SOVIET GUIDED MISSLES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00890A000400020028-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 11, 2003
• Sequence Number: 28
• Publication Date: October 21, 1954
• Content Type: BRIEF

NSC BRIEFING
Zl OCTOBER 1954
SOVIET GUIDED MISSILES
Apprpv l ;p i elea
I. Complex: must distinguish between what known,
what suspected, and what still trying find out.
A. First, know Soviets intensely interested in
Gertnan WWII missiles -- took away 400
German experts, also missiles, labs, plan
1. By 1950, Germans being returned -- now
only 50 control specialists, still in USSR.
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Second, know Soviets have missile test ram
(KAPUSTIN YAR, near Stalingrad). V-his
fired there in-,147 and indications continuinj
use .
25XI
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C. Also, knnoow US
PV (ice terms science,
a
technology, economl
E
Consequence: US intelligence community
vinctd USSR has extensive guided missile
Can
program, US and allies face growing threat
ewer nett yeats (recent National Estimate) .
However, don`_t know particulars --
k nds of Soviet missiles now on hand, or
wider development.
G. Thus, when mention sep cific missile, this
-t ha.sed firm current intelligence.
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Instead, derived frQin estimate of
Soviet military requirements,
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2. Eminent outside consultants participated
in preparation this estimate and concur
in its conclusions.
I. One major factor which makes Soviet program
threat
is growing Soviet nuclear capability.
A. Increasing size Soviet nuclear stockpile
would lead USSR to accept limited missile
reliability - 40-60%
B. Similarly, expected larger warhead
yields would compensate for limited
missile accuracy.
III, Anoter major factor leading USSR to develop
offensive air-to-surface and surface-to-surface
missile systems is improving allied air
defense capability.
 IV. Corx munity's estimate" give's types of
missiles USSR expected develop, probable
dates initial availability.
A. Very high priority is improvement Soviet
air defense. Could now have, as
type (thirteen-mile) "WASSERFALL".
By '55, range will increase, and missile
could have semi-active radar homing
(somewhat below "NIKE" in perform-
B. Probably now have "air-to-air" rocket,
infra-red guided, with 'Z-1 /Z -mile
ran ' e . By ' 55, could have twice range
g
(like "SII E'WINDER") .
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ace-to-surface" pilotless aircraft for
submarine -launched attack on coastal areas.
improved
For past few years could have had ^' V - i"
(200 -mile range) . By 155, ct xld have (500-
mile range) subsonic "pilotless aircraft".
B. In "ballistic" missile field, will probably
develop "farnil " of abort and medium range
"surface-to-surface" types. Could probably
now produce either short-range "native
design" or improved (350-mile range) "V-Z"
as counter to allied tactical nuclear capa-
bilities in Europe. However, we estimate
that more advanced types ballistic missiles
producti+
unless and until allied air defense improv
rn nts make piloted bc:nbers impra4ical
means nuclear attack.
In inte rim, develop.
sent work as "ballistic" family will a
I ?voluti
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 early as 1960.
could have * ;jd
lambing sites are
rnoeasures now known or in
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b ditistic missile (MAO. Believe USSR will make
concerted effort produce IBM, as counter t-=
expected + flar US weapon and as potentially
decisive means attack. Such weapon, with 3, 000
pound thermonuclear warhead aid range of 5, 500
eater production by 1963, Or -
or delays and all-out effort, possibly
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ass ell type of
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