INTERAGENCY INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM CARIBBEAN: ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL TRENDS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00603A002400110002-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 27, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: May 6, 1977
• Content Type: MF

SECRET
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6 May :l_977
MEMORANDUM FOR:
Acting National Intelligence Officer
for Latin America
SUBJECT Interagency Intelligence Memorandum
Caribbean: ' Economic and Political Trends
VIA . Director of Central Reference
Chief Information Services Group, OCR
. 1. I have read the recently disseminated Interagency
Intelligence Memorandum on the Caribbean, prepared. by the
Office of Regional and Political Analysis and the Office of
Economic Research with contributions from the Departments
of State, Defense and Treasury. I found several items in
the memorandum that I believe are incorrect.
2. Following are the most significant inaccuracies:
a? On page 5, section n on the Netherlands
~ ~c9 Antilles, the text states that "independence seems
inevitable in the not too distant future." Accord-
ing to the Country Analysis and Strategy Paper (GASP)
for the Netherlands Antilles, dated 3 August 1976,
K
~~ independence is unlikely to occur before the early
Cr 1980's. This information should have been included
\~n U> in the memorandum.
On harm 7- ment-inn should have been made
i
i
ti
nd
ca
ons
following paragraph 4z that. there are Some
-hat- [Chen wrnild be willina to assist Belize if that
country were attacked by Guatemala.
k ,ham
I
Analyst, - ;.. =/WH/CA-NA
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25X1
25X1
Chief, Western Hemisphere Di_visioa.7, OCR
 c. On page 11, in paragraph 3, Belize does
have a very serious unemployment problem thaw s
ameliorated only by the fact that nearly 30,000
Belizeans--a number fully equal to the domestic
labor force--are currently working in the United
tp
ates. There are no prospects for reversing
this trend and preventing Belize's better educated
and more ambitious people from seeking long-term
d. The US Embassy Bridgetown's telegram #2537
of 22 December 1976 reports that Dominica will seek
independence from Britain in November 3.977.. This
information should have been included on page 11,
in the section on Dominica.
e. On page 12, the memorandum states that
Guyanese Prime Minister Burnham "is n the
country toward 'socialism'..." itwould, have
~ been more. accurate to.have used the term "cooperative
- -i. L".._......`.. 4 "M voc^. R.i c~"~ef
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SUBJECT: Interagency Intell'ic ence Memorandum
Caribbean:' ' E'canomic and Political Trends
,k describes Burnham' s own brand of socialism. zee
himself usually employs the suggested terminology.
c r ,.~`uti0 ` az
,C,&'' f. The Guyana National ServL.cec mentioned on
CV .
page 12 of the text, is not compulsory.
g. On page 13, the memorandum states that in
September 1976 Trinidadian Prime Minister Williams
was elected to another four-year term. The
Trinidadian Prime Minister's term of office is,
and always has been, five years.
3. I also noted the following minor errors:
official spelling.,
b. The map of the Caribbean that appears
opposite page 1 omits Bermuda, French Guiana and
Surinam, all of which are dealt with in the text.
Other islands, including St. Christopher-Nevis,
Montserrat and Aruba, are drawn on the map but
not labeled.
I'll If
appears as the Bahamas." The former is the
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c;'?_
Intera ency Intelligence Memorandum
Caribbean: Economic and Political Trends
c. On page 3, in paragraph 16, "decolonialization"
should read "decolonization."
?~~~ .~- t d On page 11, in the section on Dominica,
,-,"a group of unemployed youths" is referred to as
crrnno is aenerally known
.;.\r~, b.tac: ...... .. ...... . - - - -
" and their hair as itdreadlocks. "
.~ ~ ~, " s the "Dreads
,
e. On page 12, "Grenadan" should read "Grenadian."
Also on page 12, Prime Minister. Gairy's
f
.
political party is the Grenada United Labor Party
(GULP), not the United Labor Party.
A T hone that this information will be helpful in
the writing of future memoranda on the subject.
25X1
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SrCpi
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