EASTERN EUROPEAN INTELLIGENCER

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79B00864A001200020024-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 9, 2006
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: November 20, 1972
• Content Type: STUDY

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#215 EASTERN EUROPEAN INTELLIGENCER OCI #1009/72
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20 Nov. 1972
Recent Developments in Tito's Purge
The breathing spell in resignations of Yugoslav leaders
continues as regime leaders turn their attention toward filling
some of the gaps created by the initial wave of the purge.
In Slovenia, a new candidate for premier of the republic
nas been nominated to replace the popular ex-Premier Stane Kavcic.
Dr. Anrej Marinc, a 42 year old agricultural engineer, is now
preparing to select a cabinet--under the republic constitution
the old cabinet's tenure ended with premier Kavcic's resignation,
but the individual members were asked to stay on until a. new team
was selected. Judging by some Slovene party assessments,Marinc
faces a difficult situation in his new post. At the last central
committee plenum, one speaker warned against a turn toward a
witchhunt and "an escalation of primitivism. Such a turn in
the highly modernized Slovene economy would threaten a wholesale
replacement of numerous technocrats. It apparently will be
Marinc's job to calm these fears while simultaneously giving
support to Tito's demands for putting the technocrats into their
rightful place--i.e., subservient to the party.
Two central committee plenums are scheduled this week in
other areas. The Kosovo party plenum meets today and the
Macedonians will convene Friday. Personnel changes are possible
in either area,but not likely in view of the current effort to
consolidate the situation. Unfortunately, the press no longer
reports blow by blow descriptions of such meetings and it will
be difficult to determine whether or not there are fissures in
the two parties. In Macedonia, it is likely that the plenum 25X1
will select a replacement to Krste Milosavlevski, who resigned
in October as deputy to party boss Angel Cemerski and as a
Zhivkov Delegation Returns from Moscow
Bulgarian party/state leader Todor Zhivkov returned on
18 November from a five-day official visit to Moscow. Details
of the topics discussed are lacking, but from the reference
to resolving economic "problems" in the final communique, and
the presence of deputy Premier and CEMA representative
Tano Tsolov in the entourage, it would appear that. economic
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relations were the main topic under discussion. Zhivkov
presented his Soviet mentors with the Order of,Georgi Dimitr.ov
and did everything but impale himself on. the Kremlin spirals to
express his devotion and loyalityto the Soviet Union. Zhivkov
made one trip outside Moscow, to the Dimitrov aircraft plant at
Tbilisi,Georgia.
By far the most intriguing paragraph in the final communique
is the reference to the fact that the two sides reached an.
"agreement` on working out. concrete measures for problems
connected with a closer interaction between Bulgaria and the
USSR in conformity with the tasks set by the comprehensive
program for socialist economic integration." Bulgaria has been
highly successful in obtaining economic assistance from Moscow
in return for subservience in the realm of foreign affairs.
This success has been so great that. some Soviets view the Bulgars
as bleeding them dry. The Soviets may have found themselves in
the unusual position of having to apply. the brakes on closer
ties to an Eastern European comrade. The rest of. the communique
contains the standard rhetoric which is common place when the
Bulgars and Soviets get together: The two pledged to work
together against manifestations of nationalism, revisionism.
and opportunism in the international communist movement; praised
the GDR-FRG treaty; lauded Moscow's initiative on CSCE; declared 25X1
themselves in favor of strengthening peace and security in the
Balkans; and "confirmed their identical position" on the need
for calling a world conference on disarmament.
Hungarian Central Committee Session
Party first secretary Janos Kadar reviewed developments
of the last two years and economic specialist Rezso-. Nyers
presented the economic directives for 1973 at a two-day central
committee meeting last week. A lengthy, belated communique
explicitly affirmed Hungary's major internal and external
policies, including the economic reform'(NEM), flexible cultural
policies, and' the role of'. t.he< pa?ty . There, .~ier&'no personnel
changes.,
Reviewing international developments,_the communique termed
relations with China} and''Albania,,. ," .ot satisfactory," and, broadly
hinted that Budapest wants to establish:diplomatic relations
wit i "Bond.; Notably' absent was` any(obeisaricec to Czech-FRG
negotiations as(a prerequisite for:establishing'such ties. The
communique also approved of a conference' on: the:"mutual reduction
of military (forces facing' each other in Europe, " plumped for the
US signature,- of a Vietnam peace agreemm nt, a,id, made a`. lows-key
reference to Hungary's improved relations ("some advance") with
the U.S. Proper respect was paid. to Hungary's supreme ally
(the USSR), the Warsaw Pact, and CEMA.
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On the domestic side, attention focused on.ecom.c matters.
Aside from a few minor adjustments.in some prices and wages,
the only potentially substantive developments included the
call for a new "state planning commission"and the promise of
newly modified economic regulators.to.be introduced in 1975.
The impace of the new state planning commission is yet to be
seen, but the communique tasks it.with wide-ran ng authority
to coordinate the planning work. of the ministries, advise the
government on the economic plan, regulate the economy and
supervise its implementation. At the. same time, the communique
calls for an expansion of the authority of the national planning
office, echoing Kadar's earlier statement. Separation of juris-
dictional responsibilities may, prove to be a neat trick.
Both the call for a state planning. commission and the
promise of newly modified economic regulators may well be the
outgrowth of a study group that was set up in late 1971 to
explore ways-to improve the NEM. The study group reportedly
was Kadar's answer to a purported conservative, challenge over
the NEM (and the poor economic. performance in 1971); its
recommendations, while not yet spelled out, appear at first
blush to be nothing more than the usual tinkering with the
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