THE DISTRIBUTION OF WORKERS IN THE USSR

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April 30, 1952
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Approved For Rehose 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-019VA0001004p. 14.6CA. SECURITY INFORMATION PROVISIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT THE DISTRIBUTION OF WORKERS IN THE USSR CIA/RR PR-14 30 April 1952 29.tga The data and conclusions contained in this report do riotnecessaril7 represent the final position of (1911 and should be regarded az provisional only and' subject to revision. Additional data or comments which maybe available to the user are solicited. This report contains infonnation available to MR as of 1 February 1952 WARRING This material contains information effecting the natAcmal defense of the United States within the meaning of the espionage law., Title 18, USC, Secs. 793 ral4 794, the transnission or revelation of whith ta any manner to an mauthorized person is prohibited by law, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY (Trice of Research and Reports -NT NO. NO GHt N CLASS. n V DECLASS..- ,voilograf CLA53. CHANGE TS Nr.X1- REVIEW DATE: AUTH:i H. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 CIA-RDP79-014%.1 won < Approved For ReIase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01GIVA000100140003-0 COINFIDENTINg aga?,qap?, Sumary . M 00000000? 000 0 0 0 0 0 I,, Soviet Manpower Policy is S0 0 0 9 0 0, 0 0 0 1. Prewar Developments . 0 01, 9 0 a 9.0 2. 3. Effects of World War 11 4, Postwar Trends . 0, e d 0 4 0 04 II, Nomber and Distribution of Workers By Region , ? , ? 2, In Industry by Region , 3., By Sector of the Economy III, Megnpay of %Mbar end Distribution IV, Probable Developments , Appendix A, Appendix B, ApDendix of Workers twavittom 0 0, is I 9- k.10 0 0 D 0 0 is 0 e 9is 'is 0 4 0 0 4' 5 0 Adjustment of Statistics Due to Anistrative Boundary Changes in the USSR 0 ur Method of Estimating the Number of Workers in the USSR , Sources, ?. o US5R:i EexinaMic Region in 1934, 1937, and 1951 ? Aggt 1 2 2 7 8 10 10 11 12 14 15 16 18 31 T933 yIng_Eoza 17 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReNate 1999/09/02: CIA-RDP79-01041A000100140003-0 CIA/RR w14 P-E-GA-NZ (CRR Project 8751) SECURITY INFORMATION THE DISTRIBUTION magns Tupluma Since 1932 the implementation of Soviet manpower policy-has succeeded,, in. alone of the interruption of World War II, in increasing the total number of workers in the USSR by an eetimated 70 percent, to 39,200,000, and in almost doubling the number of those in industry, to roughly 15t255,000,* Although by 1942 the war had reduced the number of civilian workers to below the 1932 level, it gave impetus to the movement eastward of industry and of population, em that the labor force in the Urals, Central Asia, and Siberia is now more than twice as large as in 1934, There is no general shortage of Soviet workers, but shortages of certain types of skilled personnel and shortages in specific areas exist, Current goals, however, appear to have been met, and goals previously established for the end of the Fourth Five Year Plan in 1950 have been exceeded, In the nee feu years, under present conditionsi, the number of Soviet workers will grow less rapidly than in the pt 5 years. Greater mechaniza- tion of induetrial production would permit increased productien without com- parable increasee in employment and may result in an actual decrease Addi- tional personnel could be directed into other types of employment, The prineipal concentrations of Soviet workers at present arc. lit heavy industry and transport, Although from 1946 to 1951 the bulk of new workers In the USSR went into industry? construction, transport, and State agri- culture, there axe indications that an increasing proportion of new workere is going into other sectors of the econmaye On the other hand, the trends in the distribution of Soviet workers by area will continue with little change other than slight deviations resulting from particular projects * The teem werkegg, as.used in this report refers to the Soviet categor7 of voekers and employ:pee (including engineering-technical personnel) (27abac4Axr, _,:vziwIctimL,J,,,ipaibtavrAT-tvlaystookivrtobodpul) -7 those employed in the estienel eeonmey byelielstriee and other governeent organs, including thoos in State agriculture, The term letkers does not ieclede collective farm personnel or thane coming under the category of plve_laboz, eC-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Re14436e 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01VA000100140003-0 :34' -co-II-Z-11 Jo UtAnginr PAW Soviet manpower policy has developed as an integral part of the program for industrialization and for development of natural resources, Basically, this policy-has aimed at controlled acceleration of industrialization and urbanization and of the previously existing trends of migration to the east ona.' north. ItttifiT-ThEER12U2Nata- Sov1et panning of the migration of population and labor began in 1925. Through several changes ,in tdministrative responsibility, the tech.. niques of population redistribution were elaborated, including monetary slqd other Ancentives end various forms or coercion Early remults wore not sntirely satisfactory, In 1936 the Ministry of Interns"! Affairs assamea responsibility for migration end intensive central direction of migyation follouod in 1938 with the Third Five Year Plan 1,19384.2. During the oourse of thia Plan a total of 5 million farme-rs wevo to be available to? resettlement, of whom 3.5 million were to be transferred from rural to non- agricultural employment, leaving 1.5 million for agricultural resettlement F.,astuard migration in the USSR before 1939 did not inclode no laroe a nnmber of agricultural settlers ns uas intended The lack of voluntarT nigrants undoubtedly was partially offset by farmers who were removed from wt to at durmg collectivization, During the Third Five Year Plan k1938-42) the Far East economic region*** wan to have its ecorayy gIven ?co * Arnong the inducements offered :eor agricultural re2ott1eammt were the followingz credit for personally owned goods left Nthind (provisions, equip- 1-Aent, and livestock) and a supply of comparable goods at the new location; cancellation of tax debts and offer of tax eyemptions; free or reduced cost of transport; orodits for construction and repair; and, where possible, 'no :wing and barno. Induatrial resettlement inducement:3 incltded dilforential op,g.zo. special social services, and transportaton_ '* Pootnote refereacos in arabic numerals refer to sources listed in Appendix C. For the purposes of this repay.t, the USSR has b en divided into 12 w.lonomic regionn as indicated on the map following p, 17 This man (CNA 12163, Feb 1952), entitled 9.73SR4 Economic Regions in 1934, 1937, and 1951," bad been-eeveloned from a map (CIA, 12048. Sep 1951) shoulrg the ocononfio cegions in tha USSR based on an outline eontaill,13 in the article "3ntsgrated Development of Economic Regions during the Fourth Five Year Plan" by Yu: G. Saushlrin Y91.V9,AY-PIPigiN4g, 3eowd Sruposiva, 1946 For convenience, oconom3c regions wiB. be referred to holoeforth in this report as regions Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Vt.? Approved For ReItowie 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-010W000100140003-0 aeK4I-lai+1 preater balance? Two hundred thousand industrial workers and 600,000 agri- culturalworkers accompanied by their families, were to be sent to the Far East and East SiLeria regions, Workers tor the Far East region were to -be recruited* tram the Tatar, Chuvash, and Mbrdov ASSRIs and from the Fursk, Tambov, end Kirov oblasts. Approximately 2 million collective farmers mere available for resettlement from the Central and 'Volga regions-, which contain the above administrative divieions, 3/ The achievements of Soviet policy in accelerating industrialization end the trends of migration to the east and north is shown by the different rtes of increase by region in the nuMber of workers from March 1934 to ? Parch 1935, These rates of increase are shown in Table 1,** * in order to eliminate competition among the various ministries or-enter- priF;ea in figelvirig workers, each Elnistry was assigned special ?blasts in yhich to, recruit The fish industry, for example, could recruit only in the Erasnodar kray and in the Stalingrad and Saratov oblasts 4/ Freviously, labor had been recruited by amterprises from klub= (collective farms) in yurroynding areay? with wasteful competition resulting, Since a large pro- portion (66 percent in 1938) of the labor drawn into indimMmr from collective farms remained in the same oblast, there. was a large labortmnovr resulting fram the_ tendency to return to the farm, This tendency increas4d the draft ppoi older industrial areas for the labor supply for new ones, 5/ Table 1 follows on p, 4. - 3 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Relesie 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0104)A000100140003-0 ?Ca Pa-E Table 1 Number of Workers in the USSR by Region. ?,/ 1934-35 IIRWIp9=0150,....J.e.YeekMayggItartsiVIY2,17.0.1.10 1042(? 29.2Lk/ ,...snmaand warjaral_ 1935 as r..12Matal,2-9X-/Wik North 2,456 2,584 1.052 West 518 563 1,087 South ? 4,336 4,511 1M40 Earth Caucasun 1,177 1,-,272 1,080 Transcancasue 755 792 1,048 Volga 1,052 1,169 1,111 Central 69383 6,863 1,078 Urals 1,780 2,050 1,152 West Siberia 1,030 11,038 1.005 Central Asia 1,101 1 246 -a, ' 1,132 East Siberia 556 602 1,083 Fax East 301 493 /,637 Totel 214.445. gi a, The most recent Soviet -data available showing the distribution by the they, administrative areas of the workers in the USSR are for March 1935 and of the industrial labor force for January 1936. 2/ By 1935 the violence of collectivisa- tion and the resultant waves of vo/untary and forced migration bad. diminished, The rapidity of the growth of the nonagricultural labor force had lessened, rea- salting in. a lower rate of labor turnover and migration, g/ ? Ebreover? by 1935 the accuracy of Soviet statistical reporting is believed 'to have improved, Thereforelthe increnees by region in the number of workers from March 1934 to March 1935 provide a reasonably good measure of their differential rates of increase, Some difficulty was encountered, however, in comparing different years because of the changes in oblast and other administrative boundariefa Adjustments were made wherever data would. permit (see Appendix A), These figures differ from the publiehed data because of adjustments for boundary changea, incomplete distribution as shown in published data, and c. .Toundl4g, The 1935 total as a percentage of the 1934 total wan 1a081, - 4 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 , Approved For ReIsialie 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-010W000100140003-0 Under the First Five Year Plan (1928-32) the nuMber of workers in the USSR gtha rapidly, increasing from 11.6 million in 1928 to 23.7 million in 1930 and to 27 million in 1937... As the unemployed and surplus farm labor resources decreased after 1932, the rate of growth diroinished, Employment in heavy industry increased from 26,7 percent of all Soviet workers in 1928 to 30.9 percent in 1937, 2/ and training of personnel for heavy industry was given great amphasis. In 1930, graduates from technical colleges and higher technical sehools of the Ministry of Heavy Industry represented 41J per- cent of those graduating from all colleges and higher technical schobls. This proportion, however, declined to 34.2 percent in 1935, ly The percentage increases frau 1934 to 1936 in Soviet employment in large-scale industry by region as shown in Table 2. reflect the gover.n4lezit's emphasis on the developmekt of heavy industry,. Table 3** shows the number of Soviet workers in selected sectors of the econav7 under the Second (1933-37) and. Third (1938-42) Five Year Plamool Table 2 Percentage Increases in Soviet EMployment in Large-scale Industry A/ by Region ag/ 1934-36 116M.819.101411111.10.9,1140=1....- 41111[VVIR???.0.111111114.11.0?1. 1935 as bacm.lomPl_12:3A hi 196 as frAttIRS.L0-2,C-1.9 North 1,083 1,079 West 1.190 1,105 South ? 1,108 1,113 North. Caocaaus 1,125 1,095 Transcaucesue 1,136 1,048 Volga 1,222 1,176 Central 1.121 1,222 Urals 1,112 1?079 West Siberia 1,023 1,071 Central Asia 1,214 1.101 East Siberia 1,311 1.383 Far East - 1,542 1,097 a, Large-scale by 11 The 1935 total c, The percentage annual rate, cL The 1936 total Soviet definition, an a percentage of the 1934 total was 1,112, increases from Nkweh 1935 to January 1936 oaavd to as a percentage of the 1935 total. was 1,12, See labia iv note b. ** Table 3 follows on p. - 5 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 a di iV Approved For ReIgoe 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01WA000100140003-0 rosnwsirpossm,..1,....a.rrnrc.. Table 3 NuMber of Soviet Workers in Selected Sectors of the Economy under the Second and Third Five Year Plans 1932, 1937, 1942 nhailt 1937 as ?elven- 1942 as Percen- -tetgEekt-193 tAlgt-q11.14ale Total Exployment 22t,942,,8 26,989,5 32,000 117.64 118,6' Industry 7,999.8 10,111,7 11,899 126.30 117.7 Construction 2,835,1 2-,023,2 1,829 71,40 90e4 Rail Transport 1,296.6 1,512,2 1,700. 116,70 112,4 ' Water Transport 145,5 179.5 230 123.40 128.1 Other Transport 598,5 1,092.1 1,735 182,40 158,9 a, Actual employment. b,. Planned employment. It will be seen by comparing the increases in total employment by region in Table 1 with the percentage inereases in industrial employment in Table 2 that in every case, except the Urals and Far East regions, induotrial employ- ment was increasing at a greater rate, notably in the Volga, Central Asia, and East Siberia regions. Diminution of the rate of increase in industrial eaployment from 1934 to 1936 appears in all regions except the South, West Siberia, and East Siberia. An evaluation of the achievements in increasing and redistributing the number of workers in the USSR from 1936 to the beginning of World Wei IT must. be made on the basis of ecattered data. It is clear, however, that by 1941 the Soviet goverment had succeeded in considerably expanding industry in the Urals and West Siberia regions, The degree of 'success in inducing mlgration to the East Siberia and Far East regions after 1938 is less certain, but it can be partielly gauged by a compavison of population figures of these two regions for the years 1933 and 1939, 11/ It is evident, neverthelese, that the greater part of Soviet industry still was in those areas of the Enropean USSR that were edbsequently invaded or threatened by invasion, Employment data for territory added to the USSR by January 1941 (see Appendixes A and 131) are included in the figures in Table 4?* giving the estinated number of vorkers in the USSR by region as of 1 January 1941. Table 4 followo 6 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReIwise 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01VA000100140003-0 Table 4 Estimated Number of Soviet Workers by Region 1 January 1941 rIPUEtOVMIXINPPPwpaw....o.W....I.?M.R.V.Wsif?w.a?teromga.olr..4ra.m. Thawmael Warkgrk gDAUDWELPMa2MIDg North 3,000 1,160 West 10800 585 South 7,100 2,450 North Caucasus 1,600 394 Transcaucasus' 900 240 Volga 1,350 Central 8,400 3,W0 Urals 2,900 936 West Siberia 1,350 440 Central Asia 1,600 386 East Siberia 900 265 Far East 600 130 Total 2, Zamtau14:14:2x1dliar..;;,. World War II gave considerable impetus to the eastward movement of Soviet Industry and population, Workers, particularly -in the more highly skilled categories, were evacuated with their factories in order to escape the German invasion, The balance of the movement eastward also consisted largely of urban population. These refUgees were absorbed into the armed forces and civilian employment in the areas to Which they fled, Although no accurate data are available, estimmtes from several eources indicate that the nub er of persons evacuated from the areas of the USSR which were later occupied by Germany, including the recently annexed torr1t3ry0 amounted to about 10 yvi1lio / Beginning in the second half of 1940, civilian labor IATIC mobilized by a series of decrees:, Those already employed were held to their jobs, and highly ekilled and technical labor was subject to comaulsory transfer, The State labor reserve school system was inatituted for the recruitment and training of young workers. From 1940 to 1945 these achools trained 2,5 million pernonsa 11/ The Conmittee for Registering and RedistribetAng Labor Forces was entablished, through which those oersons of working ege not already eapleyed were drawn into the labor force, In 1943 alone, 7,6 million porsone were recruited, 12/ .= 7 -6-E-c-18rab Approved For Release 1999/09 2' : A: P79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Reliwe 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01%)A000100140003-0 As a result of mobilization into the armed forces and losses from occupation of territory by the Germans, the nuMber of Soviet workers fell from 31,5 million in 1941 to 18.5 million in 1942, actrally below the num- ber of workers in 1932, given in Table 3 as 22,9 minion, By 1943, however, the number increased to 19.6 million. Industrial personnel did not decrease proportionately, because of deferment and recruitment policies, Industrial personnel constituted 35 percent of all Soviet workers in 1941 cnd 39 percent in 1943. la/ Table 5 shows the number of uorkers by region in 1943, irt. dicating both total and industrial employment. Table 5 Estimated Number of Workers by RIZ in Territory Held by the USSR ni 41141POWIRORITOMO.Rial.f..80. North North Caucasus Transcaueasus 6,19111P1.1,11...d....?1044[1, 17.sdagagnmoIL 1,600 400 700 Thousmelaikkail ,teria2._4,p2.?,21roggt 600 100 ZOO Volga 1 566 545 Central 6,200 2,800 Urals 3,944 1,544 West Siberia 1,660 754 Central Asia 1,712 594 East Siberia 1,100 350 Far East 700 200 Total svpondix B3, 1,2422,. The number of Soviet workers increased by 10 million from 1943 to 1946, surpassing the prewar level in 1946 3- ToWsm.amia, Developments in the distribution of Soviet manpower since World War II have been conditioned by reconstruction requirements in the territories formerly occupied by Germalv, Emphasis .has continued, nevertheless, on the further develoynent oto economy, especially in Siberia and the Far Eastern usaL - 8 - Z7-Fd-2r.a:-a-1 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Reigate 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01VA000100140003-0 In order to increase the centralization of control of the allocation of labor in the USSR, the Ministry of Labor Reserves was created in 1946, 13/ and migration administrations were attached to Union Republican Councils of Ministers. The Ministry of Labor Reserves asemmed the functions of the war-- tieo Committee for Registering and Redistributiag Labor Forces end o the State labor reeerve echool system. Territorial redistribution cf labor is achieved chiefly through the assignment of State labor reserve etudents end through the recruitment by the Finistry of Labor Reserves of contract workers for induetries in the Urals and for other industrial centers in Siberia and Far East regions. The European oblasts generally have not needed an influx of labor from other areas. Some of these oblast i, even those which had been occupied, still had an agricultural population surplus to transfer to other oblasts. ?Q/ The econeaic privileges for the newly recruited Soviet uorkere also 'were increased, iacluding free transportation at the senenee of the hiring enterprises, allowances and food while in transit, /ump sum assistance for la,rkors and ferules, loans for housieg construction, and free production- technical training, The lump sem7 grants varied according to the indueti7 concerned, the location of the enterprise, and the length of thn contract signed, 21/ The also were tax privilegee for members of families of collective farm workers employed ender contract in industry, Femilies of those working in coal mines, for ememple, were exempted from 50 percent of the agricultural tax, Wage differentials were another induceneat offered for work in distant areas, wages in the Urals and other eastern regions averaging about 20 percent higher than in other areas, 22/ In eddition? 'wages are eet higher for the coal, ferrous metallurgy, and oil industries, 15/ gnalang (State Planning Commiesion) in its plan for the recruitment of labor includes allocations of the recruitment of contract workere by oblamt and by other administrative divisions, and of conscription of youth for State labor reeerve schools,. The local orgene of tho Miele-try f Labor rteecevez contract morkers Tor the fo/lawing: coal, nils and ferrous and nonferrone metallurgy iniuptries; construction of electric stetiore; ceneteuction of heavy industne, Peel, and military and naval enterprises; tie4,e cement, and aebettos induetrien; end loadieg and valoading operationa oE river and nee fleets /4/ Of the 4.5 millioe workers planned to gradnate from State labor reeerve scheoly during the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50), 660,000 wore for coel mining Fled 570,000- for fereoue metallurgy, while only 100,000 were to te trained for light industry, Z5, Of the planned total of 602,000 graduates from higher edecatimeal institeeeons in the US Sft from 1946 to 1950, 120,000 were to go to induetry and construction, 24,000 to trensportation earl communications, and 47,000 to Siate apiculture Or the pianeed tote' of I,e32,000 graduatoo fram epecial secondeey schools, 347,0e0 were to go to iadeetry end consteretion, 74,000 to traeepartation ard cowmunications, enA 198,00D to State egriculture, - 9 Approved For Release 1999WAltiRDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Re10410e 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0109.104000100140003-0 a-rearivrez The goal for the total number of workers to be employed in the USSR at the end of the Fourth Five Year Plan in 1950 was set in 1946 at 330) million persons. The total number attained was announced as 39,2 million, or an additions/ 5,7 million. 22/ The number of graduates from secondary schoolo curing the period 1946-50 was 48,000 short of the goal, but the goal for higher school gradates env exceeded by 50,000, In the same period there were 3.4 ndllion graduates from State labor reserve schoola instead of the planned 4.5 million, Additional individual and brigade training made up the deficit. The total number of new workers to be trained in brigades during tbe 1946-50 period was set at 7.7mi11ion including 2.3 million for State agriculture, 1.9 million for industry, 0.6 'million for construction, end /.9 eilieon for transport. af BY the end of 1948, 7 million. new workers had completed these treenieg coursee, The net increases in the Soviet labor force as planned for the period 1946-5D wao 6,25 million uorkers over the annual average fer 1945, although the total number of new workers to be added througe educational and training peogacup was to be 14,1 million., The actual incroaze, however, was 12 million persons, a so that the overfulfilment of the emploement plan probably wee derived en part from a lover than anticipated level of retirement: egi 11, reMbeZenrid T4lekttikeid20.JICAlftele, As of 1 Januery 1951, the total nunber of Soviet workers was announced.as 39,200,000, or a 70-peircent increase since 1932, The total number in indumtry is estimated aa 15,255,000 workers, or almost double the number in 1932, (See Appendix B for the methodology in arriving at estimates ) 3. ? Itazign, The estimated distribution by region of the number of eoviet 'workers as of 1 January 1951 is set forth in Table 6, the camparieon with the 1941 and 1943 distribution serving to indicate the effects of World War II an well as to show the government policies for reconstruction and development of the Soviet economy, * Table 6 folloue on p, 11, - 10 - a-Era-a-Z--1. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Recluse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0143A000100140003-0 ...111001121.140110.... Tata? 6 EstiMated Number of Workers in the USSR by Region 2/ - 1 January 1951 Thousand Workers 1951 as Rarcentage of 1941 12/ 1951 as Percentage of 1943 2/ North 3,600 120 225 Weet e 2?000 111 South gi 7000 103 North Caucasus d/ 1,850 115 463 Transczacasus 1,200 124 171 Volga 1,750 130 112 Central I/ 20,200 121 164 Urals 4,600 158 116 West Siberia 2,100 150 127 Central Asia 2,300 144 134 East Siberia h/ 1000 3.44 118 Far East 1/ 1s000 166 142 Total ,222_00 177-%"7-bpa2337E47-^ b, 1951 as percentage of 1941 averaged 124 for all regions. c. 1951 as percentage of 1943 averaged 200 for all regions. d, Partially occupied by the Germans in 19430 O 0 Including postwar territorial addition of Kaliningrad. f, Not applicable, since the region in January 1943 was occupied by the Germans g. Including postwar territorial addition of Transcarparthian Ukraine. h. Including postwar territorial addition of Tannu Tura, i. Including postwar territorial addition of South Sakhalin. 2? try The regional distribution of industrial employment in the USSR was projected from 1941 to 1951 on the basis of scattered and incomplete information, It is true that the estimated figures seem reasonable wher. compared with tha regional distribution of all workers as well as of population, The Agures-as shown in Table n however, should be considered as provisional only, since there is no checkf, even in tho form of a firm figure for total Soviet industrial employment (see Appendix B5)0 77713-71731134s on p. 12. Approved For Release 1999/091M: CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 S-E-CrR-E-T ? Approved For Reuse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 SEC-R-PT ? Table 7 Estimated Soviet Industrial Employment by Region January 1951 OPoupward.stIrawatemdasa.ratan........man....* .? Thousand Workers ,00ktt.v.ua.r.tnaso+raw.aKnikmwwten,st..tprmoz,.orneeaurmowrakuueaonnetk... 1951 as ? 1951 as Percentae.A.1911 V Percer21:124.3_ 12/ North sji 12500 130,0 250 Meet 700 11906 South 2950 12000 North Caucasus 495 125.0 455 Transcaucasus 335 14o.o 167 Volga 595 180.o 109 Central cif 1000 130.0 171 Urals 1,685 180.0 109 Ubst Siberia 900 20400 119 Central Asia 650 170.0 109 East Siberia 425 16o.o 121 Far East 220 169,0 110 Total 11e2.51 ?1:93rig-P6rconAg?r?crZTA 1951 as percentage of Partially occupied by Not applicableo since 'ra-v-e-rer""r3lrfiiir-aTYTe'gT6-ii's7------ '- 190 averaged 198 for all regions? the Germans in 1943. the region in January 1943 was occupied by the Germans 30 2121s19r of the Econolz. The data available on employment and graduations from State labor. 'reserve schools and from other for of training are not sufficient to permit firm estimates to be Made of?the distribution of Soviet workers in ail sectors of the economy, atipioyment in 1951 in some sectors, however may be approximated by various neans (see Appendix 136) and is shown in Table 84* .77t7651-117611ows on p. 11. - 12 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02DP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Reigose 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01V3A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T Table 8 Estimated Number of Soviet Uorkers in Certain Sectors of the Economy XiaellidOMPS4Aleleamenee0925Mgara Sector YVAIS.1111.010.101.414.111, 1951. Thousand '4brkers Probable Range of 5Easyment Variation _____of Estimate .R.....elennir41.1..1.611.10..... 13$000 to 15?000 Industry 159000 Construction 3,000 Rail Transport 20000 Water Transport 230 Other Transport 2f.500 Communications 6010 Trade 30100 Public Feeding 800 Credit 300 Education 39200 Art 250 Public Health 10500 Stataand Public Institutions 29200 Dwelling and Communal Economy 1,200 Other Nonagricultural Activity 400 Agriculture and Forestry 2,900 Total 39.43132 20000 to 40000 2,000 to 3,000 200 to 300 29200 to 2,800 iloo to 600 2$O0 to 3,300 700th 900 250 to 350 2,800 to 30600 19200 to 1,800 1,900 to 2,500 900 to 1,500 2,500 to 1000 Estimated employment in 1951 in certain Soviet industries is shown in Table 90.* , ?9733.3_own on p. 14. - 13 S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 , Approved For Relapse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01403A000100140003-0 Table 9 Estimated Employment in Certain Soviet Industries 1951 IseLtigattes. try ,..110.1.-flOtairf11.11.10.411.11, 4021020k Probable Range of ? 3fltiltetan-9t-PeltilefelQ Electric Power 325 300 to 350 Petroleum 300 250 to 300 Coal 950 880 to 1,000 Ferrous Metallnrgy 890 850 to 925 Nonferrous Metallurgy 3'75 350 to 400 Metalworking and Machine Construction 4,500 3,000 to 6,000 Tither 460 400th 500' Ohenlcal 390 310 to 460 Textile 1s.000 800 to 1,000 Fish 189 150 to. 225 Food 1,200 1,/00 to 1,300 Meat and Dairy 254 200 to 300- Paper . 110 90 to 130 UI 4141cfram.o.f..../Fouta.,arg..Sittrilatt=_Plitzttraz The content of recruiting advertisements in the Soviet press end radio indicates a locelized rather than a general shortage of workers; otherwise the stringent labor control and mobilization decrees of World War II pre- sumably sold be invoked. Ili Government measuees inducing eetrance into the labor force at early ages have been relaxed; enrollments in higher primaey geades, in eecendary grades, and in higher educational institutions continua to increave; ard the length of certain vocational training courses has been extended ye:mover, the overfalfilment of the labor force goal under the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) is greater than the overfelfilment or the Plan's production goals, resulting, at least in part, from more employment in education, public health, and other nonproductive unrk than originally was pleeeed Current goals apparently are being met- Same shortages of personnel with specific skills exist as well as some shortages of 'workers in specific aeeas, Recruiting advertisemento indicate both the ereas of need ahd the types, but seldom the nuMbert, of personnel -required_ Amolve the advertisements whiCh eeee to be most urgent are thooes for season:al weekees, such as those needed in the food-processing industry. The types of peeeonnel which are soeght range feam guards and ice saleemen Approved For Release 1999/0:L_ : - DP79-01093A000100140003-0 4." Approved For Reivse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01W3A000100140003-0 to engineers and university professors., At present, for -example, there is a need for qralified specialists to head the enlarged collective fanny, 3,2,1 Per- soeeel for thelarge hydroconstruction projects are required, as a result of the current expansion in thie field, aV and training courses are being estab- liehed, On the other hand, workers have been released from the coal induetry as a result of increased mechanization and productivity, 34/ Reductions in tha number of administrative personnel in some ministries and organizations ware ordered, but the nunber of persons affected presumably is small, W The need for workers in given areas varies over periods of time, Most large urban areas generally are represented as requiring only a few types of peeconnel? Advertisements for merkers to go to the Jr Eastern areas of the USSR have declinedrif not dieappeared., Advertisements for workers foe th Fae Neethern area of the USSR continue, hovever, and range from aImoot all types of engineers to Germanelanguage instructoen and various typo of muidacal personnel, Present Soviet labor problems arise largely from maldistribution rather than from a shortage of workers Workers often are reluctant either to MVO to dis- tant, enfeleiliee, or unpleasant places or to remain in them for more than a few yeaeo As contracts expire, labor turnover and vacancies result Shoet-run labor turnover, in the absence of contract elpiration, also occurs as a result of dissatiefaction with working conditions and advantages offered elsewhere, In addition, there is the failure to WO morkers at optimum ekill, which is criticized by the Soviet press The degree of difficulty caused by the maldistribetion of laber is diffi- celt to gauge. The presumption is that, since existing stringent controls have not been. invoked, the problem is deemed soluble by slowee, less rLdioal measures, such as the establishment of special training courses as the need for than arises, Iv, Ize..4.0.12,....Przawalsote In the next few years, under present conditions, the number of Soviet yorkere will grow less rapidly than in the past 5 year From 1946 to 1951 the bulk of nee workers vent into industry, construction, transport, and State agricurierre The distribution of secondary and higher school graduates in 1950 and 1951) 'lay- over, Irdicates that the proportion goirg into other sectors of the economy is Increasing, Nrthee mechanization of Soviet Induetries would permit increasel productiene-oi uitheet conparable increases in empleyment or with actual reductions in some industriee Additional personnel, therefore, could bc directed into other employ- Eent Trends in the distribution of workers by ereas probably-1.011 continue ueth little change, although emphesio on the Far Eastern area of the USSR appears to be declining In the Ftr Nerthern area of the USSR the tendency v.pparrrs to be toward the development of pen:anent vettle?nts in preference to the ?Ming of rovirezents uith contract workers Ulsewhere in the USSR the construction of canalt;, hydrostAlons, end other projects will have a slight effect on the distri- bution of uorkers Approved For Release 1999/091025: CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Relase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX A AD4U3T1ENT OF 5TATIS1TC5 DUE TO ADMINISTRATIVE BOUNDARY CHANGES:IN_Tgp USSR Data from Trud v SSSR (Labor in the USSR) for 1934 and 1935y published by the Soviet cent17-ETaaral-W5171773tion and representing the most recent available information concerning the distribution of the Soviet uorkers by regions, have been used as the basis for projections or labor figures to later dates. In order to utilize these Soviet statiatice, ad- justments had to be made for administrative boundary changes which oecurred aftov 1934. For correenience0 only those adjustments were made which would render the data apPlicable to areae comparable to prebent regions. The numerical size of the adjustments was based on analysis of maps showing the boundary changes, 12/ on population data, 391 and on evidence in published statistics of the magnitude of groups of persons affected. The following statisticel adjustments were made: 1. 1934ma to 1935, ocare.esemmenmow4r, -watsava? ao Volae Region. Kuybyshev kr ey in the Volga region lost territory; including epproximately 130,000 workers, to what is now Chkalov eblast in the Urals region. Mordov ASSR, including 650000 workers; was separated from Kuybyehev kray and now ia in the Central region. la) Ela:12-29Aagr Udmurt ASSR? including 110.000 workers and employeoa, was separated from Ge#k%ekray in the Central region and now is in the Urals region. Chelyabinsk in the Urals region lost about 150,000 workers in the wea ceded to, West Siberia kray. The ,area ceded approximates the present Kurgan ablest in the Utst Siberia region. c, East Siberia Region. The present Krasnoyarsk kray gained approximately 87,000 workers with territory acquired from the 1.k:et Siberia. region, 2, 1935 to 1943 a.' yao Re one Kuybeshev Pray in the Volga region lost approximately 200,0000 persone to what is now roma oblast in the Central region. - Approved For Release 1999/0,9/02 .CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 ECET CEOS ma), .0 M. 001. Approved For Ree 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0140A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T b. East Siberia Rf_.tel_.on. Chita oblast in the East Siberia region gained &eye oblast from the Far East region together with approximately 17,000 workers. There were other minor administrative boundary changes for which adjustment could not be made because of lack of data. The number of persons involved in each of these changes, however, is believed to have been emall. It was necessary to make later adjustments in projection for Soviet territorial expansion, and these adjuatments were effected in the following three staees: (1) Increased area gave the Belorussian SSR about 5001,000 workere and the Ukrainian SSR about 1.3 million. These labor increments in late 1939 were included in the annual average figure of 30.4 million workers in the USSR for 1940 as cite6 by Voznesenskiya (2) The labor increment derived from the addition of the Baltic States to the USSR and of the territory added to the Moldavian SSR in mi d-1940 nee included in the second annual average figure of 31,2 million workere cited by Voznesenskieia The above labor increment also was included indthe 3105 million workers for the end of 19401 which figure :as obtained from the report of the fulfilment of the Fourth Five Year Plan (150-50)0 (3) In 1945 and 1946, Southern Sakhalin, Kaliningrad, Tranecarpathian Ukraine, and Tannu Tuve ()blasts were added to the USSR. The territory added to the Karelo-Finnish Republic dooe not roeuire an adjustment, Gime the residents traneferred to Finland, - 17 - 46.1., *No *nem own a., rm. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Annroved Fer Release 1999/figin9 ? ciA_RnpmninanAnnnin-0140003-0 50 160 170 180 75 170 165 kkV gigiL _I I I IT* I FiLii 4 S I I ,4714 itilfr /44 I 1 p4/ South Sakhalin and the under U.S.S.R. administr P./ 4,Ulert?LI8e ries 1937, and 1951 800 1000 Scale 1:16,500,000 U.S.S.R. boundary 1951 ?"--- U.S.S.R. boundary, 1937 National capital Selected settlement ADMINISTRATIVE BOUNDARY ADMINISTRATIVE CENTER Union Republic (SSA.) Autonomous Republic (ASSR) 0110 Oblast' or Kray Autonomous Oblast' or Oblast' 0 included in a Cray National or Administrative Okrug ? BASE: POUTIKO.ADMINISTRATIVNAYA KARTA (USSR) I:10,000,000, 1948 ECONOMIC REGIONS I North II West III South IV North Caucasus V Transcaucasus VI Volga VII Gebtral VIII Urals IX West Siberia X Central Asia XI East Siberia XII Far East 140003-0 Incorporated RESTRICTED SECURITY INFORMATION 00 110 120 130 140 150 160 'pww1Iw FOAry j?R?7 A # Nkukt,l0. Feled" Yonlearsh owovsi`' ASSik TA (Incorporated /944) A Irkutsk Ubsa Nue, 95 100 105 110 U.S.S.R. Economic Regions in 1934, 1937, a] not necessarily recognized Government has not re- Soviet Union. Region Boundaries 1951 1937 -- 1934 200 400 600 800 06E0100140003-0 STATUTE MILES 200 400 600 800 1000 KILOMETERS Yenise) - Econo Some boundaries shown on this map are de facto boundaries (1952), not necessarily recognized as definitive by the United States Government; the United States Government bas not?re- cognized the incorporation of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania into the Soviet Union, RESTRICTED 12163 CIA, 2.52 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 ? Approved For ReOse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01WA000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX B METHOD OF ESTIMATING THE NUMBER OF 'WORKERS IN THE USSR 1. Pro ection from 1935 to 1941 of the Number of Workers Region. The total number of workers in the USSR as of 1 January 1941 was 31.5 million 42/ and included those workers in the newly added territory, Estimates of the distribution of this total by the 12 regions were made by projecting from the 1935 data. The increase in total number of workers in Lho USSR from 1935 to 1941 (in terms of the 1939 boundaries) was approximately three tines the increase from 1934 to 1935, Therefore, the regional totals were increased by three times their respective annual percentage increases from 1934 to 1935. For the Far East and East Siberia regions the projection was modified on the basis of the planned increases cited in sonino 41/ The eame source indicated the regions from which the workers were to migrate, and the eubtractions for those migrants *ere made, Data for the newly added territories were then included in the appropriate regional totals. Several checks against the projections were provided. In the caees of the Ukrainian and Azerbeydzhan SSR0s0 the announcements of the felfilment of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) included the number of workers employed in 1950 and the increase over 1940, A figure for workers employed in Kazakhstan SSR in 1940 was found in the publication Strany mire. Le/ The estimates for the Ukrainian and Azerbaydzhan SSRes were-Tai-Tgan 3 percent below the published figures, and those for Kazakhstan SSR were less than 5 percent above. ^ 2. Projection from 1935 to 1941 of Em lqaut in IdEctm5111142222,.. Data concerning the distribution of employment in large-scale industry by region were available for 1 July 1934 and 1 January 1936, in addition to data for March 1934 and March 1935. All four sets of data were compared to ascertain what variations had occurred as a result of seasonal or other changes, The rates of increase in, the different sets of data then were averaged to secure a single annual rate. Adjustments were needed for, changes in administrative boundaries during the period, The increase in employment in Soviet larr-scele industry from 1935 to 1941 112/ was about four times the 1934 to 193o (Average annuel increase. Therefore, each regional total for 6 of the 12 regions from 1935 to 1941 was projected by four times the average animal increase from 1934 to 1936 of each region's employment in large-scale industry. Figures for the Baltic States and new territory in the Belorussian, Ukrainian, and Moldavian SSRos - 18 - Approved For Release 1999/0M-S-IBSDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReOse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01WA000100140003-0 S-BeC-R-E-T uore added. Data for the Volga, Urals, Ubst Siberia, and Central Asia region were derived from Vozneeenskiye Data for the East Siberia and Far Beet regions were derived from planned increases as cited in Sonin. 411/ 3. Prolection from 1941 to 1943 of the Total Number of Workers. The number of workers in the USSR were projected from 1941 to 1943 on the basis of the 38epercent reduction figure as cited by Voznesenskiy, yielding 19.6 million. The number of industrial workers in 1943 was cited as 39 percent of the total workers, or roughly 7.7m11lion. Although it is not clear whether the data refer to annual averages or end-of-year figures, they are treated as end-of-year figures in order to give continuity with postwar data. The 1943 employment as a percentage of 1941 employment in four regions wan cited by Voznesonskiy as follows: Volga, 116 percent; Urals, 136 percent; Central Asia, 107 percent; and West Siberia, 123 percent. The number of workers in the other regions held by the USSR as of March 1943 14/ wae derived from Voznesenskiygs figures for the percent of the 1941 number of workers remaining in recovered territory and from evacuation estimates. The same source gave percentage increanes in industrial employment for the four regione mentioned above, as well ae the percent of total Soviet industrial employment contained in each of the regions. It is therefore possible to calculate the number of industrial workers in 1943 in two ways: for example, in the Central Asia region, industrial employment for 1943 is given as 8 peecant of the total number of workers (706 million), or, by derivation, 608,000 workers; industrial employment in this region for 1943 also is given as 154 percent of 1941 employment (386,000, or, by derivation, 594,000 workers. The discrepancy is small. Industrial employment for 1943 in the other regions then held by the USSR was estimated in the same manner as was total employment. 4. Pma29Iion from 1941 to 1951 9f the Nursber of TAorkers by Ruion. The number of workers in the USSR was projected from 1941 to 1951 by reeion ae follows: a? NortliReeion. 1941 employment was projected to 1951 by multiplying the number of workers in 1941 by 1.2, a rate of increase somewhat below that of the . RSFSR an a wholee * Lty to allow for the effects of World War II and of government policy since that time. F-laigireg7fnl estimates for the component parts of the RSFSR aro totaled, the figure exceede the 1941 number of workers by 27 percent, as compered with the 24,4eporcent increase cited in the Plan fulfilment announcement. Approved For Release 1999/09t029. CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 S-B-C-ReE-T 01.6P PON OM* AR. OW. .41 Approved For Re4rose 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T b. Meet Employment in 1951 in the Belorussian Sp was estimated as being the same as in 1941 on the basis of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50). hz/ Employment in the Lithuanian SSR was derived from data on the increase in the number of workers in 1949 42/; in the Latvian SSR, from the number of trade union members 49 ; in the Estonian SSR, on the basis of Plan fulfilment data ? and in KaThiingrad oblast, on the basis of population data. sai c Sou th_Esd..2.E. Employment in 1941 in the Crimea was projected to 1951 by multiplying by the rate of increase in the Ukrainian SSR: that is, by 1.01. 52/ 1951 employment in the Moldavian SSR was twice that of 1941 employment cm the basis of Plan fulfilment data. 52/ ck, North Caucasu Re on Employment was projected to 1951 by the number of workers in 1941 by 1.15, which was less than the RSFSR rate of increase over 1941 but more then that of the Ukrainian SSR to allow for the effects of evacuation and occupation. e. Trarrecauceazim. Enplcyment in 1951 was projected by multiplying by 1,24 the rate of increase over. 1941 derived from the Five Year Plan fulfilment in - - Azerbaydehan SSR. VI/ For the component parts of the region there is an employment figure or the number of .workers for Azerbaydzhan SSR, an approximation for the Armenian SSR from trade-union membership there, g/ and an estimate that the Georgian SSR increased at about the rate of Azerbaydzhan SSR, from Plan fulfilment data0 g/ f. ya.Vtg?.32.62.11. Employment was projected to 1951 berusing 130 percent of 1941, slightly lens than twice the rate from 1941 to 1943. go Cental Ltsgsa? fhployment was projected to 1951 by using 121 percent of 1941, a rats of increase slightly below that of the whole RSFSR? to allow for effects of World Mar II. -20,, S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/0-9702:?diA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReWipe 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01U3A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T h, 2:92.111P.7m. Employment was projected to 1951 by using 158 percent of 1941 as compared with the rate of increase from 1941 to 1943 of 36 percent, on the basis of increaees in production cited in USSR and RSFSR Flan fulfilment data. ky LIZESA11911.222fiald Employment was projected to 1951 by using 150 percent of 1941, oe nlightly more than twice the rate of increase from 1941 to 1943, based on the population changes indicated in election district data 58 and reports of increases in production during the Fourth Five Tear an (1946-50). 59/ 10 Centra1.1214AELaa. Employment was projected to 1951 by using 144 percent of 1941, a be between the increase in Kazakh SSR of 160 percent of 1941 60/ ad lower rates of increase in the other republics* The employment figure derived for Kazakh SSR is roughly 103 million workers, equal to trade-union memberehf?p. 61/ An employment figure of 205,000 workers ?2/ for Turkmen SSR was published. Employment in Kireiz SSR was estimatia at 200,000 workers in 1951 on the basis of 19148 trade-union membership. y EMployment in Uzbek SSR is estimated at 500,000 workers, or 122 percent o 1940 employment* 6_11/ The estimate for Tadzhik SSR is 100,000 workers? k, East Siberlifiluam. Employment in 1951 was estimated at 1044 times 1941 omp/oyment based on data similar to that used for the Vest Siberia region., 10 Far East itram. Employment in 1951 was estimated at 1.66 times 1941 employment. Inloction from 1941 to 1951 of the Number of Industrial Ubrkers -?2.114.111mc The number of industrial workers in the USSR was projected from 1941 to 195i by region as followst aa 11.crth ECSYS: industrial employment in 1941 was projected to 1951 by multipining by 103 on the basis that industrial employment in the past - 21 Approved For Release 1999/(pfp,g_:agAiRDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Reuse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-013A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T ineraaned at a slightly greater rate than total empleyment. In addition great emphasis has been placed on the development of the northern areas of the USSR. b, Wostle....earlo On the basis that industrial production was reported to have reached prewar levels in the Estonian and Belorussian SSR/ss, industrial employment in 1951 was set at the 1941 level. .61/ In the Lithuanian SSR the industrIal labor force by1948 was reported-as 1.3 times tba prewar level. 0/ Industrial employment in the Latvian SSR in.1951 is estimated as! being somewhat over the prewar level. An estimate for Kaliningrad oblast was added, c. Industrial employment in 1951 in the Uarainian.SSR wee peojected as /15 percent of 1941 on the basis of increases cited in the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) fulfilment announcement. In the Crimea5, employment was estimated as being about equal to preear employment. Ehployment in the Moldavian SSR increased to 2.5 times the prewar figure. 67/ d, North CaUCEMS 1.12d2n, Induetrial employment in 1951 was estimated to have increased at a more rapid rate than did total employment, (Soo 4de above.) e, panscaucasus Rgion. In the light of increases in gross industrLal production, 0/ industrial employment in 1951 was estimated to have increased to 1,4 ttmes that of 1940 as compared with a 124-percent increase in total employment. f. maLndu_ra,1212f,42213. Industrial employment increased from 1941 to 1943 by 65 percent,. Oaaeral information indicates a slower rate of increase since that time. go, Central plsion. InOestrial employment in 1951 was estimated on the basis of aone increases indicated in the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) Zulfilmont data. 69/ 22 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReWipe 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T h, most Sits.eilisosja. By 1943; industrial employment increased to 1071 times that of 1941* General information indicates a slower increase to 19510 i* Central Asia Regime Industrial employment in 1951 in Kazakh SSR increased to 1.8 times that of 19400 In Turkmen SSR: industrial production increased to 105 tines that of 1940 and in Uzbek SSR to 1089 times, 70/ j? EalLaber.--1211U5-?n? Industrial employment in 1951 was increased over 1941 on the basis that some industriel production increased from two to three times and other production leae rapidly. Ili k. Far Etaltdss, Industrial employment in 1951 was increased over 1941 on the basis of population increases and of increases it some industrial production* 22/ That the Soviet industrial labor force approaches the order of magnitude indicated above is partially supported by the fact that with /940 aa the base year the index of industrial production divided by the index of industrial labor productivity yields an industrial employment index of 133, 21/ 6? Estimates of the Number of Workers in,1951 bzIpecterthe Economy? The number of workerei in some sectors of the economy for 1951 has been estimated on the basis of prewar data, Employment in the other sectors of the econoey has been estimated as follows a, Tranejmn0 Pelploymeet in the Ministry -of Rail Communications has been cited by several sources as being from 3 million to 3.5 million persons, or 10 percent of all Soviet workers in 1948. IV On the basis of the 3,.5-million figure and the percentage distribution by branch of the rail economy, the 1948 employment pattern of workers under the ministry is shown in Table 10.* 75/ 'le)'ioliotes on p0 240 - 23 - e-F-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Re4rdse 1999/09402-gMATRDP79-0103A000100140003-0 Table 10 Employment Pattern of Soviet Workers under the Ministry of Rail Comunications 1948 .10?SCKI.CIA 40VM.IM Ara. Railroad Operation 1,711.5 Subsidiary and Auxiliary Railroad Enterprises, including Agriculture 381.5 Construction and Reconstruction 427.0 Other Organizations aid Enterprises of the Ministry of Rail Communications 980.0 Total 22.500,0 According to another source, the number of workers operating Soviet railroads in 1950 were to be 7002000 less than the number which would have been required at the 1945 levels of productivity. The figure thus derived is roughly 1.6 million workers, so that the 1948 figure of roughly 1.7 million for railroad operation is used for 1951 as well, V The distribution by region of railroad operating workers for 1951 under the Ministry of Rail Communications, derived from an incomplete percentage distribution in 1948 /I/ and from the 1935 distributio% ly is shown in Table 11. Thousand Workers Table ii Distribution by of Soviet Railroad Operating Workers of the Ministry of Rail Communications 1951 vlbsominormaangitsmemear ad?11 ? 911119111@l1101111M410,1r???? Thousand Workers North 136.9 Vest 154.0 South 410.8 Worth Caucasus Transcaucasus Volga Central Urals West Siberia Central Asia East Siberia Far East 85.6 51.3 85.6 359.4 136.9 102.7 85.6 68.5 34.2 Total 1 711.5 ?PVT.0011,46: VIIIIMISVOIR a.tA.LIFML,[11bislONNIVI192., Percent of Total a 9 24 5 3 5 21 8 6 5 142 100 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T ? Approved For Reicose 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-014513A000100140003-0 SEC RET adding railroad operating employment in other ministries to that in the Niniatry of Rail Corteenications, total employment in 1951 in rail transport ia estimated as being 2 million persons. Aoseming that union membership bears the same relationship to total employment in other forms of transport as in rail -- namely, 77 percent -- t1-.0 1951 employment figure derived from union membership in municipal 'cxensport is 311,000 and in air transport 169,000. 72/ Inland water transport workers for 1951 wore estimated as being equal roughly to the figure in the 1941 Plan, or 150,000, while 195/ maritime transport employment i$ estimated to have increased to 80,000, or by 50 percent, on the basis of increases in the maritime fleet, pc)/ Total employment in 1951 in water transport, therefor el? would be 250000 workers as compared with the 1941 Plan figure of 207,000. Fkaployeent in 1951 in vehicular transport at the rate of one 'non pc vehicle would total 2 million workers, which probably is a low estimate. ?1/ b. State Agriculture and Forestry. Employment in the USSR in 1951 is estimated ae being at least equal to prewar employmehte or 2.9 million workers. During the Fourth Five Year Plan (190-50), over 2 million persons were trained as tractor drivers nd for similar occupations, and 160,000 graduates of secondary and higher educational inatitutions went into agriculturev PA/ c, Conseruceion. uliaJWOLNI..-awrommr1.,..10egt.it. Estimates of the total number of Soviet worker engaged in construetion are difficult to make becaune of the large number of voluntary or conscripted woekers who remain on the project only a short time and became of the great fluctuation in the number of workers required at W3Vi011:3 stages of construction. It soens probable in view of the amount of coneteuetion in progress, however, that approximately 3 million workers are now engaged in censtruction, d, Public Health There were 200,000 doctors in the USSR in 1948, approximately 18000 being added annually:, making a total for 1951 of 236,000. 22/ In 1951., over 1 million women were employed in public health, of whom 191,000 were doctors. .gly If the atex ratio for all .medical personnel is the same ms for doctors, there are about 1,250i000 medical personnel. If_ employment in all phases of public-health boars the same relationship to medical personnel as in the 1941 i1ai, publie health, now employs about 1,55(4000 , porsonv .4 25 M.4 Approved For Release 1999/693d74RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Re4apse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 . S-E-C-R-P-T e. Education. At the end of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) there were 106 million teachers in the USSR. g,/ If teachers in 1951 constitute the same proportion of total employment in Soviet education as in 1941, total omployment in education now approximates 302 million persons. f. Art. The number of persons employed in art in the USSR in 1951 was announced as being 250e0000 g. Trade. Since trade turnover in the USSR has increased by about 30 percent, employment in 1951 in trade is estimated to have increased by that much, 16./ 7. Estimates of the Number of Workers in 1951 in Various Industri'es, a, Electric Power Stations. Because an increase in electric power output does not require a proportionate increase in employment, the employment figure in the 1941 Plan for the Soviet Ministry of Electric Power Stations is increased by 25 percent, with 15 percent added for employment in power stations of other ministries, giving a total of 358,000 workers for 1951. This total includes probably 30,000 workers engaged in peat extraction. b. Petroleum Industu. The trade union of the petroleum workers of the Caucasus, South, ead Central areas of the USSR was reported to include 200,000 workers in 1946, 871 On the basis of the distribution of the petroleum industry, total employment in the industry would approximate 300,000 in 1946 and not many more in 1951. A somewhat similar 1951 estimate is reached by projecting the 1941 Plan figure for employment in the Petroleum Ministry on the basim of the percentage increases in production. 8t8Y c. Coal Industry., ..1?02.a.MaOrndrtM ? During the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50), State labor reserve schools were to train 660,0000 or 80 percent of all new workers, for the coal industry. 89/ The total number of new workers in the coal Industry thus would be 873,01400. The addition of the 130,000 pervons troined in State laber reserve schools from 1940 to 1944 90/ yields an approximate Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Relapse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 S-E-G-R-E-T minimum of 955,000 new workers if all those who entered tho industry remained there. One source estimates employment in 1951 as being 162 percent of 19402 or about 1.1 million workers, 21/ and another source reports that 1951 employment would be 135 percent of prewar, or approxi- mately 9860000. 23/ Alternatively, if employment is increased at the same rate as production, 1951 employment approximates 900,000 workers 22/ in the industry, or 1 million workers, including all enterprises of the Coal Ministry. d. Ferrous Metallam. According to the Fourth Five Year an (1946-50), State labor rezorve schools in the USSR were expected to train 570,000 peons for rerrous metallurgy from 1946 to 1950, 94/ and an additional 250,000 were to be trained in brigades 2.5./2 giving a total of 8202000 now workers. By adding to this tetal the 702000 workers 2?/ trained in State labor reserve schools during World War II, an approximate minimum 195/ employment of 890,000 is derived. According to another source? the rate of increase in the number of workers in ferrous metallurgy during the Fourth Five :fear Plan (2946-50) was to be half the rate of increase in the output of pig iron, steel emelting? end rolled iron, 97./ which was to increase to 1.35 times the prewar output. 213/ The employment figures for 1951 for the MInistry of Ferrous Metallurgy thus derived are 9142000 workers, including transport, er 8652000 without transport. Overfulfilmont of the Plan did not necessarily require proportional increases in employment. That the training goals probably were met iu partially supported by the fact that by the end of 19470 142,000 workers had been trained in brigades and courses, or more than half of the Plan goal? 99/ e. Nopferroueytetallurm. On the basis of increases in output from 1940 to 1951 in the ussRp 100/ employment in nonferrous metallurgy in 1951 is estimated to have -increased by 50 percent, or to 4002000 workers in the industry proper or to 658000 workers, including all enterprises of the Ministry of Nonferrous Metals as constituted in 1941. f. MetalworkimaLijiachine Construction. If the ratio of metalworkers to the Soviet inventory of cutting and grinding tools in 1950-51 were the same as in 1939-400 "the number .of turner milling machine operators, lathe operators2 electroautomatic welders, moulders, ond press and otamp operators" would roughly be 2.2 million. 1031 The total nuMber of metalworkers in 19512 including assembly eerkers probably io1 million to 4Q5 million. 27 - Approved For Release 1999/09/9,2r.: ElftrRDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Releap 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-010000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-E-T From 1910 to 1945, 1 million Soviet metalworkers were trained in State labor reserve schools, 10?/ of whom 500,000 were sent to armament and ammunitions industriee to m1d:1-944. If the State labor reserve schools trained the same number for reetalworldne, during each year of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) as in 1948,, 690,000 additional workers were trained during this period. 12.3./ If State labor reserve school graduates eonstituted 70 percent of all new workers, new metalworkers during the fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) totaled about 1 million. 124/ This would mean that at least 2 million new metalworker have been trained since 1940, although this figure probably should be reduced by 250,000 to allow for those classified impropeay by sources. Within this broad industrial category, apprcedmately 1712,000 workers are employed in construction and repair of railroad rolling stock under the Soviet Ministry of Rail Communication as compared with 1822.000 workers cited in the 1941 Plan. 1q/ On the basis of output of 12y 200,000 workers are estimated to olectrica/ equipment as compared with workers. ;2z/ certain items of electrieel equipment, be employed in the production of the other estimate of 271,000 In 1934 the production of agricultural machinery in the USSR, including tractors, employed 174,000 workers. 122/ Incomplete data indicate that 197,400 Soviet workora were employed in he production of agelcultural machinery and that there were 590,500 employed in tank and tractor production. 122/ By deducting roughly 200,000 workers for tank production and double-counting and because of other sources of error, an estimated employment in 1951 of from 400,000 to 500,000 workers in Soviet production of agricultural machinary? including tractors, is derived. Since production of several items in this field has trebled sinee 1940, this estimate may be somewhat low. 1/0 Employment in the Soviet aircraft industry ha e been estimated at 400,000 workers in 1940 111/ and probably has increased slightly? go Foresla and the Timber Indestries. The fulfilment of the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) in the timber industry was plenned to be accomplished with 460,000 workers, 75 percent of whom were to be permanent cadres. A partial distribution of this total is shown in Table 12.* ".4? eeble 12 Maces on p. 29. - 26 - Approved For Release 1999/6*hittrA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Rase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-013A000100140003-0 Table 12 Partial Distribution of Soviet Workers in. the Tither Industry under the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50) awn. Forestry and Construction Personnel Administrative and Technical Personnel Manufacturing Workers in Forentry Wood Industry Personnel Thousand Workers 70 112 141172// 224 111/ The number of Soviet workers in woodcutting was planned to equal 112 percent of those in that industry in 19409 11A/ or approximately 1 million persons. This includes the firet three categories mentioned above. h. Chereiea2e Industry During the Fourth Five Year Plan (1946-50)9 1169000 Soviet workers were to be trained in brigades, 1.1V If twice as many workers were trained. in State labor reserve echools, iiTimated on the basis of the ratio in other industr1es9 the total number of workers trained during the Plan for the chemical industry would approximate 3509000. Ulth the addition of the 409000 workers trained in State labor reserve schoola during World War employment in 1951 would approximate 390,000, or 30 percent in excees of the 1941 Plan. On the basis of the increases in chemical output in 1950 over 1940 117/ with no change in labor productivity, employment in 1951 was estimated to have increased by approximately 50 percents or to 460,000 workers. If, on the other hand9 output per worker In 1950 increased to 143 percent of the 1940 level, 118/ employment in 1951 would appreximate 310,000 workers; i. Textile Industr e Workers in the textile industry in the USSR had been reduced from 808e000 in 1940 to 400,000 in 1946. 112( This figure however, does not represent total employment in the Ministry of Textile Industry e In 1946 and 1947 a total of 136,000 new workers were trained in brigades2 1E2/ and in 1947 and 1948 State labor reserve schools trained 112s000 workers? 121 If the same level was maintained throughout the Fotrth Five Year Wan (1945-50)g 1951 employment in the Soviet textile industry would approxit I million workers, If there has been no increase in productivity, a similer figure- may be reached by comparing the 1940 and 1950 textile production figuree. 122/ - 29 - Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 I Approved For Ratroase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0103A000100140003-0 S-E-C-R-r-T j. Other Industries, - On the basis of output data, 123/ employment in the fish industry in the USSR is estimated to be about equal to 1941 Plan figures, or 1891.000 workers in the industry itself or 271,000 workers including all enterprises of the Ministry of Fish Industry, On a similar basis the Soviet meat and dairy industry employs about 254,000 workers, and the food industry, including the gustatory industry, about 1.2 million workers. Rmployment in the paper industry may have increased by 30 percent3 or to about 1109000 workers. 0-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For RsIspse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0143A000100140003-0 APPENDIX C SOURCES 6?01. 1? L Sonin? nesettlement of Population dt?Tring the Third Five Year PlaT.;4" inerioanc,;`uartszlz on the Soviet Union, 1940., Volume3 Issue 2'-'3p PP* 74,7 2? 25X1 A2gdl 4. .0410.11,4,411, A ? B, Babynin, 10 ,cit raid S,, Trubnikov, "Istochniki IcoraplAtettaniya rabochey Liy vgr3sit9T: .,4.arobicy ,pcopiT:34.4.s Jun 1932,, 6? 'Also v SSSR (Labor in the USSR) Central 5t3.tistica1 Adraft.ristmtion5, -1353-aa-19557-- Trail v SSSR, 1935 and 1936? 7, 8. B. L. Marku3? Trud v sotsislisticheskau obshchwtvel 1939;, p? 177 25X1 A2g 9. U. Second arxd Third Five Year Plans. 12, Trad SSSa 1935 and 1936. 13. State., Of?. 11634? Guide to Changes in Aduinistrative irorirdon in the USSR 10 Apr 1947. :th? E? 111? Kalisether 5 Europe on the Mover,, Nar Iork 19h3; OrAS R are A 1355.,1, ItuseisYragpiieriti:Fi Mannolan'? Jul 7 Gamari - -- 15? Statoorn. 258, Trathinp of Recruits in Wartime TTSO't 19h6, - 31 - .f T) Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 =01Ab3b1 FOIAb3b1 _ Approved For ReWse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-013A000100140003-0 16, Sonii, Vooros, balansa rabochey.Flas 1949. 17, N. A. Voznesenskiy?mtamg of the USSR during. the lf,atriotic Var. 19480 p. 32, 18. Thid p. 31. 19. Sonin? "Balance of Labor Force in the Socialist Economy." 20, Ibid.; Sonin, V ro balansa rdh...Easullz, 1949; M. S. Rozofarov "ff'1124M0--3-9.5 13567: 21, ibid4 various aftertisaments in Soviet press and radio broadcasts. 22. Sonin, ..V.22.sszba-Lansa, raboch 11- 1949. 23, Sr Curevich and S. Partigul? Nagy pod."EmmE2InTo khozmeva SS511 ILEoraovortlinovjeV2-214s.e_st V49. 24. Sonia, 7.22F9a11112psa IltINchez_plab 19149; RozoferovsialAMP 'TIME S5S1 Zaacdanive Vorkbovno o Sove.ta ssal Mart 1946 (hereafter cited ets 171.11W.--9.11F2-6gt'Y No, 3-45, 1946 26. Zasni . 230. 28. G. P. Kosyachenko, "Psyysheniye materiallnogo I kulcturnogo uroviva zhizni =rods.," I2ELaim Khmaystr., 1946, 29. Annual Plan Fnlfilment Announcements in Pravda. for relevant years. 31 25X1A2g FOIAb3b1 32, New. York T.imes? 4 Dec 1951; 33,, Summarized in unpUblished CIA, FDD, stutf. 34, State, Moscaw5 Despatch 27, 13 Jul 1951. Approved For Release 1999 - 32 - 25X1A8a VE-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For Relevase 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0193A000100140003-0 37. FOIAb3b1 38, 39. ya 11014Elay 29 LIV3951; Tty'13110/10,1, 27 April 1951; laor alil. FOIAb3b1 Komsomollsksya Pravda, 20 Jul 1951; -Pdi..*..VVWCF.,- 0IA. Maps G-000-23-12048v 25695v 39985, 23470, 40210, 40212, Stete? OIR 1163-A0 41,,, Sonia, "Resettlement of Population during the Third Five Year Plan," 1 iLt rican QuarElr_sn the Soviet Uniont 194(4, Volume 3, Issue 2-3y 1 pN-74:T8:--- , ? , 42. P. F. Will and F. N. Peov.? Strny mirav pp. 252 ff..; A, Pallerits, Baltic States, (Information e. 7iIrthe) Royal Instituto of Internationnl Affairs, 1938; S. Salekevidi, Territorizai naselem pssa, 190. 43. Voznesensk-lyy o 1:). 31. 44. FOIAb3b1 Sonin,i "Resettlement of Population during the Third Five 'LW.? nano" Rattle line in OSS, R and A, 3.355.1. Ii7Zasedaniys? p. 75. 148 14tva,, 15 Jan 1949,, 49, ppveterave., L-ttrin:,, 16 mar 1949. 25X1A8a 50?, State? O1R 1163-4. FOIAb3b1 FOIAb3b1 55? Komunist, 1 Jr 1951, 33 - Approved For Release 1999/fliktri.4.tii-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 Approved For ReWse 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01a3A000100140003-0 FOIAb3b1 58. CI(0 ORE, working paper, "Distribution of USSR Population and Labor 1950, 2? lonenskw.Isloes? 10. Jul i$!1 n 63* :?1!2t.giUTLIarigAra, 19 AP! 1949* 64. Pravda Vostaka? 10 Jul 1951. 25X1A2g 65? r, .ftfin.?finaMP- SovoIeA, ml Litva, 17 Feb 1949. FOIAb3b1 FOIAb3b1 69, USSR and RSFSR Plan Fulfilment announcements. 70? Plan Fulfilment announcements. 71. Ibil? 72. Ibid 73. Ibit14 Pravda, 1 Dec 1951,. FOIAb3b1 ? ? 76, Ennters calculations inS/Tr Mess, from Chudov? Osnspaza_ammsz 77, D. Umbliin Zhelemnodomgsw transport, No 7, 1948, 78. yrjuly. spsk 1936. 3)4 Approved For Release 199949102-LiEMRDP79-01093A000100140003-0 A. ? A 4 Approved For Rehafte 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-0143A000100140003-0 79,, State, Bucharest, Despatch 546, 24 Dec 19490 80. Fleet site obtained from S/Tr. 81, S/Tr Estimate? 82. Kommunist Tadzhikistana 3 Jan 19510 FOIAb3b1 87, ,FroEspyp - No, 1, 19460 88? Production data in CI IP-232 2 Oct 1951. 89? Z',.sq,.S3:1,tt.1 pc 230? 90. State, OIR 25480 91? State, Moscovry Despatch 740 18 Jun 1951? 92,, Imp, No, I, 1947. 93 OIA? IP-232, 2 Oct 1951, 9ii 2acdnl, p. 230. Stalf No. 11, 1947. . State, OIR 25480 . 97 stall No? 4, 1947. adlg No,, 6, 1947. 99. Stall, No, 1? 1948, No. 4, 1947. 100Q OIA? IP-232? 2 Oct 1951? IG, Emp1oymnt in 1939 from Doltshevik, Wo. 10, 1940; &ta on total in ventory from CIA:, IP-r-2.3271-ta-1951. - 35' - Approved For Release 1999/M944RA-RDP79-01093A000100140003-0 25X1A2g 4 Approved For Rekose 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01443A000100140003-0 102, State) OIR 25480 103, Komsomolf, No, 163, 1948. iape1aal7e, p, 230? 105, DrAyunov and others.,pit 106, CIA, IP-232, 2 Oct 1951, 107? CIA, industrial Register. 10C. Trod v SS5R1 19350 109, CIA:, Inchstrial Register, 110, CIA, IP-2329 2 Oct 1951, i]2, Lesnam, Pro h1nnot No 679 19460 113, ibid No. 8-9,s 19460 114, 115, Khimicheskar, 1,-,..,z'_.?111ortnost .? No. 13, 1947. ccacci /16, state9 aa 2548. 117, CIA) IP-232, 2 Oct 1951. 118, Khiatc1ieska7a Prowychlennostl, No, if 19h7. 119. Zaselaniye, p. 156? 120, Tekstilvnara Pronlyshlennostv0 No,, 4- 1946. 121 ItLa 3italation Economiquo en USSR 'a 1,f; Fin de 11Ann4 19h8," Landstir ds Finynce3 et des Affaireo Etrangoros,, from 701 (VSosqyaznoxo ohshchestvo kul,txrng?syyni USSU_Society for CJ n1 tAiAtions ? 122., CIA5 IP-232, 2 Octc19510 123, Void, OMR ENTIAk Approved For Release 1:409tIMWOPY9-01093A000100140003-0