POSSIBLE REASONS WHY KHRUSHCHEV WAS COMPELLED TO REVEAL U-2 PLANE STORY AT THIS TIME

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79R00890A001200050011-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 3, 2002
Sequence Number: 
11
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79R00890A001200050011-7.pdf135.76 KB
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Approved For a list of the fsctors cited by Mbas our brief cents attached to each. agree, but note , A. Genuine anger over amt the Soviets consider re"ated provocative violations of 'their territory. restrain his until he had the goods. Mm he made a deliberate decision to exploit the incident before the Snt. ) 3. A demand for a strong stand by the Soviet minty, who are unhappy over demobilization. (we tend to discount, or to accept this would be to believe K much weaker in domestic politics than we have estimated. However, one cannot prove 3b.OmPson Eng. e true that (1) mill clearly most unhappy; (2) party making ZMA"s about cs .tiers who do not decisions; (3) Bch talk about demobilimtion but not much in high co &. Therefore, it is possible that footdragging, inch case plane Incident would give military strong card to play.) State Dept. review completed r u Approved For Release ' : CIA-RDP `QOB A001_20005001 0 2X1 Approved For Releases/07/03 :CIA-RDP79R00890A001200050011-7 . A desire to put the President on the defensive at the emit and weaken our position in the Western alliance. dominant motive. It is consistent with his tactics in the past; he is not a man to forego exploiting any chink that may show in his opponent's armor and we note that he has been careful not to say anything which might block having the a mit.) D. Khrushchev's possible discouragement on Sumriit prospects and his consequent desire to prepare the public for failure. (We doubt that X's personal expectations from the Summit have been so high. On the hand) other) it is quite possible that the Soviet public may have been over- optimistic -) Approved For Release fOOZ j fl l -RDP79R00890A001200050011-7 Approved For Release 2002/07/03 : CIA-RDP79R0089OA001200050011-7 E. Khrushchev's belief that a: strong stand may be required because of increased opposition to his policies within the USSR and Bloc. (If the plenum last week is any evidence, he is not under any great pressure in the USSR. However,, see n' notes on B, above.) under strong pressure from Chins, and lesser pressure from ?;astern Europe. But if he became convinced that the Chinese had gone too far in their challenge to hues and/or that domestic enemies were hitting him in a vulnerable point, his personal commitment to a detente might cause these pressures to backfire - i.e., he might feel greater pressure to seek detente rather than to oppose it.) II. Thompson concludes that internal problems will limit Khrushebevta freedom of actions at the summit, but that, while working for the victory of Communism., he genuinely desires relaxation of tensions a; diminishing the danger of war. (We agree, but feel this statement plays down too much the force and dynamism of his approach to international problems. It implies that be would nevoid throwing international tantrums, yet plane incident makes clear that pressure element 1 ;-his policy lUJtP eda 'oE lqwgtflw3# FDDP79R00890A001200050011-7