THE IMPORTATION DISTRIBUTION AND CONSUMPTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS IN CHINA AND MANCHURIA

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CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5
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43
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December 21, 2016
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October 23, 2007
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19
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February 26, 1953
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IR
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Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 5 '.E "TAT, (N. DI tI11N ION PRO SIONAL nQ ELT E RmwT PBM01EW m THE SOS BLOC AND CSuamON CLVM PR-la (M B) 26 February 1953 --1- 1 Ve 2he data and conciueionta in this report do not necessarily represent the fixtai position of OIL and should be regarded as provisional only and subject to revision. Additional data or coxrmEnts which may be available to the user are solicited. DIA review(s) completed. State Dept. review completed ARMY review(s) completed. TW IA'.1RIAL CO2I?AS mA.'ON AzE_ mi, NATIO . DBPZNM OF THE UNITED STAhS WI M= THE HEEANI OF THE ESPIt AOE LA 1, TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 .X) 79L.: E T f SSI ' CZ B EV`ELl 1?It T OF UUH m AN Nr TO AN UNA11JTH XZED FI iS t IS PR 1 BY LAST T. AL D U GE OE tom' Office of Research and Reports Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 PC Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C?Rw J Summery and Comlusion* ? 0 ?? . O . O O a . a a 0 0 a 0 ') a 0 L Deports of Petroleum Products . . a ? O a O a a . O a 4 O A. y Tear and by Type of Product . . a . . . . . 3' C. Sources . . . ? . . o . o? e a . . o e . 0 . 1 . a 0 0 I C! . Quantities, Types, amp. Ports of retry a o o a a v a v 5 DEC. Storage of Petro um Products by Ara and by ',k'yp* of A Product ? a D a a 0 O a . a . a ? a a . ? 0 a o 3 4 .0 8 A. Pxirsr Patters E5 Poster PatteM e . ? a 0 O . ? a . 0 O e a .+ n . . '0 n ? r. a w '~. r 0 .i e 9 D O -u J 4 0 III. Dietributiou of Patroleun PrOdUCU e e. o J a J O u a a y A. Preww Pat rn . s o e v a s o e n y a m 4 o v v a o It S. Postwar P.tti Y o O v a 0 0 e O ? u u o u `D J a a 13 IL CoMumptiona- of Petroleum Products ? . 0 O . a . . ? . . . 13 A. Hawburis a 0 a 4 0 O a 4 0 0 a 4 I 0 O 0 . 0 % L J 14 I. Prior to 1932 . ..... 0 a 0 v a 0 a a a a 0 0 104 2. J$ ncs OmoupstioU a a?. a a u a 0 0 o 0 a m o A 3. Postwar v o . v o . o a a a 0 a 0 0 a a a 0 m a a i$' ao Niue .. a a. a. a a. o o a n o u a m v? a o ~ . a a o a 0 a s o. 0 0 v a o a ~~ 1 Prier to JL937 a. JS amppo tion o a O a 4 O . e . a a J n o J 17 12.1 HsilrV*ft o a e m? a e o O ~ o a 2 Motor i'cbic1ee . o . . a v . . a . 3 Shipping ..... a m a a a e? v a J 17 o 0 a 18 ZMus r y a e a a 0 v O o o a a a o a d. .a o 19 Domestic Eewting, Cooking, and #.ghticg - a - 19 a a 11 a a 0 4 6 a 0 3 a a 0 0 . u 0 0 a 21 1 ou~aion a c a o a a . .. Y O O a a i' ae asp ~,.,es y~g b. gRYatione~Sist China ... a o 0 o O a 4. .a 4 C. Tbw . o a. 4 a. o ?. a u 0 0 v o 0 0.. . Q Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 par Pautxar (Including iaahuria) . . . . . a O ? . all g. reaioyp tatio o a o c o . e o a o 0 0 o e e 25 (1) Railroads O O o A ? . O O A 9 6 ? O U d 6~ 95 (2) Motor W~2hicl . ... . . . . a . . a . 26 Military and Civil Aviation . . . . . . . 99 &) Shipping o . . . . . . . . . . . e . . e 30 b., bdustlry a ? o 0 ? 0 0 0 O . 0 0 O v 0 - 0 e a. Daestic i sting, Cooydmg, sad $.igbtiog . a . 34 C. Chinese Communist PC o Ro%uireaenta ? . . . 0 o 0 a . 3~ Ap ndi s Appendix D. MHthodol ogy . o . . . . . . . . . . . o . . o o 38 illustrations Following -- Chitrese POL Imports, IM-50 (Chart) . . . . . . . . ,~ Prover Distribution of Petroleum Products in China Proper (MOP) . . . . . . . . . . . . 0 . ? 0 0 ? . 0 0 O 0 0 . . 0 38 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 CA/RI: PE -v I-B S-E-C-R-E-T (ORR Project 6..52) SECCR Rt+J&TIG I THE DTATEL DI OMRI C , IM CONSUMM um IN 6ummarY and Conclusions Although Nationalist China imported approximately 2 million tons of petroleum, oil, and lubricating oil (POL) in 19117, an historioe.t analysis of basic petroleum requirements of the Chinese econogr reveals that much less than this q antity probably will satiety the demands of the Chinese Coiimnniatt military and civilian con?sumare. China's demazad for petroleum appears to be almost totally elastic, and the few inelastic reStiranents for petroleum products do not seem to bulk large in gpantity. In fact, the problem of petroleum consumption in Chi seems primarily to have hinged, on the availability of supplies of petroleum products. In the period before Japanese occupation of North China in 1937, China and Manchuria Imported POL at the annual rate of approximately 900,000 uric tons. The bulk of this -total wan made up of kerosene and fuel oil. The demand for diesel oil, motor gasoline, and lubricating oil zras very low. During World tzar II, the Japensse- occupied areas of China, Manchuria included, consumed an undetermined Quantity of POt which is estimated to have been no less than 80,000 metric tons and no maw than 326,000 metric tons per year. The areas left to unoccupied China consumed POL at an approxim to annual rate of 56,000 metric tons, Thua, wartime requirements for all China, 'mexuaxaxg the areas occupied by the Japanese, are estimated to have ranged between 136, 000 and 400#000 metric tons per year. Mach of this PW want to the military effot. Buie civilian requirements for P. in the Japanese- occupied areas of China and Manchuria are presently unkoown, and the civilian consumption of POL in +unocaupied Chinas was considerably less than} 20 percent of the total PULL and petroleum substitutes available After the war, primarily because coal was not available, u=Aoma y large quantities of fuel oil were imported into China.. Factors which Contributed to the Importation as constuaprtion of mare petroleum products than had occurred in any previous periocl included the reconstruction efforts of VEM, the continuing struggle against the Chinese Comma aistep the internal attempt by the Chinese SationGl.iste to rehabilitate the Chinese ecou ao ', and the policies of the foreign oil compMUS who brought T report contains Information avai. ,ble to M as of 1 Jtay W52. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 RESTRICTED CHINESE POL IMPORTS 1925-50 (approx.) A U 0 4` 0 - 0 CL- ker 10 ose j 1 o~i Ib 0 k L ~ I 1~ 9 \ I 1 1952 known supplies oil Kerosene I from western sources continue downward Gasoline . -1 Gaso/ine . Lube Oils , ,5 Cube 0 RESTRICTED SECURITY INFORMATION 45 L "Free China" 1950 Includes Manchuria Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-F-C-It-.E-T a+s- rram Since - t1aaachuria was a part of Japan from 1932 to 19la5, the statistics on iianchurian imports must ix-, dealt with sepa.?ately, Imports into Hailchuria, before 19)2, reached 100,000 metric tons per yearb In the 3-year period preceding Japan's envelopment of North China' ; Fanchuri an J L imports ranged from 60,000 to 1513,000 metric tons per year. In '19140, Japan imported 234,774 metric tons of petroleum products and crude oil into Manchuria, s Thus, before 19146, imports of petroleum products into China and Manchuria rarely exceeded 1 million metric tons per year,, and, for a great number of those years, they fell below this mark, BQ Sources, 13,-fore 19+141,, petroleum products came principally from UK, US, and Javanese sovrces0 In 1934, Japan took over from foreign oom- petitors the distribution of oil prods to In Manchuria and, as 1937 approached, began to threaten the operations of the UK and US com- panies in China. Before 1937, however, Japan succeeded in oaoturing only about 10 percent of the Chinese POL markets Once the Japanese were established in the major port cities of China after 1937, the sales of US and UK companies fell off greatly, and the Nationalist Chinese were forced to subsist upon uncertain supplies from the US and its allies and upon substitute fuels developed within the eoonc q Following the defeat. of the Japanese in the Pacific in 1945, the restitution of Manchuria to China, and Japan's displacement as an oil supplier, POL supplies flooded into China once again from prewar sources, From 1946 to 19$9, Standard Vacuum (Staanvac ), California Texas (CalTax), the Asiatic Petroleum Company, and the Ghipeeo Petroleum Corporation imported and distributed to Chinese consumers almost all the petroleum products sold in Chinas The Chinese Petroleum Corporation was not up by the Chinese Nationalists to share in the marketing business which,, in prewar years, had been a virtual monopoly of the three foreign companies, The defeat and removal of the Chinese Nationalists to Formosa in 1949, and the ensuing embargoes imposed by Western nations upon the shipment of strategic materials to the Chinese Commdamists in 1950, forced the Cc m iniets to. rely on imparts from the USSR, to maximise the use of substitute fuels$ and to expedite the development of their indigenous production in order to obtain supplies of liquid fuels for their econauo =4- S-E~Ct?E-T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C-R-E-- C C. ttities, IYDes, and Parts at Entry. ?ortunately, a precise breakdown by quantities, types, and marts of entry of Chinese Imports of PCL in the prewar and postwar periods is ava1lable. h.is informat1od is a zized in ale 1' and Table 2-** in Table 1, north China is defiged to imlude the following ports: Tientsin, aingtao, Chefoa, Ch' San-huang-tao, wag-k off, and Wei-h"-+wei.. Central. China includes Sbangbai, p ea- Chiang, . la knag, -Wu-Hn, Chiu-chien,. Hannkatw, To..chou, Chiang.. ", Stun-shah, I-ch'ang, Wan-hsien, Cbungk1ng, Soochow, Hangehosr, sing-go, and Wenchow. Central China iaclodea the Tangtse river ports. South China Includes San-tu-ao,;!'o*chs r, Amoy, Swatow, Canton, Karloon, Ang-pei, Chiang-men-chiang, San-shui, .Ww how, Ass-ning, Lei-gbou, Pie i-hat, Lung-chi g, ling-tzu,. Sau moo, and T ' eng-yueh . J The postwar paru.of-entry pattern shifted considerably, a fact that can beat be ascribed to the uneven rate at which various Chinese ports were restored to service. In table 2, North China in- cludes the ports of Ch' in-h nig..taa, ,ent.ln, and Taingtao. Central China Includes lFnnkmt and, Shet ghat, and South China includes Amo]r, Swatow, Canton, Kosarloon, KOOVK~ML, S ocbow; Han-ning, and Lei-ebaat. Central China in 1936 and 1937 was the greatest iagorter of petroleum products, when It brought 'la about 60 percent of the total, and Shanghai and Ean11o w accounted for 80 paroent of the P jqported into China in 1946.. These facts su.,gge at that Central aft a has always been the aiaJor P -coaavmig area of Chim. a1tho its did not exceed 1. million neetric tons up to andim luding 1946, IM is zoomed above 2 million metric tons in 1947. T n 1948, however, iapperts began to fall. o f f , and they continued down- vatd in 1949. T a b l e 3 rmmaarizee Pte, isglort details for the 1947-49 period. J ble 1 follxawe on p. 6. Table 2 follows an p. 7. Table 3 follows on p. 8. -5- S -E-C-A -.E-T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 MgPoft at PM. Into Mdm by Area 1936-3/ -. North ChIm Oentral Chi s. South Whin Amu" OrMA Tbta1 OTC . 1936 Gasoline 14, 000 100,o65 32,503 1++6, 566 Kul and Diesel Oil 15, 5-18 170,766 156,085 344,379 ]lrsr oe 91, 96'2 212,983 35,368 340, 313 Lubricating Oil. 3,4a 31,153 999 35t573 Total. 124,21 1 2 '726 5 Percent of AnmW Omad fttal - (14.4) (59.4) (100) 1937 22, 874 940157 56,91' 173, 9r+3 ?*l and Diesel Oil 12,748 , 284.P367 234,163 531,278 .roans 66,96. 77,522 47.,296 191,780 IMbrtcmtiWg 011 3,186 28,815 1.0425 33,426 -1 484, $fZa: 334,796 930A 427 Fer"Ut of grow Total (52.1) (36.5) (iooa0) 1938 VISMUM 10,260 22, 081 95, 706 128, o,+j 1 ael and Diesel OU 2 e 71,159 90,984 170,115 roman 6 , 424 6o, o56 81, 615 210, 095 Dubaiicatiasg Oil 4,43? 6,703 1,541 12, 681 Total Percent of Anuual Grand Zbta1 9 ,093 (17.5) M~JZQ &J" (31L,O) (51?,. s2o,s3e taote U Tabl* I f*3.Uws o p. 7. .- 6 (~.ooao Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C-R-E-T !able 1 IWWU of POL into MU& by Arta 1936-39 (C~t) Metric 2tum Pftt vt 1 icth China Amm' Ceaottr 1 Cblm Sciutffi China Grand ' tal 1939 Gasoline 1 llr1 M Diesel 091 13, 570 66wee 79,368 36j"34 ,207 2 bricati,. t1i1 9,228. 9.267 Total _e Pe, of a1. erad Sate.. (3000) (344) 60,276 107,817 53,608 134,026 340058 149, 633 607 19,1.02 1 410 _623 (300) (LO0oa) ` .to `vas tip Sn the , , 3b7 tsMlc taiam . tm S o a r 1 9 3 7 a t 258 9 9 ' ~ " e , firs was ftitrais L to the State Depsrte t by Ch1xrae offSci la is a orranrbs vz9.ttea in 1948. . Table 2 Uporte of POL Into Chas by Alm 1946 Metric Tb" PrObAc limb Cht"A Cautmi. Luaa .......... Carolim 38,803 193,362 34,,194' M6,359 Gael and D1 med. O U 2,776 317.256 690 11 712 331 seroeeaae 40 148647 , 33 464 , 222 2 8 Yubsrieatis 01.1 e/ 8,9 ;6 W,081. P 3,237 , 7 280 59 Paraffin Ilex 3 4p x+98 680 , 5,18 . jai 10 PQ & ELI Pemmt of Tabal (10.5) Sc~D?) 5) (9 10O ) . L D'.7 ,u1. aces. -7 - 3 E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S E-C R -E-T Table. 3 its of POL into Ctitna 1947-49 aa 79oiw Pr?dixet 1247 1Le . Jamoline , 2500706 126,000 1 and Dill 4f1 1, 20T 996,540 49T, 000 Kerosene 285.581 106,800 56,000 Iubricatin 0i1. 57,746 44,308 21,000 Paraffin Was 5.0712. NQAAQ . NoA' Asgbsslt 17,350 N*Ao NoAo U UM Imparts of AU Products 1a 31+5 0 0 2922j, I 54 00 000 A. ee totals ude grease. =4 f-r the weir-. . b. U U colum of figures w derived by accepting total. iaaaports for 1949 as being equal is value to aYjpwdmte3y w e.ba1t that of 19tt8 and by distributing the to e1 mmona the products by the pereantsage distrth tiara that obtained in 1948. At the Wevent tUm the MM is supp13is Mina vith allsA au its MgAired pets . CMOeq=ntly, no firs data exist cmt ubi s twat bases estiamrates of curr'eiit Wis. 1%. ~`lsaarr 0 fttteole ?rodwsto b Are% =A of Pr+fet. There we,, 14 osreral, three possible typee of starew for mil: ( I ) storage lacil sties f *.ruft oil., usoaU}13- lcacaimd near pzwetioa amrc" and 3nlog f tallati ; (2) bulk tutorage fbcilitie s 9+ w refissed pralI cts, tamatd swear reftmerU sm m a; (3) wre3,-+aaxaa xtorW a ss pace su d a . art . t m three try es, boamer, o44 the deemd aced thUd t In the Cae oia esp A t the lades ale, Sarm"Ottost, the facilitfas far a cxag crude on in the f v. Chinese o11,1lsids we of the pmosasa amt. COl3asting ay$t.ms rot ffa34 crude oils are also pzl*itiv . Tics stare of ,uets'.ia the u oil field refinery a ea in Xmm Pie yea a pressing and unsolved psvblm as Ina " Dew 1942, "the aamn *t vben to be stared tot*aid ]mss than 13j, 000, ' aaatrla tmaas. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C-H-E-2 Storage facilities for UVOrted prods cts, however, were aleWate -l 'tdtie past. y. eyy were built by the foreign oil cos .es .. Once-the mean-going tankers unload d .tbo,ir, cargoes In the bulk term, . storage depots located In the Cbainem+e port cities, care of do things generally happened to the petroleum products. They were either maned to other inland storage facilities by railroad took cars, oil bargee, and Junks, or were packaged is cans and barrels to be moved to caaa.sumptioo points by' more various magna of transportatiax, including the.. human back. Because of their dt inatioc- over the distribution of petrol. lWodeacte in China, the foreign oil companies have masiatained the most accurate historical information an the storage facilities Su China. During Wor34 War II, those oil co a nhes furnished the ii'breign Operatiane CanIttee of the Petroleum Admiaiaaatratioan for War with a detailed listing of bulk storage facilities by. location sod by type of product. ?r These data were brought up to date in March .1949 by further oampaaay re- losses an postwar storage to IAC agencies. 2/ ' Informatics on the storage of Petroleum products in Coo?wuist China is extremely fragmentary, alter it can beat be eeticaated against the backdrop of the data furnished by tine tore iga oil companies. .The total prewar facilities for bulk product storage in 'Chun., nchuria, the Kwaagtung Peninsula (Dairen), and Bong Kong (194:919 matriae tames' a a tar.led 1,,025"000' metric tons. 10 ft e scattered varehmse a used for barrel and drum stage In those same areas Increased the total storage capacity by another 2i0, 000 metric tam. Table 4* lists the prewar storage capacity of bulk tank and ware - bouse package oil storage facilities by province . 12/ 2.. Postwar Pattern. ? A VS Naval Attache report from Sranghe l dated 12 Joie 19+7 gave the totals for usable POL tank storage on the Chinese n - nland. at approximately 580,000 metric tons. Sin source was a group of Chine aria Nationalist officials whose account reportedly took cegnizaance of losses of tacks during the war period.. le follows cc p. 10. -9- S-E-C R=E-T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S?r' C=R-r,-T Tab) a fir'. Prewar Storage Canacitiea for NOT, in China by Province and by Tyne of Storage Warehouse Caoacit Bulk Product Tank Capacity (Metric Tons) Stan.Vae and CalTex (Metric Tons) Asiatic Petroleum Co, (Square Feet)' 9wangtung 540779 100219 84,'59 Kwangal 2,449 1, 735 18p280 lien 25,1055 11,649 55o722 K.an$au 289,916 32,498 176,1? Chekiang 5,415 2,281 .30, 338 Anhwei 13, 5' 8 14,702 34,063 ridAgol 25,0557 _ 6,081 4o,,236 HUwh 159, 465 15, 402 106, 8i2 nailan 47,031 4,438 49,262 Szechwan 29, 675 3,685 28, 746 S atuz g 52,861 90039 63t546 weh 100,758 L3,6814 138,687 Chahar 360 291.. 3, 098 Shensi 0 473 0 Shen+ 3 224 241 12#300, 0 725 0 Subtotal ?92 OQ U?,14 3 81+1 135,000 27,063. 90$360 .Ewa Kong mreutt Praviace (Dairen,) 56,446 6,660 11,000 xswhuria 26,900 5,582 113,391 Grand Total 1 02 40 K&446 1 . 1 mates to eblc 4 'Q].Ura ca p. 11. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Table 5 Poatwer Storage of PAIL i n, . Chian by Product aM by Area Aviation Notor, N o r t h C h .n"- Taingtao 7, 5,757 6,412 1,606 Tientsin Area 7,652 17,749 28,570 9,380 Subtotal l.t 474 2 06 34 20 Percent of Area Total . (1OQ5) (l6 O ) Gaeo3.Sm ftsWAw Kerosene, Oil ft el Oil If-led Total. '21 o) (lLk3) 3, 251 208 0 48,379 5&221 484 5!2Z _6x 786 (202) (330o) (110000); Central Ana mmwgb" 27,168 45,,34o 61,439 128, 809 .'e tze Port& 3,543 16,717 31,947 14,408 a btatal L%111 6 14 21 Percent or Area Total math Chin (6Qo)* (12pp.): Canton . 3, 370 8,105 btotai 3, 7) 8 2 Percent of Area Tota2 f6p9~). :`(5~t) Grand !o 55 .. 93d668 Percent of Area E3rand Total. (TOO) 115,P382 15,092 P 52,426 RW.82 a- 5 (1. 8oo). (284) (2300) (13oo) (1000) 13,9543 Ila 702 2, 783 13, 353 I ,, 11 702. 2 gj1Q 52,656 .;:0507 ) Diesel th O. Area 12. 2a3 ) (2300). (2090) ' (2590 ) (5Q2) (25,o) (ooo) .fit,,, a.120 3 , 1 (11760) (18Q0) (?) a. 7 3 1 , 0 7 1 3 - total 3 nh c tms of image ca ty rera.-ral"W t e oil eels, the entity of store a rejoeted.to not 3n use shaild be subtracted. this swun6ed to 15,255 motric tons. Mms, the total svaUabla storage ev a ed about 596,000 uric two as the Chinese main1andj exclusive of Hong .Kongfl 3 bvria, and DaIrm. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Table 6 co u pt xa of Pal by ncbur Iustry 1933 Jlstric ' Taus Heavy Coal. Coke ftsolim Oil Kerosene Oil S1~x~i 17,717 8 0 2.1 9.3 0 xeta1. Ow 5,068 503.1 1.6 0.7 0 .4 ]ta 1 ry, Ra' 1 Stock' ; a Sits buildin 4o,668 33,; 929 22 6 2 396 Cent, Rrik, and We nu act r 202, 352 17, 090 0.7 0 3.8 6 C ica1 114, 88~+ ~ 25, 015 0 0 17 0 Pion Proc~east 31,465 483 0 0.9 6 0 Pa r Plfa , ,578 0 C. 0 0 0 Natural fts fwwraoturing 4:954 7, 037 0 0 0 0 aaw WIUn and. Wood%mrklng 376 6 0 0 0 *3 0 P l tii Bookmaking .2,812. 30 0.9 0 0.9 0 Viecellamaw 1,413 39 0.7 0 0.5 0.3 Total h 2Qqq ?71.148 26.3, 9.7 ~y .8 Tabu 7 C as t iou of POL by i nchuri a n Ra .lro1940-41 tylx of Pte. ,Y. 1 0 .1241 Steam Cylinder Oil 1.2013 1,037 Axle cam. i., 817 1,0+13 laabrleatit*g Oil 93 79 Orease 844 813 Total 3~7t~2 _15.. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 5~~~-C--K-K-~ ~. China. 1. Prior to 1937. Like Manchuria, the Chinese economy was coal burning in the prewar years. Kerosene for domestic lighting, cooking, and beating bulked largest as the petroleum product most in demand in prewar China. The demand for lubricating oil and gasoline was emil.l., reflecting the s11 number of motor vehicles and the backwardness of Chinese industrialization. Xt should also be emphasized at this point that not all the oil products imported by the foreign oil companies were consumed by the. Chinese. In fact, a significant percentage of imported POL was consumed in this period by foreigners living in the foreign settlements and missions. They owned a large number of China's automobiles, and their demands for PO1for heating and lighting were great. In 1935, for instance, .approximately 1OQ,O00 foreigners resided in China. .Shanghai alone contained 39,000. If the 1937 per capita POL consumption for US residents of about 1 metric ton per person is applied to foreign residents of China, in the absence of any better data, then approximately 100,000 metric tons may have been consumed by foreigners In. 1937. This estimaate?means that PQL consumption by the Chinese nationals alone would have been considerably lower than Import figures indicate. Since no better statistical support for consumption by foreigners exists, this distinction is not made in this report for the'period prior to 1937. Consumption by other categories in China Is detailed in the following sections. a. Transportation. `1) Raids A study of Chinese railroads made by the Japanese prior to their Invasion of China reveals how much POL was used by those railroads in the pre-1937 period. According to the Japanese study, a total of only 9,500 metric tons was needed for the annual operation of the Chinese railroads between 1931 and 1934. The breakdown by type of product used and rate of consumption per locomotive mile is given in Table 9.! L4/ The average size of the Chinese locomotive park between'1931 and. 1934 was 1,195 locomotives. The distance traveled per locomotive per year averaged 26,533 miles. Thus, the total average number * Table 9 follows on p. 18. -17- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Table 9 Conars Lion of POL by Chinese Railroads 1931-34 Cylinder Oil Machine Oil Axle Grease Year G= per Agile. (MME ( cilogrems r ) (_is ama per Axle) - i 3.931 0.0822 0.226 5.08 1932 0.0768 0.198 4.28 1933 0.0858 0.217 6.91 1934 0.0798 0.201 6.80 Average 0.812 0.210 5. of miles traveled by all locomottvee in an average year during this period was 31,706,935 miles. / Applying this average figure to the consumption factors listed in Table 9, the quantity of POL coned by Chinese rail- roads in metric tons vas as follows: cylinder oil,, 2,537; machine oil, 6,658; grease, 429e; makIn a total of 9,624. (2) Motor Vehicles. Motor vehicles were, for the most part, limited to jai and other large cities in prewar China. It.1ma been estimated that in 1936 there were only 37,700 motor vehicles of all types in China. L6/ Imports of gasoline. for that year totaled 146, 568 metric tons, 2f` Allowing a 5-percent loss between ocean terminal and vehicular conau`ricion, approximately 1x40, 000 metric tons of motor gasoline were available to consumption by motor vehicles in China in this period. Taking into account such miscellaneous uses of motor gasoline as ],ing stationary motors, motor gasoline consumption may have ranged from 100, 000 to 150,000 metric tons, or from 3 to 4 metric tons per vehicle per year. (3) ~. Mast of the Chinese inland water and coastal shipping was in foreign hands before 1937,. and, ? in? addition, most of it he f i :o or grease conarnrption was reached, by multiplying the number of locomotives, passenger cars, and freight cars by the number of axles (4) and by 5.77 kilograms, the average factor for grease consumption per axle per year. -18- Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 was coal burning. 28 Some, lubricating oil was needed but the amount can be considered to have been negligible . The lubricating oil resgtirement for this period should not have exceeded 5,000 metric tons, although it should be emphasized that this figure is only a guns. The various means of transportation in China, there- fore, accounted for between 115, 000 and 155, 000 metric tons of POL at standards of operation that fell well below Western standards. b. Xndusts.,t. It might be expected that industry would be the other .major consuming sector of the Chinese economy in the period under study. Industry,, however, including thermal.. electric power stations, consumed at an annual rate of less than 20,000 metric tons of petroleum products before 1937. All Chinese industry, in fact, consumed petroleum products at the approximate rate of only 63 metric tons per day. Three hundred working days per year for all Industries are assumed in Table 10.* The data on which the table is based are taken from oagtured. Japanese . statistics on Chinese industrial fuel requirements. c. Domestic Seating, C22Kin and . Transportation and industry required less than 200,000 metric tons of PCL in the period, before 1937. The balance of POL not used by those sectors of the economy may, therefore, arbitrarily be assigned to the category of domestic heating, cooking, and lighting. This category of POL consun tion is the most difficult to pin down and., at the sty time, is the area of constion in which the greatest cut- backs can be made in time of emergency or In the event of a decrease in supplies. To quantffy these variations historically Is difficult; that the variations existed and that there were extreme fluctuations is borne out by testimony from many different sources. One method by which to estimate the amount of POL available to consumption by the domestic sector of the Chinese economy Is to work from the imports for 1936. These imparts totaled 866,833 metric tons. Subtracting 5 percent for. losses, 823,1+92 metric tons of POL were available to consumption. Subtracting from that total the range of requrements by transportation and industry of 135, 000 to 175,000 metric tons, the quantity available to dametic heating, cooking, and lighting ranged between 648,492 and?688,492 metric tons. One rough cross-check on these Table i0 follows on p. 20. -19- Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C-R-E Table 10 Consurgption of Fuel Oil by Chinese Industries 1935 8usf Metric Tons Percent Saw Mills and. Cabinet Manufacturing Parniture M f 31 0.17 anu acturing Metal7 i 0.02 .urg cal Ma hi 48 0.26 c nery and Fetal Goods Manufacturing Trans t t 580 3.15 por a ion Equipment Manufacturing Til 361 1 96 e, Cement, Pottery, and Related Product D .ufacturing til Te 933 . 5.06 x e Power Pl t' 7P105 37.72 an s Chemical 4659 9.01 . Garment M f 853 2.32 anu acturing Leather d R 63 0.34 an ubber Goods Manufacturing Food Processing 289 1.6 Paper Mills and Printin ,69 36. g Ornament and Instrument Manuf t 1 1,1161 5 6.5 ac uring Mere 31 0'17 72 0.4 figures is possible, If the figures listed for the import of lamp fuel oil given in Table 1 on page 6 are addled, and if it is assumed that most of these two products went to various domestic uses, the total of 684, 692 metric tons is derived --- a figure which substantially agrees with the one which gives transportation and industrial consumption as 135,000 metric tons. It must be recalled, however, that no losses were subtracted from the 684,692-metric-ton total. If this 5 percent loss gyotow is subtracted, a total of 650,368 metric tons is reached, a figure which closely agrees with the assumption of 175,000 metric tons consumed by transportation and industry. For convenience; and recogniz of a substantial margin of error, the figure for domestic heating a~ssibility lighting is. rounded off to 650,000 metric tons. a 300-day operation per year casein . S-E-C-R-E-T 1&012 100.00 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 S-E-C-R-E-T 2.. t ra . a. a 8,pa se' 06CUgation. In the yews immediately prior to the entry of the US into wax in the Pacific, the. most reliable evidence. of the amounts of liquid fuel consumed in the areas of Ztorbh, Central, and South China under Japanese occupation consists of import statistics from el'apanese statistical sources. Just what proportion of those Imports were ticketed for Japanese military ' and governnientel consumption,, hansever, As not kraowA. In 3.938 Nee Table A.7, total PO& imports into China reached. ?500,000 metric tons. This figure allows for the various losses before consumption. In 1939, the last prewar year for which am firm, data are available, the amount of POL imported fell below 400,000 metric tons. If the rate of decrease is assumed to have been constant for 1940 and 1941, In the absence of -any other data, Imports may have. fallen a n low as 200, 000 metric tons. Although, the. evidence is not absolutely clear, regatire- mants in China may have fallen to extrema l.y low levels in the next 3 years . According to evidence collected 'c'ram responsible Japanese offie.ialn interrogated after World tzar ll, the forward areas in China, received 36,000 metric tans of POL in 1942, 30,000'metric tons in 1943, and' 10,000 fhetric tons in 1944. ~jo POT,. requirements in Japanese- oe upied China and Manchuria are shown in Table 11. Table 11 Total Requirements for POL in al'apenese-Qccupied China and Manchuria 1941-44 Year Manchuria 'Total 1941, 200,000 126 ,232 326 232 .1942 36,000 j 139,057 , _ 175,057 1943 30, 000 50,959 80 959 3.944 10,000 71,108 .' 8i, 108 -21.- Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 b. Nationalist China. In those areas under Chinese Nationalist control during World War II, consumption of POL fell off to practically nothing. The information. on fuel allocation given in Table 120 was collected from official Chinese sources during the war and represents the fuel, allocation schedule of the Chinese Nationalist forces. It was in effect at the time of the completion of the Burma Road, when the, Nationalists, fighting alongside the Chinese Communists, had taken the offensive against " the Japanese . It is significant, however, that very few of the major rail-consuming centers were in Chinese hands at- that time . This schedule, it should be noted, includes military needs. It should be especially noticed that when military and governmental organization allotments 4euu* subtracted from the total, little was '1994 to be distributed to Chinese civilian consumers. Total civilian con- sumption in Nationalist China, according to this information, reached only about 6, 300 metric tons in 1945. 32 c. Total . If the ' foregoing evidence and estimates are accepted, the civilian and?military.requirements of Japanese-occupied Manchuria, . apanese-occupied Spina, and Nationalist China ranged from 136,000 to 1}00t 000 metric tons. That this range of Consumption requirements is within reason may be illustrated by analogy with cutbacks imposed by the Japanese in their home islands. Civilian consumption of petroleum products in Japan was cut back by 78 percent between 191+0 and 1944.''34/ If it is assumed that the Japanese cut back civilian consumption, by at least this same amount in the areas under their control, then civilian regairementa in China and Manchuria would have totaled about ?198,000 metric tons.' (900,000 X 78 percent equals 702,000, or 198,000 metric tone available to civil consun Tao. 'This figure, it will. be Noticed, fails within the, range of 136,000 to 1+00)000 metric- tons -- a. range, incidentally, which includes military requirements of the Japanese and Chinese on the mainland. By two different methods, then, it has been shown that civilian POL consumption in China and Manchuria during World liar II may have been about 200, 000 metric tons. Table 12 -follows on p.23. Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Approved For Release 2007/10/23: CIA-RDP79-01093A000200020019-5 Table "UP l.'. slit r Org niv i?t fii ).'C"c.::.7jp .9r1 a14.'odn Adrr1 i8' rit1cn 4u tiona . Groups and ~~mrswr,!.azl. LL a t ituter, q Including an-ka ) Pr .vats Individuals and Others T(:Aal al 0=2011:10' 'ef,P blea lli.ljacl, gtvi long pere"t Kop r to ' ? as Pct Metric Tort 3512 -2.) .ha 338 3066 A tl`q ~~5. 86 105 62:8 1~ 457 98 t. 3t 46 80 30 ' 1, , 5 04 6 ~'5 8 is, 64 1.-00 42 0,18 5::83 62 2.3" 303 8 0.> C 3'4 29 13 u~3 100,00 23,915 00.:OO .6" '00:00 8265 ,10 S) e. 2 1. 179 A6 ~ 0"44- 6.,$ ~.0