WEEKLY SUMMARY

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CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5
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March 10, 2006
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 14, 1967
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SUMMARY
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Approved Folease 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00921~05900~e0QQ.~~ DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY State Department review completed Secret _~ 52 14 July 1967 No. 0298/67 Approved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-~0927A005900040001-5 25X1 gpproved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Approved For R~dse 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927AO;Q,~,900040001-5 SECRET FAR EAST South Vietnam's Provisional National Assembly will meet on 17 July to examine complaints which have been filed against eight presidential slates, including the Thieu-Ky ticket, that of General Minh, and of Au Truong Thanh, the self-styled "peace can- didate." The assembly is unlikely to disqualify Thieu and Ky, but the outcome is uncertain in re- spect to General Minh. The government has laid the groundwork for the disqualification of Au Tru- ong Thanh by charging him with a long history of pro-Communist activities. His name has also been linked to a group of alleged pro - Viet Cong intel- lectuals who were recently arrested in Saigon. The intensity of the fighting between North Vietnamese forces and US Marines near the DMZ in northeastern Quang Tri slackened off after the heavy contacts last weekend, but intense enemy mil- itary bombardment of allied positions is continu- ing. In the central highlands, where signs of preparations for an offensive are noted, the Commu- nists initiated several attacks against US patrols. The death of General Nguyen Chi Thanh, North Vietnamese politburo member and top leader of the Communist structure in the South, was announced by Hanoi on 7 July. Thanh was a hard liner in the Communist leadership, and the choice of his suc- cessor might provide a clue to the relative strength of the moderate and militant factions in Hanoi. Following last weekend's border incident, the Communists in Hong Kong have intensified their ef- forts to stir up mass disorders in the colony, in- cluding the use of terrorism. The British on 12 July for the first time in the current crisis employed army troops against local Communists. In Burma, al- though anti-Chinese rioting has subsided, Peking is maintaining diplomatic pressures which the Rangoon regime continues to resist. China's internal tur- moil, meanwhile a preading. 25X1 SECRET Page 1 WEEKLY SUMMARY 14 Jul 67 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-p0927A005900040001-5 Approved For Release 200/~~~A-RDP79-0092~A005900040001-5 - I ~..~ j t-~ la Drd49'=~. Valley Q CAMBODIA .~ V~~TA~A'M FRANCIS MARION .../ SECRET' - - 9 0001-5 Approved For R~Irrdse 2007/03/07~I~~9-00927AOiifrA00040001-5 VIETNAM Heavy North Vietnamese Army (NVA) casualties resulting from a series of sharp encounters with allied forces could temporarily slow down Communist offensive operations in northeastern Quang Tri Province. More than 550 Communist troops were killed near Con Thien during almost continuous contact on 8-9 July with US Marines of Operation BUFFALO, supported by well-coordinated allied air and artillery attacks. Since the fighting in the eastern DMZ area was stepped up on 2 July more than 1,100 Communist soldiers have been killed, in contrast to US losses of 159 killed and 884 wounded. The frequency and intensity of contacts has declined in recent days, but there continued to be unusually heavy concentrations of Communist artillery, mortar, and rocket fire directed upon allied installations and positions in the Con Thien - Dong Ha - Gio Linh triangle area during the week. Large caliber rocket and artillery fire caused an increas- ing amount of damage to allied positions. There are unverified reports that Soviet-built 152-mm. artillery was used for the first time. Stepped-up bombardments of Gio-Linh have brought about virtual suspension of civil gov- ernment functions and caused the relocation of the district head- quarters in another area. The US long-range 175-mm. artillery has been moved from Gio Linh southward to new positions near Dong Ha and Camp Carroll, In the central highlands, there are signs that NVA forces subordinate to the Communist B-3 Front are increasing their military activity in western Kontum and Pleiku provinces. Near Dak To, in western Kontum Province, elements of the 173rd Airborne Brigade, partici- pating in the sweep operation GREELEY, suffered 75 casualties as a result of a sharp two-and- one-half-hour battle on 10 July, The attacking enemy force, a well-disciplined and well-armed unit, was probably subordinate to the NVA 24th Regiment which conducted a similar attack against US troops in the same area in late June, Farther south in southwestern Pleiku Province, infantrymen of the US 4th Division, participat- ing in border-surveillance opera- tion FRANCIS MARION, were attacked on 12 July by a Communist force-- almost certainly comprised of units of the NVA lst Division. SECRL'h Page 3 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-Q0927A005900040001-5 Approved For Release 200$ 1~f,~~~lA-RDP79-0092~A005900040001-5 DRV Politburo Member Dies On 7 July Hanoi reported the death of politburo member Nguyen Chi Thanh. This is the first case of attrition within the inner circle of the North, Vietnamese leadership since the Communists took control of the DRV in 1954. Thanh was recog- nized as one of the party's most outspoken militants and was a close ally of Party First Secre- tary Le Duan. He had been direct- ing the war in the South for at least the past two-and-one-half years. Any one of several North Vietnamese general officers al- ready in the South could be chosen to replace Thanh in his military role, but it will take another politburo member to assume his political functions. Although several other politbura members have had experience in the South, Hanoi may choose to divide up Thanh's responsibilities among several men. Thanh's death could also pose even larger problems for the 11-man politburo--believed to be evenly divided between militants and moderates with Ho Chi Minh standing above both groups as final arbiter. Ho's age and health add to the uncer- tainty. If Ho should become incapacitated a strugg]_e for power could ensue between the militants and moderates, led by Le Duan and Pham Van Dong re- spectively. It would be impor- tant to each faction to fill the opening caused by Thanh's death to strengthen its own weight in the politburo before Ho passes on. The politburo could be ex- panded by one or more members and those chosen may provide some hint as to the relative strengths of the two factions and their supporters. Election Developments in Saigon Election officials have begun final processing of candi- dates for South Vietnam's presidential and senatorial elec- tions on 3 September. The Pro- visional National Assembly will meet on 17 July to examine com- plaints which have been offi- cially filed against potential candidates. Complaints have been filed against eight slates, including those of Generals Thieu and Ky, retired General Duong Van Minh, and civilian Au Truong Thanh, former economy minister in Ky's cabinet. The complaint against Chief of State Thieu and Premier Ky--that both should be dis- qualified because they have not resigned their official posi- tions--is not likely to be heeded, but those against Thanh .and Minh will probably arouse considerable debate in the assembly. SECRET Page 4 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For R~ease 2007/03I~~P79-009275900040001-5 Thanh is accused of having Communist connections; Minh is regarded as a threat to national security by the generals who filed the complaint against him; and Minh's running mate, Tran Ngoc Lieng, is charged with being ineligible because of his former French citizenship. The assembly's actions on these charges cannot be predicted with any certainty, but it is more likely to dis- qualify Thanh than to accede to the generals' wishes by eliminat- ing Minh's ticket. A total of 60 senate slates, including 600 candidates and 78 alternates, are under review by the Central Election Council, with .final approval or disapproval of the slates to be made ]~ 22 July. It is possible that as many as one third of the lists will either voluntarily withdraw or be elim- inated before 3 September, when voters will elect six of the ten- man slates. Four slates have al- ready dropped out because their dossiers were incomplete. Some government officials regard the large number of slates as excessive. Premier Ky told an American observer on 2 July that he believes the senate will be a disorganized, ineffective body because the voters have no mean- ingful list from which to choose qualified candidates. According to Ky, Foreign Minister Tran Van Do and Deputy Premier Nguyen Luu Vien have commented that the number of slates demonstrates the fallacy of expecting democracy to work effectively in Vietnam today. Ky, however, apparently in- 25X1 tends to do his best to try to influence the senate's composi- tion. SECRET Page 5 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-0927A005900040001-5 Approved For Release 2007/~~~~-RDP79-00905900040001-5 COMMUNIST PRESSURE CONTINUES IN HONG KONG Mounting terrorist activity and new efforts to stir up mass disorder in Hong Kong indicate that the. Communists are determined to keep pressure on the colony's au- thorities. Peking's behavior sug- gests-, however,- that the Chinese Communists are not seeking a show- down with the British at this time. The fire fight between Huong Kong police and Chinese Communist militia at the border village of Sha Tau Kok on 8 July is the most serious incident thus far. Five police officers were killed and at least eleven were wo-unded when they attempted to turn back a mob of Chinese demonstrators which had crossed the frontier. Order was restored only after a battalion of Gurkhas were moved into the area. Chinese Army officers were observed inspecting the area on 6 July and, while the clash was in progress, a Chinese Army bat- talion was moved up piecemeal to the frontier. .Peking's reac- tion and other circumstances sur- rounding the incident strongly sug- gest, however, that it was planned and executed by Chinese Communist authorities at-the provincial 25X1 level or below without ex licit orders from Peking. e ac o orgar~i zation in e riots which subsequently occurred in a further indication that the local Communists were not forewarned. Peking's 9 July official pro- test was guarded, contained no threat of reprisal, and generally indicated that the Chinese did not intend to build on h dent. Frustrated over the failure of their strike tactics, the Com- munists in Hong Kong are now step- ping up hit-and-run terrorist ac- tivity, probably intended as a new test of British resolution in coping with the situation. In a raid on 12 July against a Commu- nist center, army troops were em- ployed against the Hong Kong Com- munists for the first time in the current crisis. The strikes and public disor- ders have not as yet inflicted serious damage to the Hong Kong economy, but business has been hurt. Key government and banking officials contend that a long period of calm will be required before local Chinese businessmen will undertake major new invest- ment. The Communists could at- tempt to put further pressure on the economy by trying to tie up harbor facilities. SECRET WEEKLY SUMMARY 14 Jul 67 25X1. 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001- Approved For Rise 2007/03~~DP79-00927A00040001-5 BREAKUP OF SUBVERSIVE.NET HAVING REPERCUSSIONS FOR SOUTH KOREA South Korean heavy-handed tactics in exposing and breaking up a widespread Communist espio- nage ring have caused criticism abroad and could intensify the political infighting within the regime at home. Students are predominant in the ring which also involves South Korean professors and jour- nalists in Seoul as well as in Europe and the US. The members apparently came under Communist influence while abroad and some were given training in Moscow and Pyongyang. They were given the mission of indoctrinating South Korean youth with Communist ideol- ogy, thus providing a base for the eventual Communization of South Korea. The clumsy tactics used by South Korea's CIA to persuade many of the accused to return to Korea has generated a storm of public criticism and of- ficial concern in West Germany and France. West German press stories asserting that a number of missing Koreans have been kidnaped and forcibly returned home by South Korean agents have resulted in public protests by the leaders of all three major German political parties. West German authorities have privately indicated to US officials that they are not satis- fied with the explanation given by the South Korean Embassy. Bann has demanded the recall of three South Korean. embassy officials and may yet demand an official apology from Seoul. Page 7 Seoul may be in for greater trouble in France, where an offi- cial investigation is also under way. Relations have been cool since 1965 when Paris objected to Seoul's decision to send troops to Vietnam, and have suffered recently when France agreed to allow Pyongyang to establish a trade delegation in Paris. They could deteriorate further, if Paris concludes that French sovereignty has been violated by Korean ac- tions in France. In Seoul, enemies within the regime of the CIA director are likely to use the embarrassment caused to the nation to try to force his removal. He and other high officials, including the prime minister, have been attacked by the chairman of the government. party, Kim Chong-pil, for irregu- larities in the recent national elections. The CIA chief may be planning to parry the attack by linking some of Kim's group to the Communist espionage ring; North Korean propaganda is_ linking the breaking of the espio- nage ring to the recent upsurge in violent clashes }~e~kween South .~- . . Korean security fo~ce~-and armed Communist agents as symptoms of discontent in the South. These agent incidents are portrayed as reflecting a growing indigenous movement against the Pak Chong-hui government and the arrests as cover for an effort by Pak and the US to sup ress this rowin dis- content SECRET Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-Q0927A005900040001-5 Approved F~or~'Release ~/p;7j: CIA-RDP79-OOA005900040001-5 DISORDER IPISIDE COMMU[~JIST CHI~JA Violence and disorder appear to be spreading in China, while the regime is still unaccountably re- luctant to use force to end the fighting. The political goals of contending forces--composed mostly of student Red Guards, workers, and peasants--remain as obscure as ever. The west China province of Szechwan, and Hupeh and Honan in cen- tral China have been in a state of political turmoil since the frenzy of the C-ultural Revolution was re- newed in April. In recent weeks outbreaks of fighting have also been reported, for the first time in the current phase of the Cultural Revolu- tion, from many cities in east, north, and northeast China. 25X1 A serious breakdown in law and order ma have taken lace in some cities. An announcement by Peking on 11 July that college students-are to return to their institutions to "resume classes and make revolution" could be an effort to curb militant Red Guard organizations which have been responsible for much of the fighting in the provinces. Red Guard detachments from universities in the capital have been the prime movers in campaigns conducted against local party and military leaders in several provinces. There is no evidence yet, however, that these detachments are being called back or restrained in any way. The disorderly activities of these and other militant groups con- tinue to disrupt industrial produc- tion and rail traffic. In early July, a Peking poster described a fight between Red Guards and workers at the Anshan steel mill--the largest in China--and another poster quoted Minister of Public Security Hsieh Fu-chih as saying that industrial production "declined further" in April and May. In the present emotional atmos- phere, a claim made by the New China News Agency on 7 July that the sum- mer harvest was ten percent larger than in 1966 probably is not mean- ingful. The claim was issued as evidence of the effectiveness of Mao's thought and the Cultural Rev- olution. It is doubtful, moreover, that Peking has good crop statistics for all of China. Nevertheless, since weather has been reasonably good, an improvement on the poor 1966 crop is probable. The regime may, however, have diffi- culty in procuring and distributing the harvest--whatever its size--be cause of growing indiscipline among peasants, and trans ort and trade workers. SECRL'1, Page 8 WEEKLY SUMMARY 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Approved For Rise 2007/03/07 S~fA-Ft13P79-00927A0~00040001-5 Violent Clashes Reported Since Mid-June 1967 JAMMU ~ ANO KASHMIR taros in dispute) J Mi kAen' l ~ ~ J ~ '. An-~ ~'I~INC~ NORTH :~o H i t `t!i hao t e { - KOREA h} u~y? ~, ~?~EKIy,G Oren : ~. _ ao-tir c sfle-s an r ~ ~oPFr~ .1 I ai-yuan~~~ I .: ~ ~ Ts nan '-+H 1N51 +SIiANTI Yin E. h'uan {' C.~51iEN51 ? -~rv~ HUPEH ANN vrl s ~Yf!u-h an ? u i-nirjg ~ : ~?, ~ .C d k)ng~ -~+- n~eha .~ `~ r i, 'I_p ~ ~ hang-sha '~~;A/~.~~;I r' ?Ch "r-= ~ IuNAN ~ mg-h$ian9 ? Z ( Ic ei. ang ~~ if ! I-UKiEN f `~.- r~Wr.lr-E1OW ~~ ~ F 11,c .~ ~ ~KWANGTT~NG ap YliNNF1N j~?: '~~ c~' `r~ t~,~ .Canton A, NORTH VIETNAM h'anghoi ? ng-pa r,~dsr cxJtua Ch'i Grua SSA N -C7T7_VA 1h'A SECRET Approved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-Q0927A005900040001-5 Approved Four Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-0092 A005900040001-5 SECRET'- SECRET Page 10 WEEKLY SUMI~~RY Approved For Ruse 2007/03/C~~~61~~P79-00927A6~~"900040001-5 EUROPE Premier Pompidou's five-day visit to the Soviet Union this week maintained the momentum of high-leve_ exchanges between Paris and Moscow, thus preserving the image of a "special" Franco-Soviet relationship. There are no indications, however, that either side was forthcoming on the major issues--the nonprolifer- ation treaty and European security. The communique issued at the visit's end was concerned primarily with efforts of both sides to broaden bilateral relations, stressing that the Franco-Soviet detente not only has a positive influ- ence on the political situation in Europe but also serves as a model for relations between other na- tions on the continent. The Soviet hierarchy dealt a further blow to the career of Aleksander Shelepin, once considered a leading candidate for future party leadership. His appointment as the chief of the Soviet trade union organization all but completes his political neutralization, a process which has been under way for many months. During this period a number of his political allies, including the former KGB chief, have been transferred to relatively power- less positions. There is no evidence that Shele- pin's demotion stems directly from differences over Middle East policy, as was the case with the recently fired Moscow party chief. In Bonn, Chancellor Kiesinger has won his colleagues' reluctant approval of an austerity program that provides for cuts in defense spend- ing and in social welfare outlays. Just how the defense cuts will be implemented evidently has not been decided, but a study now being made is expected to recommend a reduction in troo levels and delavs in new nrocurement_ SECRET Page 11 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-Q0927A005900040001-5 Approved For Release 20~~f~3~~-jEIA-RDP79-009 005900040001-5 HIGH SOVIET LEADER DEMOTED The appointment of politburo member Aleksander Shelepin as head of the Soviet trade unions marks a further setback for him. This move all but completes his politi- cal neutralization, a process that began in late 1965. It ap- parently was brought on by the combination of policy differences between Shelepin and a majority within the politburo on a wide range of issues and the long-stand- ing rivalry between Shelepin and. party boss Brezhnev. There is no evidence that Shelepin's demotion stems directly from the split between "hawks" and "doves" over Middle East pol- icy, as was the case in the recent firing of Moscow party chief Nikolay Yegorychev, a "hawk." He is believed, however, to hold views similar to those re- portedly expressed by Yegorychev at the June plenum of the central committee, and differences within the politburo over the proper course of action during or as a follow-up to the crisis may well have speeded up the move against Shelepin. During the first year after Khrushchev's ouster there were re- ports that Shelepin was challenging Brezhnev for the party leadership. Since late 1965, however, Shelepin has been transferred to progres- sively less important assignments. The last year and a half have been marked by Shelepin's giving up his deputy premiership, the dissolution of his powerful committee of party and state control, the passing over of several of his proteges for important posts, the removal of a number of his closest allies from pivotal positions, and the whittling down of his position in the secretariat--the party?s ex- ecutive arm. Shelepin will al- most certainly lose his position in the secretariat, and, although he will probably remain, at least for a time, on the policy-making politburo, his influence on the formulation of national policy will be reduced because his new duties will keep him occupied with every- day labor problems. The demotion of Shelepin, fol- lows the removal of two of his closest allies--KGB chief Semi- chastny and Moscow party boss Yegorychev--and their replacement by men generally more moderate in outlook. This attack on the Shelepin group, in turn, would ap- pear to weaken the position of other hard-line elements in the party. The views of these other hard liners, however, still cannot be ignored by the politburo. More- over, the regime has been signal- ing those who would take advantage of the reverses suffered by the Shelepin group to press for more "liberal" domestic policies that the time is for such activities. SECRET 25X1 k_ Approved For Rise 2007/03/07$~~~79-00927A61QTr"900040001-5 WEST GERMAN AUSTERITY PROGRAM MAY FORESHADOW DEFENSE CUTS The Bonn coalition govern- ment has developed a financial plan designed to keep its budget in balance over the next four years. In the process it has given notice that West Germany will probably reduce its defense establishment. In several long cabinet ses- sions on 4, 5, and 6 July, Chan- cellor Kiesinger apparently over- rode objections though not with- out a struggle which could por- tend further trouble. Kiesinger had earlier underscored the im- portance of the budget planning sessions both for the government and for his own political future by postponing his scheduled visit to Washington. Defense Minister Schroeder waged a hard but losing fight against cuts in defense spending. According to a cabinet announce- ment on 7 July, reductions in de- fense spending will range from $500 million in 1968 to a high of $640 million in 1970. Just how the defense cuts will be implemented evidently has not been decided. A reduction in troop levels and delays in new procurement are expected to be prime recammen~lations of a study Schroeder is to undertake. Ini- tial press reports of a probably 40-60,000-man reduction have been attributed to Defense Ministry sources trying to generate oppo- sition to the defense cuts. In the traditionally heavy social welfare programs, family allowances were reduced and most benefits to war victims and refu- gees were frozen at present levels. A wide range of tax relief meas- ures were dropped from government plans, and business and personal taxes were raised. Kiesinger admits that his pro- gram will be politically painful. At present, he has the backing of his cabinet and the approval of both the Christian Democratic and Social Democratic forces in the Bundestag. Parliamentary action awaits the autumn Bundestag ses- sion, and pressures to restore cuts, especially in the sensitive area of social welfare, are likely to mount during the summer. Kiesinger's hardest task may be to win the understanding of Ger- many's NATO allies, who are al- ready pointing out that any German troop cuts should be subject to NATO review. The German press anticipates renewed pressures in the US and Britain for a reassess- ment of allied troop levels in West Germany. Bonn may still be hopeful that a reduction of West- ern forces could bring reciprocal cuts by the USSR and its East Euro- pean allies. In a recent public statement, Foreign Minister Brandt seemed to invite a Soviet response by referring to mutual troop re- ductions as a pean detente. SECRET Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-0927A005900040001-5 25X1 gpproved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Approved For Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Approved For Fuse 2007/03/~~bP79-00927A~900040001-5 COMMUNIST PETROLEUM EXPORTS TO THE FREE WORLD The USSR's and Eastern Eu- rope's petroleum sales to non- communist countries probably will reach a record high in 1967, about 50 million tons. Sales in 1966 were nearly 46 million tons, valued at about $570 million. The Soviets apparently are taking advantage of the Middle East crisis by making additional crude oil available to their customers in Western Europe. The Soviets have not yet attempted to compete with Arab countries by using the crisis to gain new customers in the West. The Soviet ability to sell oil in Europe is small, be- COMMUNIST EXPORTS OF PETROLEUM TO THE FREE WORLD 1955-67 Page 15 cause of limited availability, compared to West Europe's needs. The value of the sales to the USSR is important, however, be- cause of the hard currency value. Larger quantities of Soviet oil were reportedly sold to West Germany, Italy, Spain, and Swit- zerland, and a representative from the Soviet Ministry of Pe- troleum is scheduled to arrive ir_ Vienna shortly to discuss an increase in deliveries beyond the current 750,000-ton contract. Several British companies have requested a review of Britain's embargo on Soviet oil. London is unlikely to relax its embargo on crude but may add such products as naphtha to the list of permit- ted Soviet imports. Last year, an estimated 74 percent of the USSR's and Eastern Europe's petroleum exports went to Western Europe, meeting about eight percent of its requirements, about the same proportion as in 1964 and 1965. There was a slight decline last year in the amounts exported to the less-developed countries. Brazil, Greece, India, the UAR, and Ceylon were the prin- cipal buyers. Imports continued to meet a high percentage of needs in Iceland (99 percent), Finland (83 percent), Ghana (76 percent), and Afghanistan (75 percent). Ex- cept for Finland, however, the quantities of oil imported were not large. Of the 46 million tons of petroleum exported from the USSR and Eastern Europe in 1966, SEGRLT WEEKLY SUMMARY 14 Jul 67 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-~0927A005900040001-5 Approved F release 2007~b%~1~4-RDP79-009005900040001-5 the USSR accounted for 39 million, or all of the crude ail--about 24 million tons--and 15 million tons of petroleum products. A rising trend in the share of crude oil in total exports probably will persist for at least two or three more years, as additions to Soviet refining capacity will continue to lag be- hind the annual increases in out- put of crude oil. Petroleum ex- ports have been a major source of foreign exchange for the USSR, an estimated $480 million in 1966, and have helped pay for modern equipment and technology for in- dustrial development. The USSR's prices for petro- leum to Western Europe, in general, are comparable to world market prices. The value of Soviet ex- ports has not increased as rapidly as the volume during the past few years because prices have declined gradually and because the share of crude oil in total exports has risen. Shortages caused by the Middle East crisis, however, could change this picture. S~;CRLT 25X:1 Page 16 WEEKLY SUMMARY 14 Jul 67 Approved For ReT~dse 2007/03/~~DP79-00927A0~6d00040001-5 MIDDLE EAST -AFRICA In the aftermath of the hostilities, the radical and moderate Arab states are still at odds over whether to move toward negotiations with Israel. Algeria and Syria are the firmest opponents, while King Husayn of Jordan continues to urge same sort of an Arab-Israeli under- standing. Husayn may, after having exhausted all means of getting unified Arab action, de- cide to go it alone and come to terms with Is- rael, thus inviting renewed enmity of the radi- cal Arabs. The weak coalition government in India's West Bengal still totters along. The local Con- gress Party claims it has enough votes to topple the government but hesitates to force a vote of no confidence because such action could cause widespread popular unrest and unify the warring Communist factions. New Delhi does not want to intervene for the same reasons. In Africa, the war between secessionist Biafra and the federal government in Nigeria continues. The federal forces have met with unexpected stiffness from the Biafran Army. Northeast Congo (Kinshasa) remains in some disorder in the wake of last week's mutiny of foreign mercenaries. The mutiny has severely strained the Congo's tenuous stability. If the European technicians carry out their threat to leave, the subsequent shutdown of the copper mines would have a devastatin of economy. SECRET Page 17 WEEKLY SUMMARY 14 Jul 67 Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 a ~~,,~~,, SECRET ~ Approved for Release 2007/03/07 :CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 Suez Canal Area fort?Sad,*.Porf Fuad Tripoli:? LEBpyNON :;~17'~I~KAN,~AtV BEIRUT Sidon ~/ _....uis'~...~.?Dar'a /^r , e.a ISRAEL f '1 Rd;s al Ushsh Abu ?~ AI'Awja Uwaygdah ~~ ~U N I T E D ^A;~R A B AI Kuntillah~, SAUDI ARABIA Areas reported occupied by Israel,? Nablus ? r TelAviv~ ti A) Yafo i ~ ~Jerus '~ D *MASCUS O ~= 11~._ S.YRIA AMMAN M igdal Ashgelon~~ ~ ~ I Gaza) I ": b'?~ I J O R D A N GAZA ~/ 1 t~ivd .AI Arish~- f Beefsheba I, (~ SECRET' Approved For R_ elease 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927AOg5900040001-5 ~ SECRET ~~ DEVELOPMENTS CENTERING ON THE MIDDLE EAST Arab States - Israel Radical and moderate Arab leaders remain divided after a series of meetings in Cairo .and Damascus over whether to move toward a settlement with Israel. Continuing clashes between Egypt- ian and Israeli forces, meanwhile, still do not appear to presage a resumption of major hostilities. Algeria and Syria are thefirm- est opponents of any show of moder- ation. Boumediene, Nasir, and King Husayn met in Cairo on 10-11 July but evidently were unable to reach an accord. Boumediene's talks later in Damascus with Syrian leaders ended with a statement in- dicating the two governments are intent upon resisting any pressure to compromise. Nasir, Boumediene, Syrian President Atassi, and other Syrian Baath officials and Iraqi President Arif met again.n Cairo on 13 July. Sudanese Premier Mahjoub reportedly may join them on 14 July. King Husayn, who met earlier in the week with Nasir and Boumediene, clearly was not to be at this latest conference. 'scale summit. They fear Husayn ;and other moderates would form :the majority. Egypt and Iraq had favored such a conference but now are unlikely to support it with much vigor in the face of Algerian and Syrian opposition. Husayn probably will have to .decide whether he can move toward a unilateral settlement with the Israelis without bringing the hos- tility of the radical Arabs to an intolerable level. The clash between Egyptian and Israeli forces along the Suez Canal on 8 July was the largest of several engagements since the 8 June cease-fire. Egyptian artil- lery apparently opened fire on Israeli positions at Ras al Ushsh, where a number of less serious in- cidents occurred the previous week. The resulting battle ranged from Port Said and Port Fuad at the northern end of the canal south to Qantara, and involved aircraft, tanks, and heavy artillery. The Israelis announced their casualties were five killed and 31 wounded. The number of Egyptian casualties is not known; a MIG-21 was shot down. Husayn's hasty mission stenpmed from his failure to pro- mote an Arab summit meeting to formulate a unified and relatively moderate Arab position on steps toward a settlement with Israel. The Algerians reportedly have strong misgivings about a full- The Israelis claim their anti- aircraft shot down an Egyptian SU-7 over Sinai on 11 July and that they de- stroyed two Egyptian torpedo boats in a naval engagement near Al Arish .the following day. SECRET Page 19 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00'~27A005900040001-5 ApprovedFor Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-00927A005900040001-5 SECRET Soviet Activity United Nations Soviet naval forces in the Mediterranean have been showing the flag in the Middle East to demonstrate Moscow's support of the Arab states. Eleven warships put into Alexandria and Port Said an 10 July for a week's visit. The Soviet admiral commanding the Mediterranean fleet announced that his ships were ready to cooperate with the Egyptian armed forces to repel any aggression." The Soviets took no action, however, when two Egyptian torpedo boats were sunk by the Israelis the next day. The airlift of military equipment, which now appears to have ended, probably consisted primarily of fighter aircraft de- liveries. Egyptian, Syrian, and Iraqi inventor-ies of fighter air- craft probably now approach the prewar level of 365, 80, and 89 respectively. At the General Assembly which r-e convened this week, at- tention focused on Jerusalem. UN members were dismayed at Israel's refusal to comply with the Assembly resolution calling on Tel Aviv to rescind all measures which would alter the status of Jerusalem. Pakistan has introduced a new reso- lution--which has a good chance of being passed--which deplores the failure of Israel to cooperate, calls again on Israel to rescind all measures, asks the Secretary General to inform the Assembly and the Security Council on the situa- tion, and requests that the Coun- cil take all necessary measures to implement the resolution on Jerusalem. Most delegations would like the Assembly to end on a "posi- tive" note, but realize the diffic-ulty of bridging the gap between the unsuccessful Yugo- slav and Latin American resolu- tions of last week. Attempts at drafting a compromise are nonetheless still being made. The Spanish delegate in particu- lar has been pushing a proposal SECRET Page 20 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Ruse 2007/03~~/~'~DP79-00927A0~900040001-5 which calls for Israeli with- drawal, asks all parties to re- frain from the use of force, and requests the appointment of a special representative of the Secretary General. Despite the delegates's vigorous campaigning, however, a number of members re- main opposed.d Another compromise developed by the Mexican delegation in con- sultation with the nonaligned and Latin American groups declares that peace in the Middle East must be made for all time, upholds the principle that the territorial conquest by war was inadmissable and that therefore Israeli with- drawal "is expected," declares that the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Middle East states must allow them freedom from threats of belligerency, and re- quests the Security Council to continue examining the situation. The proposal reflects continuing dissension in the ranks of the Latin American bloc which was a key element in the defeat of the. Yugoslav resolution last wPAk_ SECRET Page 21 WEEKLY SUMMARY Approved For Release 2007/03/07: CIA-RDP79-Q0927A005900040001-5 Approved ~ Release 2~~7~/~ CIA-RDP79-OA005900040001-5 MERCENARY REBELLION IN THE CONGO The mutiny of foreign mercenar- ies and some Katangan troops in Congo (Kinshasa) has caused consid- erable havoc in the northeastern sec-tor-. The rebels held part of Kisangani (formerly Stanleyville) until 12 July, when they broke out and headed southeast by truck. Bu- kavu has been the scene of much disorder since the Congolese Army (ANC) returned. Racial incidents have somewhat diminished elsewhere in the country, but tensions are still high. The mutinies on 5 July were led by approximately 150 white mer- cenaries, who were restive because they had not been .paid for several months and hearing rumors that the government planned to disband their J ' ?~~aZ=A~II I F r ~/'? ~ %INiHASA .~:' CENTRAL AFRICAyN REPUBLIC r ?? V / Ki.angani Isl,,aev~;ll., /tti..~; `? ANGOLA Lubumbashi' bethvill.l ` .~ ~?.~ .. t ~ ~ .f+ When the rebellion broke out, Mobutu declared a state of emer- gency, closed all borders, re- scinded civil liberties, and urged citizens to keep "foreigners" un- der surveillance. Antiwhite sen- timent rose throughout the country. In Lubumbashi (formerly Elisabeth- ville) ANC troops killed nine Europeans on 6 July, and in Bukavu at least 11 people were murdered after the ANC recaptured the city. There was harassment of Europeans and wide-scale looting in other areas. The mutiny has severely strained the Congo's tenuous sta- bility. If European technicians, particularly the Belgians, carry out their threat to leave, they could force a shutdown of the Ka- tanga copper mines and cause a DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO SECRET ;Sonyolal~,~ '.-'Luluobourg 7 ,Mbuj M yi, ~ i devastatin effect to the Con o's economy. units. They apparently needed only the news of former premier Tshombe's kidnaping to spark their mutiny. With assistance from disaffected Katangan units of the ANC they quickly took Bukavu and much of Kisangani including the airport. On 7 July, however, the rebels at Bukavu withdrew from the city and proceeded toward Kisangani. Congolese units at Kisangani pushed the rebels there back to the airport and its environs. One planeload of wounded mercenaries--including the commander--escaped and flew to safe haven in Rhodesia. The remaining rebels broke through ANC lines on 12 July and may be headed either south toward Katanga or southeast toward Bukavu. They may still hold white hostages, including some -1Americans. r 1? s y~~ tyY~ _ :.:~...... -~~ (UGANDA J r WWA`. A t Bukovu h ~R..J ?~ 1}eugJ{NOl __,._._..,,,.1 , Approved For Rbi~ase 2007/03/~C'4~~~P79-00927A~900040001-5 FEDERAL INVASION OF BIAFRA ENCOUNTERING STIFF RESISTANCE Nigerian federal military forces have made only a little headway in their week-old drive to regain control of Biafra,-the secessionist Eastern Region. Contrary to federal expectations, Biafran resistance to superior federal firepower has been stub- born, and both sides have report- edly suffered numerous casualties. On 7 July, Maj. Gen. Gowon ordered federal troops along the northern border of Biafra to be- gin a full-scale attack along two main routes toward Enugu. Probes Scene of Nigerian Civil War across the border had begun on 6 July. Fighting has thus far been confined to the Nsukka and Ogoja areas. In the Nsukka area about four battalions of federal forces, supported by artillery and armored cars, have captured and destroyed at least two Ibo villages just inside the border. Federal forces reportedly may also be on the verge of capturing the key junc- tion at Nsukka and its related road network. ,..r....