IMPLICATIONS OF GROWING BLOC AND FREE WORLD NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00890A000600010051-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 10, 2002
• Sequence Number: 51
• Publication Date: June 28, 1955
• Content Type: BRIEF

Approved For Release 2003/0F" ,
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 Approved For Release 2003/01/
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lated effect is increased public pressure on govern-
ments to find souse means of international
II. As nuclear capabil
mutual devastation
as, and the
some means of insuring that nuclear weapons will not be used in war.
bl+e in non-Commnn st countries will probably be accentuated.
Aversion to risks of ware pressures for diet;
I almost certainly be more marked then now. The difficulties of
conducting policy agains
probably
da and the chances may
d especially
sibilities of
eater of a weakenin
of the non -CiM uniat position by successive concessions.
ae allies of the TISO and eapec is
allies, will continue in the alliance despite the
capabilities, at least as 1
nersl war appeared Imminent or actually
would depend in largo measure
halve no choice, and could not remain
Approved For Release 2003/01/24
2y the major
a not appear imminent.
Sate of the allies
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wished to do so. Some might consider the issues at stake inimff iently
important to risk general war, and might therefore declare themselves
stage of the crisis. Sow governments might est.te
war between the US
complete or per -complate destruction of the ws r- king
both powers, and therefor* that:
and a profitable position, If sweats developed
confront geeveren
t Practically an would choose
capabilities
policy, evidence indicates that US nuc: r capabilities alert certainly
to oacert mlli taxy aggression by the Wig.
UJIT/f
V. Although Soviet nuclear capabilities will increase, the will still
sly, actions to the
l risk of nuclear war. The Soviet loaders
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 Approved For Release 2003/0PA-RDP79R00896A000600010051-4
will probably still not be confident that t could attaok the US with I hey
VI. Rosever,
capabilities grow, the Soviet leaders may come
of fear for itself or for its all:
because of pressure by its allies, will be increasingly deterred fran
initiating full-scale nuclear war. They may therefore come to believe
general war,
be less likely than at present to expand into
that superior Bloc milit=7 capabilities in certain
local areas can be exercised without substantial risk of provoking general
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weapons without exposing the USSR to an evert more devastating