PROGRAM OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES FOR PERIOD 1 APRIL 1968 TO 30 SEPTEMBER 1968

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79B01709A002200050001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 29, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 28, 1968
• Content Type: MF

IIS//_3
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USIB-D-14o 1/39
28 March 1968
Final
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOAR D
MEMORANDUM FOR THE UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
SUBJECT Program of National Intelligence Estimates
for Period 1 April 1968 to 30 September 1968
On 28 March 1968 the Intelligence Board approved the quarterly
revision of the Program of National Intelligence Estimates attached at
Tab A. This estimate program is given in tabular form in Tab B,
whereas Tab C presents the Status of the Estimates Program for the
First Quarter 1968.
25X1
,
61 Executive Secr ar
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TAB A
USIB-D- 14. 1/39
28 March 1968
Final
Program of National Intelligence Estimates
For Period 1 April 1968 to 30 September 1968
A. Second Quarter 1968
1. Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 11-1-67, The Soviet
Space Program"
2. Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 13-8-67, "Communist
China's Strategic Weapons
Program"
3. Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 11-14-67, "The Soviet
and East European General
Purpose Forces"
4. Consequences of Civil
Strife in Nigeria
(NIE 64.2-68)
5. The Outlook for Internal
Security in Ethiopia
(SNIE 76. 1-68)
6. Final Draft of MC 161 and
MC 255
7. Greece (NIE 29. 1-68)
25X1 8.
Tentative Date for
USIB Consideration
April
April
April
April
April
April
April
April
9. Communist Insurgency in
Thailand (NIE 52-68) April.
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TAB A
USIB-D-14. 1/39
Z8 March 1968
Final
Tentative Date for
USIB Consideration
10. Short-Term Prospects in
Vietnam (SNIE 53-68)
April
11. The Philippines (NIE 56-68) May
12. NIPP-68, Sections III-A
(Ground Forces) and III-B
(Tactical. Missiles)
May
13. NIPP- 68, Section IVs Nuclear May
Implications
14. Likelihood of Interference
with Certain US Reconnaissance
Activities (SNIE 11-10-68)
May
15. Main Trends in Soviet Policy May
(NIE 11-7-68)
16. Trends and Contingencies
Affecting US Positions
Overseas (NIE 4-1-68)
17. Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 11 - 6- 67, "Soviet
Strategy and Intentions in
the Mediterranean Basin"
18. Panama (SNIE 84-68)
May
May
19. Main Issues in Soviet Military June
Policy (NIE 11-4-68)
20. Communist China's General.
Purpose Forces and Air Defense
(NIE 13-3-68)
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TAB A
USIB-D-14. 1/39
28 March 1968
Final
Tentative Date for
USIB Consideration
21. NIPP-68, Sections V-VI,
Manpower and Expenditures
22. The Changing Scene in Eastern
Europe (NIE 12-68)
23. The Clandestine Introduction
of Nuclear Weapons into the
US (NIE 4-68)
B. Third Quarter 1968
1.
Soviet and East European
General Purpose Forces
August
(NIE 11-14-68)
2.
Communist China's Strategic
September
Weapons Program (NIE 13-8-68)
3.
Soviet Capabilities for
September
Strategic. Attack (NIE 11-8-68)--
or a Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 11-8-67
September
4.
NIPP-69, Section III
C. Fourth
Quarter 1968
Soviet Air and Missile Defenses
October
(NIE 11-3-68)
October
2
.
NIPP-69, Section I
NIPP-69, Section II
November
November
- 3 -
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TAB A
USIB-D-14. 1 /39
28 March 1968
Final
Tentative Date for
USIB Consideration
D. Unscheduled and Contingency Estimates
Congo (Kinshasa)
Prospects in Egypt
Persian Gulf
Cambodia
Italy (New national elections late this spring. Depending
on outcome, may be useful to assess stability of
new government, role of the Communists,
Socialists, and Christian Democrats over next few
years, and implications for foreign policy. )
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Second Quarter
TAB B
USIB-D-14. 1/39
28 March 1968
Final
Third Quarter
1968
Main Trends in Soviet Policy
Memo to Holders of NIE
11-6-67, "Soviet Strategy
and Intentions in the
Mediterranean Basin"
The Changing Scene in
Eastern Europe
Memo to Holders of NIE
11-1-67, "Soviet Space
Program"
Memo to Holders of NIE
11-14-67, "The Soviet
and East European
General Purpose Forces"
Final Draft of MC 161 and
MC 255
NIPP-68, Sections III-A
and III-B
NIPP-68, Section IV
Likelihood of Interference
with Certain US Recon-
naissance Activities
Main Issues in Soviet
Military Poll cv
Corrected 4 April 1968
Soviet and East European
General Purpose Forces
Soviet Capabilities for
Strategic Attack--or a
Memo to Holders of
NIE 11-8-67
NIPP-69, Section III
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TAB B
USIB-D-14. 1/ 39
28 March 1968
Final
Second Quarter
1968
General Trends and Contingencies
Affecting US Positions
Overseas
Corrected 4 April 1968
Memo to Holders of NIE Communist China's
13-8-67, "Communist Strategic Weapons
Chinas Strategic Weapons Program
Program"
Communist Insurgency in
Thailand
Short-Term Prospects in
Vietnam
The Phillippines
Communist China's General
Purpose Forces and Air
Defense
Consequences of Civil
Strife in Nigeria
The Outlook for Internal
Security in Ethiopia
Third Quarter
1968
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TAB C
USIB-D-14. 1/39
28 March 1968
Final
Status of Program for First Quarter 1968
Estimates Completed
1/Memorandum to Holders of NIE 14.2-67, 29 February
"North Korean Intentions and Capabilities
with Respect to South Korea"
SNIE 11-9-68 Soviet Interests and Activities in Arab 18 January
States
Pakistan: Internal Developments and
Foreign Outlook
11SNIE 51-68 Insurgency in Burma
1/ SNIE 58-68 Communist Intentions in Laos
NIE 80/90-68 The Potential for Revolution in
Latin America
_1/SNIE 80/90-2- Probable Consequences of a Refusal
by the US to Sell F-5 Aircraft in
Latin America
Scheduled for
29 March2/
January
14 March
21 March
28 March
29 January
25X1
NIE 93-68
First US Position Paper for MC 161
9 January
1 / This estimate was not on original First Quarter Estimates Program.
2/ For telephonic concurrence.
Corrected 4 April 1968
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TAB C
USIB-D-14.1/39
28 March 1968
Final
Second US Position Paper for MC 161
NIPP-68, Section I, Soviet Strategic
Attack Forces
NIPP-68, Section II, Soviet Strategic
Defense Forces
NIPP-68, Section III-C (Air Force)
and III-D (Naval Forces)
?'/US Position Paper for MC 255/68
Scheduled Estimates Uncompleted
Memorandum to Holders of
NIE 11-6-67, "Soviet Strategy
and Intentions in the Mediterranean
Basin"
Memorandum to Holders of NIE
11-14-67, "The Soviet and East
European General Purpose Forces"
NIE 13-9-68 The Short-Term Outlook in Communist
China
NIE 29. 1-68 Greece
9 February
8 January
8 January
Scheduled for
28 March!/
Scheduled for
May
Scheduled for
April
Scheduled for
May
Scheduled for
April
1/ For telephonic concurrence.
2/ This estimate was not on the original First (uarter Estimates Program.
-8-
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TAB C
USIB-D-14. 1/ 39
28 March 1968
Final
NIE 52-68 Communist Insurgency in Thailand
NIE 64. 2-68 Consequences of Civil Strife in
Nigeria
NIPP-68, Sections III-A (Ground
Forces) and III-B (Tactical
Missiles)
NIPP-68, Section IV, Nuclear
Implications
NIPP-68, Sections V-VI, Manpower
and Expenditures
Scheduled for
April
Scheduled for
April
Scheduled for
May
Scheduled for
May
Scheduled for
June
Recapitulation
Estimates Completed .................... ` ....16
Scheduled ..................................... .. 6
Unscheduled ............................... o e
1
Scheduled Estimates Cancelled ......... . ........ ` ` ` ... . . ,
10
Uncompleted .....................................
Corrected 4 April 1968
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