'EXPORT CORRIDORS OF THE WORLD: UNITED ARAB EMIRATES,' PETER HIPKIRK, DR. K. G. FENLON, RALPH IZZAZRD, TIM OWEN AND ROGER VIELGVOYE, THE TIMES, (LONDON) 23 MAY 1974.

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CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6
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RIPPUB
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C
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9
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November 11, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 6, 1998
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1
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Publication Date: 
June 14, 1974
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REPORT
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25X1C10b Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 ichest state se,eks more than oil by Peter Hopkirk Arabian "Gulf as the Arabs jah, Ajman, Umm al Qaywayn, A] Fujayrah and miles down the Gulf. Since the turn of the century this century jackpot.-Thus began what is norhans the most story of modern times. In the past 10 years, Abu Dhabi's income from oil- and it has no other - has soared-from a few thousand pounds in 1963. to an ex- pected #1,500m this year. The tripling of the price of crude "oil in the last quarter of-1973 has brought amazing extra wealth to a country already overloaded, if, not actually embarrassed, by riches. Today this former fishing village is the El Dorado of the lower Gulf. It is besieged by foreign bankers and busi- nessmen, expatriate advisers, and armies of skilled work- ers from neighbouring coun- tries, all hoping to win a stake in the Abu Dhabi mira- cle. Because of this invasion, the hotel crisis in this Ara- bian boom town is so acute that visitors have to double up. sometimes three exec- utives sharing a room. But no one complains-not even at the harrowing prices charged-for all eyes are on the crock of gold. Moreover, everyone is anxious to be clear of the Gulf before the crushing summer heat starts. Even in the spring the tem- perature can reach 100? F. Under the constitution, Abu Dhabi was to act as the federal capital for the first five years only. Meanwhile a permanent capital would be built in the desert astride the border between the emi- rates of Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the two dominant members of the UAE. It now seems unlikely that the new capital will ever be built. The fast-growing Abu Dhabi, with its high-rise office blocks, its embassies, federal ministries, inter- national airport and cascad- ing municipal fountains, seems to have staked a per- manent claim to the title. After all, Shaikh Zayed's oil wealth provides most of administration and the de- velopment of the smaller emirates, where no oil has yet been discovered. Ajman, Ras - a] Khaymah, Umm a] Qaywayn and Al Fujayrah would today be as poor, as Abu Dhabi was before its windfall were it not for the generosity of Shaikh Zayed. The visitor to Abu Dhabi - today can almost watch it growing, like one of those exotic plants which open before your eyes. In the -great open spaces just back from the dual carriageways, huge roundabouts and futur- istic architecture, it is one vast construction site. Out of the sand, as far as the eye can see, rise half-completed buildings. This year alone more than 50 are due to be finished. Among the new tenants are the international banks, and wherever you look tney are putting up their name- plates. A few years ago there was only one bank, a branch of the British Bank of the Middle East. But today the capital's fiscal arrangements have advanced a long way since the previous Ruler, ousted only in 1966, used to store the emirate's entire revenue in a cupboard in his palace, until it was discov- ered that rats had gnawed through several cubic yards of bank notes. To cope with this fever- ish activity, both in his emi- rate and in the federal ad- ministration, Shaikh Zayed has had to import a large foreign work force, and today more than 7,000 civil servants wrestle with the mountains . of paper work and other problems. They come from the surrounding Arab countries, including Iraois, Palestinians, Egyp- tians, as well as from Europe. Two of Shaikh Zayed's key advisers are Britons: Mr John Butter and Dr K. G. Fenelon, experts nn finanra n.7 er,r;o*;~C CPYRGHT It would be possible or a foreign visitor to spend week in Abu Dhabi without so much as meeting on native-born Abu Dliabian Foreigners account for high proportion of the emirate's population, which has all but trebled since the last- census of 1968. It is no estimated at about 120,000, largely spread between the capital and the inland, oasis town of Al Ain. A more detailed census of the i)'AE is to be carried out next year, which should a.s;, see the publication of the first national plan for the seven emirates. Abu Dhabi has been built entirely on oil. Unlike Dubai, and despite its new port, Abu Dhabi has no en- trepot trade worth speaking of. Only about 2.5 per cent of its imports are reex- ported, against 50 per cent or more of Dubai's. WVei- someone to find a source of energy to replace oil, t.her, Abu Dhabi could virtually disappear overnight. The perils of a single pro- duct economy are something t%1at Shaikh Zayed and his advisers are well aware of. They have not forgotten what happened to their pearl- ing industry in the late 1920s and early 1930s when Ja ianese ingenuity flooded the world market with cul- tured pearls. The Gulf pearl industry, which had replaced piracy as its main source r,# income, collapsed, bringing poverty once more to the region. But then economic in. terdependence is one of the basic purposes Of the fever: tron. IF mie of the emirates is struggling, as the notthern ones are at present, then the others help out. It -s Abs Dhabi's turn to h^]r today, and it is showing con, siderable generosity tolvard- the poorer states. It could b, Dubai's turn tomorrow, with its It Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 - CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 of Oil to us is a bonus, al sit a very large one ", a D bai businessman told me. " e would still be lrich ess wi hout it, being v nerable than most to n clear power, tar sands, oil shale- coal liquefaction or a ping else the scientists m y come up with." It has been suggested that o ce Abu Dhabi's oil wealth b gins to pile up, the emi it te's tiny population could Ii 'e. comfortably off its in- v stnients in the West and e sewhere if the demand for o i ever fell off. At present u Dhabi's surplus wealth i modest because of heavy s ending on development Aid generous aid to others. However, there, should soon a considerable surplus for i vestment outside the UAE. Li i ng off savings or i vestments is not seen by haikh Zayed as the answer or Abu Dhabi, which he ore than anyone hopes to ee as part of a closely knit deration with each emirate r king its contribution. An ager search to find exports esides oil and petrochemi- :als is being pursued in Abu- .habi, as well as throughout he United Arab- Emirates. ut just what the. Shaikh. has o offer the world besides oil t is hard to see. Tourism, that inter- tatioilai cure-all, is being poken of enthusiastically, although because of the ex- treme heat and humidity of the Gulf, this would have to be confined to the winter months. A really modern fishing industry, with quick- freeze facilities aboard the mother vessels, is another export possibility. Already is is the major- occupation of the inhabitants of the two smallest emirates, Umm al Qaywayn and Ajman. Meanwhile work has started on a cement plant in Al Ain which will use locally quarried materials. Initially for domestic consumption, it is hoped that when the present pace of development has. levelled out, there could be a market elsewhere in the gulf for Abu Dhabi cement. However, there is a danger of the Gulf region ending up with an embar- rassing surplus of cement. In the UAE alone there are two other cement factories going up. One, being built by Rich- ard Contain of London in Dubai at a cost of #9m, will yield 500,000 tons of cement annually when completed next year. The other, financed by Abu Dhabi, is being built in Ras al Khay- mah, northernmost of the emirates. In other countries around the Gulf, including Iran and Iraq, there are now cement industries, all of which, moreover, hope to export once their domestic requirements have levelled off. A number of new oil-based industries with export hopes are planned for Abu Dhabi. These include a petrochemi- cals complex yielding such products as PVC and caustic soda, a chemical plant to produce chlorine and ozone, a small sulphuric acid plant with an output of about 50 tons a year; and a plant pro- ducing organic residue. In addition, Abu Dhabi is to sell three million tons of liquefied natural gas to Japan a year. in Trade prospers Smugglers' creek Half an hour by air up the iffs and liberal policies have desolate coast from Abu attracted trade for many Dhabi-or . 100 minutes by years, and today it is the the fast new desert road- supermarket of the Gulf, with lies Dubai, the Hongkong of a monopoly on the entrepot the Gulf. This flourishing trade of the whole region. .city state, astride its famous Its real leap forward into Creek, is the second wealth- the twentieth century began iest of the United Arab Emi- in the late 1950x, when its Ruler saw that if the Creek thought would prove to be a white elephant, is to be en- larged. A huge dry dock for the supertankers of the Gulf is being built alongside Port Rashid and soon Dubai is to become a free port, hoping thus to attract new industry and investment. Just as Abu Dhabi is built on oil, the prosperity of Dubai is largely built on gold. Smuggled gold, one should add ; although, for the time being, this traffic has dried. up, being replaced by other profitable lines like watches. The gold was bought openly in London and Geneva and flown to Dubai. There it was sold to others who smuggled it into India and Pakistan, both traditional markets for this metal, in swift, diesel-powered dhows. It was all quite legal-in Dubai, at least, where Shaikh Rashid keeps restrictions'on private enterprise to the ab- solute minimum. ' Just as fortunes were, until recently, made out of g6ld, today they are being made from watches, razor blades, medicines, textiles, arms and other desirable goods which leave Dubai in the holds of her dhow fleet. At least 50 per cent of goods imported into the emirate are subsequently reexported, largely to India, Pakistan and Iran. A high proportion of these goods evade, by various tra- ditional and mysterious means, customs officials at the delivery end. Not for nothing has Dubai been called a " smugglers' supermarket ". Of course the Duhai auth- orities have no part in the smuggling, and no Dubai laws are broken. As one Dubai merchant explained it to me : " What a man does with the goods he buys in a super- market is no concern of the management. If he chooses to take them away and smuggle them into another country then that's his risk." Evading customs means not merely the evasion of duty in India, or wherever the goods are destined, but also the evasion of prohibi- tion laws on luxury goods. The profits are often very considerable on those goods, which are thus doubly desir- rates. It-o~eh-ice re o~ ire-Trot Tmpto?ed Dubai mot--all Dubai's reexported nra ee an its of revenue, is mig .t ose groun3 to other goods become contraband. breaking world monetary re- Gulf parts, as Sharjah had Large quantities-especially cords. At something like before it. Since then its building materials, household 510,000 for every man, growth has been remarkable, goods and foodstuffs-are woman and child in the emi- culminating in the comple- carried overland to Muscat, rate, Dubai's external trade tion of the splendid new for instance, while other figures show the highest deep-water harbour. goods travel quite legally to annual per capita movement Dubai's merchant prince, Iran. Some of the goods anywhere in the world. Shaikh Rashid, more entrepre- which found their way to Whereas Abu Dhabi is dis- near than just conventional Abu Dhabi by road, however, tinctly nouveau . r riche Ruler, has further ambitions are now shipped there direct Dubai's wealth -is several for the emirate. The 15-berth -" and unloaded at Port Zaved. generations old. Its lord tar- port, which some people which was opened i 1972. However, the day I left Dubai there were to faces among the -dhow cre?,. S busily loading their shapely craft along the Creek. vi nrd had just come through that Dubai dhow had ben seized by Indian customs zi~en with its cargo of 27,0 Swiss watches. For- the watch 'has Largely replaced bullion as the-smugglers' favorite. It represents a lot of money con- centrated into on small, easily obtainable easily marketable object. Three million watches are flown into Duba every year, sufficient f r every man, woman and child to own 50. Ninety pe cent of them are shipped straight out again by dho for the black markets of t e Indian subcontinent.. Bec- os' dhows of Dubai are guishable from tie local coastal- vessels. of India and Pakistan it is not difficult for them to lose tl c iseives in the crowd on arrival. The best hope of the' customs .inspectors, who are now equipped with I igh-speed hovercraft, is to catch them red-handed transferring the contraband to local vessels, or to intercept t e goods smuggling trips ar ful, such is the Dubai's skippers, whom have pirate of the success- many of ~ blood in rn dhow, no longer dependent on the fickle winds of t went is made at vaus, for Dubai's do not want rupees. Instead, settlement is usually made through a complicated and ends up in Dubai rather than Delhi. Sometime-', however, payment is made in Indian silver. . With the rise in silver prices in the W~st a new traffic has begu "poor man's gold " between the dhow', ches and still adhering to t bars. With each #2,000, I calculat ards now silver in to Switzer- India was lany of the one worth Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A00010 pile before me was worth more than #100,000. One bored-looking soldier with a Lee-Enfield stood over this emir's ransom. I asked a senior bank official whether they were not afraid of a bullion robbery. He shook his head : "Where could they take it? There's the Empty Quarter to the south, and if they tried to ship it out by 'sea we would have them in five minutes. Anyway, it's so heavy that each man could only carry one bar." The Indian Government has now legalized this traffic in silver, so the only risk to the investor is of a dhow foundering .in a storm. But a man who likes to gamble can still try his hand at arm- chair smuggling by putting Fxpanding econ C Pby Tlr"Y{ G. Fenelon In some countries, notably Britain and Japan, the basis for successful economic sur- vival has been summed up in the slogan " export or die " ; for the United Arab Emi- rates the slogan might well be "import and live ". In Abu Dhabi practically all requirements, whether con- sumer goods, consumer dura- bles, motor vehicles, machin- ery, building materials or oilfield requirements, have to be imported. For Dubai, import and subsequent reex- port is the lifeblood of her economic existence. Fortunately for the emi- rates, there is no balance of payments problem, nor is there any shortage of .for- eign exchange. Crude oil ex- ports provide abundant for eign exchange and are the mainspring for the develop- ment of the economy. Abu Dhabi was the first and is by far the most important exporter of crude oil but now oil is flowing also from Dubai, though in much smaller quantities. Soon Sharjah will join the ranks of oil exporters and several of the other emirates live in ,hope of oil discqvery. Dubai is unique among the Gulf States as her wealth and economic prosperity were built up by trade long before her oil exports began in 1969 and her predominant activities are still trade, com- merce and transport. The difference between the two richest emirates is clearly shown by comparing their import patterns. In Dubai about 43 per cent of the 'imports consist of consumer goods such as foodstuffs, tex- tiles, household require- ments or watches and some- thing like 60 per cent of these imports, including practically all the watches, are reexported. In Abu Dhabi about 70 per cent of imports consist of construc- tional materials, machinery, oilfield supplies, and motor IL money into a smuggling syn- dicate. Moreover, he can do it with a clear conscience, and certainly with no risk of breaking any law - except those he is safely out of reach of. If his vessel gets through he will probably receive a telephone call informing him that "Aunt Fatima has arrived safely ". The rewards, moreover, can be considerable, and are un- taxed. 0630001-6 Peter Hopkirk yHyvill bolster region's importan f e uc s but only a Sinai raction, amounting in 1973 2.5 per cent, are reex? nrtAd Imports into the "federa'- on as a whole amounted in 972 to about #250m and in e o vine year soared to some #370m. There has been a great surge in Abu Dhabi's con- structional activities which gathered momentum in the second half of '1972 and have continued ever since. Prosperity in Dubai also leaped forward during these years, partly because of her new-found wealth from oil and partly because of in- creasing activities in sur- rounding countries which called for her reexports. Sharjah now has begun to bound ahead as a result of the activities involved in de- veloping the oil find off Abu Musa Island. The remain- ing four emirates of Ras al Khaymah, Ajman, Umm al Qaywayn and Fujay- rah are benefiting both directly and indirectly from the prosperity of their neigh- bours . and from the eco- nomic and financial aid ex- tended to them by Abu Dhabi. They have some agri- cultural and fishing poteu- tial though their production is too small to meet anything like the full needs of the federation. The value of imports per head is high, notably in Abu Dhabi and Dubai. Though the population of the federa. tion is a little over 340,000 it is a rich and expanding market. In 1973, imports per head into Dubai reached the high rate of about #240 a month, but more than half of these were reexported. For Abu Dhabi the corre- sponding figure was about #90 Per head a month but practically all the imports were retained. Britain retains leadership Imports into the es re awn from more than 70 different countries, but for many years the been the United Kingdom, Japan and the United States with about half the total "Inthese three countries. The United Kingdom has retained Iead- ershap in Abu Dhabi over the years'but?has had to be content with third place since 1972 in Dubai, where the import pattern is some- what different. The United Kingdom leads in machinery, chemicals, cos- metics, stationery, alcoholic beverages and arms and ammunition. Japan has built up a commanding position as cycles and leads in textiles, building materials, electrical goods and photographic goods. Import of motor vehi- cles has been a growth market and the percentage provided by Japan has in- creased steadily over the years from 60 per cent in 1969 to 94 per cent in 1973. By 1972 Japan had cap- tured 96 per cent of the market for motor cycles. It is now becoming a somewhat unusual sight on the roads throughout the federation to see a car or motor cycle of recent vintage which is not Japanese. Japan, 'however, has not made any serious inroads into the market for heavy duty and specialized n rotor vehicles. The United States is well ahead in oilfield supplies and runs the United King- dom very close in machinery imports. Among other sup- pliers there is a considerable degree of specialization. Switzerland, for example, has carved out a large ..market for her watches, worth about #lOm a year. Australia does well in food- stuffs and Iran in refined oil products due to the proxim- ity of her refineries. China in 1973 came into the top 10 importers into Dubai-wirlr a trade- of sonic ~$m though in the previous United year it had been less than to t ies are foodstuffs and' stationery. The -statistics quoted follow the usual nrarrirt- an A rplntp .to, countries of provenance (the immediate suppliers) and these are not necessarily ufacture or production. Brit- ish imports therefore may be a little higher than those given in the tables as some commodities such as books may be listed as coming from Lebanon or other coun- tries to which goods are transhipped, though manu- factured in Britain. The amounts involved however are not large. In the accompanying statistical tables the trends in the import'. pattern can be seen over the past five years. As practically all re- quirements in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Sharjah have to be imported, the volume of imports is naturally geared to the degree of economic activity in the area. The year 1969 was a boom year in Abu Dhabi when construc- tional activities forged ahead and this accounts for the high level of imports that year. Activity fell off in 1970 and it was not until 1972 that the earlier level was overtaken. Dubai weathered the doldrums in better shape as she was concerned in reexporting consumer goods over a wide area rather than building materials and con- structional goods. Neverthe- less she felt the effects of Abu Dhabi's relapse as that emirate was among her im- portant markets and the rate of increase of her trade slowed down. Standards of living ere now rising rapidly through- out the -federation especially among the native-born pop. ulation. Concurrently the demand for labour has in- creased and wages of un- skilled labourers have more than doubled over the past 18 months in Abu Dhabi. There is an acute shortage of houses fiats-and office Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 accommodation and many multi-storeyed buildings are being constructed to meet the demand. The rising standards of living have already led to a greater demand for all kinds of imported products and this trend is continuing. These rising standards of living, the increasing popula- tion augmented by the immi- gration of expatriate tabour and large-scale development activities such as a new re- finery or the liquefied ,nat- ural gas plant on Des Island make it reasonable to predict that the UAE will become even more important as a market in the coming years. Activities are likely to spill over to the less devel- oped emirates, especially when the new road systems linking the Batinah Coast with the Arabian Gulf Coast are completed and the planned connexions are made with the new roads of Oman. These developments should open up new chan- nels of trade and increase the demand for imports of all kinds. Development of services With increasing wealth and higher standards of living, there is bound to be a considerable development of tertiary industries, that is those concerned with serv- ices, education, health, dis- tribution, finance, insurance, entertainments and leisure occupations. The growth of such activities will require imports of the necessary equipment and supplies as well as building-up trade in invisibles ". Banking services Are. a case in point. Considerable expansion has taken place in the provision of banking and financial services And at present 65 banks, not includ- ing sub-branches, are oper- ating within the fedeeration. Well known banking names from . the United Kingdom, the United States, Pakistan, Iran and France are already represented and there are several Arab and locally- ---established banks. Several ire --alma t--to open. Last year the newly formed Currency Board established a forward ex- change market and now operates clearing houses in Abu Dhabi and Dubai. Other financial institutions are making their appear- Table 1 Dubai's imports. Leading countries of provenance (million dirhams) Year Total Imports Share provided by United United - W Japan States Kingdom Switzerland Hongkong German' India 1973 .2341 529 329.. 281.._ _104- 98 .85.. 77 1972 1475 308 200 191 110 58 43 54 1971 1059 182 127 186 94 36 36 47 :1970 960 163 _ 88 197 g3 32 32 56 1969 922 _. 179 76-.. 161 _106- ... 29._ 39 42 In 1973 other importers in the top ten were Iran (DH 82m), China (DH 81m) and France (DH 58m). China had risen from DH 47m In 1972 and France from DH 33 m. Table 2 . Abu Dhabi's imports. Leading countries of provenance (million dirhams) Year Total Share provided by Imports United United W The Kingdom Slates Japan Germany France Netherlands Au tralia 1973 1019 280 203 126 72 64 29 15 1972 758 181 104 118 44 56 21 h4 1971 469 145 107 26 21 10 16 h1 1970 333 144 51 16 18 8 10 110 1969 593 200 115, 14 37 17 24 17 Table 3 Main commodities imported into Abu Dhabi and Dubai (million dirhams) Abu Dhabi 1972 1973 Dubai 1972 Machinery 279 402 Machinery 250 Transport equipment 84 156 Textiles and clothing 215 Foodstuffs 69 79 Household goods 274 Iron and steel goods 62 99 Foodstuffs 199 Textiles and clothing 28 22 Building materials 153 Refined oil products 25 35 Oilfield supplies 165 Fuel and oil 84 In 1973 some of Abu Dhabi's imports, such as textiles, were recorded under Dubai's i ance, such as the Sharjah Insurance Company, and there has been a( considera- ble development in the pro- vision of specialized services for ocean-going oil tankers operating in the Gulf. These include such services as arranging for crew changes to and from moving oil tank- ers, work-boat facilities for off-shore oil rigs and air taxi services. Soon there will be a dry dock in Dubai capable of servicing the largest oil tankers afloat or likely to be built in the future. It is hardly necessary to state that businessmen want- ing to open up trade with the UAE should visit the area. A great number are already doing so and almost every week trade missions or Chamber of Commerce and Industry teams arrive in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. During recent months there have been three Cham- ber of Commerce missions from the United Kingdom and teams have come from Australia, Hungary, the United States, Japan, France, Romania, South Korea and many other coun- tries. During the first four months of this year 15 trc?.a missions have been received by the Abu Dhabi Chamber of Commerce and there have been several hundred indi- vidual inquiries. Most visitors favour the cool season from October to May but last summer there were an unusually large number of visitors even during the hot months of June to September. Hotel accommodation is scarce despite the opening of sev- eral large hotels of inter- national standard in Abu Dhabi, Dubai and Sharjah. In consequence it is often difficult to arrange hotel bookings at short notice. Politeness and patience are the two great virtues for the exporter, contractor or consultant working in the Middle East. Many of the merchants, importers . or senior government officials whom the visitor may meet are w@ll-travelled and accus. tomed to western modes of life and behaviour but even with the most sophisticated, politeness and an under- standing of local-customs are highly regarded and never come amiss. Dr Fenelon is author of The United Arab Emirates (Longman) and statistical expert to the Government of Abu Dhabi. 1973 400 389 346 283 326 273 121 ports. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 Fortune turns benign for Sharjah ,after series ot,yersafs tarmac highway from Dubai, there is an endearing road- side boundary sign: " Smile: you are now entering Shar. jah ". This state of 1,000 square miles within the United Arab Emirates has seen a series of reversals of fortune during the present century but now has much to be happy about. Once more it is living in expectation of all assured income from oil. Sharjah is the third lar- gest state in the union and has a population estimated at 60,000. With three en- claves at Daba, Fakkan and Kalbah on the Gulf of Oman, it is the only Amirate to have access to. the sea . on both sides of the Musandam pen- insula. it is the only emi- rate to have a common boundary . with each of the six others. On the western shore, its territory entirely encloses that of its northern ttteighbour, the tiny state of Ajman. At the beginning of the century Sharjah had more wealth than all its neigh- bours as the many fine man- sions of the pearl merchants, still standing in the old town, testify. It was also a prosperous entrepot doing livelier business than Dubai, its neighbour nine miles to the south. But hard times came in the late 1920s with the col- lapse of the pearling indus- try. Traders also lost heart. The creek which had en- abled goods to be unloaded straight into the suk was allowed to silt up. Coastal dhow traffic moved on to Dubai, and the merchants followed them. In. recent decades Sharjah has struggled on with no -very visible means of sup- port. There was a modest income from the export of red oxide which is used for lipsticks and other cosmet- ics. This amounted to about 16,000 tons a year, most of which went to the Golden Valley Company of Bristol, England, but the amount dropped off when contin- uous burrowing in the mines rendered them unsafe. In the 1930s, Sharjah became a staging point for the flying-boats of Imperial Airways. The RAF arrived in 1942 -and -established --a base which 'gradually grew in size, yielding substantial Over the years various companies unsuccessfully drilled for oil both on shore and offshore, but it was mot until last July that these efforts were finally re- warded when Buttes Gas and Oil of California made a promising strike beside Sharjah?s Gulf island of Abu Musa. An agreement had been reached with Iran in 1971 to share die island and also to share wn a fifty-fifty basis, any oil which might be found in a 12-mile belt around it. Iran has agreed to pay Sharjah #1.5m a year until Sh-arjah'?s oil revenue reaches #3m. With these modest riches-which have been augmented to an undisclosed amount by grants from Abu Dhabi-it is astonishing that Sharjah not only survives, but to all outward appear- ances, thrives. The modern section of the city shows every sign of prosperity. The main street is lined with fine commer- cial buildings and multi- storey office blocks. The ave- nues are broad with rounda- bouts (filled with flowers and with central fountains. The telephone exchange which opened in 1967 with 100 lines now has 2,000 lines with another 1,000 soon to be added. There are as many as 15 banks. The capital has a fine modern cinema and two first-class hotels, the Sheba and the Sharjah Carlton. The latter, just opened at the seaside suburb of Al Khan, has 170 rooms, some luxury suites, and offers yachting, a swimming poolCP RGHT and sea bathing. by Tim Owen Sharjah is fortunate that it has an energetic and able administrator in its Ruler Shaikh Sultan bin Muham mad al Qasimi. Shaikh Sultan works very long hours and has a habit o dropping in, without warn ing, on any government de partment he feels may b under pressure. He is the only one of the union' seven rulers who speak fluent English, an advantage for foreign businessmen. -Davelopruent -plans -- ar - --flow-being worked-out-wit the help of a consultants firm and a report should b eady, planned progress ithin the state's financial apacity. In one respect Shaikh Sul- n's planning has already tarted, with the expansion f the port on which l'i' s specially keen. In 1965, ark began on a 2,OOUti etty with two berths for hips s of up to 10,000 tons, low known as Port Khalid, fter the last Ruler, who was ssassinated in 1972. A f15m reject is aiow being carried ut to increase its capacity o that it can take six ships f up to 12,000 tons. The onstruction of warehouses nd storage facilities has egun, and the whole project viii take four years. A second port so near ubai's magnificent facility may seem an anachronism, but Shaikh Sultan is con- vinced it is necessary as part of his oil industry's infra- structure and to cope with the upsurge in prosperity that an oil income will bring. A smaller nrniect is also beinz car-ied out in the Creek, and the depth is being increased to 19ft. The British firm, Tarmac Con- struction, started on the first phase of a #1m scheme in 1969 to cut the sandspit forming the outer wall of the creek and opening up carrying dhows to berth alongside the waterfront once mare. Light industries have lag- ged in Sharjah so far. There is a small fish processing plant near the capital and now the Indian firm of Gokaldas is entering into a joint. venture to produce; caustic soda and hydro- chloric acid. Other enter- prises may soon follow. Shaikh Sultan is well' aware that there are posse bilities for the development of agriculture in Sharjah l which has so far seen held up through lack of funds. The state's enclaves on the Gulf of Oman-known as the Batinah Coast-have good fertile land and adequate water derived from the mountain range which forms the spine of the peninsula. To the west of the moun. tains there are flourishing vases at. Adh Dhayd and Mila-iha where there are experimental farms. Sharjah may well have considerable tourist poten tial, particularly at the little port of Fakkaii, on the Batinah Coast where the mountains react the sea and cradle a small, deep bay. There is no hotel there yet and this must wait until construction of the mountain section of the road linkilig Sharlah's east and west coasts is completed. Smaller par kite future lies 1`11 ishing and farniin:~ Of the seven emirates com- rtes. prising the Federation of the This situation has arisen UAE little is known or from the fact that sover- heard of Ajman. Unim al eignty in the past has been Qaywayn, Al Fujayrali and based on tribal allegiance. Ras al Khaymah, the four rather than control of terri- smallest partners in terms of tory. population and wealth, so It is unfortunate for the much are they overshadowed four minor partners that no by the infinitely more pros- oil has been found in any of perous emirates of Abu them. All fields established Dhabi and Dubai. so far are in the three larger In most cases the prob- emirates, Abu Dhabi, Duba. lems arising from the sparse- and Sharjah. Exploration -of their populations and both onshore and offshore -continues in Ras al Kh-iy further aggravated by frag- mail, where there are high mentation of their -territo- hopes of success. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : glAIRDP79-01194A000100630001-6 CPYRGHT Apart from the possibility 1of the discovery .of oil the greatest scope for the expan- sion of the economies of the four smaller emirates lies in the development of fisheries and agriculture. For this their larger and more prosperous partners will be able to erode finan- cial backing, as indeed they are. doing in the develop- ment of- roads and other forms of communications, as well as port and harboiir facilities. It is perhaps ironic that entry into the UAE has eliminated two sources of revenue for the minor emi- rates, the issue of passports and the sale of postage stamps. Ras al Khaymah, the lar- gest and most populous of the four, with a land area of 650 square miles and a pop- ulation of 50,000, has the most substantial and varied natural resources, and it is the only one which at present has any significant export trade. Its principal resource and source of export is agriculture, and there is potential for con- siderable expansion. - Construction of Ras al Khaymah's Union Cement Factory is well under way. 'The plant is expected to go into production in 1975 with a capacity of 250,000 tons a year. It will be the largest of its kind in the UAE and should do much towards boosting exports. Dried fish has been ex- ported from Ras al Khaymah for many years, and with improved and modernized fishing methods this trade is capable of considerable ex- pansion. Another minor in- dustry is marble quarrying. As a necessary basis for the increased exploitation of its resources, Ras ai Khay- I mah has improved its public utilities. a power station has been built providing electric- ity for towns and villages, water supplies have been laid on. the creek at Ras al Khaymah town has been dredged and wharfage and port facilities constructed. Al Fujayrah is next in size, with a land area of 600 square miles and a popula- tion of 10,000. Unlike the other six emirates, Al Fujay- rah lies entirely on the sea- board of the Gulf of Oman. Its territory is divided into two main segments separ- ated by a wedge of Sharjah land. A] Fujavrah was the last of the Trucial States to be re- cognized by Britain, and its backwardness derives from its isolation from the other emirates. Communications are its greatest problem, and CPYRGHT agriculture and fisheries are the mainstays of the econ- omy. Development of the fisher- ies are the main hope for expansion although hopes are still entertained for the discovery of offshore oil. The natural harbour at Khawr Fakkan in neighbour- ing Sharjah territory is de- veloping into an important fishing centre, and it is a likely site for a fishmeal plant in which Al Fujayrah would have a share. Umm al Qaywayn, with, a land area of 600 square ers along the Gulf coast, Abu Diiabi is anxiously awaiting the outcome of long and complex negotiations be- tween the international oil companies and the Govern- ments of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia over the host gov- ernment's participation in the companies' valuable concessions in those coun- tries. The Abu Dhabi Govern- ment has opened prelim- inary talks with the two big producers on its territory, the Abu Dhabi Petroleum Company (ADPC) and A?bu Dhabi - Marine Areas (ADM,A). But it is thought that little progress has been made and meetings between the two sides have merely been to keep in touch with developments in - Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Uncertainty also arises from the-Abu Dhabi Govern- ment's militant stand over the use of the oil.- weapon against Israel's supporters. While other Gulf states have. been preparing to restore production - to the levels before the - output restric- tions were imposed last October, Abu Dhabi has shown a marked reluctance to give the operating com- panies permission to get back to normal. - - Serious doubts have arisen over whether the Govern- ment will allow the long- term production plans of the ADPC and ADMA to go ahead as planned or will instead impose its own, less generous, production sched- ules. The future course of the Abu Dhabi oil industry is of miles and a population of 5,000, lies entirely on the Persian Gulf. The only centre of population is Umm al Qaywayn town at the head of a shallow creek. It is entirely a desert region, and the only foreseeable outlet is its fisheries, apart from the possibility of offshore oil. It now has good road com- munications with the rest of the UAE, and a power sta- tion has been built. Plans exist for developing Umm al Qaywayn as the centre of an industrial fishing project for the UAE as a whole. its 21,500 million barrels of output to be dramatically increased. In addition, Abu Dhabi's oil is of high quality with a low sulphur content that makes it particularly attractive to Japanese com- panies facing growing de- mands from environmental- ists to reduce the sulphur content of atmospheric emis- sions by industrial oil con- sumers. - - In 1964 - Abu Dhabi's output was just over . nine million tons a year. By 1970 it had risen to more than 33 million tons a year while last year, despite the production cuts, it was about" 62,300,000 tons. - Before the outbreak of the war between Israel and the Arabs last October, produc- tion in Abu Dhabi was run- ning at an average of 5,300,000 tons a month. Had. there been no interruption in production this rate would have Provided an annual total of more than 64 million tons. - - - . The companies, faced with an ever expanding demand for crude, had planned to increase output to three mil- lion barrels a day by 1978 and five million barrels a day by 1980. It now seems unlikely that-'these--targets will be reached on the time schedule envisaged by the companies and there is a good chance that production will never be allowed to attain these high levels. - Goverriment's-new attitude The -most significant indi- Finally there is Ajman, smallest - of the AE emi- rates with a land area of 300 square' miles and a popula- tion of 5,000. Eve with this small area its territory is fragmented-the ajor por- tion is an enclave on the Persian Gulf oast sur- rounded by Sharja land. Ajman is entirely barren, except for a sma 1 segment near the foothil s of the Hajar mountains. Its only productive occu ation is fishing, in which t can use- fully contribute to the indus- trial fishery p 'oject in neighbouring Um a] Oa; cation of the chl-ng_d atii- during a -recent sit to Abu Dhabi by Mr Geo fi-ev Stock- The Ruler. Sha kh Za cd, told Mr Stockwel that pro. duction cuts woul be lifted but output would not rise to a level above the national interests of the country. This is very much -in lie with the attitude to oil that emerged during the supply crisis. Abu Dhabi was the fi st state to impose an embargo on deliv- eries to the United States and has taken a hard line in the counsels of the Organiza- tion of Arab Petroleum Ex- porting Countries (OAPEC) on the restoration Hof produc- tion levels. While it may take several months for the Si uation re- garding future roduction levels to become clear, it will also be -- -s me- - time before the question of state participation is settled. -The two matters - are li ked since the Government will find it difficult to prop unce on production levels until it knows the size of its share- holding in the production companies. - . - Under the tern s of the participation' pact agreed in 1973, --the------. G vernment acquired a--25 per cent stake - in both compani s which would have risen . o .51 per cent in stages by 1982. The government stake in Abu Dhabi Petroleu was acquired at the expense of Shell, British Petroleum. Compagnie Francaise des Petroles, the Near East De- velopment Corporation (a joint subsidiary o - Exxon/ Mobil) which held 23.75 per ppiuved or a ease CPYRGHT Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6 cent of the company each in the ground-the terms of with the remaining 5 per the settlement with BP. cent held by the Gulbenkian just how badly the interests. Japanese are affected will The situation in Abu depend on the negotiations Dhabi Marine Areas is more now in progress in Kuwait complex. For many years the and Saudi Arabia. Kuwait company was two thirds upset the original garticipa- owned by. British. Petroleum tion schedule when its and one third. by. CFP and -National Assembly refused produced oil from the off- to ratify the agreement that shore Zakum field that was ;gave the Government a 25 piped to loading and storage tper cent stake.. facilities on Das Island. But New talks began with Brit- BP, partly because of a need ish Petroleum and Gulf, the to raise large amounts of joint owners of the Kuwait capital to finance develop- Oil Company on revised ments in other parts of the terms. All the other Gulf world, decided to sell off States, including Abu Dhabi. some of its excess crude oil at this point told the oil capacity in the Middle East. companies that they re. Abu Dhabi Marine Areas served the right to renegoti- was chosen as the vehicle ate their own participation for this partial divestment agreements in the light of and in 1972 talks began with any revised terms acquired b Deminex, the German over- by the Kuwaitis. seas oil exploration consor- After nearly a year BP, tium. At the time, the Ger- Gulf and the Kuwait Govern- mans were anxious to merit drew up an outline acquire their own sources of agreement that gave the crude oil and lessen the Kuwait National Oil com- country's dependence on the pany a 60 per cent share in foreign oil groups for its KOC with the right to revise vital supplies. But after the agreement by 1979. But lengthy negotiations the deal these terms have already was shelved mainly because come under fire from meni- of the lack of financial sup- bers of the National Assem- port. from the West German bly and there continues to Government and also be- be a demand for 100 per cause of resistance to the cent takeover of the produc- acquisition, by Veba Chemie,s tion facilities. one of the members of the The situation in Saudi consortium. Arabia is far less clear since It was not difficult for BP the talks betweet to find a replacement e Aramco consortium and, bidder. A consortium of the Government have been conducted in secret. How- Japanese companies grouped ever, it is thought that the together to form the Over- Saudis have suggested an seas Petroleum Corporation Iranian type solution to the and bought a 45 per cent problem--the Saudis would interest in BP's two-thirds take over the entire conces- holding. The final stages of sion areas held by the the negotiations coincided Americans in return for a with the first round of parti- long term probabIy 20 cipation talks in which the year-supply contract. Abu Dhabi National Oil There is a growing feeling Company acquired a 25 per that this will be the best way cent holding in the conces- out of the confused partici- sion, pation situation, particularly From January 1, 1973, the since this formula has shareholdings in ADMA worked so well in Iran. Abu have been BP 27.5 per cent ; Dhabi could then find itself CFP 25 per cent ; Abu Dhabi completely in control of its National Oil Company 25 per own oil, and offering the cent ; and Overseas Petro- international companies sup- leum Corporation 22.5 per plies under long-term con- cent. .. tracts. The Japanese paid #320m Even the conclusion of an for their stake in ADMA and agreement for a 60 per cent in the light of subsequent stake would make the coun- developments this has try considerably richer. The proved to be an expensive recent agreement between deal. Production has not ' Qatar and Shell Qatar and moved forward as quickly as Qatar Petroleum confirmed Ole Japanese had hoped and that 93- per cent of the they are now faced with the posted price is the most prospect of the Abu Dhabi likely level at which the oil Government increasing its companies will buy back the stake in the company to a oil acquired by the govern- Minimum-of 60 per-cent and meats as a result of partici- -payiwg- contppensativn_on-tire pation Ta Abu -Dhabi this basis of the updated book would add between $2 and values of the assets rather $3 to the value of each than on the value of the oil barrel bought from the Gov- Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : YRGHT rnment. A lump sum pay- ent would have to be made o cover all participation oil ifted since January at the Id buying back rate-a sum hat could run into hundreds f millions of dollars. Whatever happens Abu habi can be assured of a ontinuing market for any mounts of oil it can pro- uce mainly because of the -ow - sulphur content. The quality of the oil is reflected Ti present posted prices, inilaterally fixed by Abu halii after the October eeting of the Organization f . Petroleum Exporting ?ountries that revolutionized he world pricing system. Abu Dhabi had for many ears considered that its sup- lies were underpriced and ven before the. October meeting had been pressuriz- ing the oil companies for the introduction of a sulphur premium. In terms of gov- ernment receipts, in cents per barrel, up to 1972, reve- nues from oil were among the lowest in the Gulf. Posted prices fixed from January 1 make Abu Dhabi oil among the most expen- sive in the area. Oil from the Umm Shaif field (37 to 37.09 degrees API gravity) shipped from Das Island commands a posted price of $12.086 a barrel. The higher quality Murban crude (39 to 39.09 degrees API) shipped through Jebel Dhanna has a posted price of $12.636 a barrel and Zakum crude from 'Das Island (40 to 40.09 degrees API) is fixed at $12.565 a barrel. Valuable spin-offs for atecomer in oil stakes southern coast of the Gulf For oil men the state of Dubai emains a haven of calm in the Gulf, free at present from he complex and seemingly never-ending negotiations over government participa- ion in the companies' con- essions. Visiting company executives from other parts of the Gulf are often sur- business to find that the main bject in the oil life of Dubai s to exploit existing dis- overies and continue the earch for new reserves, Compared with its neigh- ours in the Gulf, Dubai is a ewcomer to the oil-pro- ucing business and its ex- horts are well below those of he more established pro- h ucers. But the state's long history as a trading area is Petroleum Company in which Continental Oi roducing valuable results in e shar (Conoco) holds a 30 per cen the operator ction and trading oper produation S. While there has been no official move by Dubai to copy the participation de mands made by its neigh ours, many people in the oil industry think that a state shareholding will come once this delicate question has been finally settled in i surrounding oil produc- ing states. Nobody believes Dubai will be able to o Z~l , l t , , - - CPYRGHT of the other Gulf states. The greatest of these pres- sures could come from within the United Arab Emi- rates itself. Dubai is not a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) but re- cently Abu Dhabi transferred .its membership to cover the whole of the UAE. Abu Dhabi is committed to a policy of participation in the concessions of the major producing companies. This comes at a time when there has been a quickening in the pace of the gradual moves: to coordinate oil operations throughout the UAE. Although Dubai was not a member of OPEC it gained the full benefits from the decision of the major pro- ducers to set prices unilat- erally. Posted prices for output from the Fateh field have now risen to more than $11 a barrel. High hopes of cash flow Dubai, like all the Gulf shaikhdoms during the late 1950s and early 1960s, had high hopes of striking a real cash flow from oil. As Kuwait, Abu Dhabi and Qatar began to grow rich on oil, exploration in other parts of the Gulf proved less successful. Intensive explora- tion work onshore in Dubai failed to uncover a commer- cial field. At this stage Dubai Petroleum :hook on an offshore concession covering the whole of the waters under Dubai's control. Conoco, operating on behalf of Dubai Marine Areas (jointly owned by Compagnie Francaise des Petroles and Hispanoil, the Spanish oil group, and hold- ing 50 per cent of equity), Delfeze Dubai Petroleum, a subsidiary of the West German Wintershall Co (5 per cent), Dubai Sun Oil (5 per cent), and Deutsche Texaco (If) per cent) hit the Fateh field in 196G. A decision was taken not to construct a pipeline to the shore where a conventional tanker loading terminal and storage facilities could be built. Continental decided to go ahead with the first really large-scale offshore direct loading system, to take advantage of the deep water in which the oil had been discovered. Tanker loading buoys were installed close to the producing plal- forms and oil pumped directly into the tankers. Offshore loadine tcrh- niques are well developed but if the field is to maintain a regular rate of production considerable storage- is necessary so that oil can continue to flow when the weather prevents the tankers from coupling to the loading buoy. While the field was in the initial stages of development and volumes were only about 100,000 bar- rels a day an old tanker was converted to act as a floating storage unit. But if produc- tion was to be raised to the hoped for 450,000 barrels a day a different method of storage was needed. A completely new type of offshore storage unit was designed and built by the Chicago Bridge Co. Three steel tanks were built in the shape of inverted champagne glasses and each capable of holding 500,000 barrels of oil. The tanks, known locally as the khazzans, sit on the sea bed with the neck of the "glass " protruding through the water and having a production deck on top. As oil is pumped into the tank sea water is forced out through vents in the bottom. The oil and water do not mix and the system, despite some' earlier doubts on the part of envir6nmentalists, has not proved a pollution hazard. There the size is no limitation on oftanker that can use the facilities at Fateh. Many large tankers from other parts of the Gulf, unable to take on a full load because of the water depth at other terminals, fill up their tanks in Dubai on their way out of the Gulf. lfow. ever, the bulk of the oil is lifted directly by the mem- bers of the consortium. Production was seriously affected last October when there was a major fire on one of the production platforms. Two wells were completely destroyed and another had to be shut down for safety reasons. Replace- ment wells are being. drilled. but production is still below the 100,000 barrels output before the fire. Better output expected working at full capacity. Dubai Petroleum, under the terms of its concession, has relinquished about 25 per cent of the offshore area. So far there has been no at-tempt by the Dubai Government to reallocate this. A new field has been located by Dubai Petroleum about .15 miles south-west of the Fateh field. It was found. during a wildcat drilling pro- gramme in October 1973, but work on platting the exact size of the discovery has been hampered by the acute shortage of offshore drilling rigs in the Gulf. With off- shore areas in other parts of the world making considera- ble demands on the available drilling equipment, there is a waiting list of about 18 months for the rigs that are operating in the Gulf. Dubai Petroleum has named the new find the Delta prospect, and has hopes that it will prove to be a commercial find worth linking into the Fateh production network. The size of Duhai's known reserves could also be expanded as the result of an intensive seismic -survey of the entire offshore area by Dubai Petroleum. Seismic tech- niques have improved con- siderably since the last survey and thereare high hopes that new prospects will emerge. Sharjah is the latest of the emirates to become an oil producer. A group led by Buttes Oil and Gas of the United States found oil off the island of Abu Musa, owned jointly by Sharjah and Iran. Exports began early this year and are scheduled to reach 200;000 barrels a day by the end of. the year. Oil is being loaded directly into tankers and a barge capable of storing 580,000 barrels of oil - has been floated in. There are plans to build a permanent production and storage com- plex on Abu Musa. Legal action against buyers of oil from the Abu Musa find has -been threat- ened by Occidental Petro- - -irta-dditlairto drflliTn cess u y disputing t e production wells, wells, Dubai ership of the concession. Petroleum has installed ..a Occidental holds concessions six-pile platform on the field off Umm al Qaywayn and Ajman. In Ras al 1(6ymah to house facilities to inject the Vital group of Holland 340,000 barrels of water into has started an exploration the structure each day. A programme after successful substantial improvement in' prospecting efforts by Shell output is expected once the and Union Oil. water injection facilities are - R.V. Approved For Release 1999/09/02 : CIA-RDP79-01194A000100630001-6