NORTHERN DIVISION WEEKLY INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY NO 94

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-01090A000100080011-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 21, 1999
Sequence Number: 
11
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 12, 1949
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79-01090A000100080011-1.pdf397.17 KB
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Approved For`"elease I 999/09/02 r,CIA-RDP79-Y1090A000100080011-1 1IO2,TifE? DUTSiOtd OFFICE OF REPORTS ABM Effr, rA.TES CE1 TRAL 11'ELLIGE ICE /-C;ENCY , KING PA PER 1tOTICE: This document is a working paper, not an official CIA issuance. It has been co-ordina- tea within ORE, but not with the IAC A?,encies. It represents current thinking by specialists in CIA, and is designed for use by others engaged in similar or overlapping studies. The opinions sea before final and expressed herein may be re i official publication. It is intended solely for the information of the addressee and not for further dissemination,. Copy fore TM %'AZWMI~11 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01090A000100080011-1 Approved For R,gjease 1999/09/02 : Cl P79- O+AO00100080011-1 IA 0 'o "E.A. 211 AP 0,E 4 91R y be .A "r ka; .n:3 for 7. "V: Crti'tliY ker Day" ybrook rob} .1 w o w s r w a b;e w u s L w s+ a rx s v v s. v r ., & c, Donne `L, South Africa }'+y~;on t he moved by ~ UCTA \`r !.-es on South-'."esis .1_rlca, a d 9 M: M. a? a*m a0 0 110 as uraaa ~ 25X6A OT US fi.or?er=:1axt Defense cOtma:i6i:1urL R ~. +. 'f4 ?J $ LY U 4 it V .ses a* itlous ., 4 .~ q u c e w a ...... ., ? w ~? w a *. o m a ,. -0 st * rte :nte L rice Sv -!i as r;y a eON1Dthfl2A~~ ee ember 1-949 Approved For Release 'I 'h,2 : CIA-RDP79-0109OA0001 00080011 -1 Approved For eF lase 1999/09/ 7f -Q1 090A0001 25X6A Office of Reports and Estimates i o ae' rn vision See ND Weekly No 91, 21 November Approved For Release 199ff1 ni 9-01090A000100080011-1 25X6A P79-090A000100080011-1 Approved Forelease 1MNf MEN See 1Ti) Weekly No 82, 110, E eptem Approved For Release 1CfENIAt79-01090A000100080011-1 25X6A Approved For Reuse 1999 Approved For Rase 1991 W 91-0"A000100080011-1 I'27 4- C0 . .Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0109OA000100080911-1 Approved For`RKelease 19 T iRp79-01090A000.000080011-1 fUMT ;Oi O1V ULT i AND MAME 'Union of South Africa ay be Afrikaans 7. Voortrekker Da be Affor Donney brook ar m Police reinforcements are being sent by the Govern- meet to Pretoria to contain possible Afrikaner-British eruptions at the 16 December dedication of the Voortrekker Monument commemorating the Boerne Great Trek northward from Cape Colony 23O years ago. Police forces are also being strengthened throughout the Union against the threat of uprisings of natives, who widely believe a rumor that the Afrikaners intend to attack them on this holiday. The tone of the celebration is entirely Afrikaner, and Government leaders have made every effort to fire up the republican spirit of the Boer pioneers. The holiday is "national" in the sense that costs are being borne by the state, but the Government has avoided calling it "of- ficial" so that the Governor-General, representative of King George VI, can be excluded and the necessity of dis- playing the Union Jack obviated.. The only concession to English-speaking South Africans is the speech schedules by General Smuts, who has urged his followers, both Afrikaners and British, to attend the celebration in strength and make it a non-sectional affair, but even Smuts will speak in Afrikaans. The year 1949 has come to have great mystic apveal for many Afrikaners, since it also recalls the outbreak of the Boer War 50 years a ;o and of the I.Tonument's corner- stone ceremonies in 1039, when fanatic republicans incited riots in several cities. Many of the 150,000 encamped outside Pretoria will wear ancestral slouch hats and sun bonnets, and bearded raen will be in a majority. The National- ists, as a government, are taking strict precautions that inflammatory republican speeches do not revive an active commando spirit of Afrikaners against British, but as a party they are trying at the same time to squeeze the last possible drop of political advantage out of recalling Boer traditions. It is possible that they may revive more than they intend. 8. South Africa won't be moved by LJNGA votes on South- West A..r~` ~?.. Ap rea''s~IP.1 ~t"Ti%(~ t~Q3+.~11-1 wlil o inter ere al Approved For Lase 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-0 OA000100080011-1 CONFIDENTIAL lation of that "tcrritory. W 6 finally vassedvn to the 3 nterna _( by a 40-7'GA r> solutic , :"eJu4s;_ f of tine status of, the f'rri.t r-; had oassed a resolution for calling upon South Africa to via Or the nrablern as Court of Just. t,w:) 'a1 deterrlnati er in the day, the %rurth corn.secutiv year, 'Aot th-West Africa 'ider, IN supervision' as a trust t;evr'i.N, and ra3.ldly censuring the Union for refusing to con..tnts u}raission of annual snorts on its . admi str'a i orr of a r*ea~ The South African defecation joined in the :7A deb :.t~3 on the resolutions after boycotting disCussiorI in the Tru t :.:snip Council, but the Government still remains ooor-Ritte to ignore t reeommc i' lotions, inclu inf~. a possible adverse 1C3 f'3..ndin -, that the inclusion of South-rest AN Y& the Onion as a virtual A h province be altered to tr?: Eteeship status., Approved For Releas O( '?AItDP79-01090A000100080011-1 i 25X6A Approved For Fe ease 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-0,0A000100080011-1 IE1DENTIAL 'ore n De4'er;;a ;on L s5a r -~ r rases tnb ::.o?u rro,'ram The 1N orre'ian efww'Je 4.tcVT .~ 'r .ra s a a r it ~ bpi .i nronosai for mcetzr.? ;' ~~-> ; d 'en3e renwr:~T"eats, has rec. o: r..endt d e%I a;"11.1 ~u ' s. c :1 t, .. x~ he Qen{e'rrI1' favorable -.f the r'i ogrfit ar? x, act'L , em es CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0109OA000100080Q11-1 /.. 't:' e na $ t #.:r oe yea Approved For Rase 1999109/02 : CIA-RDP79-O OA000100080011-1 IvOW4 M TI A -8- L to hold strategic points until rreviously planned aid from the West can arrive. the 21 man eowAssion has been working for two years on the development of a six year defense program to replace the temporary plan initiated in 1946, which ex- pired 1 July 1949. The Commission's work, delayed and modi- fied by such events as the Czech coup, Scandinavian defense discussions, the North Atlantic Pact negotiations, and the development of MAP, was finally finished in September, but release was postponed until after the October national elections in order to avoid political exploitation. The main recomendations are an annual defense budget of about 300 million kroner (42 million dollars) and a supply and building program for the six year period totalling over one billion kronor (140 million dollars), TOTES Soviet requests that Norway fulfill Its trade commit- ments by delivering molybdenum and Norway's lark of suf- ficient molybdenum to satisfy the requests gill hamper the Norwegian-Soviet negotiations for a 1950 trade agreement? Increasing shipments of coal from Spitsbergen have reduced Norway's requirements for imports of Polish coal during 1950. On UK initiative, the Scandinavian and UK Governments will hold an introductory conference in Stockholm, 15-17 Decem- ber to investif;ate closer economic cooperation. Neither a customs union nor the inclusion of the Scandinavians within the sterling area is contemplated, but agreement on the liberalizing of currency and trade restrictions may result. There are some indications thet Sweden may appreciate the krona, after having devalued it in September by the same percentage as the ITS devalued sterling. Considerable feeling existed at that time that the percentage was excessive. Denmark is expected to' submit to OEEC a nronosal for a new western European payments system. The elan may be worked out jointly vrith Norway and Sweden. C( ENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01090A000100080011-1