WEEKLY INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY NO. 73

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79-01090A000300060009-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 29, 1999
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: August 2, 1949
• Content Type: SUMMARY

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TRANSPORTATION GROUP
Weekly Intelligence Summary No. 73 2 August 1949
Section I. SUMMARY OF T RI N )S AND DEV IOPMENTS
The strong Yugoslav desire to establish co mercial air connect-
ions with Western Europe to reflected in Yugoslav willingness to
permit the Swiss airline to continue experimental weekly flights be-
tween "ur oh and Belgrade while the Yugoslav air carrier is still
unable to institute' a reciprocal service, Since the reciprocal ser-
vice wou;d depend upon authorization to overfly the US Zones of
Austria And Germany an overture to the US is expected in the near
future, which may suggest a review of the US?i7K Satellite aviation
policy with respect to Yugoslavia, as well as consultations with
other rVositern nations, to preserve a corm front toward Yugoslav
air operations. (Item No, 1, B)
Delivery to Western European countries of transport aircraft,
financed with the assistance or ECA, is nearing completib.. As a
result of authorizations approved during the 1948/49 MCA program,
Prance, the Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, and Norway have already
added a total of 28 four-engine and 18 two-engine transports to
their civil air fleets. (Item No. 8, B)
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SPECIAL 1TE'`?5 OF GENERAL TRAM?SPORT'ATICN INTEREST
(See Annex, Page Five)
Travel in the 3S during 1948 was safer than, at any time during
the peat ten years, according to a National Safety Council r port.
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'SECTION II, CURRENT D)SVELOYM]3NTS
CIVIL AVIATION
The strong Yu ~oslav desire to establish commercial air connect-
ions vritia ~ieste3rn hlzrope is re vents in Yuccas av s+ri lingne~ss to
perriit the Swiss airline (:>'",ISSAIR) to continue experimental weedy
flights between Zurich and Belgrade while the Yugoslav air carrier,
JAT, is still unable to institute a reciprocal service. Berore JAT
can inaugurate its prospective route from Belgrade to Zurich, via
Vienna and ".unich, permission to. transit the t),; Zones of Austria and
Germany must be obtained. Although Yugoslavia has made no fonaal
approach to the US for such overflight rights, an overture is ex-
pected soon.
In initiating aviation discussions with the US, the Yugoslavs
:111 probably give assurances that all Soviet influence over Yugoslav
civil aviation has been elii.inatod (the joint Soviet-Yugoslav airline,
JUSTA, is reportedly in liquidation), and, as quid pro quo for air
rights in the US) occupation zones, they may agree to permit a US air-
line to ixrauF,uratc air services to l3elgrade and overfly Yu oslavia
on route to Greece
conciliatory jugcislav attitude may require the US to consider
whether ii,i roved air access l;o the Ualkarns warrants placing, Yugo-
slavia in a separate category -with respect to the present U -Uri pol-
icy of blocking Satellite civil air expansion. .1oreover, the may
be required to consult with other :"=esteni. powers (particularly Italy,
France an(z the flK, with whom the Yugoslavs have already indicated a
willinness to undertake civil air negotiations) in the interest of
preserving a cori on Western front with regard to Yugoslav civil air
operations, (SECRET)
T Delivery to '~ester?n European countries of transport aircraft,
financed with the assistance o !.CA, is !:satin;; completion. A-s a
result of authorizations approved during the 1948/49 FECli pror;ra..i,
iranoe, the Ietherlands, Belg,;iu.ii, Den!-:ark, and '.`oxtivay have already
added a total of 28 four-engine and "I two-engine transports to
their civil air fleets. Three additional four-engine aircraft are
yet to be delivered to France, while the economic Justification of
Italy's request for six DC-6 transports is presently under ECDer -
view. In addition, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, ,
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Nonvaj, Ireland, and Greece have received ECA assistance in financin,-,
the purchases of miscellaneous aircraft parts and aviation e Labts erit.n
an i the construction of aviation facilities. Authorized credits to
the & ove seven countries total v'49,70O,000or 1"' of the entire `VA.
assistano-5 during 1P48/49. A co nittee' of 0 BC in Paris is c7_arroonti~
rcrin~ut ; tahe cues tion of ECA assistance to European air carriers
diur-in.' t 1w 19+,k9/b0 program.
aiaparon t kere
k" 14, the full effect of l;CA assistance is not yet
is litti=: doubt that the cor etiti v-, position of the foreign a:rlinao
corscerreu has been is Lprnved and, as a consequence, their ability to
earn: Vort,rr. eexcha.rr:-e substantially increased? "orecaver, the alreal;
eztabl.i jh d trend toevard. standardization by European airlines on U3-r'Isnuf e: -t::rod ircrt:Vt and aviation equipment has ::beeri reuiforccl:a
(RLSTR CT.- i )
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SPECIAL ITT !M OF GETERAL T12ANSPORTATION I1'TERF1ST
Travel in the Us during 1948 T*ras safer than at any time during
the pas n yeas, according to a at onaa Safety Council report,
The combined death rate for all major forms of transportation (i. e.,
passenger automobiles, taxis, buses, trains and airline transports)
was only 1.8 deaths per 100,000,000 passenger miles. Death rates
for individual transport media were as follows:
Railroads
0.13
Buses
0.18
Airline Transports
1.30
k-aseenger automobiles,
taxis
2.10
Although airline travel is still approximately ten times more dang
erous than rail travel, safety in airline transportation has now in-
creased to the.point where this mode of travel is only about 60i' as
hazardous as automobile and taxi transportation. The recent Eastern
Airlims catastrophe in New Jersey, moreover, concluded an 11-month
period during which US ~, aohedulod. airlines operated an unprecedented
volume of 6b 430,66biOCf!O pasbefg'r miles without a single fatality.
(U1 CItAS IF'I1D)
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