Western Pacific and Indian Ocean Base Study; analyses for

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79B00972A000100180016-5
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 25, 2000
• Sequence Number: 16
• Publication Date: October 13, 1967
• Content Type: MF

A-RDP79B00972A0W30180046-5- -
WASHINGTON, t .C. ?0350
IN f 'LY REF:R TO
WESTP3C BASES
JSer 0020
13 Oct 1967
NAVY DELL SSIFICATION/RELEASE
'OR.NIUNi OR DR. Sit TH
Pacific and Indian Ocean Eas.: Stay; analyses for
Encl: '-i Three Scenarios A, B, and C.
The requirements for naval forces and suLporting bases in 't .r a
under considerat on will be determined within the context of thz >rr.'^ctiO 5
of t e world of 1970-1980. Scenario B i's a' medic.:- 'ojection assumes
y
ssimistic ion
a continuac:onof present trends. Scenario A
which 2ssumesa militGnt China while Scenar_o C optimistic
variation which assumes a less threatening China. _ s reques' thet
i
CIA comment oat the enclose'd Scenarios as ap ropriate po.itica_ fra,.ne-
e,, to Surveillance. What is the likelihood of the
levelopmen~RO a Soviets of an all-weather satellite ip 00008n
c. Satellite Communications. What.iy the likelihood th,
Soviet Union will have the capability ,to incapacitate or ~.ri
D j degrade communications oased entirely on satellite relay, 1y 1983?
ri- CPR Tnri?Grri l Protections. What are the projections of Chinese
2 le. directive for ---is study requires RED recommendations w
necessitate technological appraisals of certain Soviet and Chir se
abilities Bur: ng the period 1970-1980. It 'is' requested that CIA >ke
by 1980?
I/ I
1 b. Soviet Merchant Ship Technology ~..c wi11 be the ,t. ) eto-
a. Soviet e.ffor._s in New Ship Technoloc.v fir.}palsicn
Can it be foreseer when or if the USSRRri.!igh.: develop. 80-iO
I , ! , 1 1 military L1m1LeL1uns eciu iw~ll lLG~lwio.
surveillance sy em by 1980 or soon thereafter?
~
DE:PART''I:E\ . it I - NAVY
VICE O.^ TH CHIEF C^ SAV."._ OPERATIC
It is also requested that the followin~ estimates be provided:
/a. What are the possible political` and economic strategies of the
USSR and CPR in the Afro-Asian area in 1970-1960?
}b. What are the possible maritime objvctives and activi of the
Soviet Union for the period 1970-19SO, particularly with r._ercnc.
work for the conduct of this r , study.
Approved For Release 2001/08/26': CJA-RDP79B00gT2 00104;8.00,16-5
INSTRUCTIONS ON FILE
 Approved For ase 2001/081264:?.C
A-RDP79B00972Q,100180016-5
~v'STp;kC >ASES
gar 0020
1J c 1967
What are the project- -11
s' and facil .y,r the 1970-1S+r~0 per_
and
by f tar, tr . _ route ,
' ' Occan merchaf" traf c
s 5 s~
TAZEWELL T. SHEPARD
Capt?.i, USN
Approved For Release 2001/08/26 C
2
gl
A-RDP79BO0972Ab OQ18 t15