DRAFT U.S. POSITION PAPER ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF OBSERVATION POSTS

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CIA-RDP79B00972A000100090006-6
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RIFPUB
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S
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83
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November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 22, 1998
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6
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REPORT
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Approved For Rel?ase,1999/09/08: C - B00972A0(01,0090006-6 This document consists of _ .-- of ages, No. copies, Series B. DRAFT U.S. POSITION PAPER ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF OBSERVATION POSTS . The Problem The U.S. Treaty Outline of April 18, 1962, contains in Stage I, section E02, a reference to the establishment of observation posts as one of a group of measures to reduce the risk of war in the context of general. and complete disarmament. This paper sets forth the United States position on the establish- ment of observation posts as one of the separable, initial measures that could be taken prior to agreement on Stage I. (It supersedes those portions of DMP!ft17/1 of April 11, 1962, which deal with observation posts.) II. Recommendations 1. The U.S. Delegation should reiterate that it favors the establishment of observation posts (OP) in certain parts of Europe, the U.S. and U.S.S.R. as a separable, initial measure that could be of value in enhancing military security, strength- ening international confidence and facilitating progress toward future arms control and disarmament measures. Any OP system established prior to Stage I. of an agreement on general and complete disarmament should be experimental, and subject to periodic review. 2. Following the determination of a favorable consensus in the North Atlantic Council, the U?S, Delegation should initiate discussions with the U,S..S,R, on an OP system having the scope, capabilities and characteristics set forth below. To enable each NATO member to safeguard its national interests and to participate directly in the negotiations at the appro- priate time, the NAC will be kept closely informed of the course of negoti,ati_ons GROUP 3 Downgraded at 1.2-year intervals; not automatically declassified. Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP79B00972A000100090006-6 Approved For Rejr1999/ 9BO0972AOUQ?100090006-6 3. To .-.void creating a false sense of security, the U.S. should insi t on a system of demonstrable practical value for these threats with which it deals, rejecting any system lacking military ut:iliry or one intended merely as a symbolic gesture to serve primarily political ends. The limitations of the proposed system should be noted frankly in both private and public comment. 4o The JOSa should oppose any OP arrangements that would enhance the sL.tus of the GDR., formally equate NATO and the Warsaw Pact.,', or serve Le consolidate the status quo in Central Europe, Rat-'her., the. 1_'.S. should, as appropriate, stress its view th :-t by enh yncing milit.,.ry security in Europe, an OP system of the ki~..d discussed below should facilitate progress toward the reunification of Germany. 5 While cc :~t.inuing to oppose a link of the kind the Soviets h e proposed to troop reductions and denuclearization in Gernmiy, the u,S0. should seek cc avoid having the negotia- tions break prernturely on this issue. Instead the U.S. should probe for c' 2firm:itti,-)n of v;3ric; us informal indications that the Sovie s m=5 be willing to m'ak.e substantial modifications in their prcypc: sed 1 i.-k.ag , I3.I~ Sum;r~ ry C'cwg lusiops An OP sgreemer of the kind that might be negotiable with the L'OS.SOR'. pred:icra.bl.e, a potential utggra ~':r could tike c7.iv,'~.nt g'. of predicted cloud ctiover to .sewher.e in Europe, w r ? cur ~ irat hi .-tile ac t:iC)V4(- a tee is *'o rno nit r force 1ev 1s~ This can be acne on an 'I lrtt.w~rrr.i,.t ?F basis. further from tht_l p lirt_ Of cc;.4fac-t.E the main task of air surveil- with t:he eed for w4arx?ing of hostile action by troops ..l rk?atdly r:? . r t h ' . c' i nt of con t::a c t the U.S. should be F: r lp;ns r~itli the SovierY. ...,...~ From the I'Sununary of Past Dise.ission cf O "serviticn Po`r,s"" attached as Annex F, It will be sk:en that, So,. let proposals for "ground Control posts"" have. teen 63'::.hJe?c.m.: F:o ~u.ns.iderabLe varia- tion since first advanced in 19 `r5 o fheogh set: forth with varying nuances and lately with hint's of possible modification, the one constant theme has been that OP must be. i i uked to disarmament measures and specifically toy reduction:~ of foreign forces in, and the I'denu:-Learizaticn"" of.~, Gerrrranyo The impli=, cations of this approach must be seen in Oie L fight. of the. con- tinued Soviet interest i.n a German peace treaty, a no?n-aggression pact and other measures to cc"ns~l iii:;.te the Lit u.c- qury, in Central Europe (while changing that of Ber`f.in) 0 In short.,, the Soviets hive n",t:' in the past shown mach interest in. discuss i.ng the mi.lita'ry uti.lIty of c,unrrol. posts pq.E se and have not viewed r hem ,is an arran.gemeenr t.u be super Imposed on the existing pc~li tic al,~m l it ry sit xatiOn in EuroPeo Rather, they appear to have cons i de.r`ed them a s part of a process leading uLLimately to a tran.sforrrrat ion of pre-enr: security arrangement S in Europe into scarnet h Lng :approaching a tacitly, if not overtly, cooperative syst:em2 with substantially reduced forces on both sides of the dividing l ineo Such an arrangement would in turn appear to imply some common un.der- standing regarding Germany, although pres:rmably this would remain. onst/atedo So long as the Soviets persist in l ink`: ng OP with measures having such political connotations, we ~hc. rlcl o.-)n[.inue to reject the l.inkago and there would be l i t t l e pro spe,_t of a fruitful. negotiation. There .are indict io,ns2. however:, that they may be prepared to modify the l ink o 1f so this may per- mi.t. a useful discussion. which, for the first L.irne, could focus on the mil i tary ut i i.t:y of an OP sys tem0 If the Soviets in Pict on an immediate link t.;) at. least nominal, troop withd rawa l s 2 we cc _-!d .re.s?poond by p~A.nt:ing ou t- that US troop redeployments now in process will result. in a reduce icon of some US troops in Europe f roar the lr Lgh. point of the build-up since i9600 We hould suggest that it is now the turn of the USSR to make equivalent uni later l wi t i7drawa is from Germany and/or Eascern Europe, Approved For Release 1999/09/08 : CIA-RDP79B00972A000100090006-6 Approved For Rel9N%;,V9/09/ 00972A00010% 0006-6 It i jka - t, po'~~ -;A6 1e th?t r_ economit? con sider-lti,ln~, Ind tho rrril:r.,try prt -I:Ve genes r:ed by the di,:`putte with Ch;n.i rrtav Art.. dui-o the S, , ac F s :_c, consider. the establishment ,f OP of fact r '` r. t irg the future withdrawal. of some Sov" et ror,p from Central Eu_rrope0 It. is also possible shat: they rn.jy ;n lrr te, abandon eh ,ir. proposed links alt?uget.her as they have in con ie, -4rn with at her neg,)t=.i..;A.1~arr_s when ready to achieve an IgrJe&ifle r.(. "h L, would not imply that the Soviets had ab-i?Zdoned the poll r.ica 1 oh joc; tivies which they now appear to pursued So 1,-:rig as we make i i clear zhhat. we are not prepared to aCCepL1 an OP system Lacking mi 1it.arv utility and justified primrri ly on poll t .i.c:at. g(ocrndb however, this need not tnhrbi t -Art OP nego)ti ationo Moret_av;er~ we need not allow them b) est;ab1L-h the pcsl.'iz.i~al framework for the di.scussionso We should, as appropriate, -et. re- forth our view th_it: our OP proposal would fac i l..i gate One un.i fi~.at:.i_nn of C'>ermjnv by strengthening European tiec-r i t.v an.d thereby treat ing a better atmosphere for a just mars `,--. cif the German pr,:) h The ornplexI z_les of a mil it'ar?i ly useful OP cv trim are such that i l.a.ng h.y E rtes of d.isciassion, would he req ' .tFd merely fac see it chore any prospect. f,rr .an ag-eemrri,l'hi., sugge:=t.s the de~~r,.rhi.Lity of a deliberate -approach t,.~ they Sovrteit~ with r nr~ ri mz m of fanfa ?e, and with puhi.i.c re,_~ti~;^.i?_t'i~ n of t, he dfii 1 tie; standing in the. way of agr`eement It will he imp r rnt to avoid bringing the neg"t to as head p'x^rriat relye Hither, we shcurd seek to lei+'.!- thhe fo d`l??ciis 1csn ;-=ii; 9c+ng as possible tc, enable bath ~Ide- Lo into account. In t.?ake .h n.g`ir g 1 r ;rrr -~t.ank es : the end r r ar ti n ri iy .1 1.sa- .,_I ~t raid i.n the ',ase at t hE E. -_ han t_rel tV wherein the Sov ct-7 L_-in t',e brought to accept. an arrd k n .a baskk : w~h.Ls:h, ern#. i i n.+)w:, they have rejected V1., M ra i f''rrz Nei otiaLionS Feliawing an m lt"r,al presentat1en of the hr-c:,,311 STS pt-it i.r1 the. ENDC we L*h~~i:IId =eek Lo arrange for ,) merEo der i'o led d ss1z