HIGHWAY TRANSPORT IN THE USSR

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CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3
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January 31, 1952
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Approved FoCtelease 0 SECURiTx INFORMATION CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports Provisional Report No 12 (CIA/RR 1R-12) HIGHWAY TRANSPORT IN THE USSR 31 January 1952 10012e0g3 22 ati.2 This document is a working paper. The data and conclusions contained herein dei-ot necessarily represent the final position of (ER and should be regarded as provisional only and subject to revision. Additional data or comment which may be available to the user is solicited. This report contains information available to ORR as of 1 December 1951. WARNING THLS DOCUMENT CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES, WITHIN THE MEANING OF TITLE 18, SECTIONS 793 AND 794 OF THE U.S. CODE, AS AMENDED. ITS TRANSMISSION OR REVE- LATION OF ITS CONTENTS TO OR RECEIPT BY AN UN- AUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LA Approved For Releas 25X1 Approved For e ease I EATL4A133a0100120002-3 =TM Summary . 09 404.0090W 0 A ?000000.0 0a 00 I. introduction a. . ? e?e o??eeae ea* e?e a ae but 1 2 1. Importance . 0?00?90?000004.0 2 2, Historical Development . . . . 2 3. .General Description of Network and Facilities . ? 3 4, Organisation . a 0 9a a a a a a a a a 0 a a a a a 3 II. Volume of Traffic . . . . a 00.00 4.9. ea?0000 3 1.. Motor Freight . a a 0 . . a ?00?00.0 a 0 A GO 3 2, Passenger Ebtor Transport . 09?004,9 to000 5 III. Capabilities 0. . 0 0000 4.09000,00 900.z. 5 A, Basic Data .a 0?0009 4, a a 4.0?0900009 AO 5 1. .2, Extent and Condition of the Road Network . ? . . . . Nbtor Vbhicle Inventory o . . . . . 090990000 5 7 3. Quantity and Quality of Maintenance 4.00990000 10 a. Roads . 0 . . , 0 OM* of. 9.0 a 000w C ? 10 b, Motor Vehicles . . ? . ? . 0 0 e a 9 0 0 ? ? 0 10 4. Efficiency of Operations 04.9?0 *0 4.?000. q 10 5, Seasonal Factors . . . . . . . ? 0 A G a ? ? 4> 9 d, 0 11 6. Animal-drawn Transport 9. a 9.4 ?00004.000 4.* 11 Bo Present Capacity . . a a ** ,O 0?0 a a 99008.4 . 21 C. Potential Capacity . a 04?A?0 4 4.00,90900000 22 1, Diversion of Traffic to Other Means eat& 00 Oa 0 12 do Peacetime . 00000 0 .00900 0 6041000 12 b. Wartime . aa 4,a .94.00 a *04.90090 12 2o Nov Construction a. . a a a o a . a. 90000009a 12 3. 4. Expansion of Nbtor Vehicle Park no0 alb 09.0 Effect of Damage by Western Attack 006900000 13 14 Approved For Release 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP7 011120 02-3 Approved For Re ease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109340100120002-3 A4L-g7.-Erka PA= IV. Materials and Manpower Requirements . . . . ? 0 ft 0 ? 0 ? 0 ? 14 Ij. Capabilities, Intentions, and Possible Counteractions . 0 .... 15 1. Capabilitiep . 66 , OOOOOO 0 0 006 0 ? C 0 **? 15 2. Intentions ? OOOOOO . O A OOOOOO 9 lb 9 tb V 15 3. Possible Counteraction 4 ? ? e 4 4 ? ? ? ? 16 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved For0ease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109300100120002-3 CIA/RR PR-12 SECURITY INFORMATION 11JG ALTRAMMLEMESUBL ZOE= Highway transport in the USSR is a supplementary economic service the main function of which is the short-haul movement of freight. In perform-, ing this function, Soviet highway transport has in recent years handled a larger annual tonnage than the railroads and inland waterways combined, although, because of the short average length of haul, the annual ton-kilo- meter performance of highway ,rdnsport has not yet exceeded 3 percent of total inland freight traffic, In the 1950 Flan, highway transport was scheduled to account for 25.4 billion ton-kilometers or 4.2 percent of the total, but only 20.5 billion ton-kilametera actually were carried. Since the planned mission of highway transport has never encompassed long- distance movements, the Soviet road network has remained largely undeveloped outside urban areas. The network now includes about 3 million kilometers of roads of which only 56 percent have foundations and only from 6 to 8 percent are 11rd-surfaced. The construction of a amall number of paved cross-country highways was undertaken after 1945, particularly in the European USSR, but military rather than economic considerations have been paramount in the initia- tion of these projeets. The terrain, climate, and shortages of heavy equip- ment, stone, road-binding material, and trained highway engineers all have retarded the development of the road network. Estimates of the size of the Soviet motor vehicle park vary widely, but it is likely that there are now 1.5 million to 2 million motor vehicles in the USSR, about 90 percent of which are trucks. Although the availability of fuel has not been a factor limiting motor transport operations, there has been increasing emphasis recently on the production of vehicles equipped to burn nonliquid fuels. The extent to which anlizaledrawn vehicles are used in high' way transport is unknown, but the quantity of traffic carried in this way, particularly in rural areas, must be substantial. Motor vehicle production facilities in the USSR have expanded rapidly in recent years,. The types of vehicles produced since World War' II are well apted to the operating conditions prevalent in the USSR, Generally in- adequate maintenance and repair facilities, shortages of spare parts, and in- efficient vehicle *mating procedures, however, have prevented utilisation of the motor vehicle park at a level equal to its potential capacity. More- over, military allocations absorb a large proportion of current production, thus affecting unfavorably both the quantity and condition of vehicles available for civilian purposes, Nevertheleas, the Soviet motor vehicle park is believed to be adequate in terms of the traffic requir;. tts placed upon It, The extent and condition of the highway not and the traditional dependence of Soviet Approved For Release 2005tilaftetDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved For ease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109W0100120002-3 shippers .= rail transport are the major factors hindering Puller development and more widespread employment of motor transport. la Introduction. The term "highway transport" as used in this report includes motor and animal, urban and interurban, and freight and passenger transport. The report deals primarily, however, with motor transport. 1.- Isportance. The primary function of highway transport in the USSR is the short-, haulatovement of freight between railroad stations, ports, airports, and industrial installations in cities and the haulage of farm supplies and agri- cultural produce to and from outlying suburban areas. Except in the suburban areas of the major cities, there are few modern highways suitable for trucking operations, a factor which has restricted the development of long-distance motor transport. On the basis of total tonnage carried, Soviet highway trans- port in most years since 1937 has handled more freight than the railroads and inland waterways combined. On the more significant basis of tolometers, however highway transport probably has not accammted for over 3 percent of total inland freight, although under the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) the 1950 goal for highway transport was 25.4 billion ton-kilometers annually, or 4.,2 percent of the total inland freight traffic. Only 20.5 billion ton-Ailo- meters,- however, actually were carried. Generally speaking, therefore, high- way transport in the USSR is a supplementary economic service, 1/ * 2. IlatqlratiaNUIRIVAda The expansion and improvement of highway transport never has had higa priority in Soviet planning and practice, although it is being given increezirg emphasis. The facilities inherited from 'Czarist Russia included only a few dis- connected sections of good road/ which had been built primarily for military. operations. No large-scale construction of improved roads was undertaken before 1928? and subsequent construction while Improving radial transport in the vicinity of largo towns has contributed little toward the development of an integrated nationamdde road system. 2/ Motor vehicle production nonexistent during the et first 7 Tears of the Sovi regime, received strong impetus in 1929 with the signing of a contract with the Ford Motor Company, In 1932 the Goekiy Motor Vehicle Plant, built under the terms of this contract, began production an a large scale, and Soviet output increased in that year from 5,000 to more than 20,000 motor vehicles annually. Since.then, production facilities have steadily 25X1 expanded, and output has increased to about 400,000 motor vehicles a year, Approved Fur Reledse 200 /04/t2 kCIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 fr-BrrBI Approved For49Iease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109V00100120002-3 a-gra-I-EC ? 3- rianzaLattpalut,iam-aLlisgimuluallwilltipa. Except in the vicinity of the major cities of the European USSR, there are fey aneweather highway:: suitable for motor transport. Most Soviet roads are of primitive construction, and severe weather conditions cause deep ruts and frost heaves which render many of the roads impassable for motor vehicles during much of the year. The accelerated motorization of the Soviet Ange in recent years has: intensified the need for improved? all-weather highway connec- tions. Although postwar rehabilitation and construction have been directed toward the development of such a network, certain phynical handicaps have pre- vented eapansion of the road system at the planned rate. Per example, short- ages of stone and binding material and the instability of the soil in any areas of the USSR make initial road construction costly and constant main- tenance and repair necessary. If The inventory of motor transport vehicles has been expanding, but production of replacem t parts and construction of otor vehicle repair and servicing facilities have failed to keep pace 9tgainiet211. Construction, heavy repair, and maintenance of national highways are directed by the Main Administration for Highways in the Ministry ,or Interior (MVD). Responsibility for highway construction probably was given to the IND becauSe that Ministry has a large labor pool at its disposal, and the USSR has been heavily dependent on manual labor for road construction and maintenance, The acute shortage of road-building equipment has boon somewhat alleviated only recently. With the exception of those transport vehicle pools at the disposal of various industrial and government organisations throughout the USSR, the. operation of motor vehicles engaged in transport is controlled mainly by the Ministries of Motor Transport of the individual Republics, which also. supervise construction and maintenance of highways of Republic Importance. Each Ministry directs motor transport operations, such as urban passenger transport and miscellaneous local trucking, within the boundaries of its own Republic Highway transport statistics are compiled by the individual Republics, except for traffic carried in vehicles of the above-mentioned government organimatione. The Central Statistical Officein Moscow maintains statistics on all highway transport traffic. IL 3121m9-2L-TraferIg. 2. Basar.ftgat. The limited material available on Soviet motor freight traffic is sun- marised in the renewing table covering the period of the first four Five Year Flans: - 3 - Approved For Release 2005M41c2:lkik4DP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved Fortejease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109340100120002-3 Soviet Motor Freight Traffic hi Selected Years from 1929 to 1950 1929 1933 1937 1940 1941 A/ 1945 1946 1950 -(Plen) Freight Originated kali.T.Z21121 18.0 123.0 799.6 855.2 903.0 316.5 458,9 1,a144) iseemasosaassereortitorsoi...ossar....asseee Itarswasbea.... Percentage of Total Average Length Tnrnover Percentage of Inland Freight of Haul (Billion Ton- Total Inland .Al2.9ZedERL Ettight=2127.4r 10.0 29.0 58.0 56.0 N.A, 43,0 N.A. 63.0 1008 10.8 10.0 .10.5 10.4 13.8 13.8 1440 0,19 1.35 8.00 8.98 9.37 4.38 6.35 25.39 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.9 N.A. 1.2 N.A. 4.2 25X1 EstiMated Soviet Motor Freight Turnover 1947-90 V.1.111.11?Malftloyln...........11.M.311??=421312114gLI2t;erlet4SNIAtlaZia Xsax 1947 11,1 1948 13.6 1949 17,4 1950 20,5 Although the trend in motor freight turnover indicates a mutt= increase in the anployment of rotor transporty the increase has not been sufficient to produce any substantial change in the general pattern of Soviet Approved For Release 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 0..clear-Wet 26(1 Approved Foraolease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01094F0100120002-3 inland. freightmovements. No reliable estimates of tonnage originated and aver e length of haul can be made for the years 1947=50 on the bafti of infor available, mation currently avaable. However,' gree 25X1 that between 50 and 60 percent of all freidirs transported ((tonnage originated) is handled at one time or another by motor transport. 2/ Official Soviet policy regarding motor freight transport has been aimed at the continued develo ant of short-haul trucking as a supplement to railroad transport and at increasing the length of truck hauls. In January 1949, some freight rates were readjusted in order to encourage shorthaul movements by truck. Railroad freight rates for distances of from 50 to 150 kilometers were "considerable raised, while motor freight rates wore correspondingly reduced, In January 1950, trucking rates in the RSFSR (Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic), the major (Constituent Republic of the USSR, again were revised, with an additional reduction of 16 percent on movants for distances of less than 50 kilometers and fro 20 to 25 percent on distances of more than 50 kilometers, This measure indicates that 80.1110 difficulty has been encountered in diverting the 50- to 150-kilometer shipments from the railroads to highway transport, Available evidence reveals that between 70 and 75 percent of total truck freight is hauled distances of from 10 to 20 kilometers, with a very small percentage going farther than 20 kilometers. 2. afiesNaggraYakmanimate Passenger motor transport in character. Statistics for passenger age increases over a e base year or planned levels but have not yet been / a 1117 the USSR is almost exclusively urban in traffic are available in terms of percent-, in terms of percent o relationships to analysed in detail by CIA, gsmik=la. A. DARAPJAte. 1, t dc2P-diticaaa2f-0.9.22.8e4-112115A. Considerable diversence of nninInn the Soviet roadevstem., 25X1 /mo nvA4trim 4-114es eualaatice exist ror umi.y, AL -Gaul: Taw, the over-all length of Soviet highways was 3 million kao sters, including 1.8 million.kilometers of secondary roads and tracks, mhny of which were undefined country lanes without foundations of any kind, Of the remaining 1,2 million, kill eters, about 43, kilo eters were surfaced, 2/ I . 11-352-400-1-Emeer.inthat before World War 11 the heludine city streets Ana whilmnnweA dlpt irnmAet A/ 25X1 highway network totaled V 'th CO 15X1 25X1 - 5 . CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved For, Release 2005/04/121 Approved Forliipase 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093V0100120002-3 CrEra-11-B.-1 The wide variation among these prewar figures, which are claimed to be based on So let statistics, is difficult to understand, Since there are numeroue definitions of the various types and classes of roads in the USSR, however, it is 'likely that the various estimates have been made on substantially different bases. Therefore, any exact breakdown of the total network by type should be accepted only with reeervatAone. The figure of 3 million kilometers reported .0 the .prewar network 25X1 appears to be the most all--inUusive.a Ub estimate prepared in 194? fellows 10/: Estimated ixtent of the Soviet Road System Selected Years from 1927 to 1950 ' Year atailagada 192? 1,252,419 2932 1,270,773 1937 1,3550459 1941 bi 1,545,922 1945 1,522,577 1950, (Plan) 1,596,637 ?????? tftdartrie.M.010:111004.00maKNOMMX132Bretatea AULfaWil PrigLanalsOmayle Natural 31,797 1,208 1,219,414 51,359 116,242 1,103,172 87,584 331,016 936,859 1510179. 465,612 929,131 129,927 507,150 885,500 163,737 668,150 764,750 a. Gravel, stone, asphalt, or concrae. b. As of 1 Jitly, Betsiecn 1939 and 1945, 180,000 kilometers were added to the Soviet road net through acquisition of the Baltic States and other territory, The various Five Year Plans have provided for road construction and repair on a large scale, but the major phasis has been placed on dirt roads, simply constructed, of poor quality, and generally of only local importance, Planned goals are shown in the following table: Planned Soviet Road Construction and Improv en 19276742 eactromansiabooromaramsam="1 comareaadoraneeirscaRmaamworms.aescr.a.amasswaxamerasvosamtercetaassalexamaanclUZLIAIM agram. 1927-32 360,000 1932-37 210,000 1937-42 210,000 - 12,000 30,000 '0,000 Improvement of 13.950?, 1,400,000 N.A. N.A. a. Stone, gravel, or water-bound surface, or apy surface on a solid foundation, Approved For Release 2005/04111:?1A-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 141:41*-E?T Approved For- ease 2005/04/12 : CIA-ROM-0109341200100120002-3 1.1-tra-Briel The Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) specified simply that "the network of improved roads firestmiably surface17 under Union and Republic jurisdiction shall be increased by 11,500 kilometers in the 5-.year period; and the existing network of arterial roads shall be restored and completely over- hauled." The degree of accomplishment achieved with respect to these plans is not known. The total mileage of the Soviet road system prObably has not increased since World War II or, for that matter, since 1940, The over-ell condition of the roads probably has improved slightly, and it is likely that moot of the war damage has been repaited. It is not believed, however, that surfaced roads yet represent more than 12 to 15 percent of the total netuetk. Most surfaced roads, in any case, are within cities and toens. 2. liatareighlatImerieZZ. As in the case of the road network, estimates on the total size Of Soviet motor vehicle park vary considerdbly. No reliable estimate can be made without at accurate knowledge of Soviet vehicle production, and this information is not available at present'. The following table presents estimated inventories for selected years of the prewar period .11/: Estimated Prewar Soviet Motor Vehicle Inventory Selected Years from 1913 to 1941 ? ,pletermerealtinftak,IWRINEM.111? X at InakLmslaswal aelawarAtra. ..Taiel. 1913 1,500 7,400 8,900 1928 7,500 11,200 18,730 1930 18,000 11,800 29,800 1932 54,600 13,800 68,400 1935 201,200 51,400 252,600 1937 474,600 65,069 539,669 1.938 635,100 85,400 720,500 1940 890,500 92,800 983,300 1941 879,100 83,700 962,800 Other coerce; report total Soviet motor vehicle strength in 1937 as 570,000 and in 1940 variously as 4009?000 (839,000 trucks and 170,000 cars) and 1,000,000 to 19100,000 vehicles, Estimates of the size of the postwar Soviet motor vehicleepark appear to be particularly uncertain. There is no agreement ong sources as to. the extent of serviceability within the inventory,- estimates ranging from 50 to 70 percent, and little is known about rat= of retirement or the number of vehicles allocated emolusively to the military, One estimate has been g orally accepted as being accurate, that is frag 22 June 1941 to 20 Septem 1945 the USSR received 409,526 Lend Lease vehicles from the US. 12/ The Approved For Release 2005/04/VI QA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 - Approved Foclease 2005/04/12 CIA-RDP79-01094000100120002-3 2-E-QA-Z-1 following table is presented as illustrative of the prevailing confusion on the sise of the postwar motor vehicle inv-vtorys Various Estimates of Postwar Soviet Motor Vehicle Inventory 1945-50 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 nif ack Zugslar=?garg 88,600 14/ 55,900 24/ 53,200 15/ 52 ? 300 987,200 24/ 1,067M0 15/ 1,118,%0 IV 1,150, ail 1, 292 200 acil 3420 22/ 763,600 13/ 898,600 14/ 1,014 :??? 2.5/ 740,000 1,0/ 700,000 22/ 1,038,100 la/ 413519500 15/ 40006000 a/ 115098,500 2Q/ apoocoo al/ 10233,600 29,/ 1,200,000 a/ 1,296,100 1.4/ 1,5170500 314/ 1,185,380 22/ 2,250,000 24/ 5804411 aq2/ 120000 a/ 4121RITSIMINIMArItt. a, The Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) stated that the total inventory-was to be increased to twice that of the prewar level. The most recent CIA estimat of the else and composition of the soviet motor vehicle park for the years 1949-52 was made in the rail of 1949, The estimate includes only serviceable civilian vehicles, and the inventory is given for midyear: that is, the average n ber or vehicles operating throughout the year Although necessarily based upon an assumed 1945 in- ventory? an estimated retirement rate, an eutimatA serviceability factor, and an estimated annual vehicle production, all of which are subject to varying degrees of error, this estimate of the sine and composition of the Soviet motor vehicle park nevertheless is believed to be the most praCtical yet mimic It in :marine as follows: Approved For Release 2005/04/12 PCTA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 1944.-BrEfa Approved Fo limplease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01094000100120002-3 Estimated Midyear Inventory of Serviceable Civilian Motor Vehicles in the USSR 1949-52 .11.10,41121111}11.1111?10011110.11a On01111MM=LTZZLIMICIPIMPaeM" 1949 21-gai...1252 LAIL2221 1.1111X-19,52 Trucks and Buses 4980405 7830405 1,115,655 1,434,405 Passenger Cars 84,500 119,500 159,750 198,500 Total 1024,V.1 XLM, X,275.405 1632.921 The total number of serviceable vehicles, both civilian and Military, is estimated as follows: " Estimated Midyear Inventory, of Serviceable Civiliaa and Military Vehicles in the USSR 19496-52 1.1111112n Trucks and Buses 773,500 Passenger Cara 84,500, Total AoilaZ2 iCIPLIZIM=Sar 4116.?1141191, 2.20x...1222 1.1111L2221 Liammg illo85;5clo 119,500 1,447,750 1590730 1,796,500 198,500 =LIM IL212:19= .141-41M Despite the variations among the several eetimates? it can be concluded that the total Soviet motor vehicle park is now between 1.5 pillion and 2 Million vehicles and that the large majority of these vehicles, probably at least 90 poreent- are trucks. The park is believed to be adequate in terms of the traffic requirements placed upon it. Two other developments should be mentioned with regard to Soviet motor vehicles,1 In the first place although Soviet dependence on foreign desi and technical advice has been very great, new postwar models which started coming into production in 1948 and 1949 show purely Soviet modifica- tions based on rtime experienee and are aharacterised by a general additional ruggedness not found in the US-ioullt prototypes. Second, the conversion of gasoline-powared vehicles to the use of ,as-aeneratore and compressed natural gas reale has been steadily increasing, plants indicate that current production a yemuumu uurning nonliqula mous may in some instances amount to as much as 20 percent of total output. - 9 - Approved For Release 2005/fitita41 ilDP79-01093A000100120002-3 25X1 Approved ForOlease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093400100120002-3 3 5Ikautio ct,, DAR. Examination of -published material on Soviet reads indicates that maintenance and repair are constant problems. The rural population is required to. devote a specified nuMber of days a year to road workr?a practice abandoned as unsatisfactory in the US before 1900. In the past prisoners of war also were extensively used for road work. Road-building-machine stations (Mashine,-dorozhnaya stantsiya MDS)r gli evidently similar in concept to the well-known machine tractor stationer are being established in increasing. nesubersr although the nuMber of road-building machine stations now operating is not known. Each inetallation is allotted mechanized equipment. and is responaible for the maintenance and repair of roads in its area. As produc- tion of road-building equipment expends, roa&building machine stations ?? probably will increasingly replace requisitioned. manual 'labor. b. YiltigLittstagg. Although the number of basic types of vehicles produced in the. USSR is relatively limited in order. to facilitate interchangeability of comm., nents and parte? etandardisation has not beenfully realized, largely because local modifications of the basic types have been numeronsr and no industry- wide program of spire-parts production has been initiated. Mont spare parts? still are produced by local repair shops as the need -arises. Repair facili- ties are inadequate, and the demands on. them are increased by thefact that . vehicle life before capital repairs are required has averaged consistently .only between 10,000 .and 20,000 kilometers. Major factors shortening the life of vehicles are inferior quality of gasolineand lubricants, poor condition of the roads, and haphazard.vehicle servicing practices. afii. Complaints in the Soviet press concerning insufficient quantities of. spare parts and the inadequate number of vehicle repair and servicing facilities are numerous.. Despite the fact that these conditions are known, their over-all effect ' apparently has not been published in statistical form, and estimates of the serviceability of the total vehicle, park, therefore, continue to vary as much as 20 percent, Most of these estimates are based on the assumption that serviceability has rezaino4 unchanged since before World War II, 'Items dealing with the inefficiency of Soviet motor transport are published in the Soviet press with a frequency which suggests that wasteful operating practices are so numerous as to prevent the achiev ent of planned traffic goals, despite other press claims to the contrary. The following it i, published in /948, in of particular interest, since it concerns the country as a whole: - 10 - Approved For Release 200a0F2ACLALRDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved Forlease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109V00100120002-3 "More than 7) percent of all transport expenees in rurbag trade consists of expenses for automobile and horse-drawn transportation. The proportion Of such expenses to trade turnover is one and one-half times that of 1940. Increase in such transportation costs is prie marily the redult of inefficient utilization of vehicles; the fact that too much time is spent waiting at the suppliers; and because hauling is falsely registered as. having been perfOrmed . Trucks in the urban trade wet= are eaployed'in the transport of freight' only 25 to 30 percent of their total working time. Most of the trucks make only one, or a maximum of two, tripe per day instead of the required three or four, At the same time only 7040 percent of the load capacity, some tines oven less, la used, .., The total standing tine of trucks exclusive of that :spent in leading or unloading, is several times that spent in transit "/ A proper estimate of the efficiency of Soviet trucking operations cannot be made without accept: to actual operating statistics similar to these filed in the US with the Interstate Commerce Commiseion. Indexes of efficiency based on such statistics have not been published by the USSR since before World liar II. 5e 122M/11,409:?.4! . A considerable quantity of information, both German and Soviet, exists on the subject of the effect of the Soviet climate on motor vehicle operatiOns. These Studies indicate that umAther is a major factor governing the condition of the roads and that it curtails motor transport in the USSR for a substantial part of each year. 20/ Spring thaws and summer rains render the numeroue dirt roads impassable to motor vehicles in entire regions for as many as 150 days a year. 22/ Although snow immobilizes motor transport in come areas during much of the winter, a fairly effective technique of coldeweather vehicle oper tion has been developed by the Soviete, and the minter season, when the .ground and waterways are frozen is the period when vehicular mobility reaches its maximum throughout the USSR, 6. halktarmakitmgmtk. Animal-drawn carts and sleds are known to be used extensively in the USSR, although no quantitative information on either equipment utilized or tonnage hauled is available.' '3) faenteSmanae. Road traffic capaoity and the capacity of the present Soviet motor vehicle park to carry traffic cannot be estimated in any detail from available information. Certain broad limits only can be established. Approved For Release 2005/04/12AIL: CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved FocZplease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01094000100120002-3 27}-2-11?1 CO ratedetelgematier, 1. illIfivetal.pfeelzgetio.12-2.0.5,11Lietana. a. leacetipee AnimaI-drawn transport is the only medium to which Soviet motor vehicle transport might reasonably be diverted in peacetime, since a fundamental purpose of highway transport in the USSR is to relieve the railroads of a substantial share of their short-haul traffic burden, Such diversion is unlikely, however, because of the relative slowness of animaledrawn transport,' The inland waterways, for the moist part, are not so located as to permit their use as an alternative form of transport. According to published Soviet statistics, 12.56 million draft animals were available in the USSR at the end of 1950. There were 13,7 million horses, including those held by the Soviet Army, but not more than 8 million of this total are estimated to be used for draft perposee. This estimate is based on projection or a known Prewar ratio. The other 4,56 million draft animals reported are oxen. No figures aro available on the number .of reindeer, easels, mules and donkeys, nor is the USSR known to have published statistics permitting an estimate to be made of the number of wagons and carts in the Soviet Union. On the basis of horsepower equivalents used in Soviet sources, it may calculated that the 12.56 million draft animals equal approxmately 120,000 trucks (1 horse equals 3/4 horsepower; 1 ox equals 2/3 horse. average horsepoleer per truck equals 75). In addition, there are an estimated 427,000 tractors with an average power rating of 28 horsepower each currently in UBO in agriculture, In an eaergency? these tractors also could be used for transport purposes. mr,032. In wartime, it is conceivable that Soviet military demands for trucks might become no great that the railroads again mould take responsie bility for short-haul mayeents. At the same time, the utilisation of animal and water transport probably would be increased to the maximum-, It is strongly suspected that during World War.II only the receipt of US Lend Lease vehicles by the USSR prevented a complete collapse of the Soviet motor transport seetem. 2, EMSAMELEUQUSID. . Roadeconstruction projects undertaken in the USSR during the period of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) were designed to provide the more me" tensively developed areas of the country with high-capacity roads equal to those of Western European standards and to extend and improve the local networks of secondary roads. These projects wore concentrated in the European USSR, and several hundred thousand prisonere of war were eqployed on the work during the first 4 years of the period. These prisoners of war worked almost exole-e sivoly on roads of all-USSR importance, Increaeing efforts to extol* the use Approved For Release 2005/0411 GIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 gE71i-11472, Approved For teopase 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-010930100120002-3 of mechanized equipment were made toward the end of the period, when many of the prisoners of war were repatriated. Strenuous efforts were made to complete in 1948 the main highways MesconmVanak, MosecessSevastopol? MoscowReeezenKnybyshev? Kharkov-Rostov, andRostovo%khumi=Tbilisi. All of these roads, however, were under construction through 1948, and Most of them have been reported as being incomplete through 1949. In 1949, work also was reported as being in progress on the Eharkov-Kiev? Mosows.Yaroslavl-Vologda, and MoscousLeningrad-Reval highways. The slow progress indicated by these reports apparently cannot be attributed entirely to a shortage of mechanical road-building equipment, since the Ministry responsible for the construction of such eqnipment claimed overfulfillment of Plan goals in both 1948 and 1949. 'It is probable, however, that uch of this road-building machinery was allocated to the construction of the nueh-publicizod hydroelectric installations and canals, which apparently had higher priority. It is also likely that the lack of progress on road construction resulted in large measure frame scarcity of road-binding material in the European USSR, the difficulties encountered in building batisfaotory reed foundationeon the unstable soil of the area, and A shortage of experienced road designers and technically qualified supervisory personnel, which was accentuatsm by the repatriation of the German prisoners of umrs These short-s comings also lowered the quality of the work completed, thereby increasing revirements for maintenance and repair. Information regarding current ronA mmintliquftf4m1 41, Far East is snarses oeme or ;nese reports ksssoss VA Wift, sonaerucezon program may be to facilitate the movement of railroad construction materials. If this is true, the roads may be abandoned as rail connections are extended. , 3. 142analsaatliataLYakidA2ark No estimate can be made with respect to expansion of the So iet motor vehicle park, because figures on actual postwar motor vehicle production in the USSR are not available. Since the termination of Lend Lease shipments, Soviet acquisitions of motor vehicles from external sources have not been numerous, Soviet interest in and dependence upon foreign design and technical developments is likely to persist, however, and attempts to import small quan- tities of foreignemade vehicles for experimentation and possible copying probably will continue. The 'linker of vehicles shipped clandestinely into the Bloc area from Western Europe and the Far East is difficult to determine. Vehicle production in the Satellites is not yet sufficiently large to permit' sizable shipments to the USSR. Is Is kaolin that Soviet shipments of vehicles to the Satellite countries, on the other hand, have been increasing, Approved For Release 2005E142.EGIVEDP79-01093A000100120002-3 25X1 Approved ForQpiease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093000100120002-3 Eria24?1 ?fjanIobyp ? It is not possible to estimate quantitatively the potential effect on Soviet motor transport capacity of war damage that would be in- flicted in the event of Western attack, Generally speaking, Soviet roads are relatively invulnerable to attack, other than attack resulting in actual occupation. IV. Waretal.ARLMSRMU1'AMMAtCORIBLO7. The following estimates, made in September 1949; are believed to be the. best estimates available on, Soviet requirements of materials and manpower for motor transport. Principal Raw Materials Required by Soviet Motor Transport 1949-52 Metric Tons iailt atm/. si Alara" 2sm2r9sda, 1949 793,800 1950 1,987,800 1951 1,381,800 . 1952 1,381,800 4,423 6,078 7,734 7,734 4,364,352 6,8/3,872 8,698,438 12,423,286 Soviet requirements for now vehicles can be estimated only if the retirement rate, current strength and serviceability of the park, and over-all level of traffic are known, which Is not the case, Requirements for repair parts are believed to be large, 31/ but no specific estimate of parts requirements can be made without firmer owledge of the number, present mileage, and annual mileage increment of the vehicles comprising the total Soviet inventory. Road construction materia/s and equipment Approved For Release 2005/074/11#: CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 a-gra-EA-1 Approved For ease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109400100120002-3 griee-Q-1 are in short supply. Specific requirements for theist items depend on the extent and nature of construction projects and the degree of importance attached by the USSR to mechanizing road construction, neither of which is known. Approximately 4.3 million persons were employed in transportation in 1950 in the USSR, of which about 2 million were employed in forms of transportation other than rail and water Of the latter number, 140,000 were engineers and specialints. The number engaged in Soviet highway , transport alone is a matter of conjecture, but one driver par vehicle. would account for nearly 2 million employees, with no allowance being made for other workers such as mechanics, servicemen, and dispatchers. These figures are not entirely consistent with others reported by the Soviet press and radio. In general, available information suggests that a shortage of professionally trained highway construction engineers and vehicle designers remains a serious problem In the USSR, but the numerical extent of that shortage and its precise effect are unknown. P?yb 0=911E. 10 DARGW4114910 There is little information available to indicate in specific quanta- tive terms the amount of traffic Which could be movc. by motor transport in a given period of time between any two points in the USSR. It is difficult, therefore, to estimate the capability of Soviet motor transport to support various courses of action. In connection with Soviet military planning, the fact that the highway network of much of Europe is relatively well-developed . may influence the USSR to make more extensive plans concerning the future size and use of its rotor vehicle park than would be justified on the basis of its own undeveleped road system, In genera/ terms, it in known that the Soviet Union has about 1.2. million to 1,5 million serviceable trucks, which could, under pressure, carry traffic at the rate of from 20 billion to 30 billion ton-kilometers a ytar, The USSR is estimated to be producing about 300,000 to 400,000 trucks a year, and the supply of fuel probably is sufficient to permit near-capacity opera- tion of the vehicle park. Although the road network is underdeveloped, and sustained, year-round motor transport operations between oast cities and towns of the USSR stillarea physical impossibility, postwar information indicates that motor transport has improv remarkably since 1945 Prewar levels of operation and output apparently have been surpassed, The removal of existing limitations on highway transe.rt capability, however, will depend largely t n the priority which Soviet planners assign to further highway and motor vehicle developments, 2. diaatei09M. At press it, there ?o no indications that the USSR intends to develop. highway trans rt as an independcit form of trans rtation0 Postwar tre s Approved For Release 2005/0471P aA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Approved For,Wease 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-0109349p0100120002-3 suggest that motor transport is to remain an auxiliary service supplementing water and rail transport through the carriage of short-haul traffic, Broader Soviet policies outside the transportation field are not likely to be revealed in the scanty Information on civilian highway transport develo ,ents which is now available, Changes in the allocation of vehicles - to the armed forces and in military requirements for vehicles., if known ? meetly, might indicate broader Soviet intentions, as would the stockpiling of vehicles, fuel, and portable bridging equipment or the sudden removal of substantial quantities of these items from storage, Widespread confisca- tion of civilian vehicles likewise would be an indicator. Conversely, the known absence of any of these developments might indicato a lack of immediate intent to commenc hostilities and would provide a check on other evidence, 3. Lall2141,,Lpta-0(*to.11. The most obvious peacetime measure which can be taken by the West to 1 it the capability of Soviet motor transport is the rigid enforcement of comprehensive =port controls and the sealing-off of all non-Bloc sources of motor transport.equispent, Although the effectiveness of this measure would not be as far-reaching today as it would. have been several years ago, Soviet dependence on foreign design and technical develop m ts probably is still great, delivery of any vehicles, components, or parts to the Bloc would increase Soviet capabilities both directly and indirectlee, Possible effects of Western action in wartime are sharply limited, As previously- icat the Soviet .,,tor transport system probably would prove to be a relatively unrewarding strategic target. Tactical operations ainet Soviet motor transportv however, might be considerably more effective, particularlyin con- junction with attacks on other Soviet transport mile, ? Approved For Release 2005/04/i26:CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 2:Et-1Z-11E-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2005/04/12 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100120002-3