INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY FOR WEEK ENDING 26 APRIL 1950

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-01090A000100060016-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 26, 1999
• Sequence Number: 16
• Publication Date: April 26, 1950
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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MR tAA T/AFRiGA 3I`tt'I5IOiW
OFFICE OF RRPORT3 ADO i5 s IMA.TZ3
CRYGTRAL ITELLzIG 'CE AGMICY
WORKING PAPER
APR 26 1950
VOTICE: This document is a Gorki paper, not
an official CIA issuance. It 1aaa been co-order-
ted wthin ORE, but not with the IAC Agenci' os .
it represents current thinkixg by specialists
In 0313, and is designed for use 'by others engaged
in similar or overlapping studies. The opinionz
expressed herein my be revised before final
and official publication. It is intonded aolely
for the inforzrat ion of the addressee and not for
ft Cher disesez nation.
Copy for:
MINT NO?
oC
bEGi TS S C
L SS GHAt'1GE
.. r.nTG? ?--
AUTH: HR 0 2
~~R~~EVIfc'WEfi:.-0:0
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NEAR EAST/AFRICA DIVISION
Vol. V No. 16
INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY
For Week Endbg
8 Apr l 1950
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Turkey
Soviets eye the Straits again .........................................................1
article calls for Montreux Convention revision
Anti-US feeling ..........................................................................1
Recent outbursts stem from sensitivity over Palestine
e
Yemen in the world to'day............................................................ 2
Plea for US aid reflects weakening isolationism
Iii
Soviets blame US for Iran"s troubles .....:................................. W....3
Current propaganda effort is well timed
India
Unfriendliness toward the US ......................................................3
Present coolness has deep roots in In character
Lebanon, I rant .India- P s an..................... N ..............................4
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NEAR EJ\.ST/A.FRICA i31T. "IG. iCE SUriiIIARY
. UB1:EY
Soviets eye the Straits agaii The ::SSR, after a relatively
lon- g 'o ric al silence, has office again precipitated a verbal
clash with, Turkey over the s- atu3 of the Straits, this time
through an article in Red `Ivet, organ of the Soviet Wavy
The current debate foilows flmi.liar lines. The Red F_lee_t
article advanced the old Soviet thesis that the statutes
governing the Turkish Strf it: should be revised (i.e., in
favor of the Black Sea .'owe? F.) . The Turkish reply, live,
appropriately through the scr71 official Ankara daily,
reaffirmed the Tury: sh view 1 at revision of the Montreux
Convention of 19-':_, should ox.;.y be undertaken in accordance with
the terms of t,I,.~t agreement, W atever the Soviets may have
had in mind 31en they rev1v d the.explosive Straits issue,
there is r reason to suppof e that the Turks can be shifted
from th?.e'-r inflexible resol~'e to oppose the sort of control
which. :ne Soviets seek to iipose. The Turkish Government vil3,
on T_se contrary, maintain the position on revision crhich it
o+,. icially announced in 19k~-, namely that Turkey is perfectly
.i1lling to participate in an , national revisionary conference
(to include the US, not a s gxaatory e~f the 193? Convention),
but will not even enter into az dieoussi.ons which indicate
the possibility of such sacrifice of Turkish sovereignty as
the reiterated Soviet deuan.cl.s clearli imply.
?, !.B STAT&
n i_US feeling' The current recruaoscence of anti-American
feeling in the Arab states stems iron the widespread Arab
belief that the US is rearming Israe:r. and bringing pressure
on the Arabs to make peace with the .Israelis. This animosity
indicates once again the extreme sensitivity of the Arabs
on the question of a Palestine settlement and their obstinacy
in the face of UN, US, and UK attempts to encourage peace
negotiations. Although responsible Arab officials may deplore
Such chauvinism, they dare not go counter to it. The Syrian
Government has Lulofficially tried to play down the public
statement of Minister of National Economy Dawalibi that the
Arabs would rather seek Soviet support than submit to US
pressure, but the government has not publicly dissociated
itself from the statement. The Syrian press reaction was
generally sympathetic to Dawalibi's point of view, while the
kooslem Brotherhood papers, which have previously suggested a
Soviet alliance, fully endorsed it. The bombing of the
American Legations in Beirut and Damascus last week was almost
certainly designed by Arab extremists to give point to the
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hen,;ifl 1 e in Cairo; t t rAa ~J o .:mss t n 'lue x:t,: af, and least
for its G~`a.~ci % "bai.E' ':ac 1 'u! AisC?X't; t3 `.3~FF1..Ca7t at a
. 1 ine when L he a t t i_ , "..,.d c; Ca ' v , c` F 7 . ~ : 7.Ii public and press
4.ow '.r:'d the L:.:+ bad i`vin t..en3it zee ' the d~rogatcr art1c Le
about King r'arou
Although the 9,e',',' 'Y al .L q . i,,.E.L ,L L, .eL v al ignmem L ti' 1.}l., Si the
- .,>ciL'a is ~:iy' Cy ?t ?i:l vs as ve i..]. as 4he~~~i:7 ts~ i
L ( recent, s: gr. " s.at:L_T el..Ln ;; indicates k:.t lea t a
is sc~1' ~' rc: ~ 1. '34 .x .b b .t, It : on? ss and exasperation toward
oc:?: icy which not rruJ : 21 u31 F a'f>duces US prea t:~ ge but elso
condit ions rod t] by the Corwatu..ists.
bo '_ .a. 4i`+.3 ~p."wc., ca W' t,Ilt" '#I by ti. / i.;: L' `:?i"p,i Is~C4 Na L.J. Tn>'a Rolle and
O 'kS Ag rlti Y ow } ~(.' iyS>??? ., at" _~. east ra ' y `~.L@ Wtt$I?
f't-? k, ion bt.:mle in (8:.. L Ua~
cA in th.' itc -l '' it f 1, L f .;-C c3 )1rs3 d i o!
,~]t ' p q q to
t 6.4i. 77t r to
U to
... ~. I ~:.1 QT'' '49S.lai...1.C.t Y.i.~.,ei' official +d V JS,,
1~
Y e :ien since i.lh ~'e4I ~ us 4 _o V k 1. A: tl; A31.inec in !98, d.s I xQ`?7 e
a notable W SCa a~Wa~ of the a1 :rehd nsiven ss with which Yreme,a
11
"113,:`.1 hitherto vbt~G ;.he aal^.f~3g?r C:,` of o3o ae contacts with t be.
outside world. 1 kjm !';i el.l.y rtz cqu? sled Point Four aid
c r' .r... rive: = .i,T, .f :x off; nex$ ?: c c~ i k, which. he hopes to f inan'.e
by obtaining a Uo loan; the pro -r-Lm would includo techtir.ica
studies by A. per l ua: e1.pex,L ; :fields as medicine, agr;.lcuL
re and gt J.o, r, ,,i .e u ;16ata.zat:..on of the port of Hock ida
:. d ? rind U.:} establishment of an
ca - stook ompan-.,~ to undertake the eiectr.:fi-
r t.'Lion of :a I a ai i. :ntai= tit -Lae eti:.p)::.t ai:. ?s water sup lZ m k~ 2-?
wih.ile. the Ln .T , M~x_litL'ta i >^; `~; t .Las no -com. 'aitta . rc ga.rd. r,,,:,
es ,a1.:..s ~.:tc::i1 : o,. ?t .:. L it::i(n in Ye men, has titiuuiated
ky ..?~ {~y )~y/ ry
f..a f'.~ .~ -.Fil r. .:.?+ di ~.? lo n t t i c rep r +.~i s Viii L, 4.~.1.! Ji.A
4. t~ ? r' C.' i. o ~ 's?J Sa ~.xM aJ i :a .~ s Li ait,
L he US
Yemen S x.01, eJisiIC1Z'1wr'.a, s C+:'.=LFs Lt1:.Gr+:Lti1L?'t~, tc.?xl:a+y
polio j it has trr iontJ z'c?a' .c wed p . ticuiar .Rj in t eia ic?n 11
U b hd b th
1;a the non. Ara.b : =x ~.r~:et .tueingasteney<
.F-aml s recd ;iii L iQ' I the r e~~rard3 which adoption *.re; ho$pita Le ~a J + t~ud ~ l,rsa : ds. foreign enterprise has
brought to Qei ahboriS], - ta ,- E: ?; o% tae Arabian $7aU 1a t3 t & fit'
prograuu uuderck, :w n tray tue U' It ? ~e kingdom., ho iTever, soot..
'r.L`t'f~`..~:rc~a ' b !? : o"vi r __ s r, hti `'i? $~i' ether the sclhe=:
envisti ed :;:j Liiu .tea !
}.
r=.,u.3??i,.S.-'~~ ~.; ? . .k.7."'._a 4,.. :"or 5 asi t ' ' . ca.r~n.c~hL . C'.1ut
.... ~ . J. 5..4:. .L l~ ..,. t... U%.. ~ ag s.~. x.?U ~~~.;~.y~-?
ne r;2cc =it is iers :V :tei over
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q''cw.-y ng US influence in the Yx Bolan 3'eninsula, -while other
Arab states would perhaps prcyf er treat Yemen did not extend
Sa friendly welcome at this tire to a country they regard as
pro-Zionist. Yemen, however, is a sovereign state relativel`t
isolated from the rrrore vociferous ? -rab world and little
affected by public opinion, Arab or otherwise, and thus
~erra:?ns in a position to choose its on friends a
`aoyiets blame US for Lre.n's troubles: Soviet propagandists
la: ve recently laid. ptart c~.rla.r stress on anti-US themes in
,heir broadcasts to Iran. 4Thi._le Soviet broadcasts have
continued to attack the c'ah:l.cVi regime and have severely
atta Bed the present Y: nsur eoinet, they have mainly taken
the line that the U pulls the strings and is thus really
to blame for Iran's current economic and political instabili,.
Ia support of this theme, the 6oviats continue to charge
,;bat the US is attempting to cteveiop Iran into an anti-Sovie-:~
`s:;military base, to eliminate the Ul's influence, and to pene-
trate the country econoreu.cai.Ly through such devices as the
beven-Year Development 1 rogram.
The USSR's current anti-b propaganda drive comes at a
more auspicious time cos' the Soviets than have previous
efforts. Sorely beset with n jor economic dif'f'iculties and.
pparently unable to rescue threLves because of financial
and political weak, the Iranians have begun to express
grave concern over al a pea Liu failure to render timely and
ubstantial assistanc=e; t vo ie.,aciin,=. Vigures, Chief of Staff
azm, .ra and Directo := of the 3e.rsk t.elii . bteho j, have even
talked of a decline in US influence. While the mere export
of words will not s fric e to craw Iran toward the U661, the
,;.vies er.c Soviet uro;,:uganda UP- y a3 have some ef'f'ect on Ub
prestige. Until cc.adit:Lons in 5 cart are improved, efforts to
combat Soviet propaganda of Mi.s type will be exceedingly
"ifficult.
anrr? enrlliness tote. rd Llanon. S61,od, first Soviet
a r ti ,~. sic a t; is se vea ~3 xicc~~ . 9~1 Tavadze served
as First Sec: yeti ry to Paris from 1947 to 1S0,9, 'an.E is reported
to have ;:e. connected with the MUD.
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1& iiiWt'
or the first ti.tt :3i n ', 4iI.e 'J i.iu~i~
c,x~e? ended sot.i ceLi .Lrc auiec 46 ?'po L "ctsally
r'~a the seizure ox' a t'ew .L(:)Gb-L
aLeaders is unlikely to nave a :ell r?,, effect on the party,
these arrestshttade in tits n.j4r industrial centers of
ehran and Abadan, inc'. sate 1 i?a 1 tnis policy, whose efforts
have heretofore netted on.Ly t,iie errand boys, are no"W begtuni"::~g
to penetrate the orvenizaLio.n proper. Since the Tudeh
Party `s underground eelJ.uf.ar org "nation provides a high
degree of security against ,h 1esale rupture of its activity,
Iranian police still face a a 'cr:rrli.dable task. Nevertheless,
the revelation that Tudeh's ; r:,rriers are not impregnable must,
be regarded as promising.
The recentl aiu ourac ecU inclu -.L .. g Uani trade a. rem is no'
u "f'a nt r ccat Qrer,exL IV'5 4o ak v xr?; a M 'era @a8 3T ent of
retien arid i'akastrrua ,conomo, dif iculties The agreement
prov dos only for Lilo e. c Qw Of certain essential cotnrnodit:Les
cuc.:r as Jute produOtz, steel,, cotton textiles, and mustard
o .l in return xor ;OU,GOO b? -:=s of Pakistani jute; the sajox?
'r]robietr af'f`ecting the two co nLr:'Les through the cessation
of trade i_n i'akistaxi: ,meat a:!.ad cotton and in Indian coal.
retrain untouched ? The principal result of the agreement
will be its salutary ea f`e