBU MARK TIME IN CONGO FEUD 20 The two leaders apparently are awaiting results of elec- tions in three provinces next week. In the campaign against the remaining rebel strongholds, the government's military position continues to improve. GREEK CYPRIOTS ACT AGAINST TURKISH POLITICAL RIGHTS 21 The Makarios regime has extended the life of the purely Greek Cypriot government and eliminated constitutional safeguards of the Turks' minority position. SECRET Page ii WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SEtiu 1 Europe NO BREAK IN GREEK POLITICAL CRISIS Premier-designate Athanasiadis-Novas seems to have little chance of winning a vote of confidence, and a new compromise figure is being sought to ease the con- frontation between King Constantine and ousted prime minister Papandreou. EEC STALEMATE THREATENS KENNEDY ROUND TRADE NEGOTIATIONS 24 If the EEC crisis causes slippage in the Kennedy Round's tight negotiating schedule, the US Trade Expansion Act may expire before the trade talks can be concluded. All the EEC partners, however, may feel increasing pressure to resolve the crisis so the EEC will be able to make the decisions the Kennedy Round requires. Western Hemisphere NONALIGNED DOMINICAN GROUPS PRESS FOR EARLY SETTLEMENT 25 Despite business and labor union pressure for a quick agreement, only minor progress was made this week in negotiations between the Caamano and Imbert factions. RECENT SOVIET MILITARY SHIPMENTS TO CUBA 26 Probable arms deliveries by Soviet ships in the past two months are, like all those since October 1962, apparently designed chiefly to maintain rather than increase the level of arms in Cuba. SECRET Page iii WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET NOW CUBAN REVOLUTION TURNING INWARD Castro's major theme in his 26 July speech was internal political and administrative affairs, although he again urged Latin American revolutionaries to follow Cuba's example. "NATIONAL CONCILIATION" EFFORT FAILING IN HONDURAS The resignation of Foreign Minister Ulloa from General Lopez' regime leaves only one member of the majority Liberal Party in a cabinet dominated by the minority Nationalist Party. 28 MEETING OF EIGHTEEN-NATION DISARMAMENT COMMITTEE BEGINS 29 Prospects for productive discussion are dim, however, because of Western differences over an agreement on non- proliferation of nuclear arms and apparent Soviet inten- tions to use the forum merely to attack the US. The French, although still refusing to participate in the ENDC meeting, are showing considerable interest in it. SECRET Page iv WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET All seven known surface-to- air missile (SAM) sites in North Vietnam are apparently operational. ground fire. Two others--one battle damaged and its escort-- were lost in a midair collision on their return to base. On 24 July one USAF F4C fighter flying in a group of four .was shot down by a SAM 37 miles west-northwest of Hanoi, well west of the five sites previously known. The other three fighters were damaged, but managed to land safely. These planes were attacked from SAM sites--designated 6 and 7--constructed rapidly the area show no signs of construction. Subse- quent analysis of photographs however, show both sites nearing completion. Their location suggests they are in- tended as point defense for Phuc Yen Airfield. They also provide protection for the important Hanoi - Lao Cai rail line re- cently hit by US strikes. USAF fighter bombers struck sites 6 and 7 on 27 July. Visual damage reports indicate that ap- proximately 20 percent of both sites was destroyed. They were described as having napalm burns, and the radar van at site 7 was reportedly blackened by napalm. Nearby support facilities also were reported on fire. Four .F-105s were shot down during the attack by heavy conventional photography shows that construction is complete at sites 1 and 2, which also are almost certainly operational. Stress on Bloc Aid to DRV Vietnamese Communist propa- ganda continued to sharpen the threat to bring in foreign volun- teers this week, but stopped short of an open admission that some are now participating in 25X1 the fighting. On 25 July, Hanoi announced that foreign embassies had agreed to a program of mili- tary training for "students" presently in North Vietnam. The announcement singled out Chinese, North Korean, Polish, and Indo- nesian students and highlighted their statements that the program would give them an opportunity to "fight side by side with the Vietnamese." In South Vietnam, Liberation Front President Nguyen Huu Tho claimed in a 20 July speech that "socialist" coun- tries "are now ready to support or are actually supporting us in all fields including weapons and volunteers." The necessity of direct bloc participation in the Vietnamese war was also raised by the head SECRET Page 1 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 y UL' %_4X%AJ l tiny/ of the North Vietnamese Army, General Vo Nguyen Giap, writing in the July issue of the party's theoretical journal, Hoc Tap. Giap read into the extent and nature of the US build-up"in South Vietnam a possible intent to launch a ground strike on the DRV. He warned his people to make every preparation for such an attack and implied that the "whole socialist camp" would then come to Hanoi''s aid. The added emphasis on foreign participation may reflect, in part, the outcome of the recent swing through bloc capitals by DRV Deputy Premier Le Thanh Nghi. During-his six-week junket, Nghi negotiated new aid agreements with practically all the bloc states. series have been produced-- enough to reequip the bulk of the main Viet Cong combatant force. The Chinese are apparently manufacturing arms for the Viet Cong in special lots At least 33,-000 car- bines, 18,000 assault rifles, and 2,000 light machines guns in this Page 3 The Fighting in the South Viet Cong activity con- tinued in a relative lull for the third consecutive week, fall- ing for the most part into the usual patterns of terrorism, harassment of isolated posts, and interdiction of lines of communication. The Communists, however, may be regrouping forces for further large-scale attacks. Recent sighting'. reports SECRET 30?`July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 w 1w Tien-yang ~? -}-?r ~-` ;Lao Cai LA. N T14 Phang~ V/E -Ah Saly son La.. Phuc Yen T H A I L A N D q' Pakse A 1&B O D11 A `VigTNA k j} / ',/Da Lat 5th i ion PHUOC -.- LONG 25th9i Yli CStvision~ r?~ r CAPITAL LONG/ 8INI MILITARY REGION uB1en Hoa ~...;: 1--JIAu w 4ANh ' i tl r1 a iNGHIA lT'1iR f 'PiiiU- 30thDivision ? III CORPS K'E", 'Run Sat.Special Zone (VNN) y,? . e P C d rt Bayard tQUANG TRI VIS Hai-k~Ou on THUA THIEN FF'~Da Nang UUANG NAM 2n The Indochina - South China Area s-_ South Vietnamese military boundaries DINH PLEMU~ 2 nd Divj Non PHU I3^N ')ARLAC t 23r4 Division' DUC JANG' TUYEN iDllC S NIN4 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 w JlL ULCL'i l VA+ indicate the presence of possibly three Viet Cong regiments within 24 miles of the US Marine instal- lation'at Chu Lai. Other reports suggest possible build-ups of Viet'Cong forces near the Hau Nghia - Long An Province border area in the III Corps zone, and in Dinh Tuong Province in the IV Corps zone. Government-initiated ground operations showed little varia- tion in number, but for the first time since March, the weapons loss ratio favored the government. Friendly air sup- port continued to account for a large percentage of Viet Cong casualties, with Vietnamese and US fixed-wing aircraft recently averaging more than 385 strike sorties per day despite uneven weather conditions. Coastal bombardment by US Navy warships reached a new high during the week, and was directed at more than 100 targets in all four corps zones. US ground troops engaged in little large-scale activity, being deployed mainly in defensive positions around the major bases at Bien Hoa, Da Nang, and Chu Lai. The major engagement of the week took place on 25 July when US marines, in a joint amphibious search- and-destroy operation with Viet- namese forces, killed 25 Viet Cong and captured 33 on a small island seven miles north of Chu Lai. South Vietnamese Politics F no open opposition to the Saigon regime has developed thus far. Prior warnings by both Chief of State Thieu and Premier Ky against troublemaking were formalized in a government de- cree issued last week, provid- .ing stiff penalties for graft, economic profiteering, or sympathy for Communism or neu- tralism. In the central highlands, representatives of the tribal autonomy movement FULRO have of- fered to cooperate with the gov- ernment against the Viet Cong in return for government sup- plies and support and the right to fly their own flag. Formed after the September 1964 re- volt in five tribal paramilitary camps, the FULRO group now is reported to be based across the border in Cambodia. Vietnamese officials are considering the FULRO offer, lest these elements turn increasingly to the Viet Cong for support. SECRET Page 5 WEEKLY SUMIARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 SECRET NEW SOVIET ICBM FIRINGS TO PACIFIC IMPACT AREA The USSR's announcement on 26 July of the forthcoming tests of "new types of carrier rockets for space vehicles" heralds its eleventh series of extended- range ICBM tests into the Pa- cific Ocean. According to the announce- ment, a circular impact area measuring 80 nautical miles in diameter will be closed to ship- ping and aircraft for 12 hours daily from 28 July to 15 October. This area is about 4,500 nauti- cal miles from the Tyuratam rangehead. Soviet instrumentation ships are on station to monitor the forthcoming firings./ SECRET Page 6 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 *me SECRET SOVIET ECONOMIC STATISTICS FOR MIDYEAR According to official fig- ures, the Soviet economy is in slightly better shape now than at midyear 1964. The improve- ment is largely a result of the recovery of the food industry, in consequence of the exceptional harvest of 1964, from its low point after the very poor har- vest of 1963. Investment appears to have increased, reversing the down- ward trend of the past few years. The limited data released, how- ever, are not sufficient to de- termine whether this increase will produce a commensurate rise in total investment for the year. Growth in output in the major heavy industrial sectors either declined somewhat or re- mained at the midyear rates of 1964. Food and light industrial production rose 10 percent as compared with only 2 percent last year. The chemical industry still enjoys a reasonably high prior- ity, and so far the apparent re- duction in some of the long-term goals since Khrushchev's ouster has had little or no effect on production. The six-month in- crease of 14 percent in chemical output makes attainment of the 1965 goal feasible, but commis- sioning of some new capacities is running behind schedule. Growth in the important area of fuels and power is on schedule as are increases in metals and machine-building. The growth planned for machine-,build- ing was small and has been slow- ing since 1960. Brezhnev's new program has yet to be greatly felt in agri- cultural production. Growth in investment was high but lower than in the first half of 1964. A record area was sown to wheat, but continued poor weather leaves the size of the harvest in doubt. Record procurements of meat, milk, and eggs reflect both a good feed supply from 1964 and the increase in procurement prices decreed by the new Soviet Government. In spite of the priority assigned to agriculture, there was no significant change in the general supply of agri- cultural equipment. The construction industry continues to be plagued with protracted delays in completing projects, and shows no improve- ment over last year. The rate of growth in housing construc- tion was better than in recent years, but progress remains in- sufficient to meet Soviet needs. The semiannual goal for completion of housing units fell short of fulfillment. Consumer welfare in other areas has improved since last year. Incomes of state employees increased 6 percent and money payments to collective farmers rose 10 percent. Retail trade turnover grew, but apparently not as much as income, result- ing in an increase in savings deposits substantially higher than in recent years. This sug- gests that the purchasing power of the population is increasing faster than the supply of salable goods. SECRET Page 8 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 1 v SOVIET-ANNOUNCED FIGURES ON PLAN FULFILLMENT, 1964-65 (Percent of Change From Correspondinq Period of Previous Year) 1964 1965 1st 6 Mos. Full Year 1st 6 Mos. Full Year (Plan) Industrial Materials Electric Power 11 12 10 11 Coal 4 4 5 1 Crude Petroleum 10 9 8 8 Gas 20 20 17 17 Mineral Fertilizers 23 28 26 31 Plastics and Resins 27 22 16 28 Cement 3 6 10 7 Commercial Timber 4 3 -1 ** Civilian Machinery Chemical Equipment 15 19 17 22 Oil Equipment 7 22 14 ** Agricultural Equipment 6 1 3 8 Consumer Goods Television Sets 19 18 20 28 Washing Machines 27 25 20 23 Refrigerators 20 25 38 64 Fabrics 5 5 2 3 Leather Footwear 3 3 2 Meat (State Slaughter) -18 -23 33 12 Housing 3 -5 8 15 Labor Productivity in Industry 4 4 5 6 State Plan Investment 5 8 10 11 (about 75% of total) * Soviet figures are generally 2 to 3 percentage points higher than CIA and other Western estimates. ** Not Available Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 W SECRET THE RUMANIAN PARTY CONGRESS The Rumanian party congress from 19 to 24 July reasserted the regime's determination to hold to an independent course in domestic and bloc affairs, and professed solidarity with the world Communist movement. De- velopments there also attest to the political power of party general secretary Ceausescu, who emerged from the proceedings as the undisputed "first among equals," supported by an inner group of leaders personally in- debted to him. The attendance of delega- tions from all 13 ruling Com- munist parties and from 43 other national Communist parties con- stituted an implicit endorsement of the new Rumanian party pro- gram. Except for statements by the Soviet and Chinese delegates, the congress successfully skirted ideological issues upon which some of the foreign delegations are in disagreement and focused on Rumanian national issues and party matters. As a result of some of the organizational changes approved by the congress, the structure of the Rumanian party now re- sembles Yugoslavia's in certain important aspects. It now has an executive committee, composed of 15 full and 10 alternate mem- bers, which seems designed to ensure control by the party leadership--particularly in the economic sector--between party plenums. Other structural changes enhance the power of Ceausescu, who now is party general secre- tary as well as chairman of the executive committee and of an- other newly created body, the seven-member permanent presidium. The latter group, which replaces the old politburo, is expected to be the locus of power. In addition, the membership of the central committee was increased from 110 to 196, and that of the party secretariat from 5 to 9. By a judicious shuffling of personnel and new appointments in all of these bodies, Ceausescu was able to staff them largely with his own sup- porters, thus ensuring a stable, united leadership. Statements from Soviet and Chinese representatives at the congress indicated that Sino- Soviet rivalry continues un- abated. there is no good evidence that Soviet party leader Brezhnev and China's Teng Hsiao-ping held bilateral talks. In his address to the congress, Brezhnev pressed for bloc unity on Vietnam, and under- scored Moscow's intention to continue its "principled" contest with Peiping by build- ing a record of firm opposition to "US imperialism" in Vietnam. Teng Hsiao-ping repeated China's familiar positions in the Sino- Soviet dispute, asserting that the Chinese party would continue its fight against "modern re- visionism" and work toward "ideological urit SECRET Page 10, WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 w NMI, RUMANIA: CHANGES IN LEADING PARTY BODIES AT NINTH PARTY CONGRESS-JULY 1965 BEFORE TH,E_ CONGRESS Ceausescu, N. Maurer, I. G. Apostol,G. Stoica, C. Bodnaras; E. Bari I a, P. Draghici, A. Moghioros, A. Birladeanu, A. Coliu, Rautu, L. Salajan, L. Voitec, S. Ceausescu, N., 1st Sec. Dalea, M. Stoics, C. Rautu, L. Niculescu-Mizil, P. Verdet, 1. AFTER THE CONGRESS Ceausescu, N., Chrm. Maurer, 1. G. Apostol, G. Stoica, C. Bodnaras, E. Draghici, A. Birladeanu, A. Ceausescu, N., Chrm. Maurer, I. G. Apostol, G. Stoics, C. Bodnaras, E. Borila, P. Draghici, A. Moghioros, A. Birladeanu, A. Radulescu, G. Dragon, C. Rautu, L. Solaian, Voitec, S. Ni cu l escu-Mi zi l Ceausescu, N., Gen. Sec. Dalea, M. Rautu, L. Niculescu-Mizil, Draghici, A. Moghioros, A. Partilinet, V. Manescu, M. Trofin, V. Mamas in BLUE, are essentially new personalities on the Banc, 1. Berghianu, M. Blajovici, P. Coliu, D. Danalache, F Fazekos, 1. there, M. Lupu, P. Verdet, I. Vilcu, V. 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 "' SECRET Bulgaria's party first sec- retary and premier, Todor Zhivkov, may lose Soviet back- ing unless he can improve his country's economic situation and reduce intraparty friction in the next six months. Zhiv- kov has long based his leader- ship on Moscow's support, and could not hope to continue as top leader without it. Zhivkov probably reflected his own concern over his con- tinued tenure in a recent inter- view with Austrian journalists. In answer to a question about possible leadership changes, Zhivkov replied that "at least until the February 1966 elec- tions, no changes are to be expected." The weakness of his position was also suggested by the presence of Academy of Sciences economist Mateev in the delegation which Zhivkov led to Rumania's 19-24 July party con- gress. Mateev has been publicly identified by Zhivkov as an op- ponent of the economic experi- mentation now being carried out in Bulgaria. The Bulgarian economy could hardly show much improvement in six months. As for the polit- ical friction, Zhivkov has never succeeded in consolidating his position within the party since the eighth party congress in 1962, and has remained in his post only because he has successfully gone to the central committee when outvoted in the politburo. While dark horses cannot be ruled out, leading candi- dates to replace Zhivkov in- clude party secretary Mitko Grigorov for party first sec- retary, and state President Georgi Traykov or politburo member Zhivko Zhivkov for pre- mier. Another possibility for party first secretary, Boris Velchev, may be unavailable be- cause of a serious illness. 25X1 SECRET Page 12 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Naw SECRET `' After long debate, the Yu- goslav Government announced on 23 July a series of reform meas- ures affecting foreign trade and the structure of domestic prices. These reforms should have a favorable long-run effect on the economy, but initially will cause severe difficulties for certain industries and pop- ulation groups. Effective 26 July 1965, the Yugoslav dinar was devalued from 750 to 1,250 to the US dollar. This will increase both the costs in dinars for imports and proceeds in dinars from exports, even though the increases will be partially offset by cuts in import tariffs and export sub- sidies. This move, which has been under consideration for a year, is intended to reduce the country's growing foreign trade deficit and allow some reduction in foreign trade controls. On 1 January 1966, a new currency will be introduced at the rate of one new dinar to 100 old dinars. The rate of exchange will then be 12.5 dinars per US dollar,- unless Yugoslav authorities meanwhile decide that further devaluation is re- quired by price increases. The government also plans large increases in the prices of certain products which have hitherto been kept abnormally low. This will allow reduction of extensive government sub- sidies of certain industries and together with the devaluation, will bring Yugoslav prices more in line with world market prices. Prices are to double or triple for major raw materials, and are to rise 20-40 percent for cer- tain unspecified processed materials, electric power, and basic agricul- tural products. Local authorities are to supervise a substantial increase in retail prices of foodstuffs. Price controls, which were extended to cover most of the economy last March, will be lifted for retail prices of industrial consumer goods. Such prices will in general be allowed to fluctuate freely in the next few months. Although the government has recommended that enterprises in- crease workers' salaries by up to 25 percent, not all,will be able to comply. As a result, the minimum 20-percent rise in the cost of living expected by the government will cause hard- ship for many families. Yugoslavia has sought fi- nancial assistance from various foreign sources for the reform program. The International Monetary Fund has agreed to-pro- vide a credit of $80 million, and the USSR has rescheduled payment on an old credit to Yugoslavia. Negotiations are continuing with the US and several West European countries for new credits, postponement of heavy debt payments coming due in the next few years, and other means of assistance. SE CRE T Page 13 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 `"' SECRET North Korea appears to be joining the growing group of Communist countries which rec- ognize that true national in- dependence can be achieved only if they avoid leaning too far to either side in the Sino- Soviet dispute. In the early stages of the dispute, Pyongyang pursued a policy of neutrality. In late 1962, however, recoiling from Khrushchev's heavy-handed pres- sure, the North Koreans began stressing national self-suf- ficiency but also supporting some of Peiping's anti-Soviet words and actions. Indications of a shift in this attitude appeared after the replacement of Khrushchev last fall. Like all the other Com- munist regimes--including the Chinese--North Korea adopted a wait-and-see attitude toward the new Soviet leaders. Unlike China and Albania, which soon returned to the attack, Pyong- yang has apparently found enough change in the Soviet at- titude to warrant a new look at its own relations with Mos- cow. not reiterated positions they held before Khrushchev's re- placement, although develop- ments since then have given them opportunities to echo the Chinese line. For example, they allowed the Soviet-spon- sored meeting of Communist par- ties on 1 March to pass with- out comment, in contrast to their violent condemnation last summer of Khrushchev's plans to hold such a meeting. They did not challenge Moscow's right to participate in the abortive Af- ro-Asian Conference despite the adamant stand taken by Peiping on this question. Another indication of North Korea's change of attitude was its treatment of the anniversary celebrations of its "friendship" treaties with the USSR and China. The Soviet ambassador's banquet for the occasion, which the Ko- reans boycotted in 1964, was at- tended this year by three polit- buro members whereas only two such officials--one less than in 1964--went to the dinner at the Chinese Embassy. Moreover, the Koreans' anniversary speeches did not, as last year, cite re- visionism as the "main danger" to the socialist camp. In evidence of their new policy, the North Koreans have A major factor inducing Pyongyang's shift appears to SE CRE T Page 14 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 `0' SECRET `", have been Soviet Premier Kosy- gin's visit in February and his reported offer of new Soviet economic and military aid. On 27 May, TASS announced that a military delegation led by the North Korean chief of staff had concluded an agreement in Mos- cow to strengthen North Korea's defense. The trend thus far is to the middle of the spectrum, not into the Soviet camp. Pyong- yang has itself not yet pub- lished the Soviet military agreement. In a mhjor speech in April, Premier Kim Il-sung empahsized North Korea's in- tention to choose its own ap- proach to bloc problems and made it clear that he would not tolerate a renewal of the economic and political dicta- tion the Soviets once tried to impose. SECRET Page 15 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 NN WO` SECRET `"W A four-week lull in Indo- nesian confrontation activities against both peninsular Malaysia and Malaysian Borneo has followed the flurry of infiltration ef- forts timed to coincide with the aborted Afro-Asian Conference. All Indonesian military forces near Malaysia have nevertheless remained under a high state of alert since 19 June. Preparations for future op- erations against Malaysia are continuing, and periods of more intense infiltration activity" can be expected. A large Indonesian military build-up around the periphery of Malaysia is now in its last stage. Although this build-up has improved Indo- nesia's capability for large- scale offensive action against Malaysia, open warfare war is unlikely in the near future. The troops involved in the build-up have generally been de- ployed in defensive positions. The National Assembly elec- tions held in Laos on 18 July apparently failed to produce a clearcut majority for any of the participating non-Communist factions. Perhaps the strongest single grouping, according to as yet unofficial returns, will comprise a number of deputies associated with the young and moderate minister of finance, Sisouk na Champassak. Although this group might press for more active assembly participation in governmental affairs, Sisouk has indicated that for the pres- ent he will avoid agitating for any sweeping policy changes. Premier Souvanna, who re- turned-to Vientiane this week from a stay in Europe, will probably propose some minor cabinet changes to the King soon. It appears likely, how- ever, that the key figures will be carried over and that he will try to retain at least the facade of tripartite rep- resentation. Meanhwile, there has been a step-up in military activity, as rightist forces attempt to exert pressure on Pathet Lao positions. In the north, Gen- eral Vang Pao's guerrilla units have joined with regular right- ist battalions in an effort to recapture territory between Ban Ban and Samneua which was lost to the Pathet Lao last winter. SE CRE T Page 17 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 101 Ip Cl,ial1 1 02 Ko Chiu 1 l 04 10 6 O8 tzu /~ Mu ,..+ D B Dien Ping -kuo piem Ching-hsi IKuo-tet \ A e a H 1 N A ~ SSW mao ( Bao Lac* ~ ` ti -?r Ha Giang e e ao Cal C Ba Nua l t ~ Bac Can ' / - /r m ll? ?? 'J.'. 2 Lai Chau ! __ Chi n in g 22 ng- ? o hung R T H ang Son I'I~cpg Saly Yen B I Nguyen V?'V,,, /`?, Bien en .Ia ? ' D en ~ V 1 'N A ~y h g . / i ~ Son ? B U R M A M. S uoning \ P ~~ \1 ~y 1 La t ~ g d~ 91 BAN $ Bac ian ~ . / 'K HANG rr . g Hon ^'. }P- 044-YO g {~~wt Much / Duong `\ C 1 / `f ' IOa Binh OAO CAT HA \ ` // Phu Ly _ Muong Sonx ,~. , - u Sai Samneua - ' ~? / ?I ` .. - ao h Bi h i ? - Di h \ i / / l I / n oN n 85 ??~ a ce Pak f 2o- Be MEKONG j? rabeng M ai Thuong uong You ?? Ban Ban !~'? Thanh Ho (~.?~.., ~ / - - ~. Muong Q :.?..: ... Phou Sour < Khoun Plaine des Xieng \ ?tSayahauryz an Jones ? Khouang `?~~ Th ie "1 Phu Qui ' Cua Rao C IT L F , ng , .. 7 Ban ? .. Ta Viang Van Ol ti\., yhu Tru ? \ g f?- F g / I Vi ~ ? - eng Muang Nan I j I 13 I V ?. \ AM h Railroad T t) N K I N nder reconstruction Pak S ne Kiang Phrae A- E T Bal Sao ??'\. _,\1I,.. MUI RON Due ~ rl uang iChiang 3 Kh n Nong Khai 8 / 13 -_ t - i a' A i I P k oa Ae d Quang Khe //// ttaradit a o nIn h6mmaratll -?~ 8 Udon Thani Dan Sai Muang akhon Phanom 2 Mahaxay Do g ~ . Ho T In ~ Muang Sakon Nak i ?so. ` '_-` N ?- Pe a.ceNan tine ? L uang Phitsanulok uang T A I L A N D g N ~ .J D'ottg Ha 9 oc gbo Ho Lom Sak Mukdaha Sdno n ! Que Po Tri ava nakhet Ban Thay uong hme Huey M LAOS e Aa"v tile" uong 9? / \ SOUTH ;n g ?mow __ M Muang VIETNA ? Yasothon Sar vane ( Kh n S? 0 Ban 16 Thaler, ~ ~` d ~ R il m,=u-6M? ng a Ubo _ ? r -? ~ ;s a roa W i 23 16 ar n P saket Chamrap hue Road Chem ssac 3 tittopeti Surin --- Track or trail 4 l~ /~ 'Kon9 l8 i 50/ 114 l hon (? '? I \ 14- Kha Bo rail Miles / C A , M B 0 D I /A ` ? 25 50 75 100 Kilometers / Stung Treng ' 48272 If ,y r~ 171 Reap 102 UNI" $AR ~ uu ran ueo 0UNOA RY ae oa ENTATIM 4 ARE NOT NECEB.A -Y wUT HORITATIVB Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 1%W -WWI SECRET Receiving strong air support from the Laotian Air Force's T-28s, Vang Pao's units have met with considerable success since the beginning of the drive earlier this month. Another major rightist operation is under way in the extreme south, where several rightist battalions have launched a coordinated drive against pro-Communist positions along the Se Kong River south- west of Attopeu near the Cam- bodian border. In other areas, only light activity has been reported. Rightist units are conducting a clearing operation along the Mekong northwest of Sayaboury, while farther to the north, pro-Communist forces reportedly are beefing up their positions near Muong Sai and Nam Tha. DOMESTIC PRESSURES FOR RHODESIAN DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE Rhodesian Prime Minister Ian Smith is coming under con- siderable pressure from a strong faction within his Rhodesia Front party which is impatient with his policy of seeking a negotiated independence. from the UK. These rightist pres- sures may reach a peak at the party congress in early August. While Smith seems strong enough to withstand them, he is con- tinuing to develop closer ties with the other white redoubts of southern Africa--the Re- public of South Africa and the Portuguese territories of Mozambique and Angola--in case a unilateral declaration of independence (UDI) becomes necessary. Since Smith first clashed with the new Labor government in London last fall, Rhodesia has signed trade agreements with South Africa and Portugal, high-level visits exchanged among three governments have been more frequent With of- ficial posts already estab- lished in South Africa and Mozambique, Salisbury now is pressing for diplomatic rep- resentation in Lisbon. Never- theless, South Africa and Portugal, both with troubles of their own, have advised the Rhodesian Government against UDI and have refused to make commitments of mili- tary or political assistance in case of a crisis. Meanwhile, a high UK Commonwealth official visited Salisbury this week in an attempt to keep UK-Rhodesian negotiations open and possibly to relieve pressure on both the UK and Rhodesia for im- SECRET Page 19 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET TSHOMBE AND KASAVUBU MARK TIME IN CONGO FEUD Premier Tshombd and Presi- dent Kasavubu apparently are marking time in their running feud for political dominance in the Congo. New moves may come after election of parliamentary deputies next week in three prov- inces where the results of ear- lier balloting were annulled as fraudulent. The voting will be held under the supervision of Interior Minister Nendaka, whose appointment by Kasavubu in mid- July was an especially bitter pill for Tshombe to swallow. After these elections, the two leaders are likely to tangle over the formation of a new gov- ernment. Kasavubu probably will again name Tshombd premier. Tshombd, for his part, appears willing to accept an occasional humiliation in the hope that by hanging on to the premiership and its prerogatives he will be in a strong position to chal- lenge Kasavubu in presidential elections expected later this year. At the same time, Tshombd is talking of resigning and is floating rumors that he might return to Katanga. He probably hopes to frighten the President, and his supporters by suggest- ing that their alternative to working with Tshombe in Leo- poldville is a new secessionist movement. In the campaign against rebel holdouts in the eastern Congo, the government's over- all position continues to im- prove. Government units are rapidly clearing the vast re- gion between Kindu, Stanley- ville, and Bukavu. In the northeast, small rebel bands continue to harass mercenary units but the government still holds all major towns and is restoring some of the area's economy. On the periphery of the Fizi area west of Lake Tanganyika, government forces have again successfully con- tained insurgent efforts to expand their control. SECRET Page 20 WEEKLY. SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 "MW SECRET GREF~K ,CSjJ? ~O ySAr T. APUINS ,TUAKISH POLITICAL RIGHTS The Greek Cypriots appear to have launched a concerted campaign to abrade the political position of the Turkish Cypriots. The Makarios regime re- cently passed two legislative measures which have drawn strong protests from both the Turkish Cypriots and the Turkish Govern- ment in Ankara. One of these measures extended the life of the present purely Greek Cypriot government for up to 12 months. The second amended the electoral law to establish a common elec- toral list, thereby eliminating the special minority safeguards given the Turkish Cypriots under the constitution. Ankara has warned President Makarios that he is "stretching the patience" of the Turkish Cypriot community and that the Turkish Government reserves the right to take "all necessary measures." London and Athens have also protested the new laws. Greek Foreign Minister Melas told the British he had sent a sharp warn- ing to Makarios to the effect that the Greek Government was against this type of brinkmanship and would be unable to support him in the new electoral procedures pro- posed. In fact the political cri- sis in Athens may impede an strong Greek stand for some time. SECRET Page 21 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 SECRET Europe No end is yet in sight for I fighting for his political life, the two-week-old crisis in Greece, insists that if he is not rein- sparked by King Constantine's stated as prime minister there ouster of Prime Minister Papan- must be national elections. Papandreou continues to seek reinstatement and, with the aid of his controversial son Andreas, is trying to create popular pressure on the King to bring it about. The Papandreous have encouraged street demonstra- tions and have willingly accepted Communist support in their deter- mined drive to unseat the new Athanasiadis-Novas government. The situation is made to order for. Communist exploitation, and Communist agitators, slogans, tactics, and discipline have been apparent. The government has shown determination and readiness to maintain order, however, and has generally kept demonstrators in line. It frustrated a poten- tially crippling general strike on 27 July by threatening to prosecute any utilities workers who stayed off the job. Political maneuvering con- tinues in an effort to restore unity within the majority Cen- ter Union party which was split by some defections to Athanasia- dis-Novas. Papandreou, who is Under present conditions, a national vote would take on the character of a plebiscite on the status of the monarchy. Parliament begins debating a vote of confidence for Athanasiadis-Novas on 30 July. There seems little chance that he will succeed. If the trend is against him from the start, he may resign even before a vote, to open the way for a com- promise candidate. The name of former deputy prime minister Stephanopoulos has been most frequently mentioned to fill this role if, as the US Embassy in Athens comments, someone can prop him up long enough to accept it. The governor of the Bank of Greece, Xenophon Zolotas, has also been cited as another possibility. A trend toward a new right- left polarization in Greek politics. is threatening, how- ever, with the possibility of army intervention in su of the King. SECRET Page 22 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET EEC STALEMATE THREATENS KENNEDY ROUND TRADE NEGOTIATIONS Anxiety is growing over the Kennedy Round of tariff negotiations as the crisis in the European Economic Community drags on. Next to the US, the EEC is the most important of the negotiating parties, and, unless it is able to enter into effective bargaining, the out- look for any sizable reduction in tariffs is cloudy indeed. Moreover, if present deadlines in the tight negotiating sched- ule slip by, the US Trade Expan- sion Act may have expired--in July 1967--before the negotia- tions can be concluded. There has been no real loss of momentum since the EEC crisis erupted on 30 June be- cause no major new decisions outside the EEC negotiators' existing mandates have been re- quired. A crucial test will come on 16 September, however, when additional offers of re- ductions in agricultural pro- tection are scheduled to be tabled. Failure to proceed with meaningful negotiations on agriculture at that time would destroy the balance of progress in both industrial and agricultural sectors which has been a principal hypothesis of the talks from the beginning. Most observers believe the EEC will be unable to meet this date. The consensus which ap- parently emerged from the 26-27 July meeting of the EEC Council was that a special Council ses- sion--now set for October--would be necessary to work out a community position. Faced with the prospect of an EEC default, the other nego- tiating parties must decide whether tabling their own offers will induce the EEC to "catch up" or merely undercut their bargaining position. The US delegation believes that, if other major participants also fail to meet the agricultural deadline, further pressure will be generated to cease meaningful industrial negotiations as well. The requirements of the Kennedy Round schedule are likely in fact to have consider- able impact on the outcome of the EEC crisis. Germany, Italy, and the Benelux states, with a heavy stake in an expanding world market for industrial prod- ucts, may feel increasingly desperate to satisfy the--as yet unspecified--French demands so the community will be able to make the decisions the Kennedy Round requires. Paris, however, is also under some domestic pressure not to let the Kennedy Round run out of steam. French inter- est in the world-wide agreement on grains cannot be satisfied in the foreseeable future out- side the Kennedy Round context, and some government circles seem also concerned lest other French commercial interests suffer from a prolonged Kennedy Round stalemate. Finally, both sides in the EEC must take into consideration that, if the EEC deadlock per- sists into next year, Kennedy Round issues can then be decided by majority vote. SECRET Page 24 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 ROW SECRET NONALIGNED DOMINICAN GROUPS PRESS FOR EARLY SETTLEMENT Influential groups not com- mitted to either side in the Do- minican stalemate are demanding that the Caamano and Imbert fac- tions reach a settlement. The country's largest labor union has joined businessmen from Santo Domingo and the interior city of Santiago in urging a quick agree- ment. The second largest labor union, which has backed the reb- els, pledged support for the OAS formula and the proposed provi- sional government. These groups have been spurred to action in part by continued economic stag- nation, widespread unemployment, and disruption of normal commer- cial activities. Despite pressure from these groups, only minor progress was made in negotiations during the past week. The rebels tenta- tively agreed to a revised in- stitutional act that will guide the new government. No solution has been found, however, for such major problems as the future of the rebel military, disarmament of civilians, control of extrem- ists,and the length of stay of the Inter-American Peace Force. Indeed, the OAS formula received a temporary setback when Eduardo Read Barreras declined to serve as vice president in a provi- sional government. Read feels the interim regime faces a bit- ter future and is concerned that it will not be able to disarm the rebels and control the armed forces. Leaders of the antirebel armed forces now are supporting the OAS formula for a provisional government and have displayed a somewhat flexible attitude in negotiations with the OAS.- The military, through its moderate position, is probably trying to improve its image and head off demands for military reform. The leading officers, however, show no signs of per- mitting the rebels any influence in the military and continue to demand the disbanding of rebel paramilitary units. Non-Communists in the rebel camp seem to be splitting over the type of settlement to demand. Juan Bosch, titular leader of the Dominican Revolutionary Party (PRD), favors a quick settlement and has even proposed that the rebel congress formally recognize Garcia Godoy as president. The PRD leadership in Santo Domingo advised against this, however, arguing that it would further antagonize those rebels who ac- cepted Garcia Godoy only with reluctance. Moderates. in the PRD, moreover, seem resentful of rebel "minister for the SECRET Page 25 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 l'E C,'1tt 1 ' presidency" Hector Aristy's in- fluence on Caamano and have hinted that they might oppose his views solely because it is he who is advancing them. Demands for "a protracted war" continue to be voiced by the pro-Castro Fourteenth of June Political Group (APCJ) and the Chinese-influenced Dominican Popular Movement. Both groups feel that by maintaining the fight the US will be pressed to accede to rebel demands. RECENT SOVIET MILITARY SHIPMENTS TO CUBA The first significant de- (parts, ammunition, and possibly livery of Soviet military equip- ment to Cuba this year appears to have been completed. In the past month, three Soviet freight- ers, the Transbalt, the F. Z. Kuryi, and the ratstvo arfir ved n Cuba with possible military cargoes. Observations made at Mariel naval base indicated that military equipment had been off- loaded there, and preparations for what appeared to be the ar- rival of military equipment were observed at Bahia Honda. The arrival of as many as three Soviet military shipments in a comparatively short space of time appears to have no spe- cial significance, although it is unusual. The only other known military delivery this year was a relatively modest one made by the Metallurg Anosov on 11 June. It probably con- sisted two cruise missiles. It is pos- sible that other small deliveries of equipment for the Ministry of Defense may have arrived unde- tected along with commercial cargoes. Soviet deliveries of mili- tary equipment since October 1962 appear designed chiefly to maintain rather than increase the level of arms in Cuba. Fur- ther delivery of replacement equipment necessary to maintain the existing surface-to-air mis- sile sites in Cuba may begin in the near future since much of the solid-propellant fuel and many booster engines for the Cu- ban missiles are believed to be reaching the limit of service- ability. SE CRE T Page 26 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 SECRET In a major speech on 26 July, Fidel Castro was mainly preoccupied with Cuban domestic affairs, a theme which has in- creasingly replaced his clarion calls for revolution elsewhere in Latin America. Castro, speak- ing for three hours on the 12th anniversary of the start of his revolution, concentrated on in- ternal political and adminis- trative matters and only briefly berated "enemies" of his regime. Castro spoke extensively on the PURS (United Party of the Socialist Revolution), explaining the enhanced role this single Cuban party will play in local affairs and lecturing on its ideology. He pointed out that it will not merely imitate for- eign examples, but will be based on the "spirit and peculiarities" of Cuba. The FURS, with a mem- bership of about 45,000, has grown gradually in the past two years and has reflected Fidel's increased willingness to insti- tutionalize the revolution. Castro also announced a new system of administration to re- place the coordinating boards (JUCEI) which have been the principal organs of local au- thority since late 1960. The new system will be more respon- sible to the PURS, and will re- flect the increased decentrali- zation which Castro called for. The anniversary speech on political restructuring at least temporarily moves the focus away from the economic matters which have interested Castro since last summer. With the economy now started on an upturn, he may devote more time to internal political problems. He suggested in his speech that a socialist constitution may be ready within a year, and the organi- zation of the PURS will prob- ably be completed by that time. A definition of the powers and structure of the PURS national directorate may also be in the offing. By attempting to strengthen the economy and internal admin- istration, Castro apparently is trying to make Cuba a show- case for revolution. In his speech he urged Latin American revolutionaries to follow Cuba's example, but said that Cuba's first duty is to de- velop itself ideologically and economically. Castro, however, in turning the con- centration of his revolution upon itself, has probably not altered his belief in the "inevitability of the revolu- tionary struggle." In fact, he added Peru to the list of Latin American countries-- Guatemala, Venezuela, and Colombia--which he considers the best targets for revolu- SECRET Page 27 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 I%W SECRET The regime of General Lopez in Honduras appears to be failing in its efforts at creating a sem- blance of national conciliation following the reinstitution of constitutional rule last month. The unexpected resignation of Foreign Minister Jose Angel U1- loa on 16 July leaves only one member of the majority Liberal Party in a cabinet dominated by the minority Nationalist Party. Speculation in Tegucigalpa suggests that Ulloa resigned be- cause many well-qualified Lib- erals had been dismissed from gov- ernment jobs. His lack of a free hand in selecting ambassadors and subordinates in the ministry undoubtedly played a role also. The remaining Liberal--Labor Min- ister Amado Nunez--may resign shortly. SF, CRET The new foreign minister, Tiburcio Carias Castillo, is a brother of the leader of the Popular Progressive Party (PPP) --an offshoot of the ruling Na- tionalist Party. Carias' ap- pointment should help bring the dissident PPP back into the Na- tionalist fold, thereby broad- ening the government's politi- cal base and furthering Lopez' goal. Unlikely to be a strong cabinet member, Carias has served several times as dele- gate to the United Nations Gen- eral Assembly and as ambas- sador to Great Britain. Hon- duran foreign policy is ex- pected to continue its Western orientation. 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET World-wide MEETING OF EIGHTEEN-NATION DISARMAMENT COMMITTEE BEGINS The Eighteen-Nation Disarm- ament Committee (ENDC) resumed sessions this week, but prospects for productive discussions are dim because of differences among the Western Allies over the terms of an agreement on nonprolifera- tion of nuclear weapons and ap- parent Soviet intentions to use the forum merely to attack US policy in Vietnam. At the NATO Council meeting on 26 July, both the British and Canadians offered drafts of a nonproliferation agreement, with the UK's in particular provoking the expected reservations from West Germany and Italy. Both countries objected to language which might impede the subse- quent organization of a NATO nuclear force and both wanted treaty guarantees to nonnuclear states. In light of these objec- tions, the British agreed not to table any proposals in the ENDC until there had been "sufficient" Allied consultation. They have since proposed alternative lan- guage, but the US delegation doubts that it will prove any more acceptable than the earlier version. If the present dif- ferences continue, London may feel obliged by domestic polit- ical considerations to go ahead. The Canadian draft differs from the British primarily in providing for a collective se- curity guarantee by nuclear powers to nonnuclear states in case of nuclear attack--as India and other nonaligned nations -proposed during the recent UN Disarmament Commission talks. Italy favors this and also favors inserting a clause which would allow any signatory to withdraw from the treaty should a multilateral nuclear force or a new nuclear state emerge. Such a provision, Rome probably believes, would help overcome Soviet difficulties with a NATO nuclear force. However, the Soviet delegate, when queried, dismissed the idea as "useless." France, which is a member of the ENDC but refuses to at- tend because it claims the Com- mittee is too unwieldy to nego- tiate complex disarmament is- sues, has shown considerable interest in ENDC proceedings. French officials admit that they consider disarmament of great importance despite Paris' "empty chair" policy. They probably also realize that this policy is inconsistent with the role De Gaulle wishes to play with the nonaligned nations. Another reason for this interest may be France's own strong opposition to the MLF. A French official has claimed that the Soviets severely rep- rimanded the French for re- fusing to take part in the dis- cussions, probably because the Soviets would like more support in their attack on the MLF. The French claim that Soviet opposition to the MLF is not a tactic but a reflection of gen- uine mistrust and fear of Ger- many, Page 29 WEEKLY SUMMARY 30 July 65 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927A004900130001-6 SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6 %m JC%. KC I `fir/ SECRET Approved For Release 2008/05/29: CIA-RDP79-00927AO04900130001-6