JAPANESE CONSERVATIVE MERGER AND ARGENTINE SOLVENCY AND STABILITY (3-9)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79R00890A000600060062-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 6, 2003
Sequence Number: 
62
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 14, 1955
Content Type: 
BRIEF
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79R00890A000600060062-7.pdf333.68 KB
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Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 NSC BRIEFING 14 NOVEMBER 1955 JAPANESE CONSERVATIVE MERGER MerBor of two conservative parties (Japan Democratic and Libor al).set for 15 November. A. 10 November. compromise proliding for collective jesdership- paved way, 1. Liberal president Ogata has accepted formula.. leaving Ratoyama as prime minister. 2. Election new party chief put off until next spring, In meantime, committee of Hatoyama, Ogata, and maybe two others will run t new party. "i 31 3 B. Even Yoshida has been persuaded to go along with his Liberal faction (about J Hatoyama has decided on following program: A. Cabinet resignation 21 November. Special:- Diet session tentatively set for 22 25X1 DOCU!vMFNT N0 NO CHANGE IN C1__4Ss, Cl CLASS. CHANGED 10: TS S 0 State Dept. review completed 25X6 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release -2003/08/08,: CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 i. Re-election Ratoyama?as premier for 22 November. C. Formation his third cabinet. 1 I , New cabinet expected retain Shigemi.tsu. as foreign minister to stress friendship for firmness towards USSR.. A, Now party expected take tougher. Liberal Party line on'negotiations with USSR and reparations issue with Philippines. M:rger will give government working majority -~ . parliament, e: Lower hauso of 467 requires 234 for rajcor ity~ 1. New party will have closo -to Soo .seats. ii. Brawling over party head expected to continue within new party. Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 1 CoFtDTIAL Provisional Argentine president Gen..Lonard deposed 13 Nov in bloodless coup armed (o f P*Ad"'rtt &a4A ffV1_ 41 G # A) forces leaders.,,on grounds super-nationalist' Catholic elements trying to gain control of 40 to have dem ocratic and :-moderate leanicjp; government. A. New . president,, Gen. Pedro Aramburu, Army Chief of Staff under Lonardi, reported well-disposed toward US. Vice- president, army, navy, air mini-- ~,d a'riA r, mini- j ww~o, k - Q sters'to remain on job, but extensive A cabinet changes being made. even though ?Lonardi himself was pro-US. Removal of ultranationalists from such key posts as foreign ministry may improve Argentine cooperation with US; 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 ARGENTINE S YSNCY AND STABILITY Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 ~o II. Peron left legacy of crippled productive, capacity and financial stress C ~ONFIDENTIAL' Lonardi highly respected despite his controversial appointments. Abrupt duster likely handicap new regime's ... .:.., .. Afro LanvJI * "OA phere in face pressing labor and' efforts. to maintain a peaceful atmos u vuvnaat. P& vv.icuia. - - , su ~St,~r~yh,2.^^'t ,,v..pss,ti -1,Pr ,~ i 1. Much of it came from private sourge* his thef s large enough to upset countryy's balance :;heet. -Peron reportedly filched substantial sums frog treasury No evidence that such as "friends" who gave Evita such gifts as villa in Biarritz and jewels; also royalties from l:vita's book, which was required reading. Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 CIA-RDP79R00890A000600060062-7 S.. Peron_;s promote expense postwar policy of trying to ratOid industrialization at agriculture which earns 93;>i, exchange, of foreign C. Under Peron farm earnings dropped to about one-third of prewar purchasing power, 1. when world prices for agricultural products high, Peron paid farmers only part of the high export price. N t-AL Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 CO fI?E TI L 2. By system of multiple rates,, farmers were taxed /urther; they received 5 pesos per dollar for exports but had to pay from 7.5 to. 14 pesos for necessary imports--if govt.a-oi .-d give an exchange permit. D. Decline in farm produc t ion reduced Argentina's ability, to buy essential imports for, economic recovery. III. 1955 trade deficit may reach $250,00.0,6604 government survey in October lists total outstanding foreign debts at $757,000,000. A. In Jan 55 govt claimed holdings of $371,000,600 in gold and about $120,000,000 in dollars and sterling, Latter.-,represents minimum necessary to finance essential trade with US and UK. B. Sterling credits expected to be drawn down by end of year. Net trade deficits. expected on various bilateral trade at;ree.s:e: t accounts----except with Soviet Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 $33.,100, 000 in other currencies to about $28,700,000 in dollars anti ing 'payments on Ezport-Xrnport 'Batik service various overseas debts' includ credit of 1950. markets. trade for. grain and dicl iniag.:'graia in view of unfavorable trend in terms 1 Prospects for immediate' future. uncerja. 1. Marketing difficulties led Argenti to turn to Soviet Bloc as importaai outlet for agricultural surplua Payments deficit by end" of severe enough to force politically. unpalatable policy of sharp icOnomJ retrenchment. . IV. Provisional government's,*pproacb to these problems was to order analysis of economic and financial position. It has commence steps along lines,,recommended. Wj 4, Q-3 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 devalued on 27 Oct to 18` Nesos to dollar (had v!aried? from 5 to 14 pesos). S taxe trading. institute abol ishe4, and govt. stressing ' encouragement of prdvate initiative. B. farmers benef*tted by these steps' and by higher domestic "pri.eee : i:a bd by govt. D. Officials stressing need for foreign inyestment, even mentioning desirability ?..of private and public capital in expanding o:el production. Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7 strong Argentine interest in US.a.ad sug- gest by: A. Special econo*ic . counselor ..for embassy in Washington., B. Argentine officials have indicated ,they would like to discuss economic problems tnf?rmaliy with US Embassy. D. Officials believed interested in re- viving Eximba.nk loan of $60,000,000 for steel plant--signature delayed pending review by new govt,, E4 US Ambassador believes US economic help needed if Argentina. to recover from present upheaval within reason- able time.. Approved For Release 2003/08/08 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA000600060062-7